昆仑万维(300418) 报告日期：2026 年 02 月 04 日 1）短剧出海商业化强度超预期：DramaWave 平台 8 月已跃居海外短剧收入榜第 三位，25 年 12 月环比增长 35.4%，位列收入榜第四。25 年 12 月下载量环比上涨 超 90%，成为 Top 15 中涨幅最高的产品。预计 25 年短剧收入同比增长 900%至 16.8 亿元，26-27 年持续加速增长，成为核心现金流引擎。 2）AI 智能体商业化落地或提前突破：公司先后发布并开源多款行业领先模型， 搭建全链路 AI 应用矩阵，以天工超级智能体为核心，联动 AI Developer、AI 视 频、AI 音乐、AI 游戏与 AI 社交产品，全面覆盖 C 端与 B 端需求，平台影响力 与商业化能力显著提升。25H1 AI 软件技术收入已达 6500 万元，验证商业化雏 形，26 年有望实现规模化收入。 3）世界模型技术卡位领先全球：公司 8 月开源 Matrix 3D 模型，Matrix-Game 2.0 则为交互式世界模型的升级版本，是业内首个在通用场景下实现实时长序列交互 生成的开源方案，可复用于游戏、影视、具身智能，为未来增 ...

Company Overview - Opera Limited's shares increased by 13.5% to close at $14.1, following a period of 12.7% loss over the past four weeks, indicating a significant rebound in stock performance [1] - The company is benefiting from its products, including Opera Neon and Agentic AI, along with an expansion of Minipay Wallet and raised financial guidance [1] Earnings Expectations - Opera Limited is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.1% [2] - Revenue projections for the upcoming quarter stand at $165 million, which is a 13.2% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Stock Performance Insights - The consensus EPS estimate for Opera has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook [3] Industry Context - Opera Limited is part of the Zacks Internet - Content industry, which includes other companies like Shutterstock [3] - Shutterstock's consensus EPS estimate for its upcoming report is $1.05, representing a significant year-over-year increase of 56.7%, and it currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4]

Core Viewpoint - Kunlun Wanwei is expected to incur losses in 2025 due to continued heavy investments in AI large models, market promotion, and R&D [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between -1.35 billion and -1.95 billion, compared to -1.59479 billion in the same period last year [2][8] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -1.448 billion and -2.048 billion, compared to -1.64338 billion in the same period last year [2][8] - Revenue is expected to grow by over 40% year-on-year, with an increasing proportion of overseas revenue [8] Business Developments - The company has made significant breakthroughs in AI large models, including the release of various models such as Skywork-Reward-V2 and Matrix-3D, while continuously iterating existing models [3][4] - The TianGong Super Intelligent Agent has integrated AI Agent architecture and Deep Research technology, focusing on enhancing office efficiency and multi-modal creation [4] - The AI music product Mureka has reached version V8, improving in multiple dimensions, and aims to provide a seamless music creation experience for users [5] Short Video Platform Growth - The short video business has become a significant growth driver, with the DramaWave platform achieving over 28 million monthly active users globally [6] - The FreeReels application has surpassed 40 million monthly active users, leveraging a "free to watch" strategy to gain market share in emerging markets [6] Technological Innovations - The Opera platform has launched the AI Agent browser Opera Neon, which enhances user interaction by automating web browsing and task execution [7] - The StarMaker platform has integrated AI technology for song and video creation, significantly boosting user growth [7] - The company plans to deepen the industrialization of AI technology and strengthen its global market presence to enhance its core competitiveness [7]

