2025年12月30日，广期所的铂、钯主力合约同步跌停，跌幅高达13%，领跌国内期货市场，成为当日跌幅最大的两个品种，凸显出贵金属市场短期情绪承压 明显。国际市场上，隔夜伦敦铂金大跌13.71%，伦敦钯金下跌15.76%。 21世纪经济报道记者 叶麦穗 近日，国内期货市场迎来显著调整。 | | | | | 自选期货 上期所 上能源 大商所 广期所 中金所 标准套利 国内主力 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 記 | | 铂 多晶硅 工业硅 碳酸锂 | | | | | | | 逐原 | 名称 | 代理 | . | 现价 涨幅 | 日増仓 | 振幅 | 卧乍经 | | 1 耙2606 | | pd2606 | 主力 | 447.45 -13.00% | -5603 | 1.95% | 514.3 | | 2 铝2608 | | pd2608 | | 447.40 -13.00% | | -605 2.33% | 514.2 | | 3 铝2610 | | pd2610 | | 453.60 -13.00% | | -265 2. ...

铂钯周报 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 杨蕤（联系人）从业资格号：F03151404 日期：2025年12月28日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 本周广铂及广钯周度表现仍然亮眼，周线均收阳，但能观测到广期所铂 钯价格开始分化，广铂周涨幅均在25%以上，而广钯周内冲高后回落， 周涨幅只有3.4%。外盘铂钯在圣诞节前夕小幅撤步后迎来了更大的向上 弹性，铂金刷新年内新高，钯金逼近前高，离2000美元/盎司关键关口 仅一步之遥。 在本周，铂钯的跨市场和期现套利窗口持续扩大，广期所不断出台政策 以防范行情过热风险。高频数据方面，观测到NYMEX库存开始新一轮的 流入，铂金ETF持仓流入速度边际抬升，而钯金流入速度有所放缓。ETF 持仓的不同表现对应铂钯价格开始分化的局面，且内盘分化程度更加明 显，比价来到1.37，而外盘比价在周五夜间获得修复，收于1.28。其余 高频数据并没有显示铂钯面临的现货结 ...

铂钯周报 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 杨蕤（联系人）从业资格号：F03151404 日期：2025年12月21日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 铂金：继续脉冲式上涨；钯金：突破前高向前迈进 强弱分析：铂金偏强、钯金偏强 本周广铂及广钯强势拉升，周涨幅均在15%以上。境外铂钯（伦敦及纽 约）同样强势，整周都处在境内外双市场共振上涨的行情之中。涨势如 虹一方面因为美元弱势，支撑具有金融属性品种价格；更多的还是因为 伦敦市场现货紧张，境内外投资情绪高涨，"薄盘效应"下铂钯的价格 更容易被抬升。 在本周，铂钯的跨市场和期现套利窗口均迅速打开，在周四达到阶段性 峰值，周五由于广期所规定单日开仓上限500手，叠加亚盘外盘金银有 所撤步，广铂周五收阴，广钯小幅收涨，随后周五夜盘境外铂钯走势重 回强劲。由于伦敦铂金的现货紧张局面不改，同时铂钯ETF持续流入；技 术面上铂钯已经强势突破许多关键点位，和6 ...

商 品 研 究 2025 年 12 月 19 日 铂：ETF 持续流入，震荡上行 钯：顺利突破前高，上行动能充足 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 铂钯基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | | 涨幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 铂金期货2606 | 542. 60 | | 2. 85% | | | | 金交所铂金 | 511. 65 | | 2.76% | | | | 纽约铂主连 | 1959. 20 | | 1. 43% | | | | 伦敦现货铂金 | 1920. 90 | | 0. 77% | | | | 锂金期货2606 | 476. 60 | | 4. 71% | | | | 人民币现货纪金 | 388. 00 | | -1.77% | | | 价格 | 纽约包主连 | 1, 778. 50 | | 5. 05% | | | | 伦敦现货纪金 | 1, 700. 00 | | 3.25% | | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前 ...

