Summary of Biren (6082.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Biren (6082.HK) - **Industry**: AI and GPU technology - **Market Cap**: HK$82.1 billion / $10.5 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$73.5 billion / $9.4 billion - **Current Price**: HK$33.66 - **Target Price**: HK$54.00 - **Upside Potential**: 60.4% [1][6][41] Core Insights - **Growth Projections**: Biren's AI training/inferencing GPU business is expected to achieve a **101% CAGR** from 2025 to 2030, driven by: 1. Increased **China Cloud Capex** spending, indicating a ramp-up in AI infrastructure following the launch of local foundation models in late 2024. 2. Market share gains in China due to a competitive price-to-performance ratio and government support for local AI chips. 3. Migration to AI chips with higher computing power, particularly with the launch of the **BR166 modules** in August 2025. 4. A full-stack solution that accelerates AI deployment for clients. 5. Expansion of advanced node capacity in China to support local AI chip growth [1][2][31]. - **Revenue and Shipment Growth**: - Expected **AI chip shipments** to grow at **96% CAGR** from 2025 to 2030, reaching **0.9 million units** by 2030, up from **0.03 million units** in 2025 [2][31]. - Revenue growth is projected to reach **Rmb 5,588.8 million** by 2027, with a **161% YoY** increase in 2027-28 [2][15]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - Target price based on a **2030E discounted EV/EBITDA** methodology, with a target multiple of **46.6x** derived from peer comparisons [2][41]. - Implies a **20x 2027E P/S** ratio, compared to peers like Verisilicon (16.7x), NVIDIA (8.2x), and AMD (5.7x) [2][41]. Key Risks - Potential risks include: - Lower-than-expected demand for AI chips in the Chinese market. - Increased competition in the market. - Wafer supply restrictions affecting GPU board shipments [17]. Financial Highlights - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2025: Rmb 945.4 million - 2026: Rmb 1,919.0 million - 2027: Rmb 5,588.8 million [15][36]. - **EBITDA Forecast**: - Expected to remain negative until 2028, with a projected EBITDA of **Rmb 3 billion** by 2030 [34][36]. - **Net Income**: - Expected to turn positive in 2028, reaching **Rmb 3 billion** by 2030 [34][36]. Product Development - Upcoming products include: - **BR106**: Launched in 2023 for AI training/inferencing. - **BR166**: Expected in 2025, integrating two BR106 dies for enhanced performance. - **BR20X** and **BR30X**: Planned for 2026 and 2028, respectively, focusing on improved computing power and efficiency [32][31]. Conclusion - Biren is positioned for significant growth in the AI GPU market, supported by strong demand, government backing, and innovative product development. The investment recommendation is a **Buy** with a target price of **HK$54**, reflecting a robust upside potential based on projected revenue and market dynamics [1][41].

Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of Wallen Technology marks a significant milestone in the domestic AI chip industry, positioning it as the first GPU stock in the Hong Kong market and reflecting the growing demand for AI computing power [1][3][5]. Company Overview - Wallen Technology, founded by Zhang Wen in September 2019, aims to develop top-tier domestic general-purpose computing chips, particularly in the high-performance GPU sector, which is crucial for AI development [6][10]. - The company has successfully developed its first-generation GPGPU architecture and two chips, BR106 and BR110, and plans to launch the next-generation BR20X series by 2026 [10][11]. Market Demand and Growth - The global demand for AI computing power has surged, with the Chinese AI chip market projected to grow from 142.54 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,336.79 billion yuan by 2029, with GPUs expected to increase their market share from 69.9% to 77.3% during the same period [4][5]. - Wallen Technology's revenue has seen exponential growth, from 499,000 yuan in 2022 to 620.3 million yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 2500% [11]. Capital Market Strategy - Wallen Technology's IPO raised a total of 5.583 billion HKD, the largest fundraising project since the implementation of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's 18C chapter for specialized technology companies [7]. - The funds will primarily be allocated to R&D for intelligent computing solutions, with 85% directed towards developing and upgrading existing GPGPU chips and software platforms [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - The AI chip market in China is highly concentrated, with the top two players holding 76.2% and 18.2% of the market share, indicating fierce competition and significant growth potential for domestic GPU companies [11]. - Wallen Technology is positioned among the top tier of domestic GPU firms, alongside companies like Moore Threads and Muxi Technology, highlighting its competitive standing in the industry [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of Wallen Technology marks a significant milestone for domestic GPU companies, highlighting the critical need for China to establish its own computing power supply capabilities in the context of AI becoming a key driver of the global economy [1][22]. Market Overview - The global intelligent computing chip market is projected to grow from $6.6 billion in 2020 to $119 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 106%, and expected to reach $585.7 billion by 2029, maintaining a CAGR of 37.5% from 2024 to 2029 [2]. - China's intelligent computing chip market is anticipated to reach $201.2 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 46.3% from 2024 to 2029, significantly outpacing the global average [3]. Competitive Landscape - The intelligent computing chip market is highly concentrated, with