Nvidia has dominated the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware market, but there are new competitors on the horizon.Nvidia (NVDA 2.56%) has been a key player in the stock market over the last few years. With a market cap of over $4.4 trillion, its only rivals in history are the companies founded to run colonial ventures of European empires centuries ago, like the Dutch East India Company.Nvidia dominates the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware market. But there's too much money on the table for other comp ...

Core Insights - The electronic ETF market is currently experiencing a downturn, with a 1.8% drop in price and a trading volume of 36.83 million yuan, while the fund's latest scale is 658 million yuan [1] - Notable performers include Wentai Technology, which hit the daily limit, and Jiangbolong and Tuojing Technology, with increases of 3.49% and 1.62% respectively [1] - Conversely, Industrial Fulian, Transsion Holdings, and Huadian Co. showed weaker performance with declines of 4.62%, 4.39%, and 4.23% respectively [1] Industry Trends - Alphabet's announcement of its seventh-generation AI inference chip, TPU Ironwood, aims to enhance the AI hardware ecosystem by making it available to enterprises and developers [1] - TrendForce forecasts that global cloud service providers' capital expenditure will exceed 600 billion dollars by 2026, indicating a new growth cycle for AI server hardware [1] - Donghai Securities reports that North American cloud providers will accelerate capital expenditure to 113.3 billion dollars by Q3 2025, a 75% year-on-year increase, focusing on AI infrastructure deployment [1] - Qualcomm's introduction of AI200 and AI250 acceleration chips aims to compete in the high-end AI data center market, challenging Nvidia's dominance [1] - The demand in the electronic industry is recovering, with rising prices for memory chips and an unexpected increase in domestic production efforts [1][2] Semiconductor Sector - The global semiconductor equipment sales reached 33.1 billion dollars in Q2 2025, reflecting a 23% year-on-year growth driven by the AI boom [2] - Domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers reported significant revenue growth in Q3, indicating smooth progress in downstream wafer fabs and sustained high R&D investment [2] - Major overseas companies experienced rapid revenue growth in China during Q3, suggesting that the expansion of advanced processes in domestic semiconductor manufacturing may accelerate [2] - The electronic ETF tracks the electronic 50 index, with top ten weighted stocks including Luxshare Precision, Cambricon, Industrial Fulian, and others [2]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm's FY2025 performance and FY26Q1 guidance exceeded expectations, leading to a 3.98% increase in stock price after the announcement [4]. Group 1: FY2025 Performance - Qualcomm achieved Non-GAAP revenue of $44.141 billion for FY2025, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $43.690 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 13% [4]. - The QCT business generated revenue of $38.367 billion, up 16% year-on-year, while the QTL business revenue remained flat at $5.582 billion [4]. - Due to the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act, Qualcomm will recognize $5.7 billion in tax expenses in FY25Q4, resulting in a GAAP net profit of $5.541 billion compared to a Non-GAAP net profit of $13.298 billion [4]. - The Non-GAAP EPS for FY2025 was $12.03, exceeding the consensus estimate of $11.92 [4]. Group 2: FY26Q1 Guidance - Qualcomm's guidance for FY26Q1 indicates Non-GAAP revenue of $11.8 to $12.6 billion, above the consensus estimate of $11.592 billion [4]. - The company expects Non-GAAP diluted EPS to be between $3.30 and $3.50, compared to the consensus estimate of $3.255 [4]. Group 3: QCT Mobile Business - The mobile business revenue reached $27.793 billion in FY2025, reflecting a 12% year-on-year increase, driven by higher demand for high-end Snapdragon chips from Android OEMs [5]. - Qualcomm launched the new Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen5 SoC in September 2025, which will be featured in flagship models from brands like Xiaomi, OnePlus, and iQOO [5]. - The company anticipates maintaining a high supply share of 75% for Samsung's mobile chips [5]. Group 4: QCT IoT Business - The IoT business generated revenue of $6.617 billion in FY2025, marking a 22% year-on-year increase, primarily due to higher shipments in consumer, industrial, and edge network products [6]. - Qualcomm completed the acquisition of Arduino, enhancing its competitive edge in the edge AI sector with a community of over 30 million users [6]. - The company expects over 150 high-end PC models to feature Snapdragon SoCs by 2026 [6]. Group 5: QCT Automotive Business - The automotive business revenue was $3.957 billion in FY2025, a 36% year-on-year increase, driven by higher shipments of vehicles equipped with Qualcomm's smart cockpit technology [8]. - Qualcomm is collaborating with BMW to launch the Snapdragon RidePilot system for L2+ assisted driving, currently validated in over 60 countries and set to expand to 100 countries by 2026 [8].

