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大和:新东方-S(09901)盈利增长能见度更清晰 升目标价至57港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-31 22:22
Core Viewpoint - Daito's report indicates that New Oriental-S (09901) exceeded market expectations for its Q2 FY2026 performance, primarily due to improved profitability in its education business and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company raised its revenue growth guidance for FY2026 from 5%-10% to 8%-12% due to stronger-than-expected revenue growth in K12 and overseas study segments [1] - The report highlights clearer visibility for profit growth driven by efficiency improvements and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Based on the upward revision of Dongfang Zhenxuan's profit forecast, the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for New Oriental for FY2027 to FY2028 have been increased by 0.4% to 1.4% [1] - The target price for New Oriental has been raised from HKD 53 to HKD 57, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
新东方(9901.HK):低基数下利润有望持续释放
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-30 04:37
新东方公布2QFY26 业绩(以下简称Q2):总收入11.91 亿美元,yoy+14.7%,增速超指引上限 机构:华泰证券 研究员:夏路路/詹博/郑裕佳 (12%);调整后经营利润0.89 亿美元,对应OPM 为7.5%,同比提升4.7pct,大幅超过彭博一致预期 (yoy+2pct)。 公司指引3QFY26/FY26 全年美元口径总收入同比增长11~14%/8~12%(彭博一致预期12%/10%),反映 教学质量提升、需求回归和汇率顺风的影响。 我们认为公司核心K12 业务增长稳健,降本增效及多元化发展下集团利润率有望逐步改善,长期有望为 股东创造持续稳定的回报,维持"买入"。 K12 业务兑现秋季提速,经营利润率提升超预期分业务看,随着秋季K12 行业回归正价竞争,头部品牌 机构增长环比改善,教育属性新业务收入在Q2 同比增速加速至21.6%;大学生及成人教育收入同比增 长12.8%(Q1:14.4%),增速稳健;留学考培收入同比增长4.1%,留学咨询收入同比下降约3%,逆境 中展现较强韧性。得益于运营杠杆的优化、成本控制措施的逐步落地,以及东方甄选的盈利贡献,Q2 公司调整后经营利润率同比提升4.7pc ...
大行评级|大和:新东方盈利增长能见度更清晰,目标价上调至57港元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-30 03:40
Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's Q2 FY2026 performance exceeded market expectations, driven by improved profitability in its education business and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company raised its FY2026 revenue growth guidance from 5%-10% to 8%-12% due to stronger-than-expected revenue growth in K12 and overseas study segments [1] - Earnings visibility has improved due to efficiency enhancements and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Based on the upward revision of Dongfang Zhenxuan's profit forecast, the company increased its earnings per share estimates for FY2027-2028 by 0.4% to 1.4% [1] - The target price for New Oriental was raised from HKD 53 to HKD 57, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
海通国际:维持新东方-S“优于大市”评级 降本增效战略持续显效
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 02:12
Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains an "outperform" rating for New Oriental-S (09901) and raises the target price from HKD 49 to HKD 52 based on upgraded performance expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 FY26, the company's total revenue increased by 15% year-on-year to USD 1.191 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 3% and surpassing the previous guidance of 9%-12% [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit surged by 223% year-on-year to USD 89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, resulting in a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, which is 2.8 percentage points higher than the consensus forecast [2] - Deferred revenue reached USD 2.1615 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.2%, consistent with the 10% growth in Q1 FY26 [2] Group 2: K12 Business Outlook - K12 business revenue is expected to accelerate in Q3 FY26, driven by improved retention rates and increased class scheduling during the winter break [2] - The company has made significant progress in enhancing product quality and teaching effectiveness, leading to a notable increase in user retention rates for high school and K9 non-academic businesses [2] - K12 revenue is projected to grow by 19% year-on-year to USD 815 million, with high school business expected to grow by 18% and K9 new business by 23% due to strong recovery in junior high [2] Group 3: Study Abroad Business Challenges - The study abroad sector remains under pressure, impacting the overall revenue of the core education segment [3] - Despite a challenging macroeconomic and international environment, the company managed to capture market share in Q2 FY26, achieving a 1% year-on-year growth [3] - The company holds a conservative outlook for Q4 FY26 due to the seasonal characteristics of the study abroad consulting business and anticipates a decline in study abroad revenue next year due to ongoing industry challenges [3] Group 4: Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - The core education segment's operating profit margin improved by 3 percentage points in Q2 FY26, primarily due to effective cost reduction and efficiency measures [4] - These measures include cautious expansion of learning centers and control of marketing expenses, which are expected to continue delivering results [4] - The company forecasts a year-on-year increase in Non-GAAP operating profit margins of 1.4 and 1.6 percentage points in Q3 FY26 and FY26, respectively, reaching 13.4% and 12.9% [4]
