大家好，今天犀哥这篇财经评论，主要来聊聊黄金新规，11月1日黄金税收新规一实施，不少人看着家里的黄金就犯了愁：奶奶传下来的那根金条，以后还 能卖上个好价钱不？媳妇手上戴的金镯子，会不会慢慢没人要了？之前金店买的那些金豆子，现在算不算买亏了？ 新规落地后普通人的三大疑惑与现实冲击 最明显的变化就是黄金首饰变现难了，价格还得往下压，以前咱们都觉得金镯子、金项链是"硬通货"，真要是急着用钱，拿去金店一卖就能换钱，只要金子 成色好，价格都不会差。 可现在不一样了，金店收那些不是从官方渠道来的黄金，得额外交一笔增值税，而且这税还没法抵扣。 其实这些担心都不是空穴来风，新规确实给咱们老百姓持有和交易黄金带来了实实在在的影响，难道老百姓手里的黄金要贬值了？ 人家总不能自己亏本吧，自然就得把回收价压下来，以前100克金首饰能卖9000块，现在说不定只能拿到七八千，这就意味着，金首饰的"投资属性"基本没 了，以后也就是戴着好看、留个念想的东西。 还有那些在非官方渠道买的金条、金豆子，现在想变现也麻烦，过去大家图方便，小区附近的金店就能买金条，觉得"看得见摸得着"才放心。 可新规实施后，没有上海黄金交易所或者上海期货交易所开的凭 ...

Price Adjustments in the Jewelry Industry - Recently, major jewelry brands, including Chow Tai Fook, have announced price increases for their gold jewelry products, with some items seeing price hikes of up to 33% [1][4] - Chow Tai Fook plans to adjust its "fixed price" gold jewelry prices by 12% to 18% by the end of October, with specific items like a necklace increasing from 16,800 yuan to 21,800 yuan, a rise of 29.76% [2] - The price of certain gold jewelry items has surpassed 3,000 yuan per gram, indicating a significant increase in the cost of high-end gold products [4] Market Trends and Gold Prices - Despite the rising prices of gold jewelry, the international gold price has been fluctuating downwards, recently falling below 4,000 USD per ounce [1][4] - As of the latest data, the spot gold price is reported at 3,982.36 USD, reflecting a decrease of 2.03% [1] - In response to the changing market conditions, several banks have begun to adjust their gold investment product rules, urging customers to be cautious and manage their positions effectively [4][6] Bank Policy Changes - On October 21, Industrial Bank announced an increase in the minimum purchase amount for gold savings products from 1,000 yuan to 1,200 yuan [6] - Ping An Bank also plans to raise the minimum investment amount for its gold accumulation business from 900 yuan to 1,100 yuan starting October 24, 2025 [7] - Additionally, the Bank of Communications will adjust its gold accumulation plan to require a minimum investment based on real-time gold prices, effective October 27, 2025 [7]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a surge in gold purchases in Japan, driven by rising gold prices and a loss of confidence in the yen due to inflation and currency depreciation [2][3][4] - Gold prices in Japan have doubled in two years and quadrupled in five years, reaching 22,400 yen per gram (approximately 1,057 RMB), leading to a collective anxiety among investors [2][3] - The demand for smaller gold bars (5g, 10g, 20g) has surged as the price of larger bars (100g) becomes unaffordable for average workers, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards gold as a safe haven [2][3] Group 2 - The gold buying frenzy has disrupted supply chains, with retailers like Tanaka Precious Metals halting sales of gold bars under 50 grams due to overwhelming demand [3] - Political uncertainties, including the election of a pro-expansion fiscal leader, have exacerbated fears of yen depreciation, prompting consumers to seek gold as a more reliable form of currency [3][4] - The article suggests that the current situation in Japan may reflect a broader global trend of distrust in fiat currencies, with gold being viewed as a more stable asset amidst economic turmoil [4]

