Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The egg market is currently facing high supply pressure due to a high inventory of laying hens, new egg - laying hens from previous replenishments, and an increase in egg - laying rates as the temperature drops. Although there was a demand recovery during the pre - holiday stocking period, with the approach of the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day, the pre - holiday stocking is ending, and the market is slowing down, causing the spot price to decline slightly. The high - capacity pressure persists, and the upward momentum of the futures price is insufficient, resulting in a price decline again. The trading strategy is still mainly short - biased, and attention should be paid to the number of old hens being culled [6][7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Week - on - Week Summary - **Market Strategy**: The trading strategy for eggs is still mainly short - biased, and attention should be paid to the number of old hens being culled [6]. - **Market Review**: This week, the egg futures fluctuated and closed lower. The closing price of the 2511 contract was 3036 yuan per 500 kilograms, a decrease of 76 yuan per 500 kilograms compared to the previous week [7]. - **Market Outlook**: High supply pressure persists. Although there was a short - term demand recovery during the pre - holiday stocking period, as the pre - holiday stocking ends, the market slows down, and the spot price declines slightly, leading to a lack of upward momentum in the futures price [7]. 3.2. Futures and Spot Market - **Futures Price and Top 20 Positions**: The egg futures 11 contract fluctuated and closed lower. The position volume was 315,276 lots, a decrease of 82,779 lots compared to the previous week. The net position of the top 20 was - 20,779, with a slight increase in net short positions compared to last week's - 18,354 [13]. - **Futures Warehouse Receipts**: As of Friday, the number of registered egg warehouse receipts was 26 [17]. - **Spot Price and Basis**: The egg spot price was reported at 3619 yuan per 500 kilograms, a decrease of 127 yuan per 500 kilograms compared to the previous week. The basis between the active 11 - contract futures price and the spot average price was reported at 583 yuan per ton [23]. - **Futures Inter - month Spread**: The 11 - 1 spread of egg futures was reported at - 318 yuan per 500 kilograms, which is at a relatively low level compared to the same period [27]. - **Related Spot Prices**: As of September 25, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork was 19.44 yuan per kilogram, and the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 5.05 yuan per kilogram [33]. 3.3. Industry Chain - **Supply - side: Inventory and Replenishment**: As of August 31, 2025, the national laying - hen inventory index was 114.42, a month - on - month increase of 1.08%. The national new - chick index was 73.35, a month - on - month decrease of 6.44% [39]. - **Laying - hen Culling Index and Culling Age**: As of August 31, 2025, the national laying - hen culling index was 93.61, a month - on - month decrease of 5.64%. The national culling age of hens was 510 days [44]. - **Feed Raw Material Prices**: As of September 25, 2025, the average spot price of corn was 2364.9 yuan per ton, and the spot price of soybean meal in Fangcheng was 2960 yuan per ton [48]. - **Feed Price and Breeding Profit**: As of September 19, 2025, the breeding profit per laying hen was + 0.17 yuan, and the average price of laying - hen compound feed was 2.76 yuan per kilogram [54]. - **Prices of Laying - hen Chicks and Culled Hens**: As of September 19, 2025, the average price of laying - hen chicks in the main producing areas was 2.6 yuan per chick, and the average price of culled hens in the main producing areas was 9.34 yuan per kilogram [56]. - **Monthly Egg Exports**: In August 2025, China's total egg exports were 13,121.03 tons, an increase of 1281.43 tons compared to the same period last year (an increase of 10.82%), and an increase of 264.92 tons compared to the previous month [62]. 3.4. Representative Company - **Xiaoming Co., Ltd.**: Only a chart of price - to - earnings ratio changes was provided, but no specific analysis content [64].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The current laying hen inventory is at a high level, and the pressure of newly - opened laying hens from previous replenishments is large, resulting in sufficient egg supply. The decrease in temperature has increased the laying rate of hens, further exacerbating the supply pressure. However, due to pre - Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day stocking, the recent purchase volume of traders has increased, and the market demand has shown signs of recovery, which has supported the egg price and the futures price. But the high - capacity pressure still exists and restricts the futures price. It is recommended to conduct short - term, fast - in - and - fast - out trading and pay attention to the culling volume of old hens [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - on - Week Summary - **Market Review**: This week, the egg futures fluctuated and closed higher. The closing price of the 2511 contract was 3112 yuan/500 kilograms, an