海通国际:维持新东方-S(09901)“优于大市”评级 降本增效战略持续显效
智通财经网· 2026-01-30 02:09
Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains an "outperform" rating for New Oriental-S (09901) and raises the target price from HKD 49 to HKD 52 based on upgraded performance expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 FY26, the company's total revenue increased by 15% year-on-year to USD 1.191 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 3% and surpassing the previous guidance of 9%-12% [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit surged by 223% year-on-year to USD 89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, up 2.8 percentage points from the consensus estimate of 4.7% [1] - Deferred revenue reached USD 2.1615 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, consistent with the 10% growth in Q1 FY26 [1] Group 2: K12 Business Outlook - K12 business revenue is expected to accelerate growth in Q3 FY26, driven by improved retention rates and increased course offerings during the winter break [2] - The K12 business revenue is projected to grow by 19% year-on-year to USD 815 million, with high school business expected to grow by 18% and K9 new business anticipated to increase by 23% [2] Group 3: Study Abroad Business Challenges - The study abroad sector remains under pressure, impacting the overall revenue of the core education segment [3] - Despite a 1% year-on-year growth in Q2 FY26, the company is expected to adopt a conservative outlook for Q4 FY26 due to the seasonal characteristics of the study abroad consulting business [3] - The company anticipates a decline in study abroad revenue next year due to the ongoing instability in the industry and the merger of exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses [3] Group 4: Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - The core education segment's operating profit margin improved by 3 percentage points in Q2 FY26, attributed to effective cost reduction and efficiency measures [4] - The company expects these measures to continue yielding results, with projected Non-GAAP operating profit margins increasing by 1.4 and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year to 13.4% and 12.9% for Q3 FY26 and FY26, respectively [4]
新东方:低基数下利润有望持续释放-20260129
HTSC· 2026-01-29 13:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of $1.191 billion for Q2FY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.7%, exceeding the guidance upper limit of 12% [1]. - Adjusted operating profit for Q2 was $89 million, with an operating profit margin (OPM) of 7.5%, which is a year-over-year increase of 4.7 percentage points, significantly surpassing Bloomberg consensus expectations [1][2]. - The company expects total revenue growth of 11-14% for Q3FY26 and 8-12% for the full fiscal year, reflecting improvements in teaching quality, returning demand, and favorable exchange rates [1][2]. - The core K12 business is showing robust growth, and the company is expected to gradually improve profit margins through cost reduction and efficiency enhancements, aiming to provide stable returns to shareholders in the long term [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2FY26, the company achieved a revenue of $1.191 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 14.7% [1]. - The adjusted operating profit margin increased to 7.5%, which is a 4.7 percentage point improvement from the previous year [2]. - The company has slightly raised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for FY26, FY27, and FY28 to $578 million, $681 million, and $756 million, respectively [8][4]. Business Segments - The K12 segment is experiencing a return to normal pricing competition, with new business revenues growing by 21.6% year-over-year in Q2 [2]. - The revenue from university and adult education increased by 12.8%, while study abroad training revenue grew by 4.1% [2]. - The company plans to merge its study abroad consulting and training businesses by the end of FY26, which is expected to streamline operations and enhance efficiency [3]. Valuation and Price Target - The target price for the company is set at $65.43 per share, based on an 18x FY26 PE ratio, reflecting the stability of its core business and leading shareholder returns in the industry [4][8]. - The previous target price was $67.31, indicating a slight adjustment based on updated profit forecasts [4][8].