Core Insights - Spot gold has historically surpassed $3980 per ounce, with New York futures crossing $4000 per ounce, and domestic gold prices reaching around 1100 RMB per gram [1][5] - The surge in gold prices is attributed to multiple factors, including U.S. government shutdown risks, persistent geopolitical tensions, dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, and uncertainties in global economic recovery [3][5] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is increasing, with significant retail activity observed during the holiday season, indicating a shift in consumer sentiment towards gold [5][9] Price Movements - Gold prices have seen a dramatic increase from $2625 in January to $4000 in October, reflecting a nearly continuous upward trend with minimal pullbacks [5][9] - The price of gold in China has also risen sharply, with domestic gold jewelry prices exceeding 1100 RMB per gram, marking a significant increase from previous levels [3][5] Market Dynamics - The gold mining sector is experiencing robust growth, with companies reporting increased revenues and profits, and a strong interest in expanding production capabilities [8][9] - Despite a decline in gold jewelry consumption in the first half of 2025, the recent holiday season has brought renewed activity in gold retail, suggesting a potential recovery in consumer demand [8][9] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that gold prices are likely to remain strong, supported by ongoing central bank purchases and macroeconomic uncertainties [9][11] - The World Gold Council forecasts record-high global gold demand in 2024, with central banks expected to purchase over 1000 tons of gold, further underpinning the market [9][11] - The volatility in gold prices is expected to continue, with market dynamics influenced by geopolitical risks and economic conditions [11]

前言 国庆金店挤得像春运现场，周大福柜台前大妈举着存折抢金镯子，年轻人蹲地上挑金豆子。 可转头看财报却魔幻得很，周大生上半年营收暴跌43.92%，老凤祥也下滑16.52%，活像被金价捅了刀 子。 乡亲们纳闷了：国际金价都冲上3900美元，国内零售价飙到1134元/克，怎么卖黄金的反而亏钱？ 金店挤爆，财报暴跌 潮宏基珠宝做过一本账：上半年赚了3个亿，看着挺美？可毛利率三年连降，从29.3%跌到23.1%。 什么意思？相当于原来卖个金镯子能赚300块工费，现在只剩230块。 更要命的是，金料采购价跟着国际金价疯涨，仓库里囤的黄金还没打成首饰，进货单价格又跳了一截。 说白了：金店现在像在刀尖跳舞。 你高价进货吧，怕明天金价暴跌砸手里；你不进货吧，柜台空了顾 客扭头就走。 江苏某县城金店老板就倒过苦水："现在卖黄金像炒股，上个月1134元/克进的货，这周金价回调到 1100，每克硬是亏了34块！" 谁在赚钱谁在哭 这边品牌商愁云惨淡，那边却有人笑得见牙不见眼。 00后小夫妻国庆前囤了200克黄金，金价涨到1134元时出手，净赚2万多。 丈母娘本来要的10万彩礼钱，小两口直接拿黄金差价抵了不少。 更精明的是金店销售刘 ...

Core Insights - The report titled "2025 Young People's Savings Report" claims that 30% of respondents have savings exceeding 500,000 yuan, and 12.3% of the post-2000 generation have savings over 300,000 yuan, but the sample is skewed towards high-income individuals from first-tier cities [3][4] - The reality shows a stark contrast, with only 1.5% of the population having savings over 300,000 yuan, and 70% of young people burdened with debt [3][4] - Young people's saving behavior is driven by economic uncertainty, with 56% saving due to fear of sudden unemployment and 48.1% seeking peace of mind [4][9] Savings Behavior - Young individuals are increasingly adopting frugal lifestyles, prioritizing savings over consumption, with 38.8% of post-2000 respondents saving more than half of their monthly income [4][6] - The total savings of Chinese residents surged by 8.3 trillion yuan in the first five months of 2025, with the proportion of fixed deposits reaching a historical peak of 74.29% [4][6] - The emergence of new saving strategies, such as the "52-week savings method," is gaining popularity among young people [6] Consumption Trends - Young people are shifting their consumption mindset, moving away from luxury items to more practical purchases, reflecting a collective action towards financial security [4][6] - The concept of "necessary-need-want" is being adopted, where essential expenses are prioritized over discretionary spending [7][8] - There is a growing interest in gold as a form of savings, with young individuals viewing it as a tangible asset that provides a sense of security [7][8] Investment Preferences - Different age groups exhibit varying investment preferences, with post-90s individuals favoring flexible savings tools like money market funds, while post-80s are diversifying into stocks and insurance [8] - In lower-tier cities, 37.8% of young people have savings between 200,000 to 300,000 yuan, often opting for traditional bank savings [8] - The trend of using automatic savings plans is prevalent, with many young individuals setting up multiple plans to manage their finances effectively [6][8]