证券日报网讯 1月9日，中瓷电子在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司在精密陶瓷零部件领域，已 全面突破静电卡盘材料、设计和工艺各环节，已达到国际同类产品水平并通过用户验证并批量供货；静 电卡盘技术参数对标国际同类产品水平并通过用户上机验证，已有多款产品进入批量供货阶段，赢得头 部客户高度认可。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

存储大周期的投资机会梳理 20260107 摘要 国内半导体设备板块被低估，长鑫存储等公司盈利能力强劲，预计 2030 年资本开支或达 500-600 亿美元，行业龙头公司估值和股价空间 将被打开。 阿里云千问大模型在全球范围内具有竞争力，其背后的算力支持及供应 链存在投资机会，对阿里云 2026 年收入持乐观态度。 协创数据是国内最大的第三方算力租赁平台，受益于国内 IDC 建设周期 短和融资成本低的优势，相较海外市场更具发展潜力。 存储进入超级周期，存储涨价将大幅增加厂商盈利，加速中国存储在全 球市场占有率提升，以阿里为代表的开源大模型展现全球竞争力。 协创科技与阿里云建立战略合作，是国内少数获得 NV 官方背书认证的 服务商，累计采购 221 亿元用于投算力租赁和购买卡片，未来计划翻倍 投资。 科玛科技的陶瓷加热器业务取得突破，市场需求极大，预计 2026 年收 入将比 2025 年增长 4 倍，总收入约 3 亿元，毛利率高达 70-80%。 中微公司受益于存储客户订单增加和国产化率提升，预计在十五五规划 期间总收入可达 90-100 亿美元，目标市值可达 4,000 亿元。 Q&A 近期市场上存储产业 ...

Core Conclusion - Advanced ceramics are positioned as the "crown jewel of the materials industry," achieving a critical phase of import substitution in strategic fields such as semiconductors, new energy, and optical communication. The three companies—Guoci Materials, Sanhuan Group, and Kema Technology—are building competitive barriers through differentiated track layouts: Guoci focuses on a powder-based multi-field platform, Sanhuan monopolizes niche markets with full-chain capabilities, and Kema leverages semiconductor domestic substitution for high growth. Together, they share the trillion-level market dividend [1]. Business Overview: Differentiated Tracks Constructing Domestic Ceramic Industry Ecosystem - Guoci Materials (300285) is positioned as a leading advanced ceramic powder platform, while Sanhuan Group (300408) serves as a comprehensive solution provider for the entire ceramic industry chain, and Kema Technology (301611) is a benchmark for semiconductor advanced ceramic components and domestic substitution [2]. - Guoci's core products include MLCC dielectric powders, honeycomb ceramics, and dental zirconia, while Sanhuan offers optical fiber ceramic inserts and SOFC membranes, and Kema specializes in ceramic heaters and etching machine components [2]. - Revenue structures show Guoci's focus on electronic materials (42%), Sanhuan's on communication devices (38%), and Kema's on semiconductor ceramic components (92%) [2]. In-depth Business Characteristics - Guoci Materials employs a "powder + acquisition" strategy to build a cross-field platform, breaking Japan's monopoly with water-thermal barium titanate powder, achieving over 25% global market share and over 80% domestic MLCC powder market share [3][4]. - Sanhuan Group has a vertical integration model, achieving over 70% global market share in optical fiber ceramic inserts and 80% in SOFC membranes, with a self-manufacturing rate of 90% for equipment [6][8]. - Kema Technology holds a 72% market share in domestic advanced structural ceramics and over 80% in etching equipment ceramic parts, with a focus on upgrading products to higher-margin modules [10]. Core Barriers: Technology, Customers, and Industry Chain - Guoci Materials has achieved breakthroughs in powder synthesis and nanostructured zirconia, with a purity of 99.9% for barium titanate powder [11]. - Sanhuan Group's proprietary technology includes ultra-thin YSZ membranes with over 99% density and a lifespan exceeding 40,000 hours [11]. - Kema Technology's innovations include plasma-resistant ceramics and precision processing techniques, with a focus on long-term contracts with major clients [11]. Development Potential: Growth Logic of Domestic Substitution and Scene Expansion - Key growth drivers include the high-end upgrade of MLCCs for Guoci, SOFC station proliferation and optical communication for Sanhuan, and semiconductor equipment expansion for Kema [15][16]. - The target market by 2030 includes electronic materials at $20 billion, catalytic materials at $15 billion, and semiconductor ceramic components at $10 billion, with compound annual growth rates of 18%-22%, 25%-30%, and 35%-40% respectively [16]. Competitive Landscape - All three companies face competition from Japanese firms like Kyocera and Nippon Electric Glass, particularly in advanced processes below 7nm and high-end SOFCs [18]. - Domestic collaboration is evident, with Guoci supplying raw materials to Sanhuan and Kema, while Sanhuan's semiconductor devices complement Kema's equipment components, forming a domestic ceramic industry ecosystem [19].

