Group 1 - The computing sector has rebounded collectively, with the communication ETF (515880) rising over 4% and experiencing active trading [1] - Continuous capital inflow has been observed, with a net inflow exceeding 3.8 billion over the past five days and over 5.3 billion in the last ten days, bringing the current scale to over 11.4 billion, ranking first among similar products [1] - CITIC Securities indicates that the current AI user penetration rate is still low, and the development of large models is in the early to mid-stages, suggesting that the industrialization cycle has just begun, leading to significant investment opportunities in computing power [1] Group 2 - The communication ETF (515880) has nearly 50% allocation in optical modules, with "optical modules + servers + optical fibers + copper connections" accounting for over 75%, providing a comprehensive layout for the core engine of computing power [1] - Investors interested in related layout opportunities are encouraged to pay attention to the computing power sector [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in the computing power sector, driven by the increasing demand for digital economy, with the communication ETF (515880) rising by 5% and experiencing active trading [1] - Continuous net inflows into the communication ETF have been substantial, exceeding 3.8 billion yuan over the past five days and over 5.3 billion yuan over the past ten days, with the current scale surpassing 11.4 billion yuan, ranking first among similar funds [1] - The traditional communication architecture is struggling to meet the demands for bandwidth and latency, while optical communication technology is emerging as a key solution due to its high bandwidth and low power consumption advantages [1] Group 2 - There is a notable increase in demand for high-speed optical modules, with leading companies in the sector reporting strong order situations in the second quarter, particularly in the North American market, where order volumes have significantly increased since the beginning of the year [1] - The communication ETF (515880) has nearly 50% exposure to optical modules, and the combined exposure to "optical modules + servers + optical fibers + copper connections" exceeds 75%, making it a core engine for computing power investments [1]

Group 1 - The short-term fluctuations do not alter the long-term growth outlook for AI, with a clear trend emerging in the industry [1] - North America is experiencing rapid growth in cloud revenue, which is positively impacting computing infrastructure, creating a virtuous cycle [1] - Domestic cloud vendors are also showing similar trends, indicating a broader acceleration in AI growth [1] Group 2 - The release of high-performance large models this year, following the launch of NVIDIA's GB200, has supplemented computing resources for cloud vendors [1] - The software development pace has also improved, contributing to the industrialization of AI, which is currently in its early to mid-stage of growth [1] - The market for optical modules and PCB is expanding, with growth rates likely not peaking this year, suggesting potential for upward valuation adjustments [1] Group 3 - Continuous investment in computing infrastructure both domestically and internationally is expected to maintain high demand in the optical module market [1] - As of September 3, the scale of the communication ETF (515880) exceeded 12 billion, with "optical modules + servers + copper connections + optical fibers" accounting for over 77% [1] - Optical modules represent 50% of this composition, highlighting investment opportunities in related sectors [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The conference call discusses **沃尔核材 (Wolong Materials)**, a key player in the **copper cable market**. The company’s subsidiary, **乐庭 (Letin)**, is identified as a leading entity in this sector. The market size for copper cables is projected to reach **20-40 billion RMB** in 2025 and **100 billion RMB** in 2026, with potential growth to **100-200 billion RMB** in the future [2][6]. Key Points and Arguments - **Copper Connection Advantages**: Copper connections are cost-effective for short-distance transmission, particularly in the context of AI applications. They avoid additional costs associated with optical devices and chips, maintaining high cost-performance ratios [2][3]. - **Challenges in Copper Connection**: Despite their advantages, copper connections face performance challenges due to high-density wiring, necessitating insulation layers to mitigate these issues [2][3][4]. - **Future Technology Path**: The upcoming **Ruby Ultra** product, expected in 2027, will utilize the **NVL576 architecture**, which involves a dual-layer network structure. This will allow copper connections to handle second-layer interconnections, with value increasing alongside chip upgrades [2][5]. - **Strategic Partnerships**:沃尔核材 has established a long-term partnership with **安菲诺 (Amphenol)**, which has enabled the company to anticipate industry trends and procure necessary equipment effectively [2][7]. - **Operational Improvements**: The company has secured copper cable equipment from an Austrian manufacturer, with deliveries expected by the end of this year and into next year, which is anticipated to enhance operational performance [2][6]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Positioning**:沃尔核材 is positioned as a significant player in the copper cable market, with its subsidiary乐庭 leading the sector. The company’s proactive approach in securing equipment and partnerships has been crucial for its market success [2][6][7]. - **Growth Projections**: The company expects a sequential increase in profits and revenues in the fourth quarter, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2][8]. - **Investment Recommendation**: Given the current valuation and growth potential,沃尔核材 is recommended for continued investment focus, with ongoing monitoring of its developments [2][8].

