Group 1: Macro Analysis - The risk of a U.S. government shutdown is approaching 80% if a new funding bill is not passed by the end of the month, which could lead to economic data being withheld and complicate Federal Reserve decisions [2] - In the event of a shutdown, gold is expected to outperform U.S. stocks and bonds [2] Group 2: Industry Research - U.S. Antimony Corporation (USAC) has secured a five-year exclusive contract with the U.S. Department of Defense worth up to $245 million for the supply of antimony metal ingots, highlighting the strategic value of antimony [3] - Antimony prices have fluctuated this year, influenced by export policies and demand changes, with potential for domestic price increases as exports are expected to recover [3] Group 3: Company Research - Gree Electric Appliances (000651.SZ) has a projected dividend yield exceeding 7% for 2025, indicating strong value characteristics, with a current expected yield of 7.7% based on a profit forecast of 33 billion yuan and a 52% cash dividend rate [4] - Historically, Gree's expected dividend yield has exceeded 7% approximately 31% of the time from 2013 to 2024, supporting a "buy" rating with a target price of 54.10 yuan [4]

Group 1 - As of the end of August 2025, the total bond custody amount in China reached 174.54 trillion yuan, with a net increase of 1.51 trillion yuan month-on-month, although this was a decrease of 0.24 trillion yuan compared to the end of July [5] - The Democratic Republic of the Congo announced an extension of the cobalt export ban until October 15, 2025, transitioning to a quota system thereafter, with the country accounting for 76.3% of global cobalt production in 2024 [5] - USAC received a five-year exclusive contract from the US Department of Defense worth up to $245 million for the supply of antimony metal ingots, highlighting the strategic value of antimony [5] Group 2 - In the first eight months of 2025, the export growth rates for electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers were 1%, -5%, and 45% respectively, while forklifts, machine tools, and industrial sewing machines saw growth rates of 1%, 14%, and 16% respectively [7] - The export growth rates for major engineering machinery categories, including excavators, tractors, and mining machinery, were 14%, 25%, 30%, and 23% respectively [7] Group 3 - The global market size for brain-computer interfaces is expected to reach $7.63 billion by 2029, driven by policy support and demand from conditions like stroke and ALS [8] - The expected dividend yield for Gree Electric exceeded 7% in 2025, with a historical trend indicating a bottoming characteristic, supported by a projected profit of 33 billion yuan and a 52% cash dividend rate [8]

Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.19% at 46,292.78 points, the S&P 500 down 0.55% at 6,656.92 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.95% at 22,573.47 points, ending a three-day streak of record highs [1] - In Europe, the FTSE 100 index in London closed at 9,223.32 points, down 0.04%, while the CAC 40 index in Paris rose 0.54% to 7,872.02 points, and the DAX index in Frankfurt increased by 0.36% to 23,611.33 points [2] Group 2: Corporate Developments - OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank announced plans to build five new data centers across the U.S. as part of the government-supported AI project "Stargate," with three centers to be built by OpenAI and Oracle in Texas and New Mexico, and two centers in collaboration with SoftBank in Ohio and Texas [3] - American Antimony Corporation received a five-year exclusive contract from the U.S. Department of Defense worth up to $245 million to supply antimony metal ingots, leading to a more than 13% increase in the company's stock price [4] - Micron Technology reported a 46% year-over-year increase in adjusted revenue for Q4, reaching $11.32 billion, with an adjusted EPS of $3.03, and projected Q1 revenue between $12.2 billion and $12.8 billion, driven by AI demand and tightening DRAM supply [5] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The OECD raised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from its June prediction, while growth is expected to slow to 2.9% in 2026 [8]

Market Performance - Major global indices showed mixed performance on Tuesday, with US markets declining, particularly the Nasdaq which fell approximately 1% [1] - The decline in US markets was attributed to investor concerns regarding the sustainability of the AI bull market and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicating that stock prices are high [1] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil futures rose by 1.81%, closing at $63.41 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 1.60%, closing at $67.63 per barrel [2] - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.58%, closing at $3796.9 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose by 0.12%, closing at $44.265 per ounce [2] Company Developments - OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank announced plans to build five new data centers across the US to expand the government-supported AI project "Stargate" [13] - Cathie Wood's Ark Invest purchased Alibaba Group's stock for the first time in four years, with a total value of approximately $16.3 million, driven by Alibaba's advancements in AI [14] - US Antimony Corporation received a five-year exclusive contract from the Pentagon worth up to $245 million for the supply of antimony metal ingots, leading to a stock price increase of over 13% [15] - Micron Technology reported a 46% year-over-year increase in adjusted revenue for Q4, amounting to $11.32 billion, driven by AI demand and tightening DRAM supply [16]