Core Viewpoint - Kunlun Wanwei forecasts a net loss of 1.35 billion to 1.95 billion yuan for the year 2025, indicating a challenging financial outlook despite expected revenue growth of over 40% [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.35 billion to -1.95 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit excluding non-recurring items projected at -1.448 billion to -2.048 billion yuan [1] - Revenue is expected to grow by over 40% year-on-year, with an increasing proportion of overseas revenue [1] Business Segments and Innovations - Kunlun Wanwei operates in multiple core areas including AGI and AIGC, overseas information distribution, short drama platforms, and social entertainment, covering over 100 countries and regions globally [1] - The company has made significant advancements in AI large models, AI music, AI social, short dramas, and AI games, showcasing its strong innovation capabilities [1] - The Skywork Super Agents product has gained market recognition for its ability to generate various types of content, enhancing user engagement [1] Product Development - The company has released several AI models, including the Skywork-Reward-V2 series and the Matrix-3D model, reflecting its systematic research capabilities in artificial intelligence [1] - Mureka, the AI music platform, has evolved to version 8, improving music generation quality and user experience [1] - Linky, the AI social platform, has enhanced user interaction through improved dialogue and character consistency [1] Market Position and User Engagement - DramaWave has surpassed 28 million monthly active users globally, establishing itself as a leader in the short drama market [1] - FreeReels, a free short drama application, has achieved over 40 million monthly active users, rapidly gaining market share in emerging markets [1] - StarMaker has integrated AI technology to enhance user-generated content, significantly boosting user growth [1] Future Developments - Opera has launched the AI-driven Opera Neon browser, which automates web browsing and task execution, enhancing user productivity [1] - The official launch of OperaAI in January 2026 will provide a seamless multi-modal AI experience across various Opera products [1]

Core Insights - Opera has launched Opera Neon, an experimental AI-powered browser aimed at AI power users, now available to the public after a closed "Founders" phase [1][2][4] - The subscription for Opera Neon is priced at $19.90 per month, providing access to advanced AI models and features [3][8] Product Overview - Opera Neon is designed to utilize AI agents for performing tasks and coding web applications, distinguishing it from standard web browsers [2] - The browser integrates top-tier AI models, including Gemini 3 Pro and GPT 5.1, into a single workspace, allowing users to avoid multiple subscriptions [5][10] Community Engagement - Subscribers gain access to an exclusive Discord community for testing features, discussing product development, and influencing the browser's roadmap [7] Availability and Features - Opera Neon is available for download at $19.90 per month, while Opera's main browsers continue to offer free AI features [8] - Current features include tools for booking trips, building websites, generating videos, and conducting deep research with the ODRA agent [10]

Core Insights - Opera is enhancing its browser capabilities by integrating advanced AI features, providing over 80 million users with free access to the latest Opera browser AI through its Opera One, Opera GX, and Opera Neon browsers [1][2][3] AI Integration and Features - The new Opera AI functions as a side panel, allowing users to interact with it in relation to any webpage, enabling tasks such as research, content summaries, and comparisons across tabs [2] - The AI engine has been redesigned for improved speed, delivering responses 20% faster, and includes features for voice input/output and file analysis across various formats [2] - Privacy features are emphasized, giving users control over the context shared with Opera AI [2] Partnership with Google - The partnership with Google is crucial for Opera, allowing the integration of the latest Gemini models into its browser AI, enhancing user experience with native search and AI features [3][4] - This collaboration is seen as a step towards setting new standards for AI-powered user experiences in browsing [4] Market Performance and User Engagement - Opera reported a 17% annual increase in query revenue, indicating successful monetization of user-initiated actions beyond traditional search, reflecting the growing use of AI tools [3] - The browser is positioned as a key interface for AI, leveraging real-time context from users' browsing activities to provide more relevant assistance [5] Future Outlook - The shift towards AI-powered search is expected to drive deeper user engagement, aligning with Opera's long-term strategy to enhance user experience through innovative products [6]

Group 1 - Quark App has fully integrated with Qianwen Dialogue Assistant, aiming for strategic synergy with Qianwen App, and will launch a new AI browser on the PC side [1] - According to Guojin Securities, the integration of AI functions into the browser will enhance information flow with memory-level interaction and significantly improve response speed [1] - The AI browser is expected to redefine user behavior data, advertising recommendation logic, and content display as AI capabilities are deeply embedded in browser interaction scenarios [1] Group 2 - Industrial Securities noted that the boundary between browsers and search engines is becoming increasingly blurred, with products transitioning from information retrieval tools to intelligent agents [1] - Gartner predicts that the AI search market will maintain a growth rate of over 20% in the next five years, reaching a market size of 347.2 billion yuan by 2029 [1] - The deep application in vertical fields, the popularity of multimodal interaction, and new scenarios such as B-end professional subscription services will further enhance penetration rates [1] Group 3 - Aisino Technology has launched its self-developed secure browser "Xinjie" in collaboration with ByteDance's Feishu product to create a trusted office space [1] - Kunlun Wanwei has introduced its first browser product built around proactive intelligent assistants, named Opera Neon [2]

Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 5.8 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.6% [2] - Overseas business revenue reached 5.41 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 58% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 190 million CNY, marking a turnaround from losses [2] AI Strategy and Development - The company is focusing on AGI and AIGC, enhancing its technological research and application efforts [3] - Multiple industry-leading models have been released, including Skywork-Reward-V2 and Skywork-R1V 3.0, with several papers accepted at NeurIPS 2025 [3] - The Skywork Deep Research Agent V2 has been upgraded to improve report generation quality and user experience [3] Product Innovations - The SkyReels-A3 model supports audio-driven digital human creation for various commercial scenarios [4] - Mureka V7 and V7.5 enable full-process automatic music generation, significantly improving Chinese music performance [4] - The AI social platform Linky is enhancing user interaction and experience through core model optimizations [5] Market Position and Future Outlook - The short drama platform DramaWave ranks third in overseas revenue, with ongoing content expansion into anime and web literature [5] - The company plans to deepen the industrialization of AI technologies and strengthen its global market presence [5] - The Opera Neon browser aims to provide a comprehensive automated decision-making experience, positioning itself as a task entry point in the AI era [8] Challenges and Competitive Landscape - The company acknowledges competition in the browser market but emphasizes its unique capabilities in task automation and multi-modal generation [8] - The profitability of the short drama industry is still developing, with a focus on improving ROI through content innovation and AI empowerment [9] - The dynamic comic sector is expected to capture a significant market share, with the company optimistic about its growth potential [11]

Core Viewpoint - Kunlun Wanwei has successfully returned to profitability in Q3 2025, driven by strategic investments in AI and a strong revenue growth trajectory, indicating a positive transformation in its business model [1][2][10]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Kunlun Wanwei achieved a revenue of 5.805 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.63%. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 2.072 billion yuan, up 56.16% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising to 190 million yuan, a 180.13% increase [1][2][10]. - The overall gross margin for the company stood at 67%, maintaining a high level [2]. AI Strategy and Technological Development - The company has been focusing on solidifying its technological foundation and accelerating the commercialization of its AI business, which is now entering a harvest phase [2][3]. - R&D expenses increased from 1.144 billion yuan to 1.211 billion yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting the company's commitment to building an AI ecosystem [3][5]. Product Innovations and Market Position - Kunlun Wanwei has launched several advanced AI models, including the Skywork series, which have achieved top rankings in various evaluations, showcasing the company's strength in AI research and application [4][5]. - The company's short drama platform, DramaWave, has seen significant growth, ranking third in overseas short drama platform revenue as of August 2025, with over 4 million downloads in a single month [5][6]. Global Expansion and Revenue Growth - The company reported overseas revenue of 5.4 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 58%, with overseas revenue accounting for 93% of total revenue [10][11]. - The global market for short dramas is projected to reach 2.473 billion USD in 2025, indicating a robust growth opportunity for Kunlun Wanwei's international business [10]. Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage its unique global platform advantages to integrate AI technology with various business sectors, fostering a new growth paradigm [11][12]. - Analysts suggest that as the company transitions from investment to revenue generation, its growth potential and strategic execution capabilities are likely to be reassessed positively by the market [11][12].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 52% year-on-year increase [1] - Overseas business revenue reached 5.4 billion yuan, up 58% year-on-year, with overseas revenue accounting for 93% of total revenue, an increase of 3.6 percentage points [1] - The overall gross margin stood at 69.9% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 190 million yuan in Q3 2025, reversing previous losses [1] AGI and AIGC Developments - The company is making steady progress in AGI and AIGC business, with ongoing technology research and product iteration [1] - A significant academic breakthrough was achieved with a paper selected as a Spotlight paper at NeurIPS 2025 [2] - The company launched the Skywork Deep Research Agent V2, integrating multi-modal deep research capabilities [2] AI Video and Music Innovations - The company introduced the SkyReels-A3 model, enabling high-quality video generation for various applications [3] - In the music domain, Mureka V7 and Mureka V7.5 were launched, enhancing music generation and voice synthesis capabilities [3] AI Gaming and Social Applications - The AI gaming business is progressing well, focusing on content generation and intelligent interaction [4] - The company’s short drama platform, DramaWave, ranked third in overseas revenue for short drama platforms, with over 4 million downloads in August 2025 [4] Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage opportunities in the AI era, focusing on technological breakthroughs and scene implementation [6] - Plans to deepen the integration of AI technology with information distribution, social entertainment, and content creation are in place [6]