格隆汇9月18日｜今日在半导体、算力板块的强势助攻下，沪指剑指3900点，创业板指强势翻红，寒武 纪盘中再次登上"股王"宝座，北方华创、中芯国际、海光信息盘中创新高，带动科创半导体ETF飙涨 5.9%，同类规模最大的芯片ETF涨4.48%。 近期芯片产业链的催化剂层不出穷： ①自有消息称阿里、百度用自研芯片训练AI模型后，芯片板块持续获得市场关注。 ②阿里自研AI芯片9月16日晚出现在央视《新闻联播》，据悉阿里旗下平头哥PPU芯片在部分重要参数 上比肩英伟达的H20芯片，并超过A800芯片。 ③腾讯宣布AI能力全面开放并全面适配主流国产芯片。 ④华为轮值董事长徐直军表示算力是人工智能的关键，透露了昇腾芯片的后续规划。 ⑤美联储9月降息25基点，中国在AI科技、生物医药等领域的卓越表现引发海外资金的重新关注。 值得关注的产品： 全市场规模最大的芯片行业ETF：芯片ETF(159995)，+4.48%，覆盖芯片设计、制造、封测、设备全产 业链，如中芯国际、寒武纪、海光信息、北方华创、圣邦股份等行业龙头股。 聚焦半导体国产替代设备+材料：科创半导体ETF(588170)，+5.9%，昨日大涨3.6%的情况下吸引1. ...

Technology Sector - The secondary market is seeing leading gains in ETFs such as the AI ETF (159381), 5G Communication ETF (515050), and AI ETF (515070), indicating a shift towards a capital-driven phase in the technology sector, with increased volatility expected [1] - The China Computing Power Conference has announced policies to accelerate breakthroughs in key core technologies like GPU chips and expand the supply of basic common technologies, alongside the opening of overseas large models [1] - The technology sector is showing signs of reaching a phase of high points, with the potential for decreasing second derivatives, suggesting a rising probability of volatility, which can be managed through high-low switching strategies; software, consumer electronics, and gaming sectors remain in a healthy sentiment range [1] Overseas Liquidity Easing - Expectations of overseas interest rate cuts have led to significant gains in ETFs such as the Non-ferrous Metals ETF (516650), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330), and Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) [2] - At the Jackson Hole meeting, Powell indicated that inflationary pressures from tariffs may be temporary, while employment weakness is rising, suggesting a potential adjustment in monetary policy, which could pave the way for a new round of global interest rate cuts [2] - Following weak labor data in the U.S. since early August, Powell's dovish remarks provide a foundation for anticipated rate cuts in September, which may strengthen the non-ferrous metals sector and enhance its valuation recovery potential [2] - Hong Kong technology stocks, particularly those with high "AI content," are seen as undervalued, with rising expectations for a rebound in overall valuations as liquidity improves and regulatory policies support competition among platform enterprises [2]

Core Insights - The semiconductor industry chain experienced a significant surge, with the ChiNext 50 index rising by 5% and notable increases in various semiconductor stocks [1] - DeepSeek announced the release of DeepSeek-V3.1, which utilizes UE8M0FP8Scale parameters for the upcoming generation of domestic chips [1] - Nvidia has reportedly ordered a halt to the production of its H20 chips, indicating potential shifts in the semiconductor supply chain [1] - Tianfeng Securities maintains an optimistic outlook for global semiconductor growth, projecting continued expansion driven by AI through 2025 [1] - The ongoing push for domestic substitution is highlighted by increasing policy risks related to supply chain disruptions and restructuring [1] Industry Performance - The largest chip industry ETF, Chip ETF (159995), rose by 5.63%, covering the entire semiconductor industry chain including leading companies like SMIC, Cambricon, and Changdian Technology [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation AI ETF (589010) increased by 4.62%, focusing on core sectors of the AI industry chain, particularly computing chips and smart hardware, with major holdings in Cambricon and other leading chip firms [2] - The Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588000) saw a rise of 4.88%, with significant weight in semiconductor manufacturing leaders such as SMIC and Cambricon [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced a downward trend with all three major indices closing lower: Shanghai Composite Index down 0.46%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.87%, and ChiNext Index down 1.08% [1] - Sectors such as insurance, glass fiber, and electric motors saw gains, while energy metals, aerospace, and electronic components faced declines [1] - Main capital inflows were observed in insurance, liquor, and electric motor sectors [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry - Tianfeng Securities reported optimistic growth trends in the global semiconductor market, driven by AI in 2025, with a strong performance expected in Q3 due to seasonal demand [1] - Dongwu Securities highlighted the resurgence of domestic CPU and GPU under self-control policies, with potential short-term opportunities arising from external news changes [1] - Related ETFs include Chip ETF (159995), Semiconductor Leaders ETF (159665), and others [1] Group 3: Gaming Industry - Wanlian Securities noted a stable improvement in China's gaming market in H1 2025, driven by evergreen products and favorable policies, leading to market growth [2] - Guosen Securities emphasized the bottoming trend in the media and gaming sectors, with a focus on product cycles and performance [2] - Related ETFs include Gaming ETF (516010), Gaming ETF (159869), and others [3] Group 4: Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The National Healthcare Security Administration announced the preliminary results for the 2025 "Medical Insurance Directory + Commercial Insurance Innovative Drug Directory," with 534 common names approved for medical insurance and 121 for commercial insurance [3] - Industrial sentiment for innovative drugs is rising, with expectations for more high-quality domestic innovative drugs to explore overseas opportunities [3] - Related ETFs include Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (159217), Hong Kong Innovative Drug Selected ETF (520690), and others [3]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by anticipation surrounding the release of DeepSeek-R2, with key stocks like Cambricon Technologies seeing substantial gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Major stock indices continued to rise, with the semiconductor ETF (159995) up by 3.17% as of 13:30 [1] - Notable gains among component stocks include Cambricon up 20.00%, Haiguang Information up 3.84%, and SMIC up 2.73% [1] - Other stocks such as Northern Huachuang, Zhaoyi Innovation, and OmniVision also experienced slight increases [1] Group 2: Anticipation of DeepSeek-R2 - The expected release window for DeepSeek-R2 is between August 15 and August 30, 2025, which has heightened market expectations following the release of ChatGPT-5 [1] - Cambricon, once a market benchmark in A-shares, surged to its daily limit amid rumors surrounding DeepSeek-R2 [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Jin Yuan Securities highlights three main investment themes in the context of accelerating domestic semiconductor supply chain localization: 1. Focus on SMIC's growth opportunities in mature processes and specialty technologies 2. Attention to the development opportunities for domestic semiconductor equipment and materials companies 3. Monitoring the synergistic effects brought by supply chain localization among domestic chip design companies [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of various ETFs, highlighting that the AI ETF (588760) decreased by 0.37% and the Consumer Electronics ETF (159732) fell by 0.53% [1] - The Robotics ETF (159530) experienced a slight increase of 0.08%, while the Chip ETF (159995) opened flat [1] - The ChiNext ETF (159915) saw a decline of 0.26%, indicating a mixed performance across the ETFs mentioned [1]