Group 1: Financial Performance and Risk Management - The company has transitioned from positive to negative financial expenses primarily due to foreign exchange gains, and it has implemented a risk hedging mechanism to manage exchange rate fluctuations [2] - The company is currently profitable and has a sufficient backlog of orders, despite its stock price being underperforming compared to the market [3] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining financial stability and managing foreign exchange risks to enhance overall financial health [2] Group 2: Strategic Development and Market Position - The acquisition of Suzhou Kaixin Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. is expected to complement the company's existing product offerings in silicon carbide ceramics, enhancing its product layout [3] - The company is focused on addressing the critical component needs in the semiconductor equipment sector through increased R&D investment and production capacity expansion [5] - The company plans to use funds from the issuance of convertible bonds to build a production line for electrostatic chucks and expand the capacity for ceramic heaters [4] Group 3: Investor Relations and Communication - The company is committed to transparent communication regarding employee stock reduction plans and will disclose information as required by regulations [4] - The company acknowledges the impact of macroeconomic factors and market sentiment on stock price fluctuations and encourages investors to focus on long-term value [5] - There is currently no stock buyback plan, but the company aims to provide stable returns to shareholders based on its financial performance [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add-A" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [6][9]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in advanced ceramic materials in China, with expected earnings growth driven by the increasing demand for its modular products in the semiconductor supply chain [6][9]. - The company reported a revenue of 794 million yuan for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 28.86%, and a net profit of 245 million yuan, up 8.29% year-over-year [3][4]. - The company has successfully integrated its ceramic heater products into the supply chains of major domestic semiconductor manufacturers, which is expected to accelerate growth in 2026 [4][5]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 349 million yuan, representing a year-over-year growth of 12.3% [10][12]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 1.11 billion yuan in 2025 to 2.10 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 39.7% [10][12]. - The gross margin is projected to remain strong, with estimates of 54.5% in 2025 and increasing to 59.0% by 2027 [10][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is capitalizing on the domestic substitution trend in the semiconductor industry, with increasing orders from leading semiconductor equipment manufacturers [5][6]. - The company has established a comprehensive production system covering the entire value chain, which enhances supply chain security for its customers amid rising international trade protectionism [5][6]. - The company is focused on the development and mass production of high-purity aluminum oxide and high-thermal conductivity aluminum nitride, which are critical components in semiconductor manufacturing [5][6].