increase of 72 yuan/500 kilograms compared with the previous week [6]. - **Market Outlook**: High egg supply due to high inventory and increased laying rate; demand recovery due to festival stocking; futures price supported by spot price but restricted by high - capacity pressure [6]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Short - term fast - in - and - fast - out trading, and pay attention to the culling volume of old hens [6]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **Futures Price and Position**: The egg futures 11 contract fluctuated and closed higher, with a position of 398,055 lots, a decrease of 11,258 lots compared with the previous week. The net position of the top 20 was - 18,354, and the net short position decreased slightly compared with last week [13]. - **Futures Warehouse Receipt**: As of Friday, the number of registered egg warehouse receipts was 0 [17]. - **Spot Price and Basis**: The egg spot price was 3746 yuan/500 kilograms, an increase of 153 yuan/500 kilograms compared with the previous week. The basis between the active 11 - contract futures price and the spot average price was 634 yuan/ton [23]. - **Futures Inter - month Spread**: The 11 - 1 spread of eggs was - 306 yuan/500 kilograms, which was at a relatively low level in the same period [27]. - **Related Spot Prices**: As of September 18, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork was 19.55 yuan/kg, and the average wholesale price of 28 kinds of monitored vegetables was 4.98 yuan/kg [33]. 3.3 Industry Chain - **Supply Side - Inventory and Replenishment**: As of July 31, 2025, the national laying hen inventory index was 113.18, a month - on - month increase of 1.13%; the national new - chick index was 78.4, a month - on - month increase of 3.06% [39]. - **Supply Side - Culling Index and Age**: As of July 31, 2025, the national culled laying hen index was 99.2, a month - on - month decrease of 4.70%; the national culling age was 512 days [44]. - **Feed Raw Material Prices**: As of September 18, 2025, the average spot price of corn was 2360.59 yuan/ton, and the spot price of soybean meal in Fangcheng was 2950 yuan/ton [48]. - **Feed Price and Breeding Profit**: As of September 12, 2025, the egg - laying hen breeding profit was - 0.02 yuan/hen, and the average price of egg - laying hen compound feed was 2.76 yuan/kg [55]. - **Prices of Laying Hen Chicks and Culled Hens**: As of September 12, 2025, the average price of laying hen chicks in the main producing areas was 2.6 yuan/chick, and the average price of culled hens was 9.22 yuan/kg [59]. - **Egg Exports**: In May 2025, the total egg export volume was 12,711.37 tons, an increase of 927.30 tons compared with the same period last year (an increase of 7.87%), and a decrease of 81.14 tons compared with the previous month [64]. 3.4 Representative Company - **Xiaoming Co., Ltd.**: There is a chart of its price - to - earnings ratio change, but no specific analysis content is provided [66].

Group 1: Swine Industry - The average price of live pigs in China on September 12 was 13.35 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.44 yuan/kg week-on-week, marking a new low for the year [1][2] - The average weight of pigs for slaughter increased slightly to 128.32 kg as of the week ending September 11, with a week-on-week increase of 0.09 kg [1][2] - Short-term forecasts indicate an increase in pig supply from sample enterprises, with expected increases of 1.29%, 4.11%, and 3.92% respectively, leading to continued pressure on pig prices [3] Group 2: Long-term Outlook - Recent policies emphasize capacity regulation, which is expected to accelerate the elimination of inefficient production capacity in the industry, potentially raising the long-term price level of pigs [3] - Low-cost, high-quality pig farming companies are anticipated to gain excess returns as the industry adjusts [3] Group 3: Beef Industry - The price of calves and fattening bulls remained stable, with prices at 32.44 yuan/kg and 25.97 yuan/kg respectively as of September 12, showing a year-to-date increase of 35% and 10% [4] - The beef market is expected to tighten in the medium to long term, with a potential upward cycle anticipated between 2026 and 2027 [4] Group 4: Dairy Industry - Raw milk prices have been in a downward trend since late 2021, reaching 3.03 yuan/kg as of September 5, 2025, a cumulative decline of 31% from peak levels [5] - The ongoing losses in the dairy industry are leading to a reduction in production capacity, which may stabilize raw milk prices in the future [5] Group 5: Poultry Industry - The price of white feather broilers decreased to 7.02 yuan/kg as of September 12, with a week-on-week decline of 0.20 yuan/kg due to increased supply [6] - Egg prices rebounded to an average of 7.15 yuan/kg from September 8-12, with a week-on-week increase of 0.62 yuan/kg, driven by pre-festival stocking [6] Group 6: Agricultural Products - Soybean meal futures and spot prices showed mixed trends, with futures at 3079 yuan/ton and spot prices at 3060 yuan/ton as of September 12 [7] - The USDA's supply and demand report slightly adjusted the forecast for U.S. soybean planting area and ending stocks, indicating ongoing market dynamics [7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The