◎本报记者 刘 霞 在时间的长河中，某些年份注定成为转折点。2026年，或许正是这样一个坐标。 美国《纽约时报》网站在近日的报道中表示，生成式人工智能（AI）已不再是实验室里的奇观，而成 为推动人机关系根本变革的引擎，其正在悄然重塑人们行走、思考以及与机器互动的方式。从耳畔低语 的智能伴侣，到街头无声行驶的自动驾驶车辆，科技正褪去冰冷外壳，融入人们日常生活。 人机交互趣味性与日俱增 来源：科技日报 据传苹果公司将在今年发布首款能像书本一样展开的手机，兼顾便携与大屏体验。尽管三星等公司早已 布局折叠屏多年，但高昂价格与耐用性问题使其始终局限于小众市场。若苹果凭借生态整合与工业设计 实现破局，或将引爆新一轮换机潮。 15年前，Siri初登场时，世界曾为之一振。人们幻想未来将与机器自由交谈。然而现实却略显尴尬，语 音助手多被用于设置闹钟、查询天气，在公共场合开口"自言自语"，仍被视为怪异之举。 但如今，风向变了。随着ChatGPT等AI大模型席卷全球，一种全新的交互范式正在形成。越来越多的人 开始通过文字与AI深入对话：倾诉烦恼、探讨哲学、策划旅行路线。它们不再是搜索引擎的延伸，而 是具备理解力与共情能力的"数字灵 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The S&P 500 index rose by 0.65%, reaching a new high, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1% [1] - Non-farm payroll data showed mixed results, reinforcing market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in January [3] - The dollar has appreciated for four consecutive days, reaching a one-month high [4] Group 2: Technology and AI Developments - Walmart and Alphabet have partnered to launch AI-supported shopping features on Gemini, marking a significant step in the integration of AI with e-commerce [24] - DeepSeek plans to release its next-generation AI model, DeepSeek V4, in February, which is expected to outperform existing models in programming capabilities [26] - SanDisk has proposed a "100% cash prepayment" model for SSD supply agreements, indicating a severe supply-demand imbalance in the storage market [25] Group 3: Industry-Specific News - The Chinese government has initiated a three-year action plan to support the transformation and upgrading of advanced manufacturing, focusing on AI and innovative products [11] - The domestic civil drone market is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated market size of approximately 146.8 billion yuan by 2024 [27] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has increased the whistleblower reward for securities and futures violations to a maximum of 1 million yuan [10] Group 4: Company Announcements - Defu Technology plans to acquire at least 51% of Huiru Technology, which specializes in high-performance electrolytic copper foil [29] - YTO Express intends to acquire 100% of Wanjia Gaoke for 305 million yuan [29] - AirNexis will pay 108 million USD upfront and up to 955 million USD in milestone payments for a licensing agreement with Haise Science [29]

部分银行短期大额存单利率进入"0字头" 与普通定存相差无几 自今年开年以来，多家银行正在密集推出2026年首期大额存单产品。记者根据中国货币网数据统计，截 至1月7日，今年已有超过30家银行发布2026年第一期大额存单发行公告。值得关注的是，当下有银行的 三个月短期大额存单利率甚至已跌破1%水平，进入"0字头"，利率与普通定期存款相差无几。如1月7日 云南腾冲农商银行发布的《2026年大额存单第1期发行要素公告》显示，该行计划发行量为0.1亿元的 2026年首期大额存单，期限为三个月，起存金额20万元，利率仅0.95%。（时代财经） 财政部、税务总局：自2026年4月1日起 取消光伏等产品增值税出口退税 财政部公告，自2026年4月1日起，取消光伏等产品增值税出口退税。自2026年4月1日起至2026年12月31 日，将电池产品的增值税出口退税率由9%下调至6%；2027年1月1日起，取消电池产品增值税出口退 税。 卫星ETF暂停申购？多家基金公司回应：未收到相关要求 今日盘中，有市场传言称"卫星ETF下周暂停申购"，对此，记者向多家旗下有卫星ETF的基金公司求 证，均表示暂时没有接到相关要求。有基金公司对记 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electronics industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector in Q3 2025 [4]. Core Insights - The electronics industry shows sustained recovery, with Q3 2025 revenue growth of 19% year-on-year, ranking third among all sectors [5][9]. - Net profit for the electronics sector increased by 50% year-on-year in Q3 2025, placing it eighth among all sectors [5][9]. - Key segments such as semiconductor equipment, storage, and AI-related demand are driving growth, with significant price increases expected to continue in the storage sector [4][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The electronics industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with a continuous positive growth trend for nine consecutive quarters in revenue and seven quarters in net profit [9]. - The Shenyin Wanguo Electronics Index has seen a rise in price-to-earnings ratio, reaching a peak of 69 times in October 2025 [10]. 2. Semiconductor Equipment - Major companies like North Huachuang and Jiangfeng Electronics reported revenue growth of 39% and 20% respectively in Q3 2025, with net profits increasing by 14% and 18% [21]. - The semiconductor equipment sector is benefiting from structural advantages, with a significant increase in investment despite a general decline in the semiconductor industry [21]. 3. Wafer Foundry and Testing - The wafer foundry segment is seeing high capacity utilization, with Huahong's revenue growing by 21% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [22]. - Testing companies such as Tongfu Microelectronics and Weicai Technology exceeded expectations with revenue growth of 44% and 98% respectively [22]. 4. Storage - Storage companies like Jiangbolong reported a 55% increase in revenue, with net profits significantly exceeding expectations [25]. - The report anticipates continued price increases in storage products, driven by strong demand from AI servers [25]. 