Core Insights - The announcement of Jackson Wang as the global brand ambassador enhances the international positioning of the brand, leveraging his strong global fanbase and previous collaborations with high-end brands like Armani [1] - The company has a robust strategy for the Double Eleven sales event, focusing on profit and core products, with significant sales driven by collaborations with popular influencers [1][2] - The company is building a strong competitive moat through brand establishment, talent acquisition, resource procurement, and supply chain capabilities, aiming for long-term growth [2] Brand and Market Strategy - The company has optimized its product structure, achieving an online GMV of 4.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with significant sales from various product lines [2] - Plans for launching three new brands in 2025 and expanding into multiple categories and IP brands are in place, supporting a revenue target of 30 billion yuan by 2030 [2] - The company is pursuing a global expansion strategy, with initial investments of 300 million yuan in Southeast Asia and plans to enter North America and Europe [2] Financial Projections - The company expects a steady increase in net profit, projecting 1.149 billion yuan, 1.496 billion yuan, and 1.806 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 32, 25, and 21 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shangmei Co., Ltd. (02145) has increased by over 3%, currently trading at 96.4 HKD with a transaction volume of 49.12 million HKD, driven by positive market developments and strong performance indicators in the beauty sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - According to Qingyan Intelligence, the total GMV of the top 20 beauty brands on Douyin is expected to exceed 3 billion CNY by September 2025, capturing a market share of 17.6%, which represents a year-on-year growth of 38.59% [1] - Han Shu, a leading brand under Shangmei, continues to lead with a GMV exceeding 500 million CNY [1] - Huatai Securities reports that Shangmei's revenue and profit growth in the first half of the year have been impressive, with strong growth momentum observed in August as the main brand Han Shu expands into multiple product categories [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - The company has successfully launched multiple brands, including Guoguang White, Bread Superhero, and NAN Beauty, since the beginning of the second half of the year, indicating effective brand expansion [1] - The ability to incubate and operate multiple brands and product categories has been initially validated, suggesting potential for further growth if this capability continues to be replicated [1] - The internal organizational structure is characterized by high efficiency and strong execution capabilities, laying a solid foundation for future growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shumei Co., Ltd. (02145) has increased by over 3%, currently trading at 96.4 HKD with a transaction volume of 49.12 million HKD, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1] Group 1: Company Performance - According to Qianyan Intelligence, the total GMV of the top 20 beauty brands on Douyin is expected to exceed 3 billion CNY by September 2025, capturing a market share of 17.6%, which represents a year-on-year growth of 38.59% [1] - Han Shu, a leading brand under Shumei, has achieved over 500 million CNY in GMV, maintaining its position at the forefront of the market [1] - Huatai Securities reports that Shumei's revenue and profit growth in the first half of the year have been impressive, with strong growth momentum observed in August as the company continues to expand its product lines, including next-generation essence and fragrance body wash [1] Group 2: Market Expansion and Strategy - The company has successfully launched multiple brands, including Guangguang White, Bread Superhero, and NAN Beauty, since the second half of the year, indicating effective brand expansion strategies [1] - The ongoing multi-brand and multi-category incubation and operational capabilities of the company have been preliminarily validated, suggesting potential for further growth if these capabilities can be replicated [1] - The internal organizational structure of the company is characterized by high efficiency and strong execution, providing a solid foundation for future growth [1]

Core Insights - The Chinese beauty industry is experiencing a significant transformation, with many brands exiting the market while others are rapidly launching new sub-brands to adapt to changing consumer demands and market conditions [1][8][24]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The beauty industry is facing a "winter" period, leading to the exit of several brands such as Qiaodi Shanghui and Jing Sheng Zhi Yuan [1]. - Despite the challenges, there is a surge in new brand launches, indicating a robust response from leading companies [1][8]. - Major players like Shangmei Co., Beitaini, and Polaroid are actively developing multiple sub-brands to enhance their market presence [8][24]. Group 2: Company Strategies - Shangmei Co. has launched three new brands this year, including NAN beauty, a high-end anti-aging brand Tazu, and a baby care brand [10][11]. - Beitaini is set to introduce a new acne treatment brand, Ansta, which has been in development for three years [15][16]. - Polaroid is considering overseas acquisitions to fill gaps in its product offerings, targeting markets such as baby care and men's grooming [17][24]. Group 3: Market Positioning - The multi-brand strategy allows companies to cater to diverse consumer needs across different demographics, enhancing their competitive edge [24][29]. - Companies are focusing on leveraging their main brand strengths to create differentiated sub-brands that address specific market segments [27][30]. - The trend of building a multi-brand matrix is becoming standard among leading beauty companies in China, moving away from a single-brand dominance [28][39]. Group 4: Growth Strategies - Companies are employing both internal brand incubation and external acquisitions as primary methods for expanding their brand portfolios [29][33]. - Internal incubation allows companies to innovate and meet emerging consumer demands effectively, while acquisitions provide immediate access to established brands and markets [32][38]. - The balance between these strategies is crucial for sustained growth and market relevance in a competitive landscape [39].