current egg production is sufficient due to high laying - hen inventory and the pressure of newly - opened laying hens from previous replenishment, along with the continuous release of cold - storage eggs. Although the demand has slightly increased during the Mid - Autumn Festival stocking and school openings, it is still weak year - on - year. The short - term demand has limited support for prices, and the spot price is at the lowest level of the same period this year. However, the continuous losses of the breeding end may accelerate the culling of old hens and reduce the enthusiasm for replenishment. The futures price has rebounded from a low level, but the momentum for continuous upward movement is insufficient under high - production pressure. The recommended strategy is to sell on rebounds and pay attention to the culling volume of old hens [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Highlights - **Market Performance**: This week, the egg futures price first rose and then fell. The closing price of the 2510 contract was 2964 yuan/500 kilograms, an increase of 25 yuan/500 kilograms compared with the previous week [6]. - **Market Outlook**: High laying - hen inventory, new production pressure, and cold - storage egg release lead to sufficient supply. Although demand has slightly recovered, it is still weak year - on - year. The short - term demand support for prices is weak, and the spot price is at a low level. Pay attention to the culling of old hens [6]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Adopt a strategy of selling on rebounds and focus on the culling volume of old hens [6]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **Futures Price and Position**: The 10 - contract of egg futures first rose and then fell. The position was 349,551 lots, a decrease of 144,211 lots compared with the previous week. The net position of the top 20 decreased slightly [13]. - **Futures Warehouse Receipts**: As of Friday, the number of registered egg warehouse receipts was 0 [17]. - **Spot Price and Basis**: The egg spot price was 3330 yuan/500 kilograms, an increase of 214 yuan/500 kilograms compared with the previous week. The basis between the active 10 - contract futures price and the spot average price was 366 yuan/ton [23]. - **Futures Inter - monthly Spread**: The 10 - 1 spread of egg futures was - 389 yuan/500 kilograms, at a relatively low level in the same period [27]. - **Related Product Spot Prices**: As of September 4, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork was 19.85 yuan/kg, and the average wholesale price of 28 kinds of monitored vegetables was 5.12 yuan/kg [33]. 3.3 Industry Chain - **Supply - Side Indicators**: As of July 31, 2025, the national laying - hen inventory index was 113.18, a month - on - month increase of 1.13%; the new - chick index was 78.4, a month - on - month increase of 3.06% [39]. - **Culling Indicators**: As of July 31, 2025, the national culled laying - hen index was 99.2, a month - on - month decrease of 4.70%; the average age of culled hens was 512 days [44]. - **Feed Raw Material Prices**: As of September 4, 2025, the average spot price of corn was 2360.59 yuan/ton, and the spot price of soybean meal in Fangcheng was 3000 yuan/ton [48]. - **Feed Price and Breeding Profit**: As of August 29, 2025, the breeding profit of laying hens was - 0.21 yuan/hen, and the average price of laying - hen compound feed was 2.76 yuan/kg [55]. - **Prices of Laying - Hen Chicks and Culled Hens**: As of August 29, 2025, the average price of laying - hen chicks in the main production areas was 3.0 yuan/chick, and the average price of culled hens was 9.66 yuan/kg [60]. - **Egg Exports**: In May 2025, the total egg export volume was 12,711.37 tons, an increase of 927.30 tons (7.87%) compared with the same period last year, and a decrease of 81.14 tons compared with the previous month [65]. 3.4 Representative Company - **Xiaoming Co., Ltd.**: Information about its price - earnings ratio change is provided, but no specific analysis is given [67].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [9] Core Insights - The pet industry is experiencing significant growth, with the Asia Pet Expo showcasing over 2,600 exhibitors and 20,000 brands, indicating a thriving market driven by globalization and innovation [2][13] - China's pet food exports have shown continuous growth, with 201,000 tons exported from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.64% [14] - The pig farming sector is facing challenges, with the average pig price at 13.82 yuan/kg, a decrease of 3.63% from the previous week, and the average weight of pigs reaching a historical high [15][16] - The dairy sector is poised for a recovery, with the original milk price expected to rebound as production capacity decreases after a prolonged period of losses [17][18] - The poultry sector is focusing on breeding gaps, with a significant decline in the import of breeding chickens due to avian influenza concerns, which may impact future supply [19][20] - The planting sector emphasizes food security and the importance of biotechnology, with a focus on high-yield and resilient crop varieties [25] - The feed sector is recommended for investment, particularly in companies