Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Semiconductors - **Focus**: Cloud and PC Semiconductors - **Key Trends**: AI investments are a primary focus for hyperscalers in 2026, with memory pricing affecting capital expenditure (capex) and the overall PC and enterprise server market. Preference is given to cloud semiconductor companies over PC semiconductor companies [1][3]. Key Company Insights Meta (META.O) - **4Q25CY Capex**: US$22.1 billion, representing a 14% increase quarter-over-quarter (Q/Q) and a 48% increase year-over-year (Y/Y) [7]. - **2026 Capex Guidance**: Expected to be between US$115-135 billion, a 74% increase Y/Y at the mid-point, driven by investments in superintelligence labs and core business infrastructure [7]. - **AI Focus**: Continues to prioritize AI and collaborates with key partners while advancing its silicon program to diversify chip supply and enhance infrastructure flexibility [7]. Microsoft (MSFT.O) - **F2Q26 Capex**: Reported at US$37.5 billion, a 7.4% increase Q/Q and a 66% increase Y/Y, with two-thirds allocated to short-lived assets focusing on GPUs and CPUs [7]. - **Future Capex Expectations**: Anticipates a sequential decrease in capital expenditure due to normal variability from cloud infrastructure buildouts and timing of finance lease deliveries [7]. - **New Products**: Introduced the Maia 200 GPU and Cobalt 200 CPU, aimed at avoiding reliance on a single source for chip supply [7]. - **Impact of Memory Pricing**: Increasing memory prices are expected to affect capex and create volatility in on-premises server business transactions, with a negative outlook for the PC market [7]. Investment Outlook - **Cloud Semiconductor Providers**: Positive sentiment towards cloud semiconductor companies like Aspeed Technology (5274.TWO) due to ongoing investments in 2026 [3]. - **PC Market Caution**: A cautious view on PC semiconductors, particularly in the second half of 2026, due to rising memory prices impacting the market [3]. Valuation Methodology and Risks - **Aspeed Technology (5274.TWO)**: Valuation based on a residual income model with key assumptions including a cost of equity of 9.8%, medium-term growth rate of 18.5%, and terminal growth rate of 5.2% [9]. - **Risks**: Upside risks include stronger cloud demand and faster-than-expected specification migration, while downside risks involve softening cloud demand and intensified competition [9]. Additional Insights - **Industry View**: The overall industry view is considered attractive, indicating potential for growth and investment opportunities [5]. - **Analyst Team**: The report is prepared by a team of analysts including Daniel Yen, Charlie Chan, Daisy Dai, and Tiffany Yeh, who have certified their views on the companies discussed [14]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the semiconductor industry, particularly the cloud and PC segments, and highlights the strategic directions of major players like Meta and Microsoft.

Summary of the Conference Call on China Jewelry Industry and Laopu Industry Overview - The China jewelry market is expected to experience a normalized growth rate of **4%** in 2026, following a significant **>60%** increase in gold prices throughout 2025, which contributed to approximately **10%** market growth from a low base [1][23] - The sector has outperformed the Hang Seng Index (HSI) with a **70%** increase compared to HSI's **28%** [1] - The overall consumption power remains volatile, leading to a neutral outlook for the sector in 2026 due to a higher base and normalized inelastic demand [1][23] Gold Price Expectations - Goldman Sachs expects the gold price to reach **$5,400/toz** by the end of 2026, indicating a **25%** increase from the end of 2025 [1][24] - The anticipated increase in gold prices is expected to support demand/value growth, although it may create headwinds for gross profit margins (GPM) for weight-based products [1][24] Company-Specific Insights: Laopu - Laopu is projected to have strong earnings growth in 2026, supported by customer acquisitions, an expanded high-quality store network, and GPM improvement [2] - The company benefits from fixed-priced products, which are attractive amid rising gold prices, and shows solid momentum post its October price hike [2] - Laopu's secondary market discount remains low, indicating an advantage in value retention [2][17] Valuation and Market Position - Laopu is trading at a high teens P/E ratio for 2026E, with projected sales and net income growth of **39%** and **55%**, respectively [3] - Chow Tai Fook (CTF) and Luk Fook have seen strong upward re-ratings, with CTF trading at historical averages and Luk Fook at approximately **+1 standard deviation** above historical averages [3] Key Factors Impacting Jewelry Consumption - Positive factors include the expectation of further gold price increases, the ongoing popularity of heritage gold products, and the attractiveness of fixed-priced products [24] - Negative factors include inelastic demand, which is influenced by marriage rates and overall consumption power, which remains soft [24][28] Store Count and Market Dynamics - Leading jewelry retailers have seen a **HSD% to 20%** reduction in store counts since their peak, while emerging brands are expanding [11][35] - Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook expect fewer store closures in the second half of FY26 compared to the first half of FY25, indicating a stabilization in their store networks [31] Conclusion - The jewelry market in China is expected to face challenges in 2026 due to a higher base and soft consumption power, but Laopu presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its growth potential and market positioning [1][2][3][24]

