Summary of Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co Ltd - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Semiconductors - **Stock Rating**: Underweight [3] - **Price Target**: Rmb65.00, representing a downside of 22% from the current price of Rmb83.09 [3] - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb37,867 million [3] - **Average Daily Trading Value**: Rmb532 million [3] Financial Performance - **Fiscal Year Ending**: December - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: Rmb1.32 - 2025 (estimated): Rmb1.29 - 2026 (estimated): Rmb1.43 - 2027 (estimated): Rmb1.64 [3] - **Revenue (Net)**: - 2024: Rmb4,375 million - 2025 (estimated): Rmb4,795 million - 2026 (estimated): Rmb5,781 million - 2027 (estimated): Rmb6,410 million [3] - **EBITDA**: - 2024: Rmb511 million - 2025 (estimated): Rmb643 million - 2026 (estimated): Rmb894 million - 2027 (estimated): Rmb1,003 million [3] - **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio**: - 2024: 61.1 - 2025 (estimated): 64.6 - 2026 (estimated): 58.0 - 2027 (estimated): 50.8 [3] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2024: 7.5% - 2025 (estimated): 6.8% - 2026 (estimated): 7.2% - 2027 (estimated): 7.8% [3] Market Outlook - **Order Outlook**: Anticipation of better orders in the second half of the year, driven by strong smartphone seasonality in the fourth quarter [5] - **Ultrasonic Fingerprint Sensor**: - Full-year shipment estimate increased to 40 million units from 35 million due to increased penetration - Expected addressable market of 130 million units in 2026 and 180-200 million units in 2027 - Targeting over 60% market share by 2027 [5] - **NFC, eSE, eSIM Solutions**: - Expected market size of Rmb7 billion with a target of 30% market share - Current gross margin around 30% with potential for improvement [5] - **Other Products**: - Light sensor adoption in flagship smartphone models - Haptic driver in design phase - OLED TDDI product launch expected in 1H26, with commercialization in 2027 [5] Risks - **Upside Risks**: - Faster-than-expected market share expansion and new product rollout - New applications for fingerprint technology [8] - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected market share expansion and new product rollout - Weaker-than-expected gross margin despite improving cost structure [8] Valuation Methodology - **Key Assumptions**: - Cost of equity: 8.4% - Medium-term growth rate: 16.5% - Terminal growth rate: 4.9% [7] Conclusion Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co Ltd is positioned in a competitive semiconductor market with a focus on innovative products like ultrasonic fingerprint sensors and NFC solutions. Despite a strong market outlook, the company faces challenges in achieving its growth targets and maintaining margins. The current stock rating is underweight, reflecting cautious sentiment amid potential risks.

Core Insights - Tianye Co., Ltd. is a leading domestic tropical fruit and vegetable raw material processing enterprise, focusing on the research, production, and sales of tropical fruits and vegetables, with a product matrix centered around raw juice [1] - The company has developed processing techniques for over 40 types of fruits and vegetables, offering a diverse range of products including concentrated juice, NFC, and frozen fruits and vegetables to meet various customer needs [1] - The company emphasizes technological innovation, having established a provincial enterprise technology center and participated in setting national agricultural industry standards, which enhances production efficiency and product quality [1] Technological Innovation - The company has multiple invention and utility model patents, with self-developed pre-treatment and juice processing technologies that significantly improve production efficiency and product quality [1] - Innovations include automated sorting and peeling equipment, low-temperature sterilization, and aseptic filling processes, ensuring product freshness and safety while standardizing the processing [1] - The Hainan Dachuan subsidiary won a provincial technology invention award for its "integrated innovation in tropical juice processing technology," highlighting the company's industry-leading R&D capabilities [1] Customer Collaboration - The company has established stable supply relationships with leading new tea brands such as Nayuki Tea and traditional food and beverage companies like Nongfu Spring and Coca-Cola [2] - By providing a "product + formula + service" one-stop solution, the company integrates deeply into the supply and innovation chains of downstream customers, quickly responding to market demands [2] - Recent product launches, including unique juices from seasonal fruits like prickly pear and mulberry, help customers create differentiated products in a competitive market [2] Production Capacity and Location - The company has modernized its production capacity across major tropical fruit planting areas in China, with four production bases in Beihai, Hainan, Jingmen, and Panzhihua [2] - This strategic layout reduces raw material procurement distances and transportation losses, converting non-standard agricultural products into standardized raw materials through an "on-site processing" model [2] - The Hainan factory leverages local mango and pineapple resources, becoming a core hub for deep processing, while the Panzhihua factory focuses on unique fruits from the Jinsha River dry hot valley, expanding product diversity [2] Environmental Responsibility - Environmental sustainability is a key operational principle, with all factories equipped with wastewater treatment systems to ensure compliant discharge [3] - The company utilizes fruit peels and pomace through partnerships for livestock farming and organic fertilizer production, achieving resource recycling [3] - The application of zero-emission waste gas and low-noise equipment minimizes environmental impact, reflecting the company's commitment to ecological and social responsibility [3] Policy Advantages - The company benefits from national strategies such as rural revitalization and the Western Development initiative, as well as tax incentives under the Hainan Free Trade Port policy, enhancing cost competitiveness [3] - Future plans include leveraging location and policy advantages to deepen the full industrial chain layout of tropical fruits and vegetables, promoting industry standardization and high-quality development [3] Market Positioning - Amid accelerated industry consolidation, the company's technological and scale advantages are becoming more pronounced, with stricter food safety regulations leading to the exit of smaller processing firms [3] - The company aims to expand its market share through capacity expansion projects in Hainan and deepen collaborations with downstream brands, solidifying its leading position in the tropical raw juice segment [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for leading companies in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The beverage industry is expected to continue experiencing intense competition, with leading companies like Nongfu Spring and China Resources Beverage likely to benefit from increased market share [3]. - Nongfu Spring is projected to see steady growth in its bottled water business and sustained high growth in its beverage products, supported by strong brand, channel, and product capabilities [1]. - China Resources Beverage, as a leader in the purified water sector, is focusing on channel expansion and product development, which is expected to enhance its market share and profitability [2]. Summary by Sections Nongfu Spring - The company is expected to recover its bottled water market share and potentially exceed previous highs due to its strong brand and product capabilities [1]. - The beverage segment is diversified with high-growth products like sugar-free tea "Oriental Leaf" and functional drinks "Scream" and "Power Emperor Vitamin Water," which align with health trends [1]. - As of July 21, 2025, the company's PE(TTM) is 38.01X, with a five-year average of 54.25X, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1]. China Resources Beverage - The company is solidifying its position in the purified water market while expanding into new channels such as dining and family segments [2]. - The introduction of sub-brands focusing on natural and mineral water is expected to drive market share recovery [2]. - The company's PE(TTM) is 17.97X, suggesting a significant valuation gap compared to Nongfu Spring, with potential for both performance and valuation improvement [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on Nongfu Spring and China Resources Beverage due to their competitive advantages and growth potential [3]. - Additionally, it suggests monitoring Eastroc Beverage for its strong growth attributes and Uni-President China for its high dividend yield [3].