Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is a key strategic player in the renewable energy sector under the Shankao Group, focusing on the green transformation of its business model, particularly in kitchen waste treatment and heating [2][3]. - The company has returned to a growth trajectory since 2021, with significant revenue increases following its strategic pivot towards environmental and green energy sectors [4][19]. - The demand for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is expected to grow significantly, driven by global carbon reduction initiatives, positioning the company favorably within this expanding market [8][58]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, originally established as Sichuan Meiya Silk (Group) Co., Ltd., has undergone multiple ownership changes and strategic pivots, ultimately focusing on renewable energy and environmental services [3][12]. - Following a major restructuring in 2020, the company shifted its focus to kitchen waste resource utilization, becoming the only listed company in China primarily engaged in this sector [3][19]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 827 million yuan in 2021, a year-on-year increase of 138.33% [4][19]. - In 2024, despite a reduction in trading volume, the company achieved a 47.3% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [21]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 434 million yuan, reflecting a 4.21% year-on-year growth, with net profit reaching 28.27 million yuan, up 222.23% [21][30]. Market Dynamics - Used cooking oil (UCO) is a critical raw material for SAF, with China accounting for over 60% of global UCO supply, highlighting its strategic importance in the SAF production chain [5][45]. - The global demand for SAF is projected to increase significantly, with various countries implementing policies to boost its usage in aviation fuels [8][59]. Operational Capacity - The company has established a robust operational capacity in kitchen waste treatment, with a daily processing capacity of 4,380 tons as of the end of 2024, with plans to expand to 8,000-10,000 tons [9][68]. - The company employs a heavy asset operation model, maintaining a high debt ratio of over 70%, which is typical for the industry [9][71]. Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 104 million yuan, 179 million yuan, and 299 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31.2, 18.1, and 10.8 [1][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase in overseas HVO/SAF prices, with European prices rising by 13.97% and 11.60% respectively since the lowest points in Q2 2025, driven by strong seasonal demand [5] - The EU is gradually implementing a 2% SAF blending policy, which is expected to enhance the demand for SAF and subsequently increase the price of UCO, benefiting the entire UCO-HVO/SAF industry chain [6] - The demand for UCO is anticipated to grow steadily due to the increasing SAF demand, with domestic UCO prices rising as a result of heightened procurement levels from SAF and biodiesel plants [7] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report indicates a positive outlook for the basic chemical industry, with a maintained investment rating [1] - A notable trend is the increase in UCO prices in China, with prices for gutter oil and waste oil rising by 3.31% and 2.31% respectively since Q2 2025 [5] Market Dynamics - The report discusses the EU's measures to support the SAF market, including subsidies for airlines purchasing sustainable aviation fuel, which is expected to drive up costs and demand [6] - The report notes that China's SAF production costs are lower due to abundant and cheaper UCO resources, positioning China to capture a significant market share in the EU [6] Company Insights - The report provides a table of companies involved in HVO/SAF production, highlighting their planned capacities and market valuations, with 嘉澳环保 leading with a planned capacity of 740,000 tons [10] - The report identifies key beneficiaries of the SAF demand increase, including 嘉澳环保, 海新能科, 卓越新能, and 鹏鹞环保 [6][10]