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2025年8月25日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 00:59
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is influenced by multiple factors, including Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, geopolitical tensions, and economic data performance [2][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 781.12 CNY per gram, up 0.71% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3411.4 USD per ounce, down 0.21% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors - Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a nearly 100% probability according to CME FedWatch. However, internal disagreements within the Fed regarding inflation concerns add uncertainty [2]. - Geopolitical Situation: Accelerating peace talks between Russia and Ukraine may reduce gold's safe-haven demand if tensions ease, while increased geopolitical tensions could enhance gold's appeal [2]. - Economic Data Performance: Key economic indicators like U.S. non-farm payrolls and CPI are under scrutiny. Weak data could support the case for rate cuts, bolstering gold prices, while strong data may lead to volatility [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Short-term gold price movements will be primarily driven by Federal Reserve rate cut signals and changes in geopolitical tensions. Clear signals from the Fed or heightened geopolitical risks could lead to price increases, while the opposite may apply [3]. - In the long term, increased global economic uncertainty and the onset of a rate cut cycle could provide upward momentum for gold as a safe-haven and inflation hedge, though improvements in economic data or shifts in Fed policy could pose risks of price corrections [3].
2025年8月22日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The current gold prices are influenced by various factors including Federal Reserve policy expectations, geopolitical tensions, and the strength of the US dollar [3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 776.08 CNY per gram, down 0.01% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3380.5 USD per ounce, down 0.03% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors - Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: There is significant market divergence regarding the likelihood and extent of a potential rate cut in September. The CME FedWatch tool indicates a high probability of a 25 basis point cut, but the unexpected rise in July PPI has cooled rate cut expectations. Investors are focused on Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference, which could either strengthen the dollar and pressure gold if hawkish, or allow for a rebound in gold if dovish [3]. - Geopolitical Situation: Ongoing negotiations between the US and Russia have not reached an agreement, with attention on the Russia-Ukraine talks. Trump's positive signals for ending the conflict may weaken gold's safe-haven demand if peace talks progress, but uncertainty regarding Putin's willingness to agree maintains support for gold [3]. - US Dollar Performance: The dollar's strong performance has negatively impacted gold prices, as a rising dollar index makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, thus suppressing demand [3]. Group 3: Price Outlook - Gold prices are currently in a sensitive range with mixed factors at play. The Federal Reserve's policy remains a key variable; a dovish signal from Powell could lead to a short-term rebound, while an emphasis on inflation may continue to pressure gold. Geopolitical uncertainties persist, with positive developments in negotiations potentially reducing gold's appeal, while adverse developments could boost it. The dollar's performance will continue to influence gold prices. Overall, gold is expected to maintain a range-bound movement in the short term, with critical levels such as the 100-day moving average being closely monitored for potential breakout or breakdown [4].
2025年8月21日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by multiple factors, including Federal Reserve policy expectations, geopolitical tensions, and central bank gold purchasing trends [3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 776.8 CNY per gram, up by 0.52% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3387.2 USD per ounce, down by 0.04% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors - Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: Market is focused on the Jackson Hole symposium, with attention on Powell's speech. If he suggests a slowdown in interest rate cuts, a stronger dollar may suppress gold prices. Current market anticipates a 25 basis point cut in September, with potential for another cut later in the year. However, higher-than-expected July PPI raises concerns about Powell downplaying September rate cut expectations. The probability of a September rate cut is fluctuating according to CME FedWatch tool [3]. - Geopolitical Situation: Accelerating peace talks between Russia and Ukraine and Trump's exclusion of ground troop deployment signals a potential easing of conflict, reducing gold's safe-haven demand. However, ongoing global geopolitical uncertainties may still drive gold prices up if tensions escalate [3]. - Central Bank Gold Purchasing Dynamics: After gold prices surpassed 3300 USD per ounce in Q2, global central bank gold purchases have slowed. Nonetheless, the long-term trend of diversifying foreign exchange reserves and "de-dollarization" remains intact. The People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for nine consecutive months, with other countries like Poland and Turkey also increasing their gold reserves, providing a support base for gold prices [3]. Group 3: Price Outlook - Short-term gold price is subject to uncertainties from Federal Reserve policies and geopolitical developments. If Powell's speech is hawkish, gold prices may remain under pressure; conversely, confirmation of a rate cut path could lead to a rebound. Easing geopolitical tensions may suppress gold's safe-haven demand. In the long term, ongoing central bank gold purchases provide support for gold prices, alongside concerns over the large scale of U.S. debt potentially driving up safe-haven assets like gold [4].