2025年08月24日 证券研究报告 | 数据中心互联技术专题四： CSP云厂AI军备竞赛加速，智算中心架构快速发展 国信通信·行业专题报告 行业研究 · 行业专题 通信 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：袁文翀 联系人：赵屿 021-60375411 021-61761068 yuanwenchong@guosen.com.cn zhaoyu6@guosen.com.cn S0980523110003 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 投资摘要 CSP互联网云厂AI军备竞赛进入2.0时代，智算中心互联技术发展快速迭代。自2023年，ChatGPT3.5 点燃 "大模型革命"起，AI发展万众 瞩目，各大科技公司纷纷投入大模型研发并加大智算中心建设。根据CSP厂商的Capex指引，预计2025年，海外亚马逊、谷歌 、微软 、 Meta四家厂商合计Capex增至3610亿美元，同比增幅超58%；国内字节、腾讯、阿里Capex有望超过3600亿元。本轮AI浪潮前期，英伟达作为 AI芯片领军企业，其AI芯片供不应求；随着CSP云厂持续加大智算中心投入，具备更高性价比的自研ASIC算力芯片成为AI ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a collective decline in the three major indices last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.24%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 15,981.54 billion yuan [2][7]. - In terms of industry performance, sectors such as environmental protection, media, and light manufacturing led the gains, while oil and petrochemicals, national defense and military industry, and steel sectors faced declines. Concept stocks related to animal vaccines, DRG/DIP, and BC batteries saw the highest increases, while those related to the China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, military equipment restructuring, and domestic aircraft carriers experienced the largest declines [2][7]. Important News - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July fell short of expectations, with only 73,000 jobs added, marking a nine-month low and significantly below the anticipated 110,000. The unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2%. This data indicates a rapid slowdown in the U.S. labor market, raising concerns about a potential recession [3][8]. - OPEC+ has agreed to significantly increase oil production in September, with a planned increase of approximately 548,000 barrels per day, reversing the previous reduction of 2.2 million barrels per day in August [3][8]. Industry Insights Communication Industry - The communication industry index has significantly outperformed the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices in the first seven months of 2025, ranking third among 31 primary industries. The valuation level of the communication industry at the end of July 2025 is comparable to the beginning of the year, remaining within a reasonable range but higher than the historical three-year average [9]. - The industry is expected to benefit from the deep coverage of 5G infrastructure and the ongoing optimization of computing power infrastructure by the three major operators. The government is promoting the development of commercial aerospace and low-altitude economies, as well as nurturing future industries like quantum technology and 6G [9][10]. AI Computing Power Industry - The AI computing power industry is experiencing a surge in capital expenditure from leading domestic and international companies, with a significant increase in the usage of Tokens, which are essential for AI processing. This indicates a robust demand for computing power [10][11]. - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to grow, with a focus on liquid cooling technology and high-speed optical connections. The growth in AI applications is driving the demand for optical modules and copper connections, with domestic suppliers positioned favorably in the global market [11]. Low-altitude Economy and Satellite Internet - The low-altitude economy is seeing infrastructure optimization, with leading eVTOL companies obtaining necessary licenses, indicating a move towards commercial operations. The government is actively promoting policies to support the development of this sector [12]. - The satellite internet industry in China is progressing with the launch of low-orbit satellites, and advancements in technology are accelerating the commercialization of satellite internet services, including mobile direct satellite connections [12][13]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the AI computing power industry and the low-altitude economy as key investment opportunities. Specific areas of interest include the enhancement of AI infrastructure, the surge in Token usage, and the development of low-altitude economic infrastructure [13][19]. - Investors are encouraged to monitor the growth of AI applications and the demand for computing power, as well as the advancements in satellite internet technology and its commercial applications [19].

