编者按： 一阵消费风向的转变，能让昔日的"硬通货"跌落神坛。曾经的"公务宴请标配"、价格稳居高位的飞天茅台，批发价也跌到历史新低。 在经济趋势研究专家时寒冰看来，稀缺性并不是永恒的，而是受时间、供需与替代品影响。投资意义上的稀缺，指在某一阶段需求持续而供给跟不上、且 缺少可替代品。它可以来自地域，比如贵州茅台的独特产地；来自技术，如微软操作系统、英伟达的AI芯片优势；也可以是不可再生资源，如铟和可 可。 所以说，无论是做投资还是做实业，在消费降级的巨大威力面前，都必须顺势而为，及时进行调整，调整越早、越快，就越主动，反应越慢、越迟钝，就 越被动。 *文章摘自《全球视野下的投资机会》一书，作者为时寒冰。 如何定义稀缺性？ 物以稀为贵——以稀缺性为目标，是获取高盈利的捷径——但必须考虑时间因素，时间是成就、强化稀缺性的帮手，同时也是摧毁、击败稀缺性的利器。 据智通财经的报道，酒类行情监测平台"今日酒价"数据显示，2025年53度500ml飞天茅台散瓶批发参考价报1770元，再创上市以来的新低；与 平台上线时的2220元、2255元相比，两者累计跌幅均已超过20%。图源：新华社 经济学上给稀缺性下的定义是这样的：稀 ...

Core Insights - In Q1 2025, China's online gaming market reached a record high of 124.92 billion, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.1% and a year-on-year growth of 22.0, marking a strong start for the year [2][5] - Mobile games accounted for approximately 78.5% of the market share, with a market size of about 98.04 billion, indicating the sustained dominance of mobile gaming [2][5] - The number of mobile game users reached approximately 679 million, showing a slight increase of 2.4% quarter-on-quarter and 0.4% year-on-year [8] Market Size and Growth - The online gaming market in China, including overseas revenue, reached 1249.2 billion in Q1 2025, with mobile games contributing 980.4 billion, PC client games at 257.8 billion, and web games at 11.0 billion [2][5] - Mobile gaming has maintained a market share above 75% for 22 consecutive quarters, solidifying its position as the core component of the online gaming market [2][5] User Dynamics - The user base for mobile games grew to approximately 679 million, reflecting a stable growth trend in the context of a slowing increase in mobile internet users [8] - The focus on deepening user engagement and service upgrades is crucial for the future development of the mobile gaming industry [8] Regulatory Environment - In Q1 2025, the National Press and Publication Administration issued 383 gaming licenses, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, indicating a positive regulatory environment for the gaming industry [11] - Among the licenses, 362 were for domestic games, with mobile games making up 97.2% of the total, highlighting the continued focus on mobile gaming [11] Technological Integration - The introduction of AI technologies, such as DeepSeek, is accelerating the integration of AI in online gaming, enhancing user interaction and gameplay experiences [12][13] - Major gaming companies like Tencent and NetEase are incorporating AI capabilities into their games, which is expected to drive innovation and improve player engagement [13]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang University has played a significant role in China's higher education and has produced numerous successful entrepreneurs and investors, particularly in the field of technology and innovation [1][2]. Group 1: "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" - The "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" are notable for their focus on "hard technology," including artificial intelligence, robotics, and brain-computer interfaces, aiming to reshape industry logic and break technological barriers [2]. - Zhejiang University has been at the forefront of artificial intelligence since establishing its computer science department in 1978, becoming one of the first universities in China to offer an undergraduate program in AI in 2019 [2][3]. - Founders of several "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" companies, such as DeepSeek and Cloud Deep Technology, are alumni of Zhejiang University, showcasing the university's influence on entrepreneurship [2][3]. Group 2: Alumni Achievements - As of May 17, 2024, 351 alumni from Zhejiang University hold key positions in 313 listed companies, indicating the university's strong entrepreneurial ecosystem [4][5]. - The "Future Entrepreneurs Cultivation Project," initiated in 1999, has produced 128 startups with a total market value exceeding 100 billion yuan, highlighting the university's commitment to fostering innovation [5]. - Zhejiang University's innovation culture emphasizes the integration of technological and industrial innovation, creating a vibrant ecosystem that supports startups at various growth stages [5]. Group 3: Notable Investors - Notable investors from Zhejiang University include Duan Yongping, known as the "father of industry" and "Chinese Buffett," who has made significant contributions to the tech industry and value investing [6][7]. - Duan Yongping has made substantial donations to Zhejiang University, supporting its development and infrastructure, reflecting his commitment to giving back to his alma mater [7]. - Other prominent investors include Chen Yuemeng, founder of Zhejiang Merchants Venture Capital, and Wang Huai, founder of Linear Capital, both of whom have made significant impacts in their respective fields [8][9][10].