行 华福证券 机械设备 2025 年 11 月 09 日 业 研 究 机械设备 意念赋能新生活，脑机接口启新篇 投资要点： 植入者重获新生，能力升级引期待 行 业 定 全球首位 Neuralink 脑机接口植入者诺兰德・阿博，术后 21 个月已 能凭意念打字、玩游戏，还攻读神经科学专业并开展有偿演讲。马斯 克透露，阿博可能成为首个接受设备升级或双侧植入的患者，未来其 使用者有望在快速反应类电子游戏中超越人类。 技术应用显成效，未来发展藏惊喜 期 报 告 阿博为所用设备命名"Eve"，虽因压力性溃疡遭遇健康小挫折， 但仍保持乐观，计划 2026 年初发布植入两周年的 "重大消息"。随 着更多人加入临床试验，Neuralink 技术持续落地，不仅帮助患者重拾 正常生活，更在多场景应用中展现出广阔潜力。 "十五五"重点赛道，脑机接口市场规模有望快速增长 根据 precedence research，2024 年全球脑机接口市场规模约为 26.2 亿美元，预计 2025 年将达到 29.4 亿美元，到 2034 年有望增长至 124 亿美元，十年间复合年增长率为 17.35%；据工信微报，2024 年中国脑 机接口市 ...

Summary of AI Commercialization Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference discusses the current state of AI commercialization globally, highlighting significant progress in the sector, particularly among companies valued over $1 billion, such as OpenAI and Anthropic [2][27]. Key Companies and Their Business Models - **OpenAI**: Valued at $13 billion, primarily generates revenue (60-70%) from membership subscriptions, indicating a strong consumer-oriented (ToC) approach [2][6]. - **Anthropic**: Valued at $4 billion, derives approximately 70% of its revenue from API calls, focusing more on business-to-business (ToB) services [2][6]. - **Kolin**: A notable Chinese AI application, has annual revenue exceeding $100 million, with 70% coming from overseas markets, reflecting strong international demand for AI applications [17][18]. AI Application Trends - Companies in the $100 million to $1 billion range often focus on vertical applications, enhancing existing services like Figma and Grammarly, which have seen significant revenue growth post-AI feature integration [3][13]. - The programming sector is experiencing rapid growth, with tools like Cursor achieving over $500 million in scale, driven by model upgrades and cost reductions [4][7]. - Multi-modal AI applications, such as Runway and Midjourney, target professional content creators, emphasizing efficiency and cost reduction as key success factors [8][15]. Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape in the multi-modal AI sector is intense, with various companies, including domestic players like Kuaishou and Meitu, developing tools for content generation and editing [11][31]. - The overall AI application market is witnessing a shift towards subscription-based models, particularly in multi-modal tools, which cater primarily to B-end users but are increasingly attracting C-end users [11][15]. Financial Performance and Projections - OpenAI's annual recurring revenue (ARR) is projected to grow from $13 billion to $20 billion by the end of 2025, indicating robust growth potential [10][9]. - Kolin's revenue is expected to reach between $200 million to $250 million in 2025, showcasing the scalability of successful AI applications [17]. Investment Opportunities - The most promising investment directions identified are multi-modal and vertical AI applications, which have shown significant revenue generation and growth potential [31]. - Recommended companies for potential investment include Kuaishou, Meitu, Jiasen Technology, and Wanxing Technology, all of which have demonstrated strong performance in their respective markets [32]. Challenges and Considerations - Domestic AI applications face challenges in commercialization compared to international counterparts, primarily due to less mature consumer payment habits and intense competition [21][22][29]. - The AI companionship sector is rapidly evolving, with products like Eve offering innovative user experiences, indicating a growing market for AI-driven engagement tools [26]. Conclusion - The global AI application market is experiencing substantial growth, particularly in large models, multi-modal, and vertical applications, with companies continuously exploring new business models and market opportunities [27].

