Core Insights - The UK government remains heavily reliant on international investors for the purchase of its government bonds, indicating a significant dependence on foreign capital inflows [1] - Global factors are contributing to a continuous rise in borrowing costs, which may impact the overall financial stability and investment climate in the UK [1] Group 1 - The UK government is facing challenges in attracting domestic investment, leading to increased reliance on international markets [1] - Rising global borrowing costs could affect the government's ability to finance its debt effectively [1]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs predicts copper prices may peak at $10,050 per ton by the end of 2025, with an average price adjustment to $9,890 for the second half of 2025 [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 40% chance of recession in the U.S. due to tariff-induced stagflation, lowering the GDP growth estimate for 2025 to 1.3% [2] - Morgan Stanley reports a decline in global demand for long-term assets, predicting 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to be 3.50% and 4.35% respectively by year-end [3] Group 2 - Barclays indicates mild selling pressure on the dollar by the end of June, while the euro shows weak signals for a significant rebound [4] - Mitsubishi UFJ suggests the Bank of England may slow its quantitative tightening pace, with potential announcements in September [5] - Bank of America states that since the announcement of tariffs, interest rate differentials are no longer the main driver of the dollar's movement, reflecting structural risks in the U.S. economy [6] Group 3 - French Foreign Trade Bank's survey shows that 41% of respondents view currency depreciation as the main risk of holding cash, with 38% preferring better returns elsewhere [7] - Westpac anticipates the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut rates in July, but emphasizes that this is not a certainty [8] - China International Capital Corporation notes potential recovery in the photovoltaic industry, with a beta opportunity of 30%-50% if expectations improve [5][6]

英国央行降息无阻英镑上涨，因英国准备与美国达成贸易协议 金十数据5月8日讯，周四，在英国央行宣布了外界普遍预期的降息之后，英镑上涨。与此同时，英国正 准备与美国达成一项贸易协议。英国央行将基准利率下调25个基点至4.25%，但由于特朗普的关税给全 球经济增长带来压力，政策制定者的投票结果出人意料地分成了三派。英镑兑美元日内上涨0.25%，报 1.3324，从利率决议前的日低1.3242反弹。英国富时指数涨幅小幅收窄。英国政府债券承压，英国10年 期国债收益率当日上涨3.5个基点，至4.491%。 ...