Summary of Shangmei Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Shangmei Co., Ltd. is actively adjusting its channel structure, leading to rapid growth of the Han Shu brand on the Douyin platform, with a projected profit margin recovery to around 12% in the first half of 2025 and positive growth [2][5][6] - The company anticipates an annual growth rate exceeding 40% for the year [2][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Multi-Brand Strategy**: Shangmei is advancing a multi-brand strategy, launching high-end maternal and infant brand NewPage, expected to double its revenue to 800 million yuan this year, and the whitening product 聚光白, which has performed well since its launch [2][7][10] - **Growth Projections**: By 2026, Han Shu is expected to maintain over 20% growth, with a single brand market share projected to reach 12 to 15 billion yuan [2][8] - **Product Performance**: 聚光白 achieved profitability in its first month, with Douyin channel GMV surpassing 50 million yuan in August, and an annualized revenue forecast of 600 million yuan, with expectations to exceed 1 billion yuan in 2026 [2][9][10] - **Brand Positioning**: The Ji Fang brand, positioned in the hair care sector, has seen sales on Douyin exceed 20 million yuan post-adjustment, indicating strong performance in its niche [2][10] Additional Important Insights - **Management Changes**: Shangmei has shifted from a single management model to independent management by brand leaders, allowing for continuous expansion of its multi-brand matrix [3][11] - **Market Performance**: The Han Shu brand has shown strong alpha performance in the beauty industry, particularly on Douyin, maintaining the top sales position for 23 consecutive months since 2023, with a net profit margin exceeding 10% [4][5] - **Future Outlook**: The company is optimistic about the future of Han Shu and other new brands, planning to expand product categories and optimize product structure to further increase market share [8][11]

Company Dynamics - The main brand, Han Shu, is successfully expanding its product categories and continuously broadening its audience coverage, with Q3 showing further growth in various categories [1] - The company has seen a decrease in the proportion of its main product series on Douyin to over 60%, while the share of secondary products has increased to approximately 15%, and men's, color makeup, and body care products now account for nearly 10% [1] - In August, the monthly GMV for secondary products on Douyin surpassed 200 million yuan, representing 25% of total sales, with body care and men's products exceeding 10% of total sales [1] Brand Performance - Multiple small brand models are showing promising growth, with online GMV doubling in July and August [2] - The Anminyou brand has significantly accelerated since mid-year, with Douyin GMV reaching about 20 million yuan in August [2] - The Jifang brand has also seen monthly growth since its promotion began in May, with Douyin GMV nearing 20 million yuan in August [2] - The Juguangbai brand achieved over 50 million yuan in Douyin GMV in its first month of collaboration with top KOLs and is already profitable [2] - New products from NanBeauty and the launch of the children's cream from the Bread Superhero brand are also contributing to growth [2] Organizational Support - The company emphasizes organizational drive and talent support, with a performance-oriented and flexible organizational structure that allows brand divisions high decision-making autonomy [2] - Continuous recruitment of top talent and effective incentive mechanisms are establishing a replicable brand incubation system, supporting the expansion into a multi-brand and multi-category platform [2] - The company is actively pursuing overseas expansion, with supply chain development and team building in Southeast Asia progressing steadily [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 is maintained, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 31x for 2025 and 25x for 2026 [2] - The target price has been raised by 5% to 111 yuan, reflecting a P/E of 36x for 2025 and 29x for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 14% [2]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for Shumei Co., Ltd. (02145) for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E of 31/25x for those years, and raises the target price by 5% to HKD 111, indicating a 14% upside potential [1] Company Status - CICC recently organized a non-deal roadshow (NDR) for Shumei Co., Ltd. The main brand, Han Shu, is successfully expanding its product categories and continuously broadening its customer base. Since mid-year, several small brand models have been successfully implemented and are rapidly gaining traction, validating the multi-brand group strategy. The company is expected to have strong long-term growth prospects due to its talent and organizational structure [2] Main Brand Expansion - Han Shu is leveraging its established supply chain and efficient online operations to succeed in the mass market with a strong price-performance ratio. The brand has a wide reach, and its product category expansion is progressing well. In Q3, the proportion of the Douyin Hongbai Mankui series decreased to over 60%, while the share of secondary products increased to about 15%. The combined share of men's, color cosmetics, hair care, and body care reached nearly 10%. In August, the monthly GMV for secondary products on Douyin exceeded RMB 200 million, accounting for 25% [3] Small Brand Performance - Several small brand models are showing impressive growth trends, with online GMV continuing to double in July and August. Specific brands include: - Anminyou: Significant acceleration since mid-year, with Douyin GMV reaching about RMB 20 million in August - Jifang: Monthly growth since May, with