Core Viewpoint - Hongxing Technology is preparing for an IPO on the Shanghai Main Board, with significant backing from major clients like Foxconn and a focus on quartz crystal components [1][3]. Company Overview - Hongxing Technology, headquartered in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, is among the top ten global manufacturers of quartz crystal components, serving clients such as Foxconn, Skyworth, and Changhong [1][3]. - The company was established in 1993 and transformed into a joint-stock company in 2022 [3]. Ownership Structure - The company is predominantly a family-owned business, with the actual controllers holding approximately 87.92% of voting rights before the IPO [4][5]. - Key family members include Lin Honghe, Lin Ruida, Lin Yuxin, and Lin Yuxiang, with Lin Honghe being the founder and long-time chairman [4][5]. Financial Performance - Hongxing Technology has a history of substantial cash dividends, with total dividends exceeding 400 million yuan over three years, raising concerns about cash flow management [7]. - The company reported revenues of approximately 651 million yuan in 2022, declining to 542 million yuan in 2023, with net profits of 194 million yuan and 133 million yuan respectively [16][22]. Product Focus - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of frequency control components, primarily quartz crystal oscillators, with over 80% of revenue derived from these products [9][11]. - The supply chain is heavily reliant on imported materials, with 76% of chips sourced from abroad, indicating a high dependency on foreign suppliers [14]. Market Position - Hongxing Technology holds a 3.08% share of the global quartz crystal component market, ranking ninth worldwide and third among Chinese companies [14]. - The global quartz crystal component market is projected to grow from 3.251 billion USD in 2023 to 6.733 billion USD by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.82% [19][21]. Industry Dynamics - The quartz crystal component industry is experiencing cyclical fluctuations, with 2023 showing a decline in performance due to weak downstream demand and inventory adjustments [16][22]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by Japanese firms like Epson and NDK, which hold about 50% of the high-end market share, indicating significant room for domestic players to capture market share [14][22].

Macro Analysis - The current macro variables affecting the market are internal demand recovery, policy implementation effects, and external environment changes[3] - The easing of US-China tariff negotiations helps alleviate pressure on the fundamentals and market risk appetite, but the relationship remains competitive[3] - The economy is undergoing an L-shaped recovery, with manageable short-term pressures on foreign trade and employment, while low inflation remains a core challenge[3] Policy Insights - The policy focus is on the effectiveness of existing policies and the introduction of incremental reserve tools, with a dynamic calibration approach expected[3] - The emphasis is on promoting the effectiveness of existing policies, particularly concerning employment and systemic risks, while external shocks remain uncertain[3] Investment Strategy - A strategic bullish outlook on Hong Kong stocks is recommended, as de-dollarization benefits liquidity-sensitive stocks[3] - A "barbell" asset allocation strategy is suggested, focusing on resilient dividend assets in finance, resources, and public utilities, while technology remains a key theme[3] Company Highlights - Zhuoyue New Energy (688196.SH) is a pioneer in biodiesel production, with a production capacity of 500,000 tons and a focus on raw material substitution and trade breakthroughs[9] - Yipuli (002096.SZ) achieved revenue of 8.546 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 713 million yuan, driven by cost control and increased procurement efforts[14] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects copper production to reach 1.15 million tons in 2025, with significant growth targets set for 2028[21] Risk Considerations - Risks include potential policy support falling short of expectations, execution delays, and slower-than-expected economic recovery[5] - For Zhuoyue New Energy, risks involve policy advancement not meeting expectations and significant fluctuations in raw material prices[12]

Macro Analysis - The current market is influenced by three main macro variables: domestic demand recovery, policy implementation effects, and external environment changes[9] - The easing of US-China tariff negotiations helps alleviate market risk appetite pressures, but the long-term relationship remains competitive[9] - The economy is undergoing an L-shaped recovery, with manageable short-term pressures on foreign trade and employment, while low inflation remains a core challenge[9] Investment Recommendations - Strategic focus on Hong Kong stocks is advised, as de-dollarization benefits liquidity-sensitive markets[10] - A-shares are expected to experience high volatility, emphasizing the need to capture structural opportunities[10] - Suggested asset allocation includes resilient dividend assets in finance, resource sectors, and public utilities, with technology remaining a key focus[10] Company Highlights - Excellence New Energy (688196.SH) is a leader in biodiesel production, with a capacity of approximately 500,000 tons and a focus on raw material substitution[12] - Yipuli (002096.SZ) achieved revenue of 8.546 billion yuan in 2024, a 1.4% increase, with net profit rising by 12.49% to 713 million yuan[17] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects copper production to reach 1.15 million tons in 2025, with gold production projected at 85 tons[24] Risk Factors - Potential risks include policy support falling short of expectations, execution delays, and slower-than-expected economic recovery[5] - For Excellence New Energy, risks involve trade barriers and raw material price fluctuations impacting profitability[16] - For Yipuli, risks include raw material price volatility and project execution delays affecting revenue growth[21]

