"狐狸知道很多事，而刺猬只知道一件大事。" 古希腊寓言中，狐狸应对挑战，总是诡计百出；而刺猬很简单，只用一个核心策略（蜷缩成刺球），就能频频化解危机。 管理学家吉姆·柯林斯将其总结为"刺猬理论"： 面对复杂环境，像刺猬一样，聚焦于核心优势，专注而坚定，反而能穿越周期。 今年前三季度，中国资产迎来全面重估，那些在市场底部坚持深耕、敢于逆周期布局的"刺猬"们，终于迎来了自己的反攻时刻。 国泰海通的数据显示，今年三季度，165家公募基金公司的主动权益基金全部获得了正收益，平均收益为25.93%； 在最近三年的市场长跑中，超9成的公司取得了正收益，收益率均值为21.51%。 在这场业绩大反攻中，华夏基金更是频频霸榜，实现了全系列、多战线的集体突破。 全系列业绩大爆发背后，华夏基金究竟藏了什么大招？ 2024年2月5日，上证指数定格在了2635点。彼时的A股市场，弥漫着绝望的气息，没人想到，这个点位，竟是A股长达三年调整的最终底部。 就在市场陷入整体迷茫时，时任华夏基金总经理李一梅发表了一篇新年致辞，里面提到了5个字：逆周期布局。 这5个字，看似简单，却成了华夏基金接下来一年里最坚定的行动指南。 要知道，2024年的A ...

Core Insights - The report presents two industry rotation models: one based on similar expected return differentials and another based on changes in analyst expectations, both aimed at identifying investment opportunities in various sectors [11][22]. Group 1: Similar Expected Return Differential Model - The latest configuration suggests focusing on sectors such as coal, communication, basic chemicals, automotive, real estate, and machinery [21]. - In September 2025, the model achieved a monthly return of +4.56%, outperforming the equal-weighted industry index by +3.66% [21]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 shows that the model has a mean Information Coefficient (IC) of 0.09, indicating strong selection ability [14][15]. Group 2: Analyst Expectation Change Model - The latest configuration highlights sectors including non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, communication, steel, and computers [33]. - In September 2025, the model recorded a monthly return of +1.03%, with an excess return of +0.13% over the equal-weighted industry index [33]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 indicates a mean IC of 0.06, demonstrating significant industry selection capability [23][24]. Group 3: ETF Portfolio Construction - The recommended ETF portfolio for October 2025 includes sectors such as non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, communication, basic chemicals, and automotive [35]. - Specific ETFs listed include the Huabao CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF and the Southern CSI Non-Ferrous Metals ETF, among others, with significant fund shares [35].

中国资产大爆发，港A股领涨全球! 万得中概股100指数、恒生科技指数、万得全A、沪深300霸榜2025年三季度全球大类资产涨幅榜TOP4，上证指数、恒生指数紧随其后。 今年以来，科创100、创业板50领跑A股。 科技牛市中，ETF成为锋利的矛! 三季度，通信ETF、5G通信ETF涨超80%;5GETF、人工智能ETF、锂电池ETF、电池ETF涨超70%;通信设备ETF、科创芯片ETF、双创龙头ETF、双创 ETF、双创50ETF等涨超65%。 今年以来 ，港股医药领涨，港股创新药ETF、港股创新药50ETF、港股通医疗ETF富国、恒生创新药ETF翻倍;通信ETF、黄金股ETF、创业板人工智能ETF 涨幅居前。 (本文内容均为客观数据信息罗列，不构成任何投资建议) 三季度，创业板50、创业板指涨超50%;科创50、科创100涨超40%。 恒生科技、恒生指数、万得全A今年以来领涨全球主要指数。 ETF规模突破5万亿。截至9月30日，国内ETF规模达5.63万亿，较年初规模增长1.89万亿。其中，股票型ETF最新规模3.71万亿，占比66%。 从资金流向看，三季度超3147亿元资金净流入ETF，年初至今ETF市场吸 ...