Core Insights - Qualcomm is transforming into a technology company covering a power range from 5W to 500W, diversifying its business from mobile to data centers, robotics, automotive, and wearable devices [2] - The company has launched two AI-focused system-on-chips (SoCs), AI200 and AI250, aimed at enterprises looking to run existing AI models efficiently rather than training new ones [2] - Qualcomm's CEO highlighted the competitive edge in the data center market with a focus on inference, building on the software ecosystem established since the launch of the Cloud AI 100 in 2020 [2] - The new AI200 and AI250 chips utilize a novel architecture with DDR memory and PCI Express interfaces to enhance energy efficiency and computational density [2] - Samsung is expected to use Snapdragon mobile SoCs 100% in the Galaxy S25, with a projected 75% usage in the Galaxy S26 [3] - The market for AI-enabled wearable devices, including smart glasses, smartwatches, and smart earbuds, is rapidly expanding, presenting a significant growth opportunity for Qualcomm [3]

Core Insights - Qualcomm announced the launch of two AI acceleration chips, AI200 and AI250, entering the high-end AI data center chip market, introducing new competition and changes to the market landscape dominated by Nvidia [1] Industry Summary - The electronic industry is experiencing a sustained recovery in demand, effective supply clearance, and rising prices for storage chips, with domestic production efforts exceeding expectations [1] - Structural opportunities exist in areas such as AI computing power, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising prices of storage [1] Company Summary - The Xinchang ETF (159537) tracks the Guozhen Xinchang Index, which selects 50 listed companies involved in the information technology innovation sector from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, covering semiconductor and software development businesses [1] - This index has a large-cap focus and emphasizes the theme of information technology innovation, exhibiting high growth potential and volatility [1]

Core Viewpoint - The computing power sector is experiencing a surge due to rising prices of HBM4 chips supplied by SK Hynix to Nvidia, indicating a broader trend of price increases in global memory chips, which is positively impacting cloud computing ETFs [1][10]. Group 1: Market Trends - The cloud computing ETF Huatai (159273) saw an increase of over 2% in early trading, with its latest scale exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, leading its peers [1][4]. - SK Hynix reported a 119% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with NAND ASP rising by 10%-15% and DRAM ASP increasing by 4%-6% [10][11]. Group 2: Company Performance - New Yi Sheng reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 6.07 billion yuan, a 5% decrease quarter-on-quarter, attributed to the rhythm of customer orders [3][7]. - Zhongji Xuchuang achieved a gross margin of 42.79% and a net margin of 32.57% in Q3 2025, benefiting from the ramp-up of silicon photonic modules and the release of 1.6T high-speed optical modules [7][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The demand for high-speed optical modules is expected to rise significantly due to increased capital expenditures in AI by global CSP manufacturers and accelerated iterations of overseas optical communication solutions [3][9]. - The AI server market is projected to grow by over 30% annually by 2026, driven by strong demand from CSPs and sovereign clouds, with AI server shipments expected to increase by over 20% annually [10][11].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Fiscal Q4, the company reported revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3, both exceeding the high end of guidance [4] - Fiscal 2025 non-GAAP revenues reached $44 billion, up 13% year over year, with record QCT annual revenues of $38.4 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth [4][16] - The company generated record free cash flow of $12.8 billion and returned nearly 100% to stockholders through repurchases and dividends [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - QCT revenues were $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, driven by strong demand for Snapdragon-powered premium-tier Android handsets and automotive solutions [4] - Automotive revenue surpassed $1 billion for the first time in a quarter, achieving 17% year-over-year growth [15] - IoT revenues grew 7% year-over-year to $1.8 billion, driven by strength in industrial and networking products [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong end customer demand for Snapdragon-powered devices across various markets, including automotive and IoT [4][5] - The Snapdragon Insiders community grew to over 20 million members