Core Viewpoint - Hongxing Technology's IPO process has been stalled for over two years due to declining financial performance and regulatory scrutiny, raising concerns about its ability to meet the main board's listing requirements [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Hongxing Technology's revenue has decreased from 8.35 billion in 2021 to 5.42 billion in 2023, with a net profit drop from 2.07 billion to 0.63 billion during the same period, reflecting a 31.60% decline year-on-year in 2023 [2][3] - Despite the decline in net profit, the company's gross margin remains relatively high at 43.41% in the first half of 2024, outperforming the industry average of 25.68% [1][8] Industry Position - Hongxing Technology ranks tenth among the top global quartz crystal component manufacturers, with a market share of only 2.71% in 2022, significantly lower than the combined market share of the top ten competitors [3][4] - The company faces challenges in establishing a strong industry presence, as evidenced by its low market share compared to competitors like Taijing Technology, which has a market share of 4.47% [4][5] Equipment and Cost Structure - The company has a low equipment renewal rate of just 15%, raising questions about the sustainability of its operations and the accuracy of its reported financial performance [1][15] - Hongxing Technology's unit revenue depreciation costs are significantly lower than those of its peers, contributing to its higher gross margin, but this raises concerns about the long-term viability of its aging equipment [11][15] Regulatory Environment - The tightening of IPO regulations and scrutiny of financial performance has made it increasingly difficult for companies like Hongxing Technology to gain approval for listing, especially with its declining earnings [2][3][7] - The company has been questioned by regulators regarding the sustainability of its high gross margin in light of its aging equipment and low renewal rates [13][18]

Core Viewpoint - *ST Dongjing is currently facing significant challenges, including three consecutive years of net losses and being subject to delisting risk warnings. However, the entry of Zhu Haifei as the new controlling shareholder may signal a potential turnaround for the company [1][9]. Group 1: Company Control Change - On June 4, *ST Dongjing announced that Wuxi Haotian Yiyi Investment Co., Ltd. will acquire control of the company for 361 million yuan, with Zhu Haifei becoming the actual controller [1][3][4]. - Following the equity transfer, Wuxi Haotian Yiyi will hold 48.616 million shares, representing 19.97% of the total share capital, and will indirectly control an additional 24.3995 million shares, totaling 29.99% of the voting rights [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - *ST Dongjing has reported continuous net losses since 2022, with net profits of -69.11 million yuan in 2022, -66.60 million yuan in 2023, and an expected -73.45 million yuan in 2024 [10]. - The company's revenue for the years 2022 to 2024 was approximately 181 million yuan, 173 million yuan, and 217 million yuan, respectively [10]. Group 3: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the control change, *ST Dongjing's stock price hit the daily limit up on June 5, closing at 6.57 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of approximately 1.599 billion yuan [5]. - The stock had previously experienced consecutive limit-up days prior to the announcement, raising questions about potential insider trading [5]. Group 4: Zhu Haifei's Background - Zhu Haifei, the new controlling shareholder, has a strong background in investment management, overseeing eight funds with a total management scale exceeding 10 billion yuan [6][7]. - His investment portfolio includes companies in mining, biotechnology, and semiconductors, indicating a diverse investment strategy [8].

过去的识变应变、主动求变为今天的闯关夺隘打下基础，当下的察势驭势、统筹兼顾也将成为未来我们 掌握主动、占据先机的底气 既要立足于"近"，为当下谋，更要着眼于"远"，为长远计。这需要坚持系统观念、树立长远眼光。 早在2023年，国务院办公厅就印发了《关于加快内外贸一体化发展的若干措施》，旨在帮助企业"两条 腿"走路，让企业可以根据市场形势变化在国内国际两个市场间顺滑切换。包括内外贸一体化在内的很 多举措，不只是应对风浪的"见招拆招"，更是实现更高质量发展的提前布局和长远之策。 山东自贸试验区青岛片区出台"促外贸九条"助力企业稳岗、扩大就业，既着眼解决当前的现实困难，更 注重培育企业面向未来的核心竞争力；广东东莞发布工作方案，强调在防范外贸风险的同时深化改革与 开放，借助国内国际双循环提升外贸发展动能；重庆组织本地企业开展国际先进标准对标达标活动，推 动内外贸规则制度衔接融合…… "远近结合"，方为上策。过去的识变应变、主动求变为今天的闯关夺隘打下基础，当下的察势驭势、统 筹兼顾也将成为未来我们掌握主动、占据先机的底气。 全球贸易形势风云变幻、不确定性增多，如何"稳企业"？ 先看外贸"重镇"广东东莞在第137届广 ...