消息面上，新东方-S此前发布截至2025年8月31日止第一季度业绩，2026财年第一季度的净营收同比上 升6.1%至15.23亿美元。2026财年第一季度的经营利润同比上升6.0%至3.11亿美元。2026财年第一季度 的新东方股东应占净利润同比下跌1.9%至2.41亿美元。海通国际表示，新东方-S在2025年8月底止2026 财年第一季经调整经营利润率同比提升1个百分点，主要由东方甄选贡献。 海通国际认为，新东方-S在包括K12及海外业务在内的各个细分领域均处于领先地位; 除此之外，公司 生成式AI在课件自动生成、名师数字分身及作业批改等场景的落地，将同步提升转化效率和内容质 量，帮助公司提效以及业务聚焦。此外，公司已宣布三年股东回报计划，派息率不低于50%，以2025财 年净利润3.72亿美元及当前市值计算，对应回报率约2.7%，体现了管理层对盈利的持续承诺与信心。 来源：智通财经网 新东方-S(09901)午后涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.37%，报41.66港元，成交额1.25亿港元。 ...

消息面上，新东方-S此前发布截至2025年8月31日止第一季度业绩，2026财年第一季度的净营收同比上 升6.1%至15.23亿美元。2026财年第一季度的经营利润同比上升6.0%至3.11亿美元。2026财年第一季度 的新东方股东应占净利润同比下跌1.9%至2.41亿美元。海通国际表示，新东方-S在2025年8月底止2026 财年第一季经调整经营利润率同比提升1个百分点，主要由东方甄选贡献。 海通国际认为，新东方-S在包括K12及海外业务在内的各个细分领域均处于领先地位; 除此之外，公司 生成式AI在课件自动生成、名师数字分身及作业批改等场景的落地，将同步提升转化效率和内容质 量，帮助公司提效以及业务聚焦。此外，公司已宣布三年股东回报计划，派息率不低于50%，以2025财 年净利润3.72亿美元及当前市值计算，对应回报率约2.7%，体现了管理层对盈利的持续承诺与信心。 智通财经APP获悉，新东方-S(09901)午后涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.37%，报41.66港元，成交额1.25亿港 元。 ...

海通国际又指，公司已宣布三年股东回报计划，派息率不低于50%。以2025财年净利润3.72亿美元及当 前市值计算，对应回报率约2.7%，体现了管理层对盈利的持续承诺与信心。 海通国际表示，集团在今年8月底止2026财年第一季经调整经营利润率，同比提升1个百分点，主要由东 方甄选贡献。但11月底止第二财季，公司将放缓教学中心扩张、提升存量利用率并全线提效，叠加去年 低基数，该行预计集团2026财年第二季度利润率再扩2个百分点，但明年5月底止下半财年因留学不确定 及K9竞争，环比取保守态度，预计同比改善0.3至0.5个百分点。全年度经调整经营利润预计6.5亿美元， 对应利润率12.1%。 智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，首次覆盖新东方-S(09901)，认为该公司在包括K12及海外业 务在内的各个细分领域均处于领先地位; 除此之外，公司生成式AI在课件自动生成、名师数字分身及作 业批改等场景的落地，将同步提升转化效率和内容质量，帮助公司提效以及业务聚焦。海通国际给予 2026财年18倍市盈率，予新东方H股目标价49港元，首次覆盖予"优于大市"评级。 ...

集团在今年8月底止2026财年第一季经调整经营利润率按年提升1个百分点，主要由东方甄选贡献。但11 月底止第二财季，公司将放缓教学中心扩张、提升存量利用率并全线提效，叠加去年低基数，该行预计 集团2026财年第二季度利润率再扩2个百分点，但明年5月底止下半财年因留学不确定及K9竞争，环比 取保守态度，预计按年改善0.3至0.5个百分点。全年度经调整经营利润预计6.5亿美元，对应利润率 12.1%。 海通国际发表研报指，首次覆盖新东方，予其H股目标价49港元及"优于大市"评级，认为该公司在包括 K12及海外业务在内的各个细分领域均处于领先地位；除此之外，公司生成式AI在课件自动生成、名师 数字分身及作业批改等场景的落地，将同步提升转化效率和内容质量，帮助公司提效以及业务聚焦。 ...