NVIDIA dominating globally, while the top two players in China are expected to hold 94.4% of the market share by 2024, leaving over 15 participants with less than 1% each [3][4]. - In the GPGPU sector, the top two players are projected to account for 98% of the market share in 2024, indicating a significant concentration of power [4]. Technological Innovation - Wallen Technology adopts a Chiplet architecture, which allows for greater flexibility, scalability, and cost efficiency, addressing the challenges of rising costs and declining yields in traditional single-chip designs [6][10]. - The BR166 GPGPU chip, utilizing Chiplet technology, demonstrates a twofold improvement in key performance metrics compared to its predecessor, the BR106 [6][9]. System-Level Delivery - Wallen Technology emphasizes its system-level delivery capabilities rather than just chip performance, positioning itself as a provider of comprehensive intelligent computing solutions rather than merely a GPU supplier [10][13]. - The company has developed a complete hardware ecosystem that includes PCIe, OAM, and server products, along with a self-developed software platform to optimize performance and manage large-scale GPGPU clusters [12][13]. Financial Performance - Wallen Technology's revenue grew from 62 million yuan in 2023 to 336.8 million yuan in 2024, representing a growth of over 400%, with continued growth into 2025 [16][17]. - The company recorded gross profits of 47.4 million yuan and 179.2 million yuan in 2023 and 2024, respectively, with gross margins of 76.4% and 53.2% [18]. Research and Development - Wallen Technology has maintained high R&D expenditures, with 1.018 billion yuan in 2022, 886 million yuan in 2023, and 827 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a commitment to innovation in a capital-intensive industry [19][21]. - The company is advancing its next-generation flagship data center chip, BR20X, expected to be commercialized in 2026, which aims to enhance efficiency in large model training and inference [21]. Conclusion - The success of Wallen Technology's listing and its strategic focus on engineering solutions and system-level delivery reflect a broader trend in the Chinese GPU industry towards achieving self-sufficiency in computing power, essential for supporting the digital economy [22].

Core Viewpoint - Wallen Technology officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 2, becoming the first GPU company to do so in Hong Kong and achieving a market capitalization exceeding HKD 100 billion [1] Group 1: IPO Details - Wallen Technology's IPO was highly sought after, with a public offering oversubscription rate soaring to 2,347 times, indicating unprecedented enthusiasm for new listings in the market [1] - The final issuance price for H shares was set at HKD 19.6, resulting in a total net fundraising of HKD 5.375 billion [1] Group 2: Fund Utilization - 85% of the net proceeds from the IPO will be allocated to research and development, focusing on the commercialization of the next-generation flagship chip BR20X, which is planned for launch in 2026 [1] - The company is also developing BR30X for cloud training/inference and BR31X for edge inference, with expected launches in 2028 [1] Group 3: Business Model and Financials - Wallen Technology's future profitability will rely on a three-pronged model of "hardware scaling + high-margin software + ecosystem binding," despite currently not being profitable [1] - Cumulative losses from 2022 to the first half of 2025 are projected to exceed CNY 6.3 billion, but the company has an order reserve of CNY 822 million, with clients including China Mobile and China Telecom [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful IPO of Birran Technology, marking it as the first general-purpose GPU company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving record fundraising and subscription rates, and showcasing the potential of domestic computing power chips in the market [4][21]. Company Overview - Birran Technology went public on January 2, 2026, with a listing price of HKD 19.6 per share, raising HKD 48.55 billion, the largest IPO since the implementation of Hong Kong's Chapter 18C [4]. - The company's market capitalization reached approximately HKD 900 billion (around RMB 808 billion) shortly after its debut, with a stock price increase of over 110% on the opening day [4][21]. Founder Background - Zhang Wen, the founder of Birran, has a diverse background, including a Ph.D. from Harvard and a decade of experience as a lawyer on Wall Street, where he participated in mergers totaling over USD 15 billion [7][9]. - Zhang's transition to entrepreneurship began with his role as CEO of a semiconductor company, leading to the establishment of Birran in 2019, driven by the growing importance of general-purpose GPUs in China [12][18]. Talent Acquisition - Zhang leveraged his network to recruit top GPU talent, including former leaders from Huawei, AMD, and other tech giants, to build a strong R&D team for Birran [14][16]. - The initial investment round in 2019 valued Birran at RMB 1 billion, with significant backing from prominent venture capital firms [16][18]. Funding and Growth - Birran has undergone multiple funding rounds, raising a total of approximately RMB 40 billion by the B round, with a post-investment valuation exceeding RMB 130 billion [20]. - The company faced challenges during the pandemic but successfully launched its first product, the BR106, which generated over RMB 300 million in revenue by 2024 [21][30]. Market Position and Future Plans - Birran aims to develop next-generation GPUs, with the BR20X expected to surpass current domestic performance levels by 2026 [30][32]. - The company has established significant sales agreements with state-owned enterprises and internet companies, indicating a strong market presence [32][33].