Core Insights - In 2025, overseas cloud service providers will significantly increase capital expenditures, accelerating the construction of computing power infrastructure, while AI terminal applications will flourish [4][11] - Telecom operators are positioned for both dividends and growth, with a continuous tilt towards intelligent computing investments [8][19] - The AI computing chain will maintain high prosperity across multiple segments, including optical modules, copper connections, liquid cooling, domestic servers, and IDC [4][9] Telecom Operators - The three major telecom operators have consistently delivered strong performance, with dividend payout ratios steadily increasing, making dividend returns attractive [8][19] - The construction of intelligent computing centers is accelerating, with a large procurement of domestic intelligent computing cards, significantly improving GPU utilization and sales rates [8][19] - Despite entering a downward cycle in total CAPEX, the proportion of computing power investments continues to rise, indicating increased investment intensity in the AI industry chain [8][19] AI Computing - In 2025, overseas cloud service providers' capital expenditures will reach a historical high, driven by demand for AI training and inference, leading to sustained high prosperity across various segments [9][30] - The demand for optical modules is rising, with significant revenue and profit growth for manufacturers in Q1 2025 [9][30] - The copper connection segment is benefiting from high-density interconnects, with manufacturers actively laying out high-speed line modules [9][30] AI Applications - AI large models are reducing costs and improving efficiency, leading to rapid evolution of AI terminal forms across various categories [10][11] - Module manufacturers are upgrading to intelligent and computing modules, significantly enhancing the value of individual products [10][11] - Companies like Guanghe Tong and Meige Intelligent are leveraging model platforms and self-developed AI stacks to empower traditional terminal upgrades [10][11] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on telecom operators such as China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, as well as key players in optical modules and domestic computing [11][19] - The current valuation of the sector remains low, offering high cost-performance for allocation [11][19] - Specific recommendations include companies like YF Communication, Huafeng Technology, and Yingweike in the domestic computing space [11][19]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing mixed performance with a slight increase in major indices, while individual stocks show a predominance of declines, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1][2]. Market Overview - As of the midday break, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% to 3378.82, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.16% to 10160.75, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.32% to 2031.39 [1][2]. - Overall, more than 3000 stocks in the market declined, reflecting a bearish trend despite the index gains [2]. Sector Performance - The football concept stocks are surging, with Jinling Sports achieving a three-day limit up of 20% [4][5]. - The computing power industry chain is strengthening, with sectors like CPO and copper connections leading the gains [4]. - Other active sectors include virtual power plants, circuit boards, 6G, rare earth permanent magnets, IP economy, and digital currency, while gold, innovative drugs, and new consumption concept stocks are experiencing pullbacks [4]. News Impact - The recent popularity of the Jiangsu Province's first urban football league ("Su Chao") has sparked interest in the A-share market, driving consumer sentiment and regional cultural engagement [6]. - Analyst Wu Jincao from Dongwu Securities notes that the excitement surrounding "Su Chao" reflects emotional consumption linked to regional characteristics, suggesting potential short-term performance for sports-related companies [6]. Capital Flow - Morning net inflows were observed in sectors such as electronics, communications, media, computers, and machinery, while net outflows were noted in pharmaceuticals, banking, transportation, agriculture, and retail [7]. - Specific stocks like Hengbao Co., Shenghong Technology, and Zhongji Xuchuang saw net inflows of 928 million, 700 million, and 620 million respectively [8]. - Conversely, stocks like Debang Co., Ningde Times, and BYD faced net outflows of 644 million, 312 million, and 290 million respectively [9]. Institutional Insights - Guodu Securities suggests that the market is consolidating below the 3400-point level, indicating potential opportunities