worldwide, indicating increased brand visibility and engagement [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the data center market, with plans to provide updates on its roadmap and performance in early 2026 [12][26] - The company aims to achieve its long-term revenue commitments for Fiscal 2029, targeting $8 billion in automotive and $14 billion in IoT revenues [18][19] - The Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 mobile platform was introduced, showcasing the company's commitment to innovation in mobile processors [5][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to lead the expansion of AI to the edge and develop power-efficient cloud inferencing solutions [13] - The company anticipates strong business momentum continuing into the next fiscal year, driven by new flagship Android handset launches [38] Other Important Information - The enactment of the One Big Beautiful tax bill is expected to lower cash tax payments and maintain the non-GAAP tax rate in the 13%-14% range [15] - The company completed the acquisition of Arduino, enhancing its IoT development ecosystem [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the data center business and AI200/250 specs - Management highlighted the competitive, power-efficient CPU as a strategic asset for data centers and expressed excitement about the upcoming AI200 and AI250 products [25][26] Question: Handset market visibility and share expectations - Management confirmed a strong relationship with Samsung, maintaining a baseline assumption of 75% share for new Galaxy models, with expectations of continued growth in the premium tier [30][31] Question: Revenue implications for the Humane engagement - Management indicated that data center products are expected to start leading to a revenue ramp beginning in fiscal 2027, potentially pulling forward due to the Humane engagement [34] Question: Concerns about handset market share changes - Management noted strong business momentum and did not provide guidance beyond the first quarter, emphasizing the positive consumer reaction to new device launches [38] Question: Update on negotiations with Huawei for a license - Management stated that discussions with Huawei are ongoing, with no substantive updates available at this time [42] Question: Drivers of handset revenue growth - Management attributed handset revenue growth to a mix shift towards premium devices and increased content per device, indicating a long-term trend [45][52]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Fiscal Q4, the company reported revenues of $11.3 billion and Non-GAAP earnings per share of $3, both exceeding the high end of guidance [4] - Fiscal 2025 Non-GAAP revenues reached $44 billion, up 13% year-over-year, with record QCT annual revenues of $38.4 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase [4][16] - The company generated record free cash flow of $12.8 billion and returned nearly 100% to stockholders through repurchases and dividends [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - QCT revenues were $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, driven by strong demand for Snapdragon-powered premium-tier Android handsets and automotive solutions [4][14] - QCT handset revenues increased by 14% year-over-year to $7 billion, reflecting increased demand for premium Android handsets powered by the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 platform [14] - QCT IoT revenues grew 7% year-over-year to $1.8 billion, driven by strength across industrial and networking products [15] - Automotive revenues surpassed $1 billion for the first time in a quarter, delivering 17% year-over-year growth [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong end customer demand for Snapdragon-powered premium-tier Android handsets and continued traction in automotive and IoT markets [4][5] - The Snapdragon Insiders community has grown to over 20 million members worldwide, indicating increased brand visibility [6] - The company debuted at 39 on the Interbrand Top 100 Global Brands list for 2025, reflecting the strength of the Snapdragon brand [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the data center market, with plans to provide updates on its roadmap and performance in early 2026 [12][34] - The company aims to achieve its $22 billion fiscal 2029 revenue target across automotive and IoT, with significant growth expected in both sectors [18][19] - The company is pursuing opportunities in AI, robotics, and next-generation ADAS, positioning itself as a leader in edge AI solutions [12][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving long-term revenue commitments and highlighted the strong performance in fiscal 2025 [5][16] - The company anticipates a strong first fiscal quarter with revenues expected in the range of $11.8 