新东方-S(09901):超预期并上调指引,降本增效战略持续显效
Haitong Securities International· 2026-01-29 12:35
研究报告 Research Report 29 Jan 2026 新东方-S New Oriental (9901 HK) 超预期并上调指引;降本增效战略持续显效 Beat and Raise guidance; efficiency improvement strategy is yielding results [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$46.04 目标价 HK$52.00 HTI ESG 5.0-5.0-5.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$75.29bn / US$9.65bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$19.47mn 发行股票数目 1,635mn 自由流通股 (%) 88% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$47.24-HK$32.85 注:现价 HK$46.04 为 2026 年 01 月 29 日收盘价 资料来源: F ...
大行评级丨花旗:新东方国内加速抵销海外阻力 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-29 04:58
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that New Oriental-S (09901.HK) management has confirmed that second-quarter performance exceeded expectations, with a profit margin expansion of 300 basis points (excluding Dongfang Zhenxuan), and expressed high confidence in exceeding annual targets [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - K12 business is accelerating growth in the third quarter, with high school business guidance up 18% and K9 business guidance up 23% (in USD) [1] - This strong performance is sufficient to offset the weakness in the annual overseas business, which is projected to be between 0% to -5% [1] - Management has stated that revenue and profit will definitely exceed expectations, showing confidence in achieving targets for the year [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - New Oriental is merging its overseas exam preparation business with its study abroad consulting business to reduce customer acquisition costs and break down departmental barriers, marking a key strategic shift [1] - The upward revision of high school business guidance to 18% reflects the expansion of the OMO model and efficiency improvements driven by AI workplace systems [1] - Improved retention rates in K9 support an annual growth of over 20% [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental with a target price of HKD 59 [1]
新东方-S涨超4% 26年第二财季业绩胜市场预期 教育板块业务跌幅收窄
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 03:27
美银证券发布研报称,新东方-S截至11月止第二财季的收入及利润率均胜预期。收入增长加速至15%, 并高于9%至12%的指引。非通用会计準则经营利润率扩阔4.8个百分点,亦按季加速,同时高于指引 的"逾1个百分点"。公司对截至2月止第三财季的收入增长指引为11%至14%,并将5月底止全财年收入 指引上调至53亿至55亿美元,即按年增长8%至12%,高于原先指引的5%至10%,主要动力来自K12业 务、东方甄选及海外备考业务跌幅收窄。 新东方-S(09901)涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.03%,报46.56港元,成交额1.79亿港元。 消息面上,1月28日,新东方-S发布截至2025年11月30日止的2026财年第二季度财务业绩公告,该集团 2026财年第二季度的净营收同比上升14.7%至11.91亿美元;经营利润同比上升244.4%至6630万美元;新 东方股东应占净利润同比上升42.3%至4550万美元。于2026财年上半年,净营收约27.14亿美元,同比增 长9.7%。经营利润约3.77亿美元,同比增长20.7%。新东方股东应占净利润约2.86亿美元,同比增长 3.2%。 ...
港股异动 | 新东方-S(09901)涨超4% 26年第二财季业绩胜市场预期 教育板块业务跌幅收窄
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 03:20
Core Viewpoint - New Oriental-S (09901) reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and profit metrics, leading to a stock price increase of over 4% [1] Financial Performance - For the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, net revenue increased by 14.7% year-on-year to $1.191 billion [1] - Operating profit surged by 244.4% year-on-year to $66.3 million [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 42.3% year-on-year to $45.5 million [1] - For the first half of fiscal year 2026, net revenue was approximately $2.714 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.7% [1] - Operating profit for the first half was about $377 million, up 20.7% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half was approximately $286 million, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [1] Market Expectations - Bank of America Securities noted that New Oriental-S's revenue and profit margins exceeded expectations for the second fiscal quarter [1] - Revenue growth accelerated to 15%, surpassing the guidance of 9% to 12% [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit margin expanded by 4.8 percentage points, also exceeding the guidance of "over 1 percentage point" [1] - The company provided a revenue growth guidance of 11% to 14% for the third fiscal quarter ending in February [1] - Full fiscal year revenue guidance was raised to $5.3 billion to $5.5 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 8% to 12%, up from the previous guidance of 5% to 10% [1] - The primary growth drivers include K12 business, Dongfang Zhenxuan, and a narrowing decline in overseas exam preparation services [1]