Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown optimistic progress in advanced process equipment, with both gross margin and net profit recovering [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.954 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.25%, driven by breakthroughs in core technology and increased demand for domestic equipment [4][5] - The gross margin was 31.96%, down 15.09 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high costs associated with new products and processes in the first quarter [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 94 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.96% [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.64% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.74% [5] - The gross margin for Q2 was 38.82%, an increase of 18.93 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 was 241 million yuan, reflecting a significant improvement due to the recovery in gross margin and reduced expense ratios [5] - The company maintains its previous profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 5.8 billion, 7.7 billion, and 9.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 970 million, 1.49 billion, and 1.95 billion yuan for the same years [5] Market and Product Development - The company’s advanced process equipment has successfully passed customer certification and is gradually entering large-scale production [6] - The company has optimized its customer structure, consolidating partnerships with leading domestic wafer manufacturers while successfully onboarding new clients, leading to a 52.07% increase in contract liabilities compared to the end of 2024 [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing trend of advanced packaging with its 3D integration equipment [6] Financial Projections - The company’s projected operating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.812 billion, 7.654 billion, and 9.450 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 973 million, 1.491 billion, and 1.951 billion yuan [7] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 45.2%, 48.8%, and 48.9% over the next three years [7] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 56.4 in 2025 to 28.1 in 2027 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [5][16]. Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly rebounded in Q2 2025, driven by successful product validation and increased revenue scale, leading to a substantial improvement in gross margin [6][7]. - The company has successfully introduced new products that have passed customer validation, contributing to revenue growth and enhancing market penetration [8][10]. - The increase in contract liabilities indicates a strong order backlog, which supports future revenue growth [8]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.7% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 241 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 103%, marking a turnaround from a loss of 147 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 38.8%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 8.1 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.9 percentage points [7]. - The net profit margin improved to 19.4%, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2023A is 2.705 billion yuan, with projected growth rates of 59% for 2023, 52% for 2024, and 31% for 2025 [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025E is 978 million yuan, with a growth rate of 42% compared to 2024 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 3.50 yuan for 2025E, increasing to 5.06 yuan in 2026E [5]. Market Position and Trends - The company is expanding its coverage in thin film deposition equipment and has achieved comprehensive coverage of various hard mask processes, positioning itself as a leading equipment manufacturer in the domestic integrated circuit field [10][11]. - The company has received repeat orders for its wafer-to-wafer hybrid bonding equipment, indicating strong demand in advanced storage and logic sectors [11].

Performance Forecast - The company forecasts a net profit of between 238 million and 247 million yuan for the second quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 101% to 108% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company, after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, is expected to be between 215 million and 224 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 235% [1] Previous Year Performance - In the second quarter of 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 795.10 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 118.62 million yuan [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 64.17 million yuan [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -178.46 million yuan [1] Reasons for Performance Changes - The significant growth in operating income for the second quarter of 2025 is attributed to the company's strategic focus on domestic substitution in semiconductor equipment, leveraging its advanced technology in thin film deposition equipment and three-dimensional integration bonding equipment [1] - The company’s advanced process verification machines have successfully passed customer certification and are entering large-scale production [2] - The gross profit margin for the second quarter is expected to improve significantly compared to the previous quarter, indicating a steady recovery [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities is expected to increase significantly year-on-year due to a substantial rise in advance payments and sales collections [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 51.7%, driven by increased demand for domestic semiconductor equipment from wafer manufacturers [4][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 690 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 3.9% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 41.7%, a decrease of 9.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - As of the end of 2024, the company had nearly 9.4 billion yuan in orders on hand, providing strong support for future performance [5] - In Q1 2025, the company continued to achieve high growth with a revenue of 710 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 50.2% [5] - The company is expanding its film deposition process coverage and developing 3D integration equipment, which is expected to benefit from the expansion of advanced processes and packaging [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.8 billion yuan, 7.7 billion yuan, and 9.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 940 million yuan, 1.49 billion yuan, and 1.96 billion yuan [5][7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 47, 31, and 23 times respectively [5][7] - The company’s gross margin is expected to recover to 45.2% in 2025 and further improve in subsequent years [7] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 15.3 billion yuan in 2024 and 22.8 billion yuan in 2027 [9]

多种薄膜新工艺设备实现批量出货，关键材料持续突破。 公司拓展了芯片沟槽填充用Flowable CVD设 备，多台通过客户验证；基于新平台、新反应腔的PECVD Stack（ONO叠层）、ACHM等先进工艺设备 实现了大批量出货，通过客户验证；ALD SiCO、SiN、AlN等工艺设备实现大批量出货。目前公司推出 的PECVD、ALD、SACVD、HDPCVD及Flowable CVD薄膜设备可以支撑全部介质薄膜材料的约100多 种工艺应用。 点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 拓荆科技发布2024年报，24Q4利润快速释放，在手订单同比高增长。公司多种薄膜新工艺设备实现批 量出货，3D IC领域混合键合设备获得重复订单。 24Q4利润快速释放，在手订单同比高增长。 1）2024全年： 公司收入41亿元，同比+51.7%；归母净利 润6.88亿元，同比+3.86%；扣非净利润3.56亿元，同比+14.1%；截至2024年底，公司在手订单约94亿 元，同比+46.3%； 2）24Q4： 公司收入18.26亿元，同比+82%/环比+81%；毛利率39.3%，同 比-12.8pcts/环比持平，同比承压主要系新品或 ...