Core Insights - Wandercraft, a French exoskeleton robotics company, completed a $75 million Series D funding round to advance the commercialization of its core product, the Eve system, and to support international deployment of Atalante X and validation of Calvin-40 production [1][15]. Funding and Financial Overview - Since its establishment in 2012, Wandercraft has raised a total of $137 million through multiple funding rounds, with the latest Series D round contributing $75 million [1]. - The funding history includes: - €4 million in Series A (July 2015) for initial R&D and product prototype development - €17.8 million in Series B (October 2017) for expanding R&D and clinical validation - €45 million in Series C (January 2022) for accelerating market promotion and international certification of Atalante X [1]. Product Development and Market Strategy - Wandercraft has developed three exoskeleton robots targeting medical, consumer, and industrial markets: Atalante X, Eve, and Calvin-40 [6]. - Atalante X is designed for rehabilitation of patients with mobility impairments, featuring a self-balancing system and 12 degrees of freedom for natural gait simulation [9][10]. - Eve is a home care robot aimed at post-discharge rehabilitation, currently in clinical trials with plans for a 2026 launch in the U.S. [13]. - Calvin-40 is an industrial humanoid robot designed for high-risk labor tasks, with initial deployment planned for late 2025 [14]. Industry Trends and Market Potential - The global rehabilitation market has a significant gap, with approximately 20 million spinal cord injury patients needing effective rehabilitation devices [5]. - The Chinese exoskeleton robot market is projected to reach ¥4.2 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of about 50% from 2023 to 2028 [16]. - The demand for rehabilitation solutions is driven by a high incidence of stroke and spinal cord injuries in China, with over 28 million stroke patients and 3.74 million spinal cord injury patients reported [18]. Collaborations and Innovations - The partnership with Renault marks a shift in investment strategy, providing not only financial backing but also manufacturing resources for the Calvin-40 robot [15]. - Collaboration with NVIDIA aims to enhance the technological capabilities of Wandercraft's robots through AI training and simulation [15]. Regulatory and Policy Environment - Recent policies in China support the development of exoskeleton robots as high-end medical equipment, facilitating industry growth and standardization [18]. - The competitive landscape has intensified with domestic companies innovating in niche areas, such as rehabilitation solutions for specific patient demographics [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the groundbreaking capabilities of Grok4, an AI model developed by Musk's xAI, highlighting its significant advancements over competitors and its integration with Tesla and SpaceX, which could disrupt the electric vehicle and robotics industries [5][27]. Summary by Sections Grok4's Strength - Grok4 achieved a score of 26.9% on the "Human's Last Exam," surpassing the previous best of 21.6% by Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro, and with tool assistance, it reached 41% [8]. - In the ARC-AGI-2 reasoning test, Grok4 scored 15.9%, doubling the previous record of 8.6% [10]. - In practical scenarios, Grok4 outperformed humans in managing vending machines, earning twice as much as the second-place competitor and six times more than humans [14]. - Grok4's voice assistant, Eve, offers a superior user experience compared to existing voice assistants, with minimal latency and enhanced interaction capabilities [16]. Reasons for Grok4's Success - Musk's team built a powerful computing center with 100,000 H100 chips in just 122 days, later doubling it to 200,000 chips, showcasing exceptional execution and engineering capabilities [17][18]. - The training strategy for Grok4 focused on pre-training followed by reinforcement learning for reasoning, diverging from competitors who are still heavily invested in pre-training [20][21]. - Grok4 incorporates innovative mechanisms such as toolchain capabilities and multi-agent discussion, enhancing its problem-solving abilities [22]. - Musk's deep understanding of AI principles and his relentless work ethic are key differentiators that contribute to Grok4's competitive edge [24][26]. Impact on Industries - Grok4's integration with Tesla and SpaceX is expected to create a "chemical reaction" that enhances efficiency and innovation in engineering tasks, such as automotive safety testing and flight trajectory optimization [27][28]. - The AI model is positioned to revolutionize engineering processes, significantly reducing innovation cycles from months to hours by automating design and testing [28]. - Grok4's voice assistant capabilities will enhance the user experience in Tesla vehicles, setting a new standard in the automotive industry [30]. - In robotics, Grok4's advanced video understanding and reasoning will enable Tesla's Optimus robot to learn and improve at an unprecedented rate, potentially leading to significant breakthroughs [31]. AI Industry Landscape - The advancements in Grok4 are likely to boost Tesla's confidence in its autonomous driving and robotics sectors while benefiting chip manufacturers like NVIDIA and AMD [32]. - The competitive pressure will increase on leading AI firms like OpenAI and DeepSeek, particularly if they fail to innovate in engineering and algorithmic capabilities [32].