Douyin GMV nearing RMB 20 million in August - Juguangbai: Collaborated with top KOLs on Douyin, achieving over RMB 50 million in GMV and profitability in its first month - Nan Beauty: New products launched in early September - Bread Man: New products launched in early September [4] Organizational Support - The company emphasizes organizational drive and talent support, with a performance-oriented and flexible organizational structure. Brand divisions enjoy high decision-making autonomy, and the company continues to attract top talent and implement effective incentive mechanisms. This establishes a replicable brand incubation system, supporting the expansion of a multi-category and multi-brand matrix. The company is also actively pursuing overseas expansion, with supply chain development and team building in Southeast Asia progressing steadily. CICC is optimistic about Shumei's long-term growth as a multi-brand and multi-category platform company [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that CICC maintains its earnings forecast for Shangmei Co., Ltd. (02145) for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E of 31/25x for those years. The target price is raised by 5% to HKD 111, implying a 14% upside potential [1][2]. Group 2 - The company has successfully expanded its main brand, Han Shu, broadening its demographic reach. The brand's performance in Q3 shows a decrease in the proportion of its main product series to over 60%, while the share of secondary products has increased to about 15% [3]. - Multiple small brand models have shown promising growth, with online GMV doubling in July and August. Brands like An Min You and Ji Fang have seen significant increases in GMV, with An Min You reaching approximately 20 million yuan in August [4]. - The company emphasizes a performance-driven organizational structure and talent support, which are crucial for its transition to a multi-brand, multi-category platform. The company is also actively expanding into Southeast Asia [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for Shangmei Co., Ltd. (02145) for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E of 30/23x for those years, and raises the target price by 8% to HKD 106, indicating a potential upside of 17% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue reached CNY 4.11 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%, aligning with the upper limit of the previous earnings forecast [1] - The net profit for 1H25 was CNY 560 million, up 34.7% year-on-year, also exceeding the prior forecast range [1] - The attributable net profit was CNY 520 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.6%, meeting the expectations of the report [1] Group 2: Brand and Product Performance - The brand Han Shu achieved revenue of CNY 3.34 billion in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with successful expansion across multiple product lines [2] - The brand Yipai saw a significant revenue increase of 146% year-on-year, reaching CNY 400 million, with strong sales of its star product [2] - The brand Hongse Xiaoxiang generated CNY 160 million in revenue, indicating initial success in its brand transformation [2] Group 3: Channel and Operational Efficiency - The company's gross margin improved by 1.7 percentage points to 75.5% in 1H25, while the sales expense ratio decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 56.9% [3] - The increase in the proportion of lower-cost external sales channels contributed to the optimization of the sales expense ratio [3] - The attributable net profit margin rose by 1.3 percentage points to 12.8% in 1H25, reflecting improved profitability [3] Group 4: Future Growth Strategy - The company continues to expand its brand matrix, having launched new brands in May and August, with positive initial results [4] - Plans for 2H25 include launching new brands targeting specific markets, such as a maternal and infant IP brand and a professional makeup brand [4] - The company aims to follow a "2+2+2" strategy over the next three years, focusing on skincare, hair care, and maternal-infant products to build a diverse brand portfolio [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for the first half of 2025, with a 17.3% increase in revenue and a 30.6% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, indicating robust operational performance and market positioning [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 4.11 billion RMB and a net profit of 520 million RMB in the first half of 2025, with an EPS of 1.32 RMB [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 1 percentage point to 75.5%, while the expense ratio remained stable at 63.2% [2]. - Inventory increased by 7.2% year-on-year to 680 million RMB, with inventory turnover days decreasing by 5 days to 249 days [2]. - Operating net cash flow grew significantly by 77.5% to 390 million RMB [2]. Brand and Product Development - The main brand, Han Shu, maintained its leading position on the Douyin platform, ranking first among beauty brands and expanding its product line with new offerings [3]. - The company is actively pursuing a multi-brand strategy, launching new brands in various categories, including skincare, maternal and infant care, and cosmetics [3]. - New brands such as An Min You for sensitive skin and a high-end anti-aging brand TAZU are in development, alongside collaborations with well-known IPs for maternal and infant products [3]. Market Strategy and Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from its multi-brand strategy, which is anticipated to inject new growth momentum and enhance operational efficiency and profit margins [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted upward to 1.16 billion RMB, 1.47 billion RMB, and 1.83 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [4].