2025年，铂金打破多年沉寂，价格累计上涨超90%，引起投资者广泛关注。当前我国铂金投资市场面临 哪些挑战和机遇？铂金在未来资产配置中将发挥哪些重要作用？在2025广州投资顾问大会暨财富管理转 型发展会议上，新华财经专访了世界铂金投资协会亚太区总经理邓伟斌。 一是强化回收产业。铂金在很多行业被用作催化剂，而催化剂是可以回收的。强化和支持整个回收产业 的发展，充分调动回收资源，是解决供应难点的有效途径。 二是加强与南非矿业公司联系。通过与南非矿业公司加强联系，能够确保战略金属资源未来的长期供应 保障。南非虽然不缺铂金储量，但欠缺合理的价格激励推动矿业公司持续开采。广州期货交易所挂牌铂 期货，能够充分发挥市场价格发现功能，形成公允合理的定价，推动南非矿业公司更好地开采资源，从 而确保市场供应。 三是基础设施逐步完善。广州期货交易所推动铂期货挂牌上市，以及产业链上回购、回流等基础设施的 完善，提高了投资者购买铂金投资产品的便利性和信心，对市场发展起到了很大的推动作用。 在投资者的资产配置组合中，铂金正逐渐崭露头角。过去几年全世界很多国家的央行都在推动去美元 化、叠加通货膨胀和关键矿产资源争夺的背景，铂金作为一种兼具 ...

1. Report Investment Rating - Platinum: ETF shows significant incremental growth, with an expected oscillatory upward trend [1] - Palladium: Demonstrates upward elasticity and is expected to continue strengthening [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the fundamentals of platinum and palladium, including price, trading volume, position, ETF position, inventory, price spread, and exchange rate data. It also provides macro - and industry - related news, and gives the trend intensity of platinum and palladium [1][3][4] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Price**: Platinum futures 2606 closed at 527.55 with an 8.61% increase; gold - exchange platinum closed at 497.89 with a 5.64% increase; New York platinum continuous contract closed at 1931.50 with a 3.05% increase; London spot platinum closed at 1906.20 with a 3.90% increase. Palladium futures 2606 closed at 455.15 with a 7.38% increase; RMB spot palladium closed at 395.00 with a 2.33% increase; New York palladium continuous contract closed at 1,725.00 with a 3.76% increase; London spot palladium closed at 1,646.50 with a 2.52% increase [1] - **Trading Volume and Position**: Guangzhou platinum trading volume was 97,796, a decrease of 119 from the previous day, with a position of 30,716, an increase of 6,066. NYMEX platinum trading volume was 50,662, an increase of 4,232, and the position was 51,116, a decrease of 3,125. Guangzhou palladium trading volume was 58,188, an increase of 3,302, and the position was 10,036, an increase of 2,402. NYMEX palladium trading volume was 9,919, an increase of 1,430, and the position was 21,368, an increase of 378 [1] - **ETF Position**: The previous day's platinum ETF position (in ounces) was 3,217,562, an increase of 28,589; the previous day's palladium ETF position (in ounces) was 1,126,123, an increase of 1,869 [1] - **Inventory**: NYMEX platinum inventory (in ounces, previous day) was 614,561, unchanged; NYMEX palladium inventory (in ounces, previous day) was 189,230, unchanged [1] - **Price Spread**: PT9995 to PT2606 price spread was - 29.66, a decrease of 15.23 from the previous day; Guangzhou platinum 2606 contract to 2610 contract price spread was 1.65, an increase of 2.20; the cost of buying Guangzhou platinum 2606 and selling 2610 inter - period arbitrage was 6.52, an increase of 0.49 [1] - **Exchange Rate**: The US dollar index was 98.40, an increase of 0.18%; the US dollar against the RMB (CNY spot) was 7.04, a decrease of 0.06%; the US dollar against the offshore RMB (CNH spot) was 7.03, a decrease of 0.12%; the US dollar against the RMB (6M forward) was 6.96, an increase of 0.04% [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The Federal Reserve's joint survey shows that tariffs continue to trouble enterprises, and prices are expected to rise by 4% next year [4] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller said that monetary policy is still in a restrictive range, with room for interest rate cuts. The employment market indicates that the Federal Reserve should continue to cut interest rates [4] - US media reported that if Putin rejects the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement, the US will impose new sanctions on Russia's "shadow fleet", and the White House responded that there is no new decision for now [4] - US and Russia will hold talks on the Russia - Ukraine conflict in Miami this weekend [4] - Venezuelan navy escorts the transportation of petroleum by - products [4] - The US has agreed to modify the tariff rates of some commodities in the notice on Swiss tariffs, and expects to reach a trade agreement by the first quarter of 2026 [4] - The European Parliament has approved an agreement to phase out Russian natural gas imports by the end of 2027 [4] - The Bank of Thailand has no current plan to tax gold - related transactions [4] 3.3 Trend Intensity - Platinum trend intensity: 1; Palladium trend intensity: 1. The range of trend intensity is an integer in the [- 2,2] interval, with - 2 indicating the most bearish and 2 indicating the most bullish [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Platinum and palladium are important precious metals with high demand in various industries, and their supply is highly concentrated, with significant supply - side impacts on prices. The supply - side factors such as production cuts, accidents, and disruptions in recycling channels can cause obvious price fluctuations [15]. - The demand for platinum and palladium is mainly in automotive catalysts, industry, jewelry, and medical fields. In the context of carbon neutrality and carbon peaking, the hydrogen energy industry is expected to become a new growth point for platinum and palladium consumption [37][47]. - China's platinum - group metal resources are extremely scarce, with a high degree of import dependence. The importance of the