like Haida Group, which is expected to benefit from market recovery and increased market share [26] Summary by Sections Pet Sector - The Asia Pet Expo has reached a record scale of 310,000 square meters, highlighting the industry's vitality and innovation potential [2][13] - Pet food exports from China have increased, with a total of 201,000 tons exported in the first seven months of 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.64% [14] - Recommended companies include pet food brands like Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [14] Pig Sector - The average pig price is currently at 13.82 yuan/kg, with a year-to-date low in profitability for pig farming [15][16] - The average weight of pigs is at a historical high, indicating supply pressures [15] - Recommended companies include leading pig farming firms such as Wens Foodstuffs Group and Muyuan Foods [16] Dairy Sector - Yuran Dairy reported stable performance with a revenue of 10.3 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.3% [17] - The dairy industry is expected to see a recovery as production capacity decreases [18] - Recommended companies include Yuran Dairy and China Shengmu Organic Milk [18] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is facing challenges with breeding imports, particularly for white chickens, due to avian influenza [19][20] - Recommended companies include Shennong Development and Yisheng Livestock [20] Planting Sector - The focus is on food security and biotechnology, with an emphasis on high-yield and resilient crop varieties [25] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong Technology Group [25] Feed Sector - Haida Group is highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its increasing market share and performance [26] - The animal health sector is also recommended, particularly companies like Kexin Biological [27]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The egg market is currently characterized by high overall production capacity, with a slowdown in recent new replenishment. The supply - side pressure is gradually weakening, while the demand has improved but the marginal support is weakening, requiring new demand from tourism and Mid - Autumn Festival stocking. - The cost of feed has slightly declined, with the current feed cost around 2.5 yuan per catty and the comprehensive breeding cost around 2.8 yuan per catty. Egg prices have returned above the feed breeding cost seasonally, and profits have improved. - The spot market will still receive seasonal demand support after a short - term release of the decline sentiment, but the futures premium is obvious, and it is difficult to follow the spot rebound. As the delivery month approaches, the main 09 contract may decline to repair the basis, and attention should be paid to reverse spread opportunities. [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Review - Last week, egg futures maintained a weak oscillation, and the overall weakness remained unchanged. The biggest contradiction in the market is the large basis, with obvious selling pressure and weak willingness to take delivery. [6] Spot Review - Last week, egg spot prices maintained a weak adjustment and stabilized over the weekend. The sales areas started to sell at low prices, and the market began to accept the goods. After this round of adjustment, the spot prices will be supported by the start of school for students and Mid - Autumn Festival deep - processing stocking. Attention should be paid to the rebound height. [13] Supply - Newly - added capacity: From August to November 2025, the newly - opened production corresponds to the replenishment volume from April to July 2025, and the newly - added capacity will decline significantly. - Elimination capacity: From August to November 2025, the normal elimination capacity corresponds to the replenishment volume from March to June 2024. The data shows a high elimination volume, but the current data indicates obvious delayed elimination. - Laying hen inventory: The inventory data continues to increase slightly, but it will start to decrease in September. The newly - added capacity is stable with a slight decline, and the elimination is relatively slow. The overall supply pressure still exists. [16] Elimination End - The price of eliminated chickens is 5.51 yuan per catty (- 0.27). The elimination volume has significantly decreased. The peak season and a slight price rebound limit the enthusiasm for elimination. The average elimination age is 502 days, remaining unchanged, and the overall age has reached the normal range, but the elimination of backward production capacity is not ideal. [19] Seasonal Factors - It is the seasonal peak season. On the production area side, the inventory pressure in the production areas has increased, high temperatures have reduced the laying rate and increased costs. On the consumption side, the arrival of the tourism peak season combined with deep - processing has improved the overall demand. [21] Cost & Profit - Cost side: Corn prices are running at a high level, and soybean meal prices have steadily declined. The overall cost remains volatile. The current feed cost is around 2.5 yuan per catty, and the comprehensive breeding cost is around 2.8 yuan per catty. - Breeding