机构：国投证券 研究员：徐慧雄/杨颖 事件：零跑汽车发布2025 年半年度业绩，2025 年上半年公司实现营业收入242.5 亿元、同比+174.0%； 实现归母净利润0.3 亿元、经调整净利润3.3 亿元、同比均扭亏为盈。 新车周期下，销量提升推动Q2 营收高速增长。 2025H1，公司出口2.0 万台，位居造车新势力第一；首批B10 已于2025 年7 月正式发往欧洲、并将于9 月在慕尼黑车展正式上市，马来西亚工厂于8 月已完成首台零跑C10-OTS 车辆完成装配下线，随后续进 一步导入B 系列等其他车型、欧洲等地本土化产能投产，公司全球化发展有望更进一步。 投资建议：我们预计公司2025-2027 年营业收入分别为646.7、1037.9、1297.4 亿元，对应当前市值PS 分 别为1.4、0.9、0.7倍。首次覆盖给予2025 年1.6x PS，对应6 个月目标价77.4 元，折合港币84.5 元（按照 实时汇率1 人民币=1.091 港元折算）。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、新品销量不及预期、海外业务拓展不及预期等。 2025Q2 公司实现营业收入142.3 亿元、同比+165.5%、环比+42.0% ...

2025 年 08 月 26 日 零跑汽车(09863.HK) 中报业绩优异，规模效应持续释放，未来可期 事件：零跑汽车发布 2025 年半年度业绩，2025 年上半年公司 实现营业收入 242.5 亿元、同比+174.0%；实现归母净利润 0.3 亿 元、经调整净利润 3.3 亿元、同比均扭亏为盈。 新车周期下，销量提升推动 Q2 营收高速增长。 2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 142.3 亿元、同比+165.5%、环比+42.0%， 我们预计同环比增长主要来自新车上市带动及战略合作、碳积分 交易带来的收入增加：1）2025Q2 公司实现整体销量 13.4 万台、 同比+151.7%、环比+53.2%；零跑 B10、2026 款零跑 C16、2026 款 零跑 C10 等新车贡献显著增量；2）2025Q2 单车 ASP 达到 10.6 万 元、同比+5.6%、环比-7.3%。 规模效应进一步显现，Q2 再度实现季度盈利。 2025Q2 公司毛利率为 13.6%，同比+10.8pcts、环比-1.3pcts； 2025Q2 公司销售/管理/研发费用率分别为 5.6%/2.9%/7.7%，同比 下降 3.3/2 ...

8月1日，多家车企公布7月交付数据。 零跑汽车7月全系交付50129台 零跑汽车月销量首次突破5万台。 8月1日，据零跑汽车官方微博，7月全系交付达50129台，同比增长超126%。 回顾零跑汽车在6月份的表现，全系交付量达4.8万辆，同比增长幅度超过138%。在车型方 面，零跑B10在6月份交付了1.43万辆，而2026款零跑C10的表现也相当亮眼，6月份大定突破 1.5万辆。 小米汽车7月小米汽车交付量超过30000台 雷军发布微博消息称，2025年7月，小米汽车交付量超过30000台，并感谢大家的选择与支 持。 大量网友纷纷留言，有网友在线"催产能"，希望尽早提车。 另据小米汽车官方消息，小米汽车决定从8月1日起，下架小米SU7和SU7 Ultra两款车型的熔 岩橙、寒武岩灰两款车漆颜色，下架曜石黑和银河灰内饰以及20英寸五辐花瓣轮毂等配置选 项。 截至8月1日16:00,，小米集团尾盘拉升，股价报53.8港元。 | 53.800 | | 49.001 (CNY) | | | | 小米集团-W 立即 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic new energy vehicle market is experiencing significant growth, with several companies reporting impressive sales figures for the first half of the year, particularly Leap Motor, which has seen a remarkable increase in sales compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Leap Motor achieved sales of 221,700 units in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 155.8% [2][6]. - Hongmeng Zhixing and Li Auto followed closely, with sales of 206,200 units and 203,800 units respectively, showing growth rates of 6.2% and 7.8% [2][7]. - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant year-on-year increase of 279%, with sales reaching 197,200 units [2][9]. - Xiaomi Motors, despite a drop in June deliveries, reported a total of over 150,000 units delivered in the first half, reflecting a 456% increase [2][12]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Leap Motor's rapid rise to the top of the sales chart was unexpected, as it was previously considered a second-tier player [2][6]. - Hongmeng Zhixing is undergoing a model refresh, with new vehicles expected to drive future growth, although it has only achieved 20.6% of its annual sales target so far [6][7]. - Li Auto is focusing on expanding its high-pressure pure electric product line, with new models set to launch in the coming months [9]. - Xiaopeng Motors achieved a record quarterly delivery of 103,181 units, indicating strong market demand [9]. Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - Xiaomi faces production capacity challenges, with delivery timelines extending significantly for its new models [12]. - Aion is the only company to report a decline in sales, dropping 14.2% year-on-year, despite launching new models [13]. - NIO, once a leader in sales, has been surpassed by Leap Motor and Xiaopeng, with a total of 114,200 units sold in the first half, reflecting a 30.6% increase [13]. - The future of Nezha, a previously successful brand, is uncertain due to financial difficulties and bankruptcy restructuring efforts [14].