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The media and internet sector is benefiting from new consumption trends, content recovery, and growth in AI applications, with significant products in the gaming sector such as Gigabit's "Nine Woods in the Wild" and Kaiying Network's "Nobunaga" being noteworthy [1][5] - The film and television sector shows signs of recovery, with opportunities arising from Guomai Culture's animated film "Three Kingdoms Starry Sky" and derivative licensing, as well as the short drama market expected to reach a scale of 50.5 billion yuan in 2024, surpassing box office revenues [1][6][12] Key Insights and Arguments - The gaming sector is expected to perform well in the first half of 2025, with new products from companies like Giant Network, Perfect World, and Gigabit [3] - The short drama market is rapidly growing, with a projected scale of 63 billion yuan in 2025 and a compound growth rate of approximately 19% [12] - AI applications are increasingly important in the media and internet industry, with major companies like Alibaba and ByteDance actively investing in AI technologies to enhance user experience and drive overall industry valuation [8] Notable Developments - The IP toy sector remains active, with companies like Pop Mart expected to perform well in the second half of the year, driven by emotional consumption trends [1][7] - The open-world gaming market has significant potential, with titles like Perfect World's "Yihuan," NetEase's "Infinite," and Shiyue Network's "Wangyue" anticipated to launch in 2025 or 2026 [9] - The film industry is projected to achieve a box office revenue of approximately 50 billion yuan in 2025, with notable films such as "Mission: Impossible 8" and "Jurassic World Rebirth" expected to perform well [10][11] Additional Insights - The education sector is focusing on AI integration, with companies like New Oriental and Thinking乐 showing strong profit growth potential [4][17] - The new energy vehicle sector continues to grow, with a year-on-year increase in production and sales of 48.3% and 46.2% respectively, and a penetration rate of 42.7% [4][15] - The e-commerce sector is experiencing rapid growth in instant retail, with major players like Meituan, Alibaba, and JD.com heavily investing in this area [13][14] Investment Opportunities - Companies like Dou Shen Education and Sheng Tong are recommended for investment due to their AI-focused educational products, which are expected to lead the market [18][19] - The automotive sector, particularly Li Auto's I8 and I6 models, is expected to outperform due to their design advantages and strong market positioning [16]

Core Viewpoint - Wandercraft has successfully completed a $75 million Series D financing round, bringing its total funding to approximately $137 million, which will be used to advance its product lines and expand its operational capabilities [1][3][14]. Financing Purpose and Development Plan - The financing will primarily support the clinical trials and market launch of the Eve personal exoskeleton, expand the Atalante X rehabilitation exoskeleton's global deployment, and validate the mass production of the Calvin-40 humanoid robot for industrial applications [3][4]. - Wandercraft plans to increase its workforce from 100 to 150 employees to enhance research, production, and sales capabilities [4]. Product Lines - **Atalante X**: A self-balancing exoskeleton designed for rehabilitation institutions, it has been deployed in over 100 rehabilitation centers globally and has served more than 2,500 patients, achieving over 14 million walking training sessions [7][8]. - **Eve**: A portable exoskeleton aimed at providing daily standing and walking support for users in home and community settings, currently in clinical trials with plans for a 2026 market launch in the U.S. [10][11]. - **Calvin-40**: A humanoid robot designed for industrial tasks, set to be deployed in Renault's factories by the end of 2025, aimed at reducing the risk of musculoskeletal injuries for workers [13][14]. Strategic Insights - Wandercraft's ability to secure funding in a tightening macroeconomic environment is attributed to its clear technological evolution, deployment rhythm, and product pipeline consistency, which instills confidence among investors [14][15]. - The company has a well-structured product pipeline that spans rehabilitation, home assistance, and industrial applications, showcasing a scalable platform structure that can foster a collaborative ecosystem [15]. - Partnerships with Renault and NVIDIA enhance product deployment and technological integration, ensuring sustainable growth and innovation [15].

Investment and Partnership - Renault Group has completed a minority investment in Wandercraft, a leader in medical self-balancing exoskeletons, to enhance its capabilities in robotics and automation [1][5] - The partnership aims to develop the Calvin family of next-generation robots for industrial applications, which will help alleviate workers from non-ergonomic tasks and improve productivity [2][3] Technological Advancements - Wandercraft's technology will be integrated with Renault Group's industrial expertise to scale up production of exoskeletons and robots, thereby reducing costs through design-to-cost and scaling [2][4] - Wandercraft has developed over 30 patents and operates more than 100 Atalante exoskeletons in hospitals globally, with plans to market a new personal exoskeleton, Eve, to assist quadriparetic individuals [7] Strategic Goals - The collaboration is expected to drive productivity by accelerating production time and reducing costs, allowing Renault Group to focus its workforce on more value-adding tasks [3][4] - Renault Group aims to achieve carbon neutrality in Europe by 2040, aligning with its commitment to sustainable and innovative mobility solutions [6][7]