profit: Recently, egg prices have risen, and the spot price has returned above the feed cost. However, the overall comprehensive breeding profit is still in a loss, showing a seasonal bottom - rebounding trend. Attention should be paid to the negative feedback on backward production capacity. [27] Capital and Market - Capital has increased at a high level, and market competition has intensified. Bears believe that the production capacity is high, there is seasonal suppression, and the futures premium over the spot still has room to decline. Bulls believe that the valuation is low, and the seasonality is about to turn from weak to strong, making it valuable to go long. Currently, the reality is stronger than expectations, with obvious futures premium over the spot and obvious selling pressure in the market, waiting for the cycle conversion. [30] Basis and Spread - Basis: The basis is negative, and the overall futures are at a premium. The current basis is running at a low level, waiting for the basis to strengthen with the arrival of the peak season, which is more likely to be achieved through a decline in futures prices. - Spread: It shows that supply exceeds demand. The near - month contracts in the market are constantly repairing the basis through price declines, and the far - month contracts face the expectation of reduced production capacity, with a focus on reverse spread operations. [32][34]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current egg market has sufficient supply due to the high inventory of laying hens and the continuous release of cold - storage eggs. Meanwhile, the terminal demand is weak, resulting in low - priced sales by breeding enterprises to reduce inventory, and the spot price has been lower than expected, causing the industry to fall into losses again. However, with the start of school - opening stockpiling and mid - autumn procurement by food factories, demand is expected to pick up, which may drive up egg prices. The futures price has declined again due to the continuous drop in spot prices and high inventory [8]. - It is recommended to participate in the market mainly through short - term trading [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week - to - Week Summary - Strategy: Participate in the market mainly through short - term trading [7]. - Egg market review: This week, the egg futures 09 contract closed at 3362 yuan per 500 kilograms, a decrease of 122 yuan per 500 kilograms compared to the previous week. In the future, high inventory and weak demand continue to pressure prices, but future demand may improve [8]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - Futures price and position: The egg futures 09 contract declined again, with a position of 203,664 lots, a decrease of 22,376 lots compared to the previous week. The net position of the top 20 decreased from - 37,010 to - 27,832 [14]. - Futures warehouse receipts: As of Friday, the registered egg warehouse receipts were 6 [18]. - Spot price and basis: The egg spot price was 2,886 yuan per 500 kilograms, a decrease of 287 yuan per 500 kilograms compared to the previous week. The basis between the active 09 contract futures price and the spot average price was - 476 yuan per ton [24]. - Futures monthly spread: The 9 - 1 spread of eggs was - 188 yuan per 500 kilograms, at a relatively low level in the same period [28]. - Related product prices: As of August 1, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.45 yuan per kilogram, and the average wholesale price of 28 kinds of key - monitored vegetables was 4.58 yuan per kilogram [34]. 3.3 Industry Chain Situation - Supply side: As of June 30, 2025, the national laying - hen inventory index was 111.91, a month - on - month increase of 0.92%; the new - chick index was 76.07, a month - on - month decrease of 28.76% [40]. - Elimination of laying hens: As of June 30, 2025, the national laying - hen elimination index was 104.09, a month - on - month decrease of 4.22%; the average age of eliminated hens was 501 days [45]. - Feed raw material prices: As of August 7, 2025, the average spot price of corn was 2,395.49 yuan per ton, and the spot price of soybean meal in Fangcheng was 2,940 yuan per ton [49]. - Feed price and breeding profit: As of August 1, 2025, the breeding profit per laying hen was - 0.16 yuan, and the average price of laying - hen compound feed was 2.70 yuan per kilogram [56]. - Egg - chicken chick and eliminated - hen prices: As of August 1, 2025, the average price of egg - chicken chicks in the main production areas was 3.85 yuan per chick, and the average price of eliminated hens was 11.76 yuan per kilogram [62]. - Egg exports: In May 2025, China's egg export volume was 12,711.37 tons, a year - on - year increase of 7.87% and a month - on - month decrease of 81.14 tons [66]. 3.4 Representative Enterprises - Xiaoming Co., Ltd. The report shows its price - to - earnings ratio change, but specific data is not provided [68].