A股三大指数今日集体下跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌0.65%，深证成指跌1.76%，创业板指跌2.6%。 沪深京三市全天成交额21661亿元，较上日缩量2257亿元。全市场超3400只个股下跌。板块题材上，风 电设备、化学纤维、农化制品、大豆、纺织制造、军工装备板块涨幅居前；游戏、算力硬件、光刻机、 消费电子板块跌幅居前。 （责任编辑：刘畅 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ETF方面，博时基金全指现金流ETF基金涨4.6%，最新溢折率为3.68%。港股金融股飘红，华夏基 金港股通金融ETF和广发基金港股通非银ETF分别涨1.36%和1.01%。红利策略ETF表现活跃，摩根基金 港股红利指数ETF、景顺长城基金港股红利低波ETF分别涨1.3%、1.15%。 AI应用端回调居前，游戏ETF、游戏ETF华泰柏瑞均跌4%。云计算板块全线跌幅居前，数据ETF、 云计算ETF广发均跌5%。算力板块全线 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow of funds into stock ETFs exceeded 5.18 billion yuan on September 24, indicating a positive market sentiment and a rebound in various sectors such as semiconductors, new energy, and brokerage firms [2][5]. Fund Inflows and Outflows - On September 24, the total net inflow into stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) was 51.8 billion yuan, bringing the latest total scale to 4.46 trillion yuan [5]. - The top five sectors with net inflows were: - Semiconductors: 32.4 billion yuan - CSI A500: 28.3 billion yuan - Communications: 9.0 billion yuan - CSI 500: 7.8 billion yuan - Gold: 7.3 billion yuan [5]. - The top five sectors with net outflows included: - Sci-Tech 50: -18.6 billion yuan - Shanghai 50: -6.0 billion yuan - CSI 300: -5.2 billion yuan - New Energy: -4.9 billion yuan - ChiNext: -4.3 billion yuan [5][10]. Fund Company Performance - E Fund's ETF products reached a total scale of 801.25 billion yuan, with an increase of 11.21 billion yuan on September 24 and a year-to-date increase of 200.6 billion yuan [5]. - On September 24, the A500 ETF from E Fund saw a net inflow of 6.4 billion yuan, while the AI ETF and Consumer Electronics ETF had net inflows of 2 billion yuan and 1.7 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - Huaxia Fund's A500 ETF and 5G Communication ETF had significant net inflows of 5.26 billion yuan and 4.58 billion yuan, respectively [6]. Market Trends and Outlook - The market showed a rebound with the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index reaching new highs, driven by sectors like semiconductors, new energy, and consumer electronics [4]. - Guotai Fund expressed a bullish outlook on the market, emphasizing that emerging technologies remain the main focus, with potential for recovery in Hong Kong's technology and pharmaceutical sectors [10]. - Everbright's analysis indicated that the recent tech rally is supported by fundamental changes in the industry, suggesting that the tech sector has not yet reached overheating levels [11].

中证网讯 9月24日午后，A股市场震荡走高，早盘回调居前的光模块CPO、PCB等AI算力概念盘中拉 升、跌幅收窄。截至收盘，热门ETF中，5G通信ETF（515050）涨0.28%，持仓股立讯精密、中贝通信 涨超6%，三安光电、电连技术涨超4%，该ETF成交额超8亿元，显示资金交投活跃。 资料显示，5G通信ETF（515050）跟踪的中证5G通信主题指数，深度聚焦英伟达、苹果、华为产业 链，光模块CPO概念股权重占比为38%，PCB电路板概念股权重占比为14%。前十大持仓股为新易盛、 中际旭创、立讯精密、工业富联、中兴通讯、兆易创新、沪电股份、天孚通信、歌尔股份、东山精密， 权重合计62.27%。相关ETF全称为华夏中证5G通信主题ETF（515050），最新规模超90亿元，场外联接 （A类：008086；C类：008087）。 华创证券表示，当前国产算力板块中芯片来源仍为亟待解决的痛点，头部厂商如华为、阿里、寒武纪、 海光等均积极公开自身技术路线及产品规划，同时超节点规划亦有望从系统层面补齐集群算力效率，从 而逐步填补国产算力板块在训练侧的空白，建议关注国产算力板块中通信互联及服务器等相关企业。 （王宇露） ...