recycling end is increasing, but the supply of waste materials is tight, and domestic recycling enterprises face fierce competition [32][82]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Platinum and Palladium Species Overview - **Natural Attributes**: Platinum and palladium are silver - white metals, belonging to the platinum - group metals (PGMs). Platinum has a crustal content of 0.005 ppm, and palladium has 0.0006 ppm. Platinum has high melting point, good ductility, and stable chemical properties. Palladium can adsorb gases, is corrosion - resistant, and is mainly used in the catalyst field [6][7][8]. - **Resource Distribution and Classification**: Platinum - group metal resources are mainly distributed in South Africa, Russia, the United States, and other regions. The deposits can be divided into primary deposits and exogenous sand deposits, with magma - related processes being the main formation mechanism [10][13]. 3.2 Platinum - Group Metal Industry Chain - **Upstream**: The upstream of the platinum - group metal industry chain is dominated by a few mining and smelting integrated producers. The "oligopoly" structure makes the supply side dominant in price. The mining and extraction of platinum - group metals involve exploration, mining development, ore extraction, processing, and refining [15][16]. - **Supply and Recycling of Platinum - Group Materials**: The separation and purification processes of platinum - group metals vary according to the raw material components. The recycling of platinum - group metals is becoming increasingly important, but the supply of waste materials is tight [19][32]. - **Terminal Applications**: Platinum and palladium are mainly used in automotive catalysts, jewelry, industry, medical, and other fields. Automotive catalysts are the largest consumer area, with platinum's consumption structure being more diversified and over 80% of palladium used in automotive catalysts [37]. - **Investment Channels**: Platinum investment channels include physical investment (platinum bars and coins), platinum ETFs, futures, forwards, and stocks. Palladium investment demand is relatively small [49][50]. 3.3 Global Platinum Supply - Demand Pattern - **Supply**: South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Russia are the main suppliers of global platinum. In 2024, South Africa's platinum output accounted for 71% of the global total. The global platinum output decreased in 2024 due to various factors such as power outages and company restructurings [55]. - **Demand**: The main consumers of global platinum are China, Europe, North America, and Japan. In 2024, the global platinum demand decreased by 1.6% to 198 tons, with a supply gap of 1.98 tons [65]. 3.4 Global Palladium Supply - Demand Pattern - **Supply**: Russia, South Africa, Canada, and the United States are the main suppliers of global palladium. In 2024, Russia and South Africa's palladium output accounted for 43% and 41% of the global total respectively. The global palladium output increased slightly in 2024 [69][71]. - **Demand**: The main consumers of global palladium are China, the United States, Europe, and Japan. In 2024, the global palladium demand decreased by 4% to 254.2 tons, with a supply surplus of 2.4 tons [73][77]. 3.5 China's Platinum - Group Resource Pattern - **Resource Endowment**: China's platinum - group metal resources are extremely scarce, mainly distributed in Gansu, Yunnan, and other regions. In 2022, China's platinum - group metal reserves were 80.9 tons, and the resource reserves are decreasing [82]. - **Import Dependence**: China's platinum and palladium resources have a high degree of import dependence. In 2024, China imported 104.1 tons of platinum and 28.1 tons of palladium [86][88][92]. - **Domestic Demand**: In 2024, China consumed 64.4 tons of platinum and 68.9 tons of palladium. The demand for platinum in the automotive catalyst and chemical industries decreased, while the demand for palladium in the automotive catalyst field decreased significantly [97][101]. - **Import and Export and Taxes**: The import tariffs and value - added taxes of platinum and palladium vary according to the processing state. China's platinum is mainly imported from South Africa, and palladium is mainly imported from Russia and South Africa [110][111][114]. 3.6 Platinum and Palladium Price Review No detailed price review content is provided in the text, only a mention of historical price trends. 3.7 Guangzhou Futures Exchange Platinum and Palladium Futures - **Contract Text**: On November 7, 2025, the GZFE issued announcements on the palladium futures and palladium options contracts and related rules [126]. - **Risk Control System**: No detailed content is provided in the text. 3.8 Platinum and Palladium Options - **Option Contracts**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Risk Control System**: No detailed content is provided in the text. 3.9 Delivery Business - **Delivery Time**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Delivery Product Form and Premium/Discount**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Delivery Unit**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Delivery Handling Fee**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Warehousing and Out - of - Warehouse Fees**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Physical Delivery