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [13] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of reducing production in the pig sector, highlighting the expectation gap in the industry [1][2] - The dairy sector is experiencing a bottoming out of raw milk prices, with a potential new cycle for beef cattle starting [3][19] - The pet food sector is witnessing the rise of domestic brands and a positive trend in exports [4][21] - The poultry sector is focusing on the shortage of breeding stock and improving consumer demand for yellow chickens [5][23] - The planting sector is prioritizing food security and the strategic importance of biological breeding [8][29] - The feed sector is recommended for companies with increasing market share and consistent performance, particularly Haida Group [10][31] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of July 26, the average price of pigs is 14.81 CNY/kg, stable compared to the previous week, with a notable high average weight of 128.48 kg for market pigs [1][17] - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasizes strict capacity control measures to reduce the number of breeding sows and control the weight of pigs being sold [1][18] - The sector is currently undervalued, with leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs showing low average market values [2][18] Cattle Sector - As of the third week of July, live cattle prices are 26.53 CNY/kg, down 0.2% week-on-week, while raw milk prices remain at 3.04 CNY/kg [3][19] - The dairy industry has faced significant losses, with an estimated cumulative income loss of 70 billion CNY from 2023 to 2025 [3][20] - Companies that can withstand the current downturn and have mother cow resources are expected to have strong profit potential [3][20] Pet Sector - Domestic brands in the pet food market are growing rapidly, with significant sales figures reported [4][21] - Pet food exports have increased, with 167,900 tons exported in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.7% [4][21] - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet Food and Zhongchong Co., with a focus on high-growth domestic companies [4][22] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the uncertainty in breeding stock imports due to avian influenza outbreaks, leading to a 33.46% year-on-year decline in breeding stock updates [5][23] - As of July 26, the price of broiler chicks has increased to 2.6 CNY/chick, driven by reduced supply and increased stocking enthusiasm [5][24] - Investment suggestions include focusing on self-breeding opportunities and companies with alternative breeding resources [5][26] Planting Sector - The report stresses the need for a focus on increasing grain production through improved yield and the integration of various agricultural practices [8][29] - The importance of financial support for seed industry revitalization is highlighted, with a push for the commercialization of genetically modified crops [8][29] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][30] Feed Sector - Haida Group is highlighted as a key player in the feed sector, with expectations of market recovery following a prolonged downturn [10][31] - The report notes significant price fluctuations in raw materials, which could benefit companies with strong hedging and feed formulation capabilities [10][31]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The egg market is in a seasonal off - season for demand, with high egg - laying hen存栏量, significant pressure from newly - opened laying hens, and sufficient egg supply. High - temperature and high - humidity weather increases storage costs, leading to cautious purchasing by downstream dealers. Egg prices are at a relatively low level compared to the same period, and the breeding end is in a loss state. However, as prices reach a relatively low level, the process of culling old hens has accelerated, reducing the存栏预期. Near - month futures prices are generally weak, while far - month contracts are more resistant to decline. The recommended strategy is to lightly test long positions in far - month contracts [7][8] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Weekly Highlights Summary - Strategy: Lightly test long positions in far - month contracts [7] - Market review: This week, eggs fluctuated and closed down. The closing price of the 08 contract was 3442 yuan/500 kilograms, a decrease of 140 yuan/500 kilograms from the previous week [8] - Market outlook: The egg market is in a seasonal off - season, with sufficient supply, high storage costs, and cautious purchasing by dealers. Egg prices are low, and the breeding end is in a loss. But the culling of old hens has accelerated, and far - month contracts are more resistant to decline [8] 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - Futures price and position: The 08 contract of egg futures fluctuated and closed down, with a position of 111,067 lots, a decrease of 69,589 lots from the previous week. The net position of the top 20 was - 28,851, compared with - 31,955 last week, and the net short position increased significantly [14] - Futures warehouse receipts: As of Friday, the number of registered egg warehouse receipts was 24 [18] - Spot price and basis: The egg spot price was reported at 2596 yuan/500 kilograms, a decrease of 78 yuan/500 kilograms from the previous week. The basis between the active 08 contract futures price and the spot average price was reported at - 846 yuan/ton [24] - Futures inter - month spread: The 9 - 1 spread of eggs was reported at - 32 yuan/500 