Group 1 - Nvidia and OpenAI announced a strategic partnership to build and deploy at least 10 gigawatts of AI data centers, equipped with millions of Nvidia GPUs for next-generation AI infrastructure [1] - Nvidia plans to invest up to $100 billion to support the deployment of data centers and power capacity, with the first phase expected to go live in the second half of 2026 [1] - Following the announcement, Nvidia's stock price initially dropped by 1.1% but quickly rebounded, closing up over 3.9% and reaching a new all-time high [1] Group 2 - The exponential growth in AI computing power demand is driving the long-term growth of the optical module industry, necessitating faster and more efficient data transmission capabilities [2] - The AI computing infrastructure has formed a complete closed loop from investment to commercial realization, with leading overseas cloud providers creating a comprehensive ecosystem from chips to applications [2] Group 3 - The Huaxia AI ETF (159381) tracks the entrepreneurial AI index, with over 50% weight in optical module CPO, and the top three weighted stocks being Xinyiseng (20.3%), Zhongji Xuchuang (18.8%), and Tianfu Communication (6.5%) [3] - The Huaxia 5G Communication ETF (515050) focuses on the 5G communication theme index, with a scale exceeding 8 billion yuan, emphasizing Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei's supply chains [3]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a significant rally on September 11, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.65%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.36%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.15% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 24,646 billion yuan, an increase of 4,606 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market saw gains, with technology sectors such as CPO, copper cable high-speed connections, semiconductors, photolithography machines, and satellite communications leading the increases [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that the core driving force behind the recent rise in A-shares has not fundamentally changed, with a phase of "institutional + individual" resonance inflow occurring [2] - The AI industry chain is experiencing a resurgence, supported by a three-dimensional resonance of policy, technology, and demand, with domestic chip and cloud computing leaders gradually validating their performance [2] - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) has a scale exceeding 8 billion yuan and focuses on the supply chains of companies like Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei, with a 42% weight in optical communication stocks [3]

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.65%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 3.36%, and the ChiNext Index surging by 5.15%, surpassing the 3000-point mark and reaching a new three-year high [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 24,646 billion yuan, an increase of 4,606 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market saw gains [1] Sector Highlights - The computing power, semiconductor, and consumer electronics sectors showed explosive growth, with brokerage firms, AI applications, and robotics themes leading the gains [1] - In the ETF market, the AI hardware sector experienced a significant surge, with the Silver Hua Fund 5G ETF, Guotai Fund Communication ETF, and Huaxia Fund 5G Communication ETF all hitting the daily limit, with latest premium/discount rates of 0.82%, 1.2%, and 0.79% respectively [1] - Consumer electronics concept stocks performed strongly, with the Huabao Fund Electronics ETF and Tianhong Fund Electronics ETF rising by 8.14% and 7.72% respectively [1] - The chip sector also saw upward movement, with the Huitianfu Fund Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF and the Jiashi Fund Sci-Tech Chip ETF increasing by 7.75% and 7.54% respectively [1] Hong Kong and International Markets - The innovative drug sector in the Hong Kong market rebounded from a low point, although the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETFs from Jiashi and Hang Seng both fell by 2.3% [1] - The German stock market saw a decline, with the German ETF dropping by 0.67% [1]

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance on the 11th, with the Communication ETF (515880) leading gains at 8.97%, followed by the Cloud 50 ETF (560660) at 8.27%, and the 5G Communication ETF (515050) at 8.10% [2] - The worst performers included the Hang Seng Innovative Drug ETF (159316) which fell by 4.53%, the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (520700) down 4.06%, and the QDII Innovative Drug ETF by Harvest (520970) which decreased by 3.99% [2] - The total trading volume of ETFs reached 2426.43 billion, with stock ETFs accounting for 1314.36 billion, bond ETFs at 507.99 billion, money market ETFs at 170.97 billion, commodity ETFs at 33.33 billion, and QDII ETFs at 399.78 billion [2] Group 2 - The highest trading volumes among non-money market ETFs were recorded for the E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF (513090) at 109.64 billion, followed by the GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug (QDII-ETF) (513120) at 102.63 billion, and the Huatai-PineBridge National Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (159570) at 51.49 billion [2]