Method**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Delivery Quality Standard**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Warehouse Standard Warehouse Receipt Delivery**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Factory Warehouse Standard Warehouse Receipt Delivery**: No detailed content is provided in the text. 3.10 Platinum and Palladium Delivery Areas, Factories, and Warehouses - **Platinum Futures Delivery Area Factories**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Palladium Futures Delivery Area Factories**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Platinum and Palladium Futures Delivery Warehouses**: No detailed content is provided in the text. 3.11 Platinum and Palladium Designated Quality Inspection Institutions and Inspection Fees - **Platinum and Palladium Futures Quality Inspection Institution List**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Maximum Limit of Platinum Futures Inspection Fees**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **Maximum Limit of Palladium Futures Inspection Fees**: No detailed content is provided in the text. 3.12 Platinum and Palladium Delivery Brands - **List of Registered Brands for Platinum Futures (Domestic)**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **List of Registered Brands for Platinum Futures (Overseas)**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **List of Registered Brands for Palladium Futures (Domestic)**: No detailed content is provided in the text. - **List of Registered Brands for Palladium Futures (Overseas)**: No detailed content is provided in the text.

Group 1: Market Trends - The "golden alternative" market is gaining traction, with silver and platinum becoming popular in the precious metals market [1] - Silver prices have surged, reaching a peak of $37 per ounce in June, the highest in nearly a decade, while domestic silver prices exceeded 8.46 yuan per gram [1] - Platinum futures prices have also risen, hitting $1,447.9 per ounce, marking a 50% increase year-to-date [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Investment in silver products has seen a significant increase, with sales of silver bars and ingots rising over 40% year-on-year [2] - The rise in precious metal prices is attributed to expectations of a prolonged interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical risks [2] - Experts suggest that platinum still has room for price growth despite its recent surge, as supply is unlikely to increase in the short term and its potential applications in hydrogen energy and fuel cells remain untapped [3] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Many consumers are shifting from gold to platinum due to its aesthetic appeal and stability, leading to increased sales of platinum jewelry [1][3] - In markets like Shenzhen, some vendors are reducing gold sales space in favor of platinum, indicating a shift in consumer preference [1] Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to approach platinum as a long-term asset rather than focusing on short-term fluctuations, with a recommendation to choose reputable brands and verification agencies for physical platinum investments [3] - The white silver market is experiencing a surge in new investment accounts and trading volume, with a 323% increase in new accounts and a 175% increase in trading volume since May [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Platinum and palladium are important members of the platinum - group metals (PGMs), with high demand in practical applications. Their resource distribution is concentrated, and the supply chain has an "oligopoly" structure, which is easily affected by various factors [1][14]. - The platinum - group metal industry chain includes upstream mining, mid - stream processing and recycling, and downstream terminal applications and investment. Each link has its own characteristics and development trends [14]. - The demand for platinum and palladium in different terminal applications varies. For example, palladium is more common in gasoline engine exhaust treatment, while platinum is superior in diesel engine exhaust catalysts. The application of platinum and palladium in emerging industries such as hydrogen energy is expected to grow [41][48]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Platinum and Palladium Variety Overview 3.1.1 Natural Properties - Platinum (Pt) and palladium (Pd) are silver - white metals, belonging to the platinum - group metals (PGMs) along with ruthenium, rhodium, iridium, and osmium. Platinum has a crustal content of five - hundred - millionths, and palladium has a crustal content of one - hundred - millionth [1]. - Platinum has a high melting point, good ductility, excellent electrical and thermal conductivity, high density, and is chemically inert. It is mainly used in industrial catalysts, jewelry, electronics, etc. Palladium has a relatively lower melting point, can adsorb gases like hydrogen, is corrosion - resistant, and is mainly used in the catalyst field [2][4]. 