Core Viewpoint - Wallen Technology (6082.HK), known as one of the "Four Little Dragons of Domestic GPUs," had a strong debut, opening at HKD 35.7, a rise of 82.14% from its IPO price of HKD 19.60, with a subscription rate of 2347.53 times for the public offering [1]. Fundraising and Strategic Use - The funds raised from the IPO will primarily drive Wallen Technology's technological breakthroughs and ecosystem development, with approximately 85% allocated for R&D, 5% for commercialization expansion, and 10% for working capital and general corporate purposes [1]. Product Development and Future Plans - The next flagship chip, BR20X, is planned for commercialization in 2026, featuring significant upgrades in computing power, memory capacity, and interconnect bandwidth, along with enhanced native support for broader data formats like FP8 and FP4, aimed at improving large model training and inference efficiency [1]. - Initial R&D has begun on the BR30X for cloud training and inference, and the BR31X for edge inference, with expected launches in 2028, indicating a continuous product pipeline that will open up growth opportunities [1].

Core Viewpoint - Wallen Technology (6082.HK) has successfully priced its IPO at HKD 19.60 per share, raising approximately HKD 5.583 billion, marking it as the largest fundraising project since the implementation of Chapter 18C of Hong Kong's listing rules [1] Group 1: IPO Details - The IPO received overwhelming response, with 471,000 retail investors participating, making it the most subscribed new stock in the Hong Kong market over the past year [1] - Wallen Technology is set to list on January 2, 2026, becoming the first new stock to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2026 [1] Group 2: Fund Utilization - Approximately 85% of the net proceeds from the IPO will be allocated to research and development, focusing on next-generation product iterations and technological innovations [1] - About 5% of the funds will be used for commercial expansion, while 10% will be reserved for working capital and general corporate purposes, indicating a clear strategic plan for future growth [1] Group 3: Product Development - The next flagship chip, BR20X, is planned for commercialization in 2026, featuring significant upgrades in computing power, memory capacity, and interconnect bandwidth, along with enhanced native support for broader data formats like FP8 and FP4 [1] - Initial development stages for the BR30X chip, aimed at cloud training and inference, and the BR31X chip for edge inference have commenced, with expected launches in 2028, indicating a continuous product pipeline that will open up growth opportunities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Ran Technology Co., Ltd. has initiated its IPO process, aiming to issue 24,769,280 H-shares, with trading expected to commence on January 2, 2026, marking it as the first GPU company listed in Hong Kong following the domestic listing of Moer Thread as the first GPU company on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Founded in September 2019 by former SenseTime president Zhang Wen, Wall Ran Technology has recruited top talents, including the head of the self-developed GPU team from HiSilicon, to form its core team [1] - The company focuses on developing chips for AI model training and inference, with its first product, the BR106, designed to target next-generation products from international competitors [1][2] Group 2: Product Development - The BR106 chip was successfully designed and mass-produced within approximately three years, with production commencing in January 2023 [2] - The second product, BR110, is aimed at edge and cloud inference applications, with mass production expected in October 2024 [2] - Wall Ran is also developing the next-generation flagship data center chip, BR20X, which is expected to provide enhanced computing power and support for a wider range of data formats [2][3] Group 3: Technological Innovations - Wall Ran Technology is the first in China to adopt 2.5D chiplet technology for packaging dual AI computing bare chips, which helps to overcome limitations in traditional single-chip IC manufacturing [3] - The company has developed advanced packaging technologies that improve chip and memory integration, particularly beneficial for AI training workloads and cloud computing [4] Group 4: Financial Performance - Wall Ran Technology reported revenues of 0.5 million yuan in 2022, which increased to 3.368 billion yuan in 2024, driven by a growing customer base and increased revenue per customer [6] - The company has incurred significant losses over the years, with losses of 14.743 billion yuan in 2022 and projected increases in losses due to rising R&D expenditures [7][8] - R&D expenditures have been substantial, with 203,980% of total revenue in 2022, indicating a strong focus on innovation despite financial losses [7] Group 5: Market Position and Future Outlook - As of 2024, Wall Ran Technology holds a market share of 0.16% in the Chinese smart computing chip market and 0.20% in the GPGPU market, with expectations to increase to 0.19% and 0.23% respectively by 2025 [8] - The company has secured 24 binding orders valued at approximately 821.8 million yuan and has established several framework sales