2025年8月18日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by multiple factors, including calls for interest rate cuts by the U.S. Treasury Secretary, tariff policies, geopolitical tensions, and economic data performance [3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 775.08 CNY per gram, down 0.01% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3,385.0 USD per ounce, up 0.07% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors - U.S. Treasury Secretary's call for interest rate cuts has heightened market expectations for a rate reduction next month, which typically supports non-yielding gold prices [3]. - Tariff policies and geopolitical issues, including statements from Trump regarding tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, as well as tensions in regions like Israel and Ukraine, have increased market risk aversion, impacting gold prices [3]. - Economic data, such as the July CPI showing moderate inflation, supports the expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, influencing gold investment demand [3]. Group 3: Price Outlook - Short-term outlook suggests that expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve may support gold prices, although rising U.S. stock markets and easing geopolitical tensions could limit safe-haven demand [4]. - Long-term factors such as global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases are likely to drive gold prices higher, although improvements in U.S. economic data or unexpected Federal Reserve policy changes could restrict price increases [4].
2025年8月12日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 01:05
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by multiple factors, including U.S. tariff policies, Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, and geopolitical tensions, leading to a volatile market environment [2][3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 777.98 CNY per gram, down 0.87% [1]. - International gold price stands at 3403.6 USD per ounce, down 0.03% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors - U.S. Tariff Policy: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has ruled that certain gold bars require tariffs, causing market turbulence and a spike in gold futures prices. However, the White House plans to clarify and maintain tariff exemptions, creating selling pressure on gold [2]. - Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The market anticipates a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which is favorable for non-yielding gold. Recent employment data supports the argument for three rate cuts this year [3]. - Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing uncertainty in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and other geopolitical events contribute to a risk premium for gold as a safe-haven asset. The U.S.-China tariff truce and meetings between U.S. and Russian leaders add to market uncertainty [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The gold market is expected to remain volatile in the short term due to the interplay of tariff policies, Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, and geopolitical tensions. Attention will be focused on U.S. inflation data and policy direction, with high uncertainty surrounding gold prices [4]. - In the long term, if the Federal Reserve cuts rates and geopolitical risks persist, gold may continue to be supported as a safe-haven asset [4].
2025年8月4日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 00:54
截至8点30分,国内黄金(99.95%)最新报价为781.12元/克,上涨1.33%。 影响黄金价格走势的重要因素 1. 非农数据爆冷与降息预期升温:美国7月非农就业岗位仅增加7.3万个,远低于预期,6月数据大幅下 修,失业率升至4.2%。这使得市场对美联储9月降息预期从38%激增至90%,甚至有人预测9月可能一次 性降息50个基点。低利率环境下,黄金作为无收益资产的吸引力增强,为金价上涨提供有力支撑。 黄金走势与未来展望 以下是今日对黄金价格走势影响较大的3个主要资讯: 近期黄金受非农数据、关税政策及美元等因素影响大幅上涨。短期来看,若美联储如市场预期降息,且 关税问题持续发酵,黄金有望继续上行。不过,美国即将公布的经济数据若超预期,或美联储官员讲话 偏鹰派,可能引发金价回调。长期而言,全球经济不确定性、地缘政治紧张局势以及央行购金等因素, 将为黄金提供支撑,使其维持高位震荡并有进一步上行可能。 来源:金融界 2. 关税风暴引发避险需求:特朗普对加拿大、巴西、印度等多国产品加征高额关税,导致全球股市暴 跌,市场避险情绪迅速升温。黄金作为传统避险资产受到投资者追捧,关税政策带来的不确定性强化了 其作为经济对冲 ...