billion to $12.6 billion [17] - Management acknowledged potential challenges in the handset market but emphasized the ongoing momentum in the premium tier segment [30][38] Other Important Information - The company completed its acquisition of Arduino, enhancing its IoT development ecosystem [10] - A non-cash charge of $5.7 billion was recorded in Q4 due to the enactment of new tax legislation, impacting GAAP results but excluded from Non-GAAP metrics [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the data center business and AI200/250 specs - Management highlighted the competitive, power-efficient CPU as a strategic asset for data centers and expressed excitement about the upcoming AI200 and AI250 products [25][26] Question: Concerns about share with primary Android customer - Management reassured that the Snapdragon premium tier continues to expand, maintaining a strong relationship with Samsung and projecting a baseline share of 75% for future models [30][31] Question: Revenue implications for Humane engagement - Management indicated that data center products are expected to start generating material revenue in fiscal 2027, with the Humane engagement potentially accelerating this timeline [34] Question: Handset market outlook and share changes - Management noted strong business momentum and expected low teens sequential revenue growth in the handset segment, primarily driven by Android premium tier shipments [38][41] Question: Update on negotiations with Huawei for a license - Management stated that discussions with Huawei are ongoing, with no substantive updates available at this time [42] Question: Insights on Snapdragon Android strength in September and December - Management confirmed that the growth in handsets was primarily driven by the premium tier and positive consumer reactions to new device launches [46]

Core Insights - The communication ETF (515880) has seen a year-to-date market increase of over 98%, ranking first among all ETFs in the market [1] - North America's four major cloud providers are projected to have a combined capital expenditure of $113.3 billion by Q3 2025, representing a 75% year-on-year increase and an 18% quarter-on-quarter increase, with a strong focus on AI infrastructure [1] - Qualcomm announced the launch of two AI acceleration chips, AI200 and AI250, entering the high-end AI data center chip market, which introduces new competition into the market dominated by Nvidia [1] Industry Summary - The electronic industry is experiencing a sustained recovery in demand, effective supply clearance, and rising prices for storage chips, with domestic production efforts exceeding expectations [1] - The light module market is expected to maintain high prosperity due to ongoing investments in computing power infrastructure both domestically and internationally [1] - As of October 28, the communication ETF has a 52% allocation in light modules and a 22% allocation in servers, with a combined total exceeding 81% when including fiber optics and copper connections, indicating strong fundamentals for overseas computing power [1]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm Inc is positioned for near-term growth due to strong smartphone demand, increased chip share in Apple's iPhone 17, and expanding opportunities in AI [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Projections - Analyst Samik Chatterjee maintains an Overweight rating on Qualcomm, raising the price forecast from $200 to $210 [2] - For fiscal Q4 2025, projected revenue is $10.9 billion, exceeding consensus of $10.7 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.90 compared to $2.85 consensus [6] - For fiscal Q1 2026, anticipated revenue is $11.9 billion, above the Street's $11.6 billion view, with EPS of $3.34 versus expectations of $3.25 [7] Group 2: Market Position and Trends - Qualcomm's modem share in new iPhones is expected to reach about 90%, up from a previous estimate of 70%, due to limited impact from Apple's in-house modem [5] - Handset revenue is projected to increase by 7% quarter-over-quarter, driven by robust smartphone demand and higher market share with Apple [6] Group 3: Segment Performance - The automotive and IoT segments are expected to grow more than 20% in fiscal 2026, contributing to revenue diversification [9] - Qualcomm's AI datacenter products (AI200 and AI250) are highlighted as key growth catalysts, with data center revenue projected to reach $1.4 billion by fiscal 2027 [9] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Qualcomm's share of Samsung's flagship devices is expected to return to approximately 70%, which may lead to a revenue decline to $10.6 billion in a future quarter [8] - The company faces potential headwinds of $800 million in fiscal Q2 2026 due to Samsung reintroducing its in-house Exynos chipsets [7]