agreements, indicating a strong future revenue pipeline [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant losses of Biran Technology, which reached 6.3 billion RMB over three and a half years, attributing these losses primarily to redeemable liabilities rather than operational inefficiencies [2][4][10]. Financial Performance - Biran Technology's revenue has shown strong growth, increasing from 499 thousand RMB in 2022 to 62.03 million RMB in 2023, and projected to reach 337 million RMB in 2024, resulting in a compound annual growth rate of 2500% [3][15]. - The company's losses for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 were 1.47 billion RMB, 1.74 billion RMB, and 1.54 billion RMB respectively, with a projected loss of 1.6 billion RMB for the first half of 2025 [4][9]. Redeemable Liabilities - Redeemable liabilities, also known as "convertible redeemable preferred shares," are a hybrid financial instrument that can be converted into equity or debt, leading to significant accounting implications under international financial reporting standards [4][6]. - The redeemable liabilities for Biran Technology were 348 million RMB in 2022, 604 million RMB in 2023, and 674 million RMB in 2024, with a projection of 1.01 billion RMB for 2025 [9]. - The total impact of redeemable liabilities on Biran Technology's losses amounted to 2.637 billion RMB over three and a half years, indicating that the actual operational loss was 3.72 billion RMB, which is more in line with industry standards [10][12]. Adjusted Net Loss - Adjusted net loss is a more accurate reflection of a company's operational performance, with Biran Technology's adjusted net losses for 2023 and 2024 being 1.05 billion RMB and 767 million RMB respectively, showing a significant reduction year-over-year [13]. - The article emphasizes that redeemable liabilities can mislead investors regarding a company's financial health, as seen in the cases of Xiaomi and Meituan, where large reported losses were primarily due to redeemable liabilities rather than poor operational performance [12]. Industry Context - The GPU industry is characterized by high research and development costs, long commercial cycles, and significant initial investment, leading to common phase losses among companies [15]. - Biran Technology, along with other domestic GPU firms, is expected to continue expanding its customer base and capabilities, with plans for new product launches, including the BR20X series for cloud training and inference, projected for commercialization in 2026 [16].

Core Viewpoint - Wallan Technology, known as the "first GPU stock in Hong Kong," has launched its IPO, aiming to issue 247.69 million shares at a price range of HKD 17.00 to 19.60 per share, highlighting its growth trajectory over the past five years and the potential of the domestic AI chip market [1][12][13]. Company Overview - Wallan Technology was founded in September 2019 by Zhang Wen, with initial revenue of RMB 62 million in 2023 projected to grow to RMB 337 million in 2024, supported by unfulfilled orders worth RMB 822 million and framework agreements totaling RMB 1.241 billion [1][13]. - The company is currently in a loss-making state, with net losses of RMB 1.474 billion, RMB 1.744 billion, and RMB 1.538 billion from 2022 to 2024, and an estimated loss of RMB 1.6 billion by mid-2025 [4][17]. Market Position - In the Chinese intelligent computing chip market, Wallan Technology holds a market share of 0.16% and 0.20% in the GPGPU market for 2024, while the market is dominated by Nvidia and Huawei, which together account for 94.4% of the market share [2][13]. - The domestic AI chip market is expected to grow significantly, with Wallan Technology's IPO potentially enhancing its competitive position [14]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to rise to approximately RMB 337 million in 2024, with a gross margin of 53.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase in average transaction value by 113.64% to RMB 9.4 million [3][16]. - The number of customers increased from 4 in the first half of 2024 to 12 in the first half of 2025, with transaction counts rising from 9 to 33 [3][16]. Product Development - Wallan Technology has developed its first-generation GPGPU architecture and is working on the second generation, with products like BR106 and BR110 already in production, and the BR166 chip expected to double the performance of BR106 [6][18]. - The company plans to launch the next-generation flagship data center chip BR20X by 2026, with further products like BR30X and BR31X expected by 2028 [20][21]. Strategic Partnerships - Wallan Technology has established strategic partnerships to enhance its product offerings and market reach, including a collaboration with an IT company to develop AI infrastructure solutions, resulting in significant sales orders [20][21]. - The company is also focused on building a software ecosystem with its BIRENSUPA platform, which supports third-party GPGPU software, aiming to reduce migration costs to its products [21]. Investment and Funding - Since its establishment, Wallan Technology has undergone 13 rounds of financing, with notable investors including IDG Capital and Qiming Venture Partners, and the latest funding round occurred in March 2023 [22].