kilograms, generally at a low level compared to the same period [28] - Related product spot prices: As of July 10, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.73 yuan/kg, and the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.42 yuan/kg [34] 3.3 Industry Chain Situation - Supply side: As of May 31, 2025, the national laying hen存栏指数 was 110.89, a month - on - month decrease of 1.30%; the national new chick index was 106.78, a month - on - month decrease of 23.00% [41] - Culling situation: As of May 31, 2025, the national culled laying hen index was 108.68, a month - on - month increase of 12.32%; the national culling age of hens was 506 days [46] - Feed raw material prices: As of July 10, 2025, the average spot price of corn was reported at 2426.86 yuan/ton, and the spot price of soybean meal in Fangcheng was reported at 2840 yuan/ton [50] - Feed price and breeding profit: As of July 4, 2025, the breeding profit of laying hens was reported at - 0.58 yuan/hen, and the average price of laying hen compound feed was reported at 2.72 yuan/kg [57] - Laying hen chick and culled hen prices: As of July 4, 2025, the average price of laying hen chicks in the main production areas was reported at 3.9 yuan/bird, and the average price of culled hens in the main production areas was reported at 9.4 yuan/kg [59] - Egg monthly export volume: In May 2025, the total egg export volume was 12,711.37 tons, an increase of 927.30 tons compared with the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 7.87%, and a month - on - month decrease of 81.14 tons compared with the previous month [65]

Summary of Industry and Company Insights from Conference Call Industry Overview - **Agricultural Industry Performance**: The agricultural industry in the first half of 2025 is relatively stable, with grain prices at a low point and pig prices showing a year-on-year recovery, although they are declining on a quarter-on-quarter basis. Poultry prices are affected by weak demand in the catering sector and abundant supply, leading to a continued downturn in the poultry farming sector [2][3]. Key Points on Specific Sectors 1. Pig Farming Industry - **Price and Profitability**: The average pig price is approximately 14.8 yuan per kilogram, down 4.2% year-on-year. However, due to a greater decline in farming costs compared to pig prices, industry profitability has significantly improved, with average profit per head around 70 yuan, compared to a loss of 25 yuan in the same period last year [3][4]. - **Company Performance**: Major companies like Muyuan Foods are expected to report over 10.5 billion yuan in profits for the first half of the year, with a 90% increase in Q2 profits. Other companies like Shennong Group and Wens Foodstuffs are also showing strong profitability despite challenges in certain segments [4]. 2. Poultry Farming Industry - **Current Situation**: The white feather broiler market remains at a low point, with upstream companies benefiting from downstream capacity expansion. However, the price drop in upstream is greater than in downstream. The average selling price of layer chicks has increased by 40% year-on-year to about 4.3 yuan per chick due to supply constraints [5]. - **Financial Performance**: Companies like Shengnong Development expect a 22% year-on-year growth in Q2 performance, while Wens and Lihua are facing losses in the yellow feather chicken segment, averaging losses of 0.2 to 0.3 yuan per bird [5]. 3. Pet Food Market - **Market Dynamics**: The domestic pet food market remains robust, with online GMV growth of 17% in the first five months of 2025, compared to 14% last year. However, companies focused on export OEM are facing declines due to US-China trade tensions, while strong domestic brands are expected to maintain high growth rates [6][9]. - **Company Performance**: Companies like Guibao and Zhongchong are projected to see significant growth, with expected Q2 growth rates of around 40% and 31%, respectively. In contrast, companies heavily reliant on export OEM may see stagnant or slightly declining performance [10]. 4. Feed and Animal Health Sub-Industries - **Sales Growth**: The feed and animal health sectors are benefiting from a recovery in livestock numbers and stable profitability. For instance, Bangji Technology reported over 200% year-on-year growth in feed sales, while Haida Group expects a growth rate of 25% to 30% [7]. - **Vaccine Demand**: There has been a recovery in vaccine demand, with prices for certain products like Tylosin and Tiamulin increasing by 30% and 10%, respectively. Companies like Keqian Bio are expected to see a 20% to 25% growth in Q2 performance [8]. Recommendations for Investment - **Investment Focus**: Recommendations include focusing on post-cycle breeding varieties, feed, and animal health sectors. Key companies to watch include Bangji Technology, Haida Group, and leading vaccine producers like Keqian Bio and Huisheng Bio. Attention should also be given to low-valuation leading breeding companies with strong performance [11]. - **Market Outlook**: If the pig farming sector can stabilize and avoid overproduction, there is significant potential for valuation increases in the industry, particularly for companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [11].