专家认为，本月LPR继续"按兵不动"符合预期。从LPR报价机制看，作为LPR定价主要参考的7天期逆回 购操作利率为1.40%，并未发生变化，因此LPR较难下降。 中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布，2025年12月22日贷款市场报价利率(LPR)为：1年期 LPR为3.0%，5年期以上LPR为3.5%，均较上期维持不变。 今年LPR下行一次，5月两期限LPR均较上期下行10个基点，带动企业和居民贷款利率更大幅度下调， 降低实体经济融资成本。 与此同时，企业融资和居民信贷成本均保持低位运行。11月，企业新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约 为3.1%，比上年同期低约30个基点；个人住房新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%，比上年同期 低约3个基点。 中央经济工作会议提出，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具。往后看，中信证券首席经济学家明明 认为，未来降息工具也可能基于明年一季度信贷修复情况被灵活运用，总体上货币政策宽松环境仍然没 有变化。 西部证券（002673）宏观首席分析师边泉水预计，2026年公开市场操作利率和LPR将下调10个基点左 右，为扩大内需创造宽松的货币环境。 从银行方面看，招联首 ...

Group 1 - The central economic work conference emphasized the policy direction of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency" for the upcoming year, indicating a higher demand for development quality and effectiveness alongside reasonable economic growth [2][3] - The conference highlighted the need for fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies to work in coordination, combining traditional and innovative tools to promote high-quality economic growth [2][3] Group 2 - The conference proposed to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, with a focus on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery, while also flexibly utilizing various policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [3][4] - Experts predict that in 2026, deposit rates and policy rates will further decline, with the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) expected to stabilize or decrease slightly, emphasizing the role of structural monetary policy tools to direct financial resources towards technology innovation, green development, and boosting consumption [3][4] - The conference stressed the importance of policy coordination, integrating both stock and incremental policies to enhance the consistency and effectiveness of macroeconomic policies, with a focus on counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments [4]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has announced that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for one year remains at 3.0% and for five years or more at 3.5%, unchanged from the previous period [1] Group 1 - The one-year LPR is set at 3.0% [1] - The five-year LPR is set at 3.5% [1] - Both rates have remained stable compared to the last announcement [1]

Monetary Policy Outlook - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reiterated the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the dual function of monetary policy tools in terms of both quantity and structure [1][2] - The recent meeting did not directly mention "timely reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts or interest rate reductions," indicating a shift to a more flexible approach in policy implementation due to the recent RRR cut and interest rate reduction in May [1][2] - Economic growth in the first half of the year has shown resilience, reducing the urgency for further cuts in RRR or interest rates in the short term [1][2] Economic Analysis - The second quarter meeting presented a more positive assessment of the domestic economic situation compared to the first quarter, while still highlighting challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and persistently low prices [2] - The focus is on stabilizing the real estate market after effectively addressing local government debt risks [2] Financial Supply-Side Reforms - The meeting emphasized the effective implementation of various structural monetary policy tools to support key areas such as technological innovation and consumption [2] - Continued support for the development of the private economy and small and micro enterprises is a priority, aiming to alleviate financing bottlenecks [2][3] Future Policy Space - There is significant room for future financial policy implementation, with potential adjustments to the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates [3] - The dynamic balance between stabilizing growth, interest margins, and exchange rates will guide the adjustments in loan market quotation rates (LPR) [3] Structural Monetary Policy Tools - The importance of structural monetary policy tools is highlighted, which can enhance the incentives for financial institutions to support strategic and key areas [3][4] - Financial services are being optimized to support small and innovative enterprises, ensuring that they receive the necessary funding and services to thrive [4]

Group 1 - The one-year and five-year loan market quotation rates (LPR) have both decreased by 10 basis points, now standing at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively [1] - The reduction in LPR is expected to enhance financial support for the real economy, while the optimization of deposit rates by major banks creates favorable conditions for lowering overall financing costs [1] - The decline in LPR will continue to drive down the comprehensive financing costs in society, stabilize market expectations, stimulate credit demand, and promote corporate investment [1] Group 2 - The decrease in the five-year LPR is beneficial for reducing the interest burden on mortgage borrowers, which in turn promotes consumer spending [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has lowered the 7-day reverse repo rate from 1.5% to 1.4% and reduced the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points to support the economy potentially slowing due to trade tensions with the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy Adjustments - The PBOC's 7-day reverse repo rate is now set at 1.4%, a decrease of 0.1% [1] - The reserve requirement ratio has been lowered by 0.5 percentage points, allowing financial institutions to reduce deposits at the central bank and enhance their lending capacity [1] - It is anticipated that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) will also decrease by approximately 0.1% following this rate cut [1] Group 2: Economic Support Measures - The aim of these monetary policy adjustments is to lower overall interest rates and support the economy, which may be impacted by U.S. tariffs and trade disputes [1] - The PBOC predicts that the reduction in the reserve requirement ratio will provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the financial market [1] - In response to the adverse effects of U.S. tariffs on Chinese exports, the PBOC plans to introduce 500 billion yuan in low-interest loans aimed at stimulating domestic consumption [1] Group 3: Real Estate Market Focus - There is an emphasis on boosting the sluggish real estate market, with intentions to lower mortgage rates for first-time homebuyers [2] - The PBOC aims to implement further easing policies to mitigate the economic impact of U.S. tariff-related tensions [2]