Core Insights - The new energy vehicle market in China is experiencing robust growth and intense competition, with several new players reporting significant sales figures for June [1][2][3] Company Performance - Hongmeng Zhixing achieved a record delivery of 52,700 vehicles in June, marking a historical high for both monthly and daily sales, and leading the new energy vehicle market [2] - Leap Motor delivered 48,000 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of over 138%, with cumulative deliveries exceeding 800,000 [2] - Li Auto's deliveries fell to 36,300 units in June, a decrease of 24.1% compared to the same month last year, but plans to accelerate the launch of new electric models in the second half of the year [2] - Xpeng Motors reported a significant increase in deliveries, with 34,600 vehicles delivered in June, a year-on-year growth of 224% [3] - Deep Blue Automotive delivered 29,900 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 79% [4] - Xiaomi Automotive delivered over 25,000 vehicles in June, with a notable order volume for its new SUV model, the Xiaomi YU7 [4] - NIO delivered 24,900 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 17.5% [5] - Zeekr delivered 43,000 vehicles in June, maintaining a delivery volume above 40,000 for four consecutive months [6] Market Trends - The June sales performance was influenced by various factors, including promotional activities during the Dragon Boat Festival and increased family car purchases due to the end of the college entrance examination [1] - The shift in consumer behavior is evident, with a focus on practicality and cost-effectiveness in vehicle purchases [6] - The new energy vehicle market is seeing a reshuffling of delivery rankings, indicating changing dynamics and competition among new players [6]

Core Insights - The sales data for June from various new energy vehicle manufacturers shows significant growth, with BYD maintaining its leadership position in the market [1][2]. Group 1: BYD Performance - BYD reported a June sales increase of 12% year-on-year, reaching 382,585 units, with pure electric vehicle sales up 43% to 206,884 units, while plug-in hybrid vehicle sales fell by 12% to 170,744 units [2]. - The company exported 90,049 units in June [2]. Group 2: Geely Performance - Geely's June sales rose by 42% year-on-year to 236,036 units, with pure electric vehicle sales increasing by 129% to 84,879 units and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales up 30% to 37,488 units, making new energy vehicles account for 52% of total sales [2]. - Geely has raised its annual sales target to 3 million units [2]. Group 3: New Entrants Performance - Xiaopeng Motors reported a June delivery increase of 2.2 times year-on-year, delivering 34,611 electric vehicles, marking the eighth consecutive month of over 30,000 deliveries [3]. - Leap Motor's June deliveries increased by 140% year-on-year to 48,006 units, maintaining over 40,000 deliveries for three consecutive months [3]. - Li Auto's June deliveries decreased by 24% year-on-year to 36,279 units, but the company plans to accelerate the launch of high-voltage pure electric products in the second half of the year [3]. - NIO's June deliveries increased by 18% year-on-year to 24,925 units, with a total of 114,150 units delivered in the first half of the year, reflecting a 31% year-on-year increase [3][4]. Group 4: Upcoming Models - NIO announced the launch of three new models in the second half of the year, including the third-generation ES8 and the L90 and L80 models from the sub-brand, with the L90 set to begin pre-sales in early July [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the competitive landscape of the new energy vehicle (NEV) market in June 2025, showcasing the sales performance of various new energy vehicle manufacturers and emphasizing the importance of new product launches in driving sales growth [1][4]. Sales Performance - Zeekr Technology reported May sales of 46,538 units, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% and a month-on-month increase of 12.6%, marking three consecutive months of sales exceeding 40,000 units [1]. - Homologous Intelligent delivered 44,454 vehicles, setting a new record for the company [1]. - Leap Motor achieved sales of 45,607 units, maintaining its position as the top single brand in the new energy vehicle sector for three consecutive months [2]. - Li Auto delivered 40,856 units in May, with a month-on-month growth of 20.4% [3]. - Xiaopeng Motors remained in the 30,000-unit range, delivering over 30,000 units for seven consecutive months [3]. - NIO delivered 23,231 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [3]. Product Launches - The article notes that new product launches have become a significant driver of sales for these brands [4]. - Notable launches include the S800 from Homologous Intelligent, which saw over 1,600 pre-orders within 24 hours, and the upgraded models from Xiaopeng and Li Auto [4]. - Leap Motor introduced the 2026 version of the C10, featuring advanced technology at a competitive price point [4]. Financial Performance - Li Auto reported a quarterly revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, leading among new energy vehicle companies, with a net profit of 647 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [5]. - Leap Motor achieved a record revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 187.1%, with a gross margin of 14.9% [5]. - Xiaopeng Motors reported revenue of 15.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141.5%, but incurred a net loss of 660 million yuan [6].

