这篇文章参考的是花旗银行的一篇研报，花旗认为，2026年会成为 800G 光模块主导之年。在这份报 告中，花旗给出了新易盛、中际旭创和苏州太辰光的财务模型，给出了具体的买入价和评级，这些 信息不方便写到公众号中，有兴趣的朋友可以到星球查看花旗的原文报告。 正文 花旗的调研显示，2026 年 800G 光模块需求强劲。花旗预测，800G 光模块销量将达到 3700 万只 （同比增长 85%），主要驱动力包括： 花旗预计，超过 90% 的 800G 光模块需求仍将来自海外云服务提供商（CSP），同时由于 2026 年 1.6T 以太网交换机部署速度可能放缓，花旗下调了 1.6T 的需求预测。预计海外客户将接纳更多二线 供应商，而产能和交付能力将成为市场份额分配的关键。在行业内花旗们最看好中际旭创 （Innolight）和新易盛（Eoptolink），因其在 800G/1.6T 产品和产能方面具有领先优势。鉴于在 1.6T 市场不确定性下，新易盛近期业绩表现更佳，花旗略倾向于新易盛。 花旗给出的评级排序为：新易盛 > 中际旭创 > 天孚通信（T&S）> 太辰光（TFC）。 当然这个顺序仅供参考。 下图是 2027 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3, the company reported revenue of $425.2 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.57, both exceeding the high end of guidance [20] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 35.2%, up 290 basis points sequentially and 650 basis points year on year, attributed to better manufacturing utilization and a favorable product mix [20][21] - Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 10.8%, up 290 basis points sequentially and 1,100 basis points year on year [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud and Networking segment revenue reached $365.2 million, increasing 8% sequentially and 16% year on year, driven by strong demand from hyperscale cloud customers [9][22] - Industrial Tech segment revenue was $60 million, down 5% sequentially but up 14% year on year, with ultrafast laser shipments remaining steady [14][15][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates strong sequential growth in the Cloud and Networking segment in Q4, driven by new capacity and increasing demand from network equipment manufacturers [14] - The Industrial Tech segment is expected to see a sequential decline in revenue due to ongoing macroeconomic headwinds and typical seasonal trends [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve quarterly revenue of $750 million, gross margins above 40%, and operating margins greater than 20% [6][18] - Focus on high-growth areas such as cloud and AI, with investments directed towards expanding manufacturing capacity and product offerings [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving medium and long-term financial targets despite macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff impacts [18] - The company is building resilience through a diversified manufacturing footprint and flexible supply chain [18] Other Important Information - The company is ramping production of CW lasers and EMLs, with expectations to double EML shipments by the end of calendar 2025 [10][11] - The company is also focusing on co-packaged optics (CPO) as a future growth area, although significant adoption is expected to take several years [118] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company tracking towards the $500 million revenue target? - Management confirmed they are still on track for the $500 million target by the end of the year, emphasizing confidence in current performance [30] Question: Update on datacom chip business performance? - The company is outperforming initial expectations in terms of volume and ASP, with a focus on increasing capacity for EMLs and CW lasers [32][34] Question: Clarification on tariff headwinds? - The company quantified a 100 basis point headwind to gross margins due to increased component costs and tariffs, with plans to move more production to Thailand to mitigate this [41][42] Question: Contributions from co-packaged optics? - Management indicated that while CPO is a long-term prospect, they are looking to add components to the CPO ecosystem over the coming years [48][118] Question: Insights on telecom performance and supply issues? - Telecom performance met expectations, with improvements anticipated in supply for pumps and tunables moving into Q4 [97][99] Question: Guidance caution related to macro or tariffs? - Management acknowledged macro uncertainty but expressed confidence in the guidance provided, highlighting strong demand across product lines [100][102]

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 黄仁勋在演讲中将Spectrum-X称为"全垒打式创新"，旨在将以太网提升至InfiniBand的性能水 平。他表示Spectrum-X将在Rubin平台时代实现"数十万GPU"的互联。尽管英伟达未透露细节， 但Spectrum-X Photonics平台采用了与Quantum-X Photonic不同的设计架构，可能代表第二代技 术演进。 无论如何，英伟达的入局将为CPO生态注入强心剂。自2021年初起，该技术主要由博通推动。预 计到2027年，两家巨头都将推出基于单通道200G的CPO交换机，届时产业生态将趋于成熟。 下图展示了该技术涉及的多元组件生态：由台积电制造的电子芯片与光子芯片通过3D堆叠封装集 成，台积电的紧凑型通用光子引擎（COUPE）技术整合了用于光纤阵列表面耦合的微透镜。在 Quantum-X Photonic平台中，光学引擎组件通过中介层与交换机ASIC连接。虽然英伟达未披露各 环节的具体分工，但其CPO合作伙伴名单已涵盖Browave、Coherent、康宁、Fabrinet、富士康、 Lumentum、Senko、SPIL、住友、天孚通信和台 ...