Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The internet healthcare sector is entering a stable growth phase, with online pharmaceutical retail penetration expected to accelerate. Non-pharmaceutical products like nutritional supplements and home medical devices are well-suited for online retail, while the pharmaceutical market's online penetration is still low but poised for growth due to changing consumer behaviors and regulatory support [6][27][30]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 27,026.56 million in FY2024, increasing to RMB 39,029.33 million by FY2028, reflecting a revenue growth rate of 0.98% in FY2024 and an average of 8.33% from FY2025 to FY2028 [2]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to rise from RMB 1,438.27 million in FY2024 to RMB 3,355.45 million by FY2028, with a significant growth rate of 91.64% in FY2024 [2]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in gross margin from 21.81% in FY2024 to 25.85% in FY2028, alongside an increase in return on equity (ROE) from 6.07% to 13.00% over the same period [2]. Company Overview - The company operates in three main segments: 1P pharmaceutical self-operated business, 3P pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business, and innovative healthcare and digital services [17]. - The self-operated pharmaceutical business accounted for 85.4% of the company's revenue in FY2025, while the e-commerce platform business contributed 11.7% [17]. Market Trends - The report highlights a favorable regulatory environment for online healthcare, with policies gradually promoting online medical insurance coverage and the legitimacy of internet hospitals [27][28]. - The penetration rates for nutritional supplements and home medical devices are increasing, while the pharmaceutical sector is expected to see rapid growth in online retail penetration due to evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes [30][31]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the internet healthcare sector is expected to stabilize, with a clear distinction emerging between B2C and O2O models. The report notes that while O2O instant retail will continue to grow, its penetration in certain product categories may remain limited [45][49]. Innovation and Growth Opportunities - The company is actively exploring AI applications in healthcare, enhancing operational efficiency and developing AI-assisted diagnostic tools. This strategic focus on AI is expected to improve service delivery and patient outcomes [52][58]. - The report also mentions the company's cloud hospital and digital service initiatives, which are anticipated to provide significant growth opportunities in the future [52].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Health reported strong financial results for the fiscal year 2025, marking the third consecutive year of revenue and net profit growth, driven by increased user engagement and innovation in its business model [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, Alibaba Health achieved a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 1.432 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 62.2% year-on-year [2]. - Adjusted net profit reached 1.95 billion yuan, up 35.6% compared to the previous year [1][2]. Historical Performance - Alibaba Health's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, increasing from 9.596 billion yuan in fiscal year 2020 to 30.598 billion yuan in fiscal year 2025 [3]. - The net profit has fluctuated but generally trended upwards, from a loss of 6.586 million yuan in fiscal year 2020 to a profit of 1.432 billion yuan in fiscal year 2025 [3]. Business Development - The company has enhanced its one-stop healthcare service capabilities, focusing on improving user experience through better product offerings and services [4]. - The Tmall Health platform has seen steady growth, with a significant increase in annual GMV and active users, and the number of online products grew by over 91% to 133 million [4]. Investment in Innovation - Alibaba Health invested 720 million yuan in product development during fiscal year 2025, focusing on AI technology, business optimization, and digital traceability [5]. - The company’s self-operated pharmaceutical business generated over 26.124 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% [5]. Market Position and Stock Performance - Alibaba Health's stock price saw a cumulative increase of over 60% in February and March due to the recovery of the Hong Kong tech sector and interest in AI healthcare concepts, but has since declined [7]. - As of May 20, the stock price was 4.89 HKD per share, with a total market capitalization of 78.7 billion HKD [7].