3.1.2 Distribution and Classification of Platinum - Group Resources - Platinum - group metals exist in nature in the form of natural elements and complex ores. Platinum deposits are generally related to ultramafic rocks and can be formed through magma action, hydrothermal processes, and exogenous deposition [5]. - Platinum - group metal ores can be divided into primary deposits and exogenous sand deposits. The primary deposits can be further divided into vein platinum deposits mainly composed of platinum - group metals and copper - nickel - type deposits hosted in ultrabasic rocks [5]. - Global platinum - group metal resources are mainly concentrated in five regions: South Africa's Bushveld Complex, Russia's Norilsk - Talnakh region, the US's Stillwater Complex, Zimbabwe's Great Dyke, and Canada's Sudbury [11]. 3.2 Platinum - Group Metal Industry Chain 3.2.1 Upstream Mining - The platinum - group metal supply chain has an "oligopoly" structure. Most of the raw material supply and smelting are in the hands of a few integrated mining and smelting producers [14]. - In 2024, the global PGMs resource was estimated to exceed 100,000 tons, and the reserves exceeded 81,000 tons. South Africa's PGMs reserves were 63,000 tons, accounting for nearly 80% of the global total [21]. - The production of platinum and palladium mines is facing bottlenecks due to factors such as resource oligopoly, declining ore grades, rising mining costs, and strict environmental policies. In 2024, the global palladium mine production was 190 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 8.65%, and the platinum mine production was 170 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 5.02% [25]. 3.2.2 Platinum - Group Material Supply and Recycling - Global precious metal multinational groups such as Umicore, Johnson Matthey, Heraeus, and Tanaka dominate the platinum - group metal material processing and recycling fields [30]. - As high - grade resources become scarce, secondary resources of platinum - group metals are becoming increasingly important. However, domestic recycling enterprises face fierce competition, and the supply of secondary resources is becoming increasingly tight [30]. 3.2.3 Terminal Applications - **Automotive Exhaust Catalysts**: Palladium is more common in gasoline engine exhaust treatment, while platinum is superior in diesel engine exhaust catalysts. The choice of platinum - group metals in catalysts depends on catalytic effect, cost - effectiveness, availability, and exhaust emission standards [41]. - **Jewelry**: Platinum is more suitable for high - end jewelry markets due to its high density, good ductility, and chemical stability. Palladium has limited use in jewelry due to its hardness and tendency to darken [45]. - **Other Industrial Applications**: Platinum and palladium are widely used in chemical industry, glass manufacturing, electronics, medical, hydrogen energy, and other fields. Their application in emerging industries such as hydrogen energy is expected to grow [46][48]. 3.2.4 Investment Channels - Platinum can be invested in through physical products (platinum bars, platinum coins), financial products (platinum futures contracts, platinum ETFs), and platinum - related stocks. The investment demand for platinum is increasing, especially in the context of high gold prices [50].

Group 1 - The global precious metals market has shown a divergence in trends this year, with silver and platinum prices significantly outperforming gold, attracting investor attention [1] - As of July 5, 2023, the spot silver price stabilized above $36, nearing a 13-year high, and has risen for six consecutive trading days. Platinum prices have surged by 36% this year, surpassing 300 yuan per gram [1][2] - The price of silver jewelry has generally increased by 15%-20%, with a silver bracelet that previously cost 400 yuan now priced close to 500 yuan [1] Group 2 - The rise in silver prices is supported by both industrial and financial demand. The industrial demand for silver has increased significantly due to its use in sectors like electric vehicles, AI, semiconductors, and 5G, leading to a continuous supply shortage in the silver market [2] - Investment in silver products, such as silver bars and coins, has seen a year-on-year increase of over 40% in sales, indicating strong consumer interest in silver as a hedge and investment asset [2] - As of July 5, 2023, the spot silver price rose by 0.27% to $36.91 per ounce, with analysts noting that silver is approaching a critical resistance level of $37 [2] Group 3 - Platinum prices have increased by over 36% this year, with a notable rise in demand for platinum jewelry, which has seen a 50% increase in sales compared to the previous year [3] - The increase in platinum prices is attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics and a shift in market sentiment, particularly due to rising demand from the automotive industry and the jewelry sector [3] - The global demand for platinum jewelry is expected to grow, with a projected 9% year-on-year increase in demand across various regions, totaling 17 tons by the first quarter of 2025 [3] Group 4 - The concentration of platinum mining in regions like South Africa limits supply, while the automotive industry's recovery and stricter environmental regulations are driving up demand for platinum in catalytic converters [3] - There is a growing interest among investors in platinum as part of a diversified asset allocation strategy, with an increase in inquiries and purchases of platinum investment products [3] - The counterfeit rate for platinum products has reached 17.3%, resulting in consumer losses exceeding 2 billion yuan annually, highlighting the need for caution when purchasing [3][4]