Summary of the Conference Call for 富创精密 Company Overview - **Company**: 富创精密 (Fuchuang Precision) - **Industry**: Semiconductor components and gas transmission systems Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 富创精密 achieved significant revenue growth, with quarterly revenue surpassing 1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24% [3] - Cumulative revenue from January to September increased by 18% year-on-year [3] - Gross margin has declined due to increased orders from Shenzhen clients, which have lower margins, and a shift in product structure where gas products rose from 28% to 44% of total sales, with gas cabinets accounting for 80% of the gas business [3][4] Strategic Focus - The company is shifting its strategic focus towards advanced processes, collaborating with key domestic clients to develop products, moving from an OEM model to participating in R&D [2][5] - Aiming to maintain revenue share while preserving gross margins, the company is committed to growing alongside its Shenzhen clients [5] Profit Outlook - Profit is expected to improve in 2026, with a potential profit inflection point around 2030, driven by national advanced process projects and a reduction in operating expenses [2][6] - The company is actively working on cost optimization, with a notable decrease in period expenses, including a one-time consulting fee of 30 million RMB and inventory write-downs exceeding 90 million RMB [6] Investment in 康帕 - 富创精密 holds a 26% stake in 康帕, which has not yet been consolidated into financial reports, but business synergies are already evident [2][7] - 康帕, a major gas transmission system supplier, has optimized gas cabinet costs, contributing to a 3% improvement in cost optimization in Q3 [7] Core Component Business - The core component business, including engine disks and heating disks, is progressing rapidly in terms of orders and mass production, laying a foundation for future profitability [2][8] - The company is adopting a major client strategy, providing one-stop services tailored to client needs, which differs from competitors [8] Production Capacity and International Expansion - The company is expanding production capacity in Beijing, Nantong, and internationally to meet future market demand [12] - The new Singapore factory has secured two overseas clients but is currently operating at high costs, expected to break even by 2026 [14] Depreciation Trends - Fixed assets are projected to peak at 400 million RMB by the end of 2025, with depreciation rates expected to gradually decline starting in 2026 [15][16] M&A Strategy - The company emphasizes the importance of a robust management model for scaling in the semiconductor component industry, with a focus on acquiring companies with strong profitability [17] Additional Important Insights - The transition to 3D NAND storage technology is increasing demands for components, leading to significant market growth opportunities [11] - The company is actively involved in joint development with clients to meet advanced process requirements, focusing on collaborative solutions rather than traditional sales relationships [10]

Core Viewpoint - Kema Technology (stock code: 301611) has demonstrated robust growth in its Q3 2025 report, achieving a revenue of 794 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.86%, and a net profit of 245 million yuan, up 8.29% [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, Kema Technology reported a revenue of 794 million yuan, reflecting a 28.86% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 245 million yuan, which is an 8.29% increase [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 274 million yuan, marking an 18.10% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of approximately 72.66 million yuan [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 183 million yuan, up 14.90% year-on-year, indicating improved operational quality and profitability [2] - Total assets grew to 2.475 billion yuan, a 25.83% increase from the previous year, while equity attributable to shareholders rose by 13.65% to 1.727 billion yuan [2] R&D and Technological Advancements - Kema Technology invested 73.98 million yuan in R&D during the first three quarters, a significant increase of 46.83%, highlighting its commitment to technological innovation [2] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in core technologies, particularly in the semiconductor equipment sector, facilitating the domestic replacement of critical components [3] - Kema's modular products have achieved mass production, leading to a notable increase in the overall gross margin of advanced ceramic materials [3] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Kema Technology has established a unique business model by integrating advanced ceramic materials with surface treatment services, creating competitive advantages in customer service and production [3] - The company has formed long-term partnerships with leading firms in the semiconductor industry, including major domestic and international players [6] Financing and Future Growth - Kema Technology's application for issuing convertible bonds has been accepted, aiming to raise up to 750 million yuan for expanding production capacity and enhancing liquidity [4][5] - The funding will support projects in structural functional modular ceramic components and silicon carbide materials for semiconductor equipment, strengthening its market position [4][5] - The company is poised for growth in the advanced ceramic materials sector, driven by increasing demand from emerging technologies such as 5G and AI [6][7] Strategic Direction - Kema Technology plans to continue increasing R&D investments and deepen strategic collaborations with clients to enhance its core competitiveness [7] - The company aims to become a leading provider of advanced ceramic material solutions on an international scale, driven by technological innovation and domestic replacement initiatives [7]