Core Insights - The sales figures for several new energy vehicle companies have shown significant growth, with Zeekr, Leapmotor, Hongmeng Zhixing, and Li Auto all exceeding 40,000 units sold in May 2025 [2][3] - Leapmotor has maintained its position as the top-selling single brand among new energy vehicle companies for three consecutive months, with May sales reaching 45,607 units [3] - Li Auto reported a 20.4% month-on-month increase in sales, delivering 40,856 units in May [4] Sales Performance - Zeekr's May sales reached 46,538 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.2% and a month-on-month increase of 12.6% [2][5] - Leapmotor's sales were 45,067 units in May, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 9.8% [5] - Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 44,454 units, achieving a new high [2][5] - Li Auto's sales of 40,856 units in May represented a significant increase from the previous month [4][5] - Xiaopeng Motors maintained sales above 30,000 units for seven consecutive months, with May sales at 33,525 units [4][5] Product Launches - New product launches have been a key driver for sales growth, with several companies introducing new models in May [5][6] - Hongmeng Zhixing launched the flagship model S800, achieving over 1,600 pre-orders within 24 hours [6] - Li Auto released the upgraded L series, while Leapmotor introduced the 2026 model of the C10, featuring advanced technology [6] Financial Performance - Li Auto reported a quarterly revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, the highest among new energy vehicle companies, with a net profit of 647 million yuan, up 9.4% year-on-year [7] - Leapmotor achieved a record high in revenue and gross margin, with revenue of 10.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 187.1%, and a gross margin of 14.9% [7] - Xiaopeng Motors reported revenue of 15.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141.5%, although it incurred a net loss of 660 million yuan [8]

Core Insights - The founder and CEO of Leap Motor, Zhu Jiangming, addressed rumors about his death and highlighted the company's positive development, stating that both he and Leap Motor are thriving [1] - Leap Motor reported a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan for Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 187.1% and achieving a historical high gross margin of 14.9% [3] - Despite the revenue growth, Leap Motor recorded a loss of 130 million yuan for Q1, although this was an improvement compared to a profit of 80 million yuan in the previous quarter and a loss of 1.01 billion yuan in the same period last year [5] Financial Performance - Leap Motor's Q1 revenue surpassed 10 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth of 187.1% [3] - The gross margin improved to 14.9%, addressing previous concerns about the company's profitability [3] - The company reported a loss of 130 million yuan for Q1, a reduction from the previous year's loss of 1.01 billion yuan [5] Market Position - Leap Motor achieved a sales volume of 87,552 vehicles in Q1, representing a year-on-year increase of 162% [5] - The company ranked first in sales among new car manufacturers in March and maintained this position in April [5] - Leap Motor exported 13,632 vehicles from January to April, making it the leading exporter among new car manufacturers [5] Stock Performance and Future Outlook - Following positive financial results, Leap Motor's stock price exceeded 60 HKD, doubling since the beginning of the year [6] - The company launched several strategic models, including the B10 and B01 in April, and the 2026 C10 in May, aiming for an annual sales target of 500,000 to 600,000 vehicles [6]

Core Insights - The "trade-in for new" policy in China is significantly boosting the automotive market, with a reported 10 million applications for subsidies, indicating strong consumer interest and activity in the sector [1][4]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The "trade-in for new" policy has led to a notable increase in consumer activity, with the Ministry of Commerce reporting over 10 million applications for subsidies, including 3.225 million applications in 2025 alone [4]. - The policy has effectively stimulated consumption growth, green transformation, and resource recycling, with over 53% of trade-ins involving new energy vehicles [4]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Many consumers are opting to trade in their old vehicles for new energy vehicles, with a significant number of trade-ins coming from brands like Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi [3]. - Discounts and subsidies are making new energy vehicles more attractive, with some consumers reporting total savings of up to 34,000 yuan when trading in for models like the Li Auto L6Pro [2]. Group 3: Company Performance - Companies like Li Auto have seen a substantial increase in trade-in orders, with over 10,000 orders reported as of May 18, and the Li L6 model being particularly popular [5]. - Xiaopeng Motors and Leap Motor have also experienced rapid sales growth, with Xiaopeng breaking traditional seasonal sales patterns and Leap Motor increasing monthly sales from 10,000 to 40,000 units since the policy's implementation [6]. Group 4: New Product Launches - The automotive industry is actively launching new models to attract consumers, with companies like Xiaomi, Great Wall, and NIO introducing new vehicles to enhance market offerings [7]. - NIO plans to release nine new models this year, with significant promotional offers for early reservations, indicating a competitive push in the market [7].