for investors to enter at lower prices, particularly in new consumption sectors [11]. - Huaxi Securities highlights the market's positive pricing of improved US-China trade relations, while cautioning against the potential volatility of Trump's tariff policies [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AIDC power equipment and grid industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - Domestic and international cloud service providers have significantly increased capital expenditures in Q1, indicating a rising investment sentiment in the domestic power grid [4] - The power equipment capacity can reach 3-5 times that of computing chips, with the supply and distribution market expected to reach 73 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a general increase in stock prices, with lead-acid batteries, HVDC, and UPS showing the highest gains [4] - The industry is characterized by a long power transmission chain, with global giants like Eaton and Schneider having established strong product lines and solution capabilities, while domestic companies are gaining competitive advantages [4] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for AIDC construction, with significant capital expenditures expected from major cloud providers [4] Summary by Sections AIDC Power Equipment - Major cloud companies like Tencent and Alibaba have ramped up their AI computing infrastructure investments, with Tencent's capital expenditure reaching 27.48 billion yuan, up 91% year-on-year, and Alibaba's at 24.612 billion yuan, up 121% [4][16] - The global data center's IT load is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48% from 2024 to 2026 [4] - The AIDC power equipment sector is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for power supply equipment, including transformers and UPS systems [4] Grid Industry - In March 2025, the national power engineering investment reached 56.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, while the grid engineering investment was 52 billion yuan, an increase of 18.4% year-on-year [30] - The National Grid's investment in ultra-high voltage equipment is expected to see significant growth in 2025, with a projected annual investment exceeding 650 billion yuan [4] - The bidding results for the National Grid's transmission and transformation equipment show a total bid amount of 17.636 billion yuan, an increase of 12.7% year-on-year [60]

Group 1: Cloud Computing and AI Infrastructure - The outlook for capital expenditure from cloud giants is positive, with significant growth observed in core companies such as optical modules and copper connections in Q1 [1][2] - Google's Q1 2025 report indicated a 28% year-on-year increase in cloud revenue, with capital expenditure reaching $17.2 billion (up 43% year-on-year) and an expected annual capital expenditure of $75 billion [1] - Amazon clarified that its recent adjustments in data center leasing are part of routine capacity management and do not indicate a reduction in overall data center construction plans [1] Group 2: Domestic Computing Power and AIDC Sector - The AIDC sector is driven by expectations as new capacity investments take time to convert into revenue, with significant growth in fixed assets and construction projects reported by companies like Runze Technology and Aofei Data [3] - Changes in H20 sales regulations are expected to accelerate the adoption of domestic computing power in the second half of the year, with companies like Ascend, Haiguang, and Cambricon being highlighted as key players [3] Group 3: Optical Communication and Copper Connection - Strong capital expenditure is leading to high certainty in performance for sectors such as optical modules, PCB, copper connections, and power supplies, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng reporting substantial profit increases [2] - In the copper connection sector, companies like Wolong Nuclear Materials and Dingtong Technology reported year-on-year profit increases of 39% and 212%, respectively [2] Group 4: Military Information Technology - The recovery of orders in military information technology is notable, with satellite internet projects expected to drive demand for new satellite payloads and ground terminal equipment [4] Group 5: Recommended Stocks - Key stocks to watch in the optical communication sector include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Shijia Photon [5] - In the copper connection sector, recommended stocks include Wolong Nuclear Materials and Dingtong Technology [6] - For domestic computing power, companies like Cambricon and Haiguang are highlighted, while in military information technology, stocks such as Chengchang Technology and Zhenlei Technology are recommended [6]