Core Insights - The 2025 Bay Area Semiconductor Industry Ecological Expo showcased significant technological breakthroughs in core equipment and key components, highlighting the path towards the localization of the semiconductor equipment industry in China [1] - The collaboration among various products and companies indicates a shift from isolated efforts to a comprehensive approach in achieving domestic substitution across the entire semiconductor supply chain [1] Equipment and Technology - Several core devices from companies listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board demonstrated industrialization achievements, such as the wafer-to-wafer hybrid bonding equipment from Tuojing Technology, which has already been delivered in bulk to advanced storage and logic chip production lines [1] - Huahai Qingke exhibited multiple high-performance equipment products that meet advanced process requirements, with applications in AI chips and HBM stacked packaging [1] - The introduction of a one-stop gas demand solution and core products like gas distribution plates by Fuchuang Precision highlights the acceleration of domestic component and supporting equipment localization [3] Market Position and Competition - Companies like Zhongke Feicai and Xinyuan Micro, in collaboration with Northern Huachuang, showcased competitive products such as 12-inch etching machines and coating development equipment, directly competing with international giants [2] - Shengmei Shanghai presented innovative equipment for advanced packaging, including the world's first horizontal plating equipment, which supports the transition from wafer-level to panel-level packaging for AI chips [2] Industry Growth and Development - The total shipment volume of equipment from Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies exceeded 16,000 units in 2024, with an average R&D investment intensity of 16.3% in the first half of 2025, surpassing the median levels of the sector and A-shares [3] - The number of patents accumulated by these companies exceeded 4,000 by the end of June, indicating a strong focus on innovation and technology development [3] - Industry experts noted that with national and industrial policy support, semiconductor equipment companies have accelerated technological breakthroughs and scale deliveries, positioning themselves as the main force in domestic semiconductor production [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Kema Technology (301611) with a "Buy" rating, projecting a neutral target price of 76 CNY per share and an upward target price of 89 CNY per share for the next six months [3][11]. Core Insights - The demand for Kema's products is driven by the 3D integration of storage chips and the upgrade of logic chip processes, particularly under the influence of AI, leading to a high growth trend in the demand for PECVD/ALD equipment [1][10]. - The company is expected to significantly increase its production capacity of aluminum nitride ceramic heaters from 60 units per month in 2024 to 200 units per month by the end of 2025, aligning with the shipping needs of core customers [1][10]. - Kema Technology is positioned as a leader in the domestic market with a low domestic substitution rate of around 14%, indicating substantial room for growth in the domestic replacement process [2][10]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected revenue for Kema Technology is expected to grow from 11.81 billion CNY in 2025 to 16.53 billion CNY in 2026, with a corresponding net profit of 4.28 billion CNY and 6.32 billion CNY respectively [4][56]. - The company’s PE ratios are projected to be 60 for 2025 and 41 for 2026, with a target valuation of 52x for 2026 [3][56]. - The report highlights that Kema's functional modules, including ceramic heaters and electrostatic chucks, are expected to account for a significant portion of revenue, with a notable increase in profit margins from 17% in 2023 to 36.3% in 2024 [25][56].

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities report indicates that Wanye Enterprise has successfully expanded its bismuth material processing business, leading to increased revenue and profit [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the bismuth business achieved sales revenue of 525 million yuan, accounting for 75% of total revenue [1] - The production capacity and sales volume have been increasing quarter by quarter, with a 450% quarter-on-quarter revenue growth in the second quarter [1] Group 2: Future Prospects - The company plans to complete the expansion of production capacity at its bismuth compound material bases in Jingzhou, Hubei, and Quzhou, Zhejiang, by the end of this year, positioning itself as a leader in the bismuth materials market [1] - Wanye Enterprise is expected to leverage the full industry chain advantages of its parent company, Xian Dao Group, to horizontally expand and vertically extend its semiconductor materials business [1] Group 3: Equipment and Collaboration - The company has achieved large-scale production of ion implanters, indicating significant potential in the domestic equipment replacement market [1] - There is deepening collaboration with the group in semiconductor equipment business, enhancing core components such as electrostatic chucks and flow meters [1] Group 4: Valuation - Based on comparable companies' 2025 price-to-earnings ratio of 75 times, a target price of 20.25 yuan is set, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]