2025年7月30日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by the US-EU trade agreement, the rebound of the US dollar, and expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [2][3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 774.32 RMB per gram, up by 0.49% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3384.9 USD per ounce, increasing by 0.11% [2]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The US-EU trade agreement reached on July 27, where the EU will increase purchases of over 1.3 trillion USD of US products, alleviates global trade war concerns, boosting market risk appetite and stock markets, but may suppress gold prices [2]. - The rebound of the US dollar index, supported by strong US economic data, has pressured gold prices as it increases the cost of gold for non-US currency holders [3]. - Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish monetary policy stance have reduced the attractiveness of gold as a non-yielding asset, leading to weaker buying interest [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Short-term gold prices may continue to fluctuate due to mixed factors, with potential downward pressure if trade tensions ease, the dollar strengthens, or the Fed maintains a hawkish stance [4]. - Long-term factors such as global central bank gold purchases, geopolitical tensions, and inflation hedging demand may still drive gold prices higher, necessitating close monitoring of key developments [4].
2025年7月29日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 00:47
Core Viewpoint - Domestic and international gold prices are experiencing downward pressure due to a favorable US-EU trade agreement and a strong US dollar, which diminishes gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3][4][5]. Group 1: Domestic Gold Price - As of 8:30 AM, the domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 770.84 CNY per gram, down 0.31% [1]. Group 2: International Gold Price - The international gold price is reported at 3307.4 USD per ounce, down 0.08% [2]. Group 3: Influencing Factors on Gold Prices - The US and EU have reached a 15% tariff agreement, alleviating fears of a larger trade war and enhancing market optimism, which reduces the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. - The strong performance of the US dollar, which rose 1% to a one-week high, makes gold more expensive for overseas buyers, further decreasing its attractiveness [4]. - Ongoing US-China trade negotiations are expected to provide limited breakthroughs, maintaining some uncertainty in the market, which may offer slight support for gold prices despite the downward pressures from the US-EU agreement and the strong dollar [5].
2025年7月28日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 01:06
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are primarily influenced by developments in US-EU trade agreements, Federal Reserve dynamics, and geopolitical situations, leading to a bearish outlook in the short term while maintaining a strong long-term perspective on gold prices due to central bank purchases. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - US-EU Trade Agreement Progress: The announcement of a trade agreement between the US and EU has reduced market risk aversion, causing spot gold to open significantly lower by $18, reaching a near one-month low [3]. - Federal Reserve Dynamics: The July meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve suggest a potential rate cut of only 25 basis points in September, which is below the market's expectation of 50 basis points, leading to a strengthening of the dollar and a decrease in gold demand [3]. - Geopolitical Situations: A temporary ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah has led to a rapid decline in geopolitical premiums, with a $15 drop in gold prices. Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East continue to affect market sentiment [3]. Group 2: Gold Price Outlook - Short-term Outlook: Gold prices are expected to remain weak with support levels at $3300 - $3315 and resistance levels at $3350 - $3370. A break below key support could lead to further declines, while a breakout above resistance may allow for a rebound [4]. - Long-term Perspective: The logic supporting gold prices remains robust due to ongoing purchases by global central banks, although attention must be paid to changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy, trade dynamics, and geopolitical risks [4].
2025年7月24日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 00:55
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by a combination of factors including the performance of the US dollar and treasury yields, geopolitical risks, and central bank purchasing behavior [3][4]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The US dollar index has fallen below 98, reaching its lowest point since April, while the 10-year US Treasury yield has dropped to a one-week low, reducing the holding cost of gold [3]. - Geopolitical tensions, including the impending US tariff deadline and ongoing conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. - A significant increase in central bank gold purchases has been noted, with 19 out of 36 global central banks directly procuring gold from domestic mines, up from 14 last year, indicating a shift away from reliance on US dollar settlements [3]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends and Future Outlook - Gold prices have recently surpassed the $3,400 per ounce mark, driven by the weakness of the dollar and treasury yields, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying [4]. - The upcoming tariff deadline and signals from the Federal Reserve are expected to increase market volatility, potentially leading to significant fluctuations in gold prices [4]. - Long-term trends suggest that central bank purchases and diversification of monetary reserves will enhance the strategic value of gold, although high levels of net long positions in gold futures may lead to profit-taking if the Fed delays rate cuts or geopolitical tensions ease [4].