5. Power Devices - Companies in the power device sector are experiencing a mild recovery, with significant demand from the automotive sector [27]. 6. Analog Chips - The competitive landscape for analog chips is improving, with companies like Shengbang and SIRUI reporting revenue growth of 13% and 70% respectively [29]. 7. Consumer Electronics - The consumer electronics sector is poised for a new hardware cycle, with companies like Lingyi Zhi Zao reporting a 13% increase in revenue [31]. 8. Computing Power Related - Companies in the computing power sector, such as Industrial Fulian, reported a 43% increase in revenue, driven by strong demand for AI servers [32].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley presents an optimistic outlook for Apple, driven by strong early demand for the iPhone 17 and the potential for a more robust iPhone 18 cycle fueled by upgrades and significant product innovations [1][4]. Group 1: iPhone 17 Performance - The initial demand for the iPhone 17 has exceeded expectations, with significant evidence including extended shipping wait times and increased production orders [3][4]. - As of September 30, the wait times for most iPhone 17 models have increased year-over-year, particularly for the base model in China, which has seen a wait time nearly one month longer than the previous year [3]. - Morgan Stanley has raised its forecast for Apple's fiscal year 2026, increasing iPhone shipment expectations by 7.5 million units to 243 million units, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 3.3% [3][10]. Group 2: Future Outlook for iPhone 18 - The focus is shifting towards the iPhone 18 cycle, which is expected to be more impactful, with approximately 1 billion older iPhones needing upgrades to fully utilize new features [6][8]. - Apple is anticipated to launch its first foldable iPhone, described as the most innovative product in years, alongside six new models in fiscal year 2027 [8]. - Morgan Stanley projects that iPhone shipments in fiscal year 2027 will reach 253 million units, surpassing previous estimates and market consensus [8][10]. Group 3: Financial Forecast Adjustments - Based on the strong demand signals, Morgan Stanley has adjusted its financial forecasts for Apple, raising the earnings per share (EPS) estimate for fiscal year 2026 by 2% to $8.14 and for fiscal year 2027 by 6% to $9.30, both above market expectations [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Kosen Technology, has clarified that it is not currently involved in supplying components for Apple's foldable phone, despite market speculation [1] Group 1 - Kosen Technology has stated that it will continue to invest in research and development for products in this category [1] - The company has successfully delivered some components for other consumer electronics products [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated launch of Apple's first foldable iPhone, highlighting its features such as Touch ID, four cameras, and a slim design with a thickness of approximately 9.5mm when folded, aiming for a release in the second half of next year [1][3][4]. Design and Features - The foldable iPhone can be opened like a book to reveal a larger internal display and can be used like a regular iPhone when folded [6]. - The device's thickness is designed to be under 5mm when opened, showcasing Apple's commitment to thinness [7]. - Due to the slim design, the complex TrueDepth camera system for Face ID cannot be accommodated, leading to the use of Touch ID on the side button for authentication [8][10]. Camera System - The foldable iPhone will feature four cameras, making it the iPhone with the most cameras to date: one on the front, one on the inside, and two on the back [12]. - The rear cameras include a high-resolution main camera and another for ultra-wide or telephoto shots [13]. - The internal camera will be used for selfies when the device is unfolded [14]. Display and Technology - To address the common issue of creasing in foldable screens, Apple is shifting from an on-cell to an in-cell display technology, which is more aligned with existing iPhone technology [14]. - The initial color options for the foldable iPhone are conservative, with black and white being the primary choices, but there is potential for more vibrant colors in the final version [15][17]. Hardware and Connectivity - The foldable iPhone will be equipped with Apple's first cellular modem chip, comparable to Qualcomm's C2, and will eliminate the physical SIM card slot in favor of eSIM technology [18]. - The acceptance of this "one-size-fits-all" approach among consumers, who are still accustomed to physical SIM cards, remains uncertain [20]. Production and Release Timeline - Suppliers are reportedly ramping up production for the new model, aiming for a launch in the fall of next year [21]. Future Developments - In 2027, Apple plans to celebrate the 20th anniversary of its smartphones with the release of the curved-screen "iPhone 20," featuring an all-around glass body that allows interaction from all surfaces [22]. Pricing Expectations - Predictions suggest that the foldable iPhone will be priced between $2300 and $2500 (approximately 16491 to 17925 RMB) [25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming changes in Apple's iPhone series, particularly focusing on the heat dissipation technology and materials used in the iPhone 17 and future models, highlighting the shift towards advanced materials like graphene and aluminum alloys for improved performance and efficiency [2][3][4]. Group 1: iPhone 17 Heat Dissipation Technology - The iPhone 17 will utilize a dual-layer graphene heat dissipation system, with costs increasing by approximately 50% to 60%, bringing the total cost of the heat dissipation module to around $5.2 [4][5]. - The previous iPhone 16 model introduced graphene for the first time, significantly enhancing thermal conductivity by over five times compared to traditional metal materials [3][4]. - The heat dissipation module's cost is relatively low at about $2.5, but when including related components, the overall cost impact is substantial [4]. Group 2: Material Changes and Supplier Insights - The iPhone 17 will replace the titanium-aluminum alloy frame with an aluminum alloy frame, which is expected to improve thermal performance despite titanium's advantages in strength and aesthetics [7][8]. - Key suppliers for the heat dissipation components include Zhongshi Technology and Jieban Technology for graphene, while VC heat spreaders are supplied by companies like Risen Technology and Lingyi Technology [9][10]. - Future models, such as the iPhone 18, may explore new materials like carbon fiber for back panels and frames, with potential suppliers like Changzhou Carbon Technology showing promise in this area [16]. Group 3: Future Trends in Heat Dissipation Solutions - Apple is researching liquid cooling solutions for heat dissipation, although this technology is still in early stages and may not be implemented in smartphones for the next two years [11][12]. - Competitors like Huawei and Xiaomi primarily use traditional heat dissipation methods, while companies like Suzhou Tianmai and Siquan New Materials are key suppliers for these brands [13][14]. - The industry is witnessing a trend towards modular heat dissipation systems that combine various materials for optimized performance, indicating a shift in design philosophy across smartphone manufacturers [6][11].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview Micro Pump Liquid Cooling Technology - Huawei's upcoming Mate 80 RS is expected to feature a proprietary micro pump cooling chip, marking a potential first in commercial-grade technology integration within the smartphone industry [1] - The micro pump liquid cooling system consists of a liquid cooling drive chip, piezoelectric micro pump, and flexible liquid cooling membrane, which efficiently dissipates heat through a closed-loop system [1] - Major manufacturers like Huawei, Xiaomi, and Vivo are adopting this technology, with the liquid cooling module valued over 50 yuan per unit, indicating a market potential exceeding 10 billion yuan [1] Key Companies - **Rifeng Co., Ltd.**: Reportedly the main supplier of liquid cooling plates for Huawei's micro pump liquid cooling phone cases, also involved in 5G base station power and communication cables [1] Low-Power High-Voltage Piezoelectric Micro Pump - Aiwei Electronics has developed a low-power high-voltage 180Vpp piezoelectric micro pump liquid cooling product, set for mass production in Q4 2025 [2] - Related companies include Nanchip Technology and Zhihua Power, both advancing liquid cooling solutions [2] Foldable Screen Technology - Apple is anticipated to launch its first foldable screen phone in late 2026, with production expected to start in Q3 2025 [2] - The foldable phone market is projected to grow, with an estimated 12 billion USD market value for hinges by 2025 [2] Key Companies - **Yian Technology**: Allegedly a supplier of liquid metal hinges for Apple's foldable screens [2] Market Opportunities Liquid Cooling Ecosystem - Intel has established a universal quick connector (UQD) interoperability alliance, aiming to innovate liquid cooling technology [4] - The GB300 UQD connector's size has been reduced to one-third, with a projected market size of 80 billion yuan by 2026 [4] Key Companies - **Chuanhuan Technology**: Engaged in liquid cooling pipeline and UQD supply [4] - **Yingwei Technology**: A certified partner in Intel's UQD alliance [4] Potassium Hexafluorophosphate (KPF6) - A breakthrough in KPF6 allows for cooling across a wide temperature range, from room temperature to -269°C, making it the only solid-state phase change cooling material [6] - The market for KPF6 is estimated to reach 8-12 billion yuan in the short term and over 50 billion yuan by 2030 [7] Key Companies - **Tianji Co., Ltd.