研究报告 Research Report 30 Nov 2025 新东方-S New Oriental (9901 HK) 首次覆盖：多元化的教培龙头；目标 FY26 利润率提升；未来股东回报将进一步提升 A diversified education leader targeting FY26 margin expansion and higher shareholder returns ahead: Initiation [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 首次覆盖优于大市 Initiate with OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$40.30 目标价 HK$49.00 HTI ESG 5.0-5.0-5.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$65.90bn / US$8.46bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$29.15mn 发行股票数目 1,635mn 自由流通股 (%) 88% 1 年股价最高最低 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to accelerate growth in its K12 business in FY2026Q2, with a projected revenue increase of 9% to 12% year-over-year [4] - The company plans to return $490 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, with a dividend of $0.12 per share [3] - Despite a slowdown in overseas business and revenue growth, the company achieved a revenue of $1.52 billion in FY2026Q1, exceeding previous guidance by 1% [2][4] Financial Performance - For FY2026Q1, the company reported a Non-GAAP operating profit of $340 million, a year-over-year increase of 11.8%, with an operating profit margin of 22% [2] - The company expects FY2026-2028 revenues of $5.36 billion, $5.98 billion, and $6.50 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of $461 million, $542 million, and $619 million [4][8] - The company has cash and cash equivalents of $1.28 billion, with short-term investments totaling $2.18 billion as of FY2026Q1 [3] Market Performance - The company's stock has outperformed the Hang Seng Index by 2.6% over the past month, while the Hang Seng Index has seen a decline of 2.7% [5] - The current stock price is HKD 41.86, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 66.62 billion [5] Future Outlook - The company anticipates improved profit margins in FY2026Q2, driven by enhanced K12 teaching quality and increased student retention rates [4] - The report indicates a cautious outlook on revenue and profit forecasts due to the impact of international economic conditions on traditional study abroad and new cultural tourism businesses [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental-S (09901.HK) [1] Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected revenue growth in FY26Q1, with a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, surpassing previous guidance of 2%-5% [7] - The overseas business showed significant improvement, with a 25% revenue growth in the low-age study abroad segment, indicating a shift in demand rather than a decline [7] - K12 business is expected to accelerate, with anticipated growth rates of approximately 20% for K9 and double-digit growth for high school, validating the strategy of prioritizing product quality [7] - The company announced a shareholder return plan totaling approximately $490 million, which is over 130% of FY25 net profit, indicating strong profit visibility and cash flow [7] - Non-GAAP operating profit margin improved to 22.0%, with expectations for further expansion in Q2, driven by better resource utilization and cost control [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from $4.9 billion in FY2025 to $6.3 billion in FY2028, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.6%, 9.96%, 10.00%, and 7.02% respectively [1][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from $371.72 million in FY2025 to $591.14 million in FY2028, with growth rates of 20.07%, 32.32%, 10.40%, and 8.87% respectively [1][9] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 17, 15, and 14 times for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively based on Non-GAAP metrics [1][9]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised the target price for New Oriental-S (09901) to HKD 45.4, citing potential catalysts on the horizon, including improved overseas business performance and increased profit margins [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast and Target Price Adjustment - The non-GAAP earnings per share forecast for the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 has been increased by 4% and 5% respectively, primarily due to a smaller-than-expected decline in overseas business revenue and improved profit margins [1] - The target price for New Oriental's U.S. stock has been raised to USD 58.2, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Potential Catalysts - Shareholder returns are expected to improve, considering the company holds USD 4.8 billion in cash and has strong free cash flow generation capabilities projected to reach USD 500 million to USD 700 million from fiscal years 2026 to 2028. The current dividend payout ratio is equivalent to 50% of net profit, with significant room for increase. A 100% payout ratio in fiscal year 2026 would yield a dividend yield of 4.5% [2] - Overseas business performance is anticipated to exceed expectations, with management guiding for a single-digit percentage decline in overseas revenue for the August quarter and fiscal year 2026. Non-U.S./U.K. consulting and related services, which account for about 60% of consulting revenue, are expected to grow, partially offsetting declines in the U.S. (double-digit decline) and U.K. (moderate decline) [2] - The K9 business is expected to accelerate again, despite a potential slowdown in revenue growth for the August quarter due to course scheduling adjustments and competition from local small institutions. Growth is expected to resume in the November quarter as these negative factors dissipate [2] - Profit margin resilience is evident, with cost control measures, improved margins in K12 and Dongfang Zhenxuan, and a reduction in losses from the cultural tourism business expected to offset pressure on overseas business profit margins, driving an expansion in non-GAAP operating profit margins for fiscal year 2026 [2]

Group 1 - New Oriental-S (09901) shares increased by over 5%, reaching a price of HKD 41.62 with a trading volume of HKD 114 million [1] - Guosheng Securities reported that as of FY25Q4, the company's deferred revenue (customer prepayments) was USD 1.955 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, indicating growth in the collection side which supports future revenue [1] - The company projects FY2026Q1 net revenue (including Dongfang Zhenxuan) to grow by 2% to 5% year-over-year, reaching USD 1.464 to 1.507 billion, with conservative guidance due to a high base in FY25Q1 and rescheduling of K12 business due to the early Spring Festival in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Daiwa noted that after reviewing New Oriental-S's operational status for the summer semester of 2025 and the performance of Dongfang Zhenxuan for FY2025, the overall business development of the group appears stable, with improved K-9 fall student retention rates and no further deterioration in overseas exam preparation services [2] - New Oriental announced plans to distribute no less than 50% of its net profit attributable to shareholders from the previous fiscal year in the form of dividends or share buybacks starting from FY2026 [2] - Daiwa believes that the anticipated shareholder return ratio could significantly exceed the group's commitment of 50%, potentially reaching high double-digit percentages or even over 100%, which is seen as a key positive catalyst for the shares [2]

Group 1 - New Oriental-S (09901) saw a stock increase of over 5%, reaching HKD 41.62 with a trading volume of HKD 114 million [1] - Guosheng Securities reported that as of FY25Q4, the company's deferred revenue (customer prepayments) was USD 1.955 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, indicating growth in the collection side which supports future revenue [1] - The company projects FY2026Q1 net revenue (including Dongfang Zhenxuan) to grow by 2% to 5% to USD 1.464 to 1.507 billion, with conservative guidance due to a high base in FY25Q1 and rescheduling of K12 business due to the early Spring Festival in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Daiwa noted that after reviewing New Oriental-S's summer semester operations for 2025 and the performance of Dongfang Zhenxuan, the overall business development is stabilizing, with improved K-9 fall student retention rates and no further deterioration in overseas exam preparation services [2] - New Oriental announced plans to distribute no less than 50% of its previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders in the form of dividends or share buybacks starting from FY2026, which could potentially exceed 100% [2] - The anticipated shareholder return ratio is seen as a significant positive catalyst for the stock [2]