**: A leading manufacturer of lithium hexafluorophosphate and related products [7] Financial Performance Jinbai Ze - Industrial Fulian's stock surged, with a market capitalization nearing 1 trillion yuan, driven by a 60% year-on-year revenue growth in AI server sales [9] Renhe Pharmaceutical - The company has developed the world's first brain-machine interaction smart glasses, targeting a market exceeding 300 billion yuan for youth myopia prevention [11] Jilin Chemical Fiber - The company holds over 30% market share in artificial silk production, with a significant focus on viscose filament and carbon fiber [12] Huasheng Co., Ltd. - The company is acquiring Shenzhen Yixin Technology, which specializes in energy-saving technologies for data centers [14] Risk Warning - The information provided is subject to change and should not replace independent judgment or decision-making by investors [20]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry and Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the semiconductor industry, focusing on TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) and Apple Inc. - It also touches on the broader consumer electronics market, particularly in relation to AI products and innovations. Key Points and Arguments TSMC's Insights on AI and Market Trends - TSMC predicts a significant explosion in edge AI within the next 6-12 months, supported by active development of terminal chips by SoC manufacturers, indicating rapid growth in AI smartphones, PCs, glasses, and headphones [1][4] - The company emphasizes the importance of actual data and market demand in forecasting trends, with a typical wafer cycle lasting three months or longer [3] Apple's Competitive Advantages - Apple holds a strong position in the AI smartphone market due to its in-house chip and system development, partnerships with large model companies, extensive user data, and strategic adjustments [1][6] - The company’s strategic changes, including appointing a dedicated AI leader, could significantly enhance future shipment expectations, potentially increasing annual shipments from 200 million to 300 million units [1][7] Market Impact of Apple's Foldable Phone - Apple plans to launch a foldable phone in 2026, which is expected to drive overall sales growth and create value for upstream supply chain manufacturers [1][9] - The foldable phone industry is currently in the P1 phase, with expected shipments of several million units in 2026 and potentially reaching 20 million units by 2027 [3][12] Emerging AI Glasses Market - The AI glasses market is gaining attention, with companies like Xiaomi and Alibaba releasing products, and more manufacturers expected to join by 2026 [1][11] - High-value segments in the supply chain, such as SoC, storage, and power management chips, are anticipated to become investment focal points [1][11] National Chain Companies' Outlook - National chain companies are benefiting from reduced tariff rates and Apple's decision not to pass on cost pressures, alleviating investor concerns and presenting optimistic growth prospects [1][8] Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to focus on high-value upstream segments, particularly in SoC, storage, and power management chips, to capitalize on emerging markets like AI glasses [1][15] - Companies such as Hengxuan Technology, Baidu Storage, and Blue Star Technology are highlighted as potential investment targets in these areas [1][15] Developments in Automotive Electronics - Keda's performance in the automotive electronics sector, particularly in high-voltage connector business, is improving, with significant revenue growth expected in the coming year [3][17][19] - The company has established a joint venture to produce AEC copper cables, which is anticipated to enhance profitability and market presence [3][18] Other Important Insights - The foldable phone's supply chain is characterized by high barriers to entry, particularly in components like UTV (ultra-thin glass), which is exclusively supplied by Lens Technology, with a unit value exceeding $100 [1][14] - The industry is expected to see dynamic changes, including potential market exits and entries, as well as the adoption of new materials like carbon fiber and liquid metal [1][16]