Summary of the Conference Call for Pop Mart Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart - **Industry**: Toy and Entertainment Key Points and Arguments Competitive Advantages - Pop Mart has established a unique dynamic barrier through aesthetic culture and top-tier artist resources, which are difficult to replicate [2][3] - The founder's aesthetic vision and deep connections with top artists are crucial to the company's success [2] - The company has successfully extended its reach into various top-tier circles across industries, occupying a significant position in the minds of key consumers, creating a competitive edge that is hard for other brands to match [2] Operational Mechanisms - Pop Mart has institutionalized its operational mechanisms across various aspects, including IP and brand management, product and content development, marketing and operations, store and amusement park management, and new product launches, forming deep operational barriers [2][3] Market Demand and Trends - Demand for trendy toys is driven by demographic changes, shifts in mass media, and consumer psychological needs, with the Kidult subculture becoming particularly prominent during economic downturns [2][6] - Current global systemic anxiety has extended the demand stickiness and lifecycle of trendy toys [2][6] Growth Strategy - The company plans to expand its retail footprint with approximately 600 new stores domestically and over 400 internationally, supported by IP licensing and cross-industry collaborations [2][10] - Product diversification and premiumization strategies are in place to increase average transaction value, with some products priced close to 20,000 RMB [2][13] Future Revenue Projections - For 2026, Pop Mart expects to achieve revenues between 37.5 billion to 68 billion RMB, with adjusted net profits projected between 12.3 billion to 22.6 billion RMB [7][8] Investment Value - The current stock price is considered to have a high safety margin compared to international giants, with a PE ratio significantly above 10, indicating attractive investment potential [5][8] International Market Development - As of mid-2025, overseas revenue was approximately 5.593 billion RMB, with an estimated overseas membership of about 44 million [12] - The company aims to replicate its domestic success in international markets, leveraging its established operational strategies [12] Product Innovation and Customer Engagement - Pop Mart is innovating through diverse product offerings, including figures, plush toys, and movable dolls, enhancing customer engagement and brand loyalty [13][19] - The company has seen significant growth in its membership base, with over 59 million members in mainland China by mid-2025 [11] Expansion into New Business Areas - The company is diversifying into amusement parks, gaming, and film, with notable collaborations such as the development of a movie with Sony Pictures [2][15][16] Artist Collaboration and Marketing - Pop Mart leverages collaborations with renowned artists and brands to enhance its market presence and consumer recognition [17][20] - The company has established a strong operational mechanism that allows for timely market responses and efficient product launches [19] Valuation Assessment - Based on historical valuation metrics of similar companies, Pop Mart is projected to achieve a market valuation of approximately 500 billion HKD by 2026, maintaining a buy rating [22]

Summary of Pop Mart International Limited Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart International Limited - **Ticker**: 9992.HK - **Rating**: Underperform - **Price Target**: HKD 181.00 (previously HKD 225.00) - **Market Cap**: HKD 291.92 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 217.60 - **52-Week Range**: HKD 339.80 - HKD 91.00 - **Dividend Yield**: 0.4% - **Analysts**: Melinda Hu, Kai Zhang, Frankie Fong Key Industry Insights - **Recent Performance**: Pop Mart shares increased by 22.96% over the past week, primarily driven by tactical catalysts such as buybacks and media exposure rather than fundamental improvements [1][16] - **Sales Tracking**: U.S. sales data indicates a deceleration, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth in this key international market [1][10] - **Short Interest**: Rising short interest suggests institutional skepticism regarding the stock's recent rally, indicating that sophisticated investors view the recent price movements as temporary [1][11] Core Points and Arguments - **Tactical vs. Structural Drivers**: The recent rally is attributed to tactical catalysts (buybacks, media appearances) rather than structural changes in growth trajectory [3][20] - **Social Media Impact**: Recent product launches generated short-term viral spikes on social media platforms but failed to sustain engagement beyond a few days, indicating limited long-term brand momentum [2][25] - **IP Performance**: While new products like Twinkle Twinkle and PUCKY sold out quickly, this does not guarantee sustained demand. The secondary market's performance does not contribute to Pop Mart's revenue [4][21] - **U.S. Market Concerns**: The divergence between strong domestic performance and softening U.S. sales could lead to a reversion to a primarily China-focused growth narrative, which may compress valuation multiples [10][23] Financial Forecasts - **Earnings Projections**: - FY25: Revenue growth of 189% and earnings growth of 319% - FY26: Expected topline growth of 28% and earnings growth of 18% [57] - **Margin Outlook**: Margins are expected to face headwinds due to increased advertising and marketing expenses as the company invests in expansion [57][64] - **Long-term Growth**: Projected revenue growth of 17% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, with net profit margins decreasing to 28% by 2030 [61][64] Investment Implications - **Rating**: The recommendation remains Underperform due to concerns over the sustainability of recent stock price increases and the lack of evidence for accelerating U.S. expansion or improving margins [14][24] - **Valuation Metrics**: The target P/E has been lowered from 18.0x to 12.3x, reflecting anticipated challenges in revenue growth and margin expansion [62] Additional Important Insights - **Management Strategy**: Pop Mart emphasizes a design-driven approach, focusing on quality and emotional engagement rather than volume, which is seen as a competitive advantage [43][47] - **Cultural Differences**: The company's willingness to say "no" to over-commercialization is highlighted as a key cultural difference from peers, aimed at preserving long-term IP value [47] This summary encapsulates the key insights and financial outlook for Pop Mart International Limited, highlighting both the opportunities and risks facing the company in the current market environment.

Summary of the Conference Call for 康诺亚 Company Overview - 康诺亚 is focused on the development of innovative biopharmaceuticals, particularly in the fields of dermatology and oncology, with key products including CM310 and 18.2 ADC [2][5]. Key Points and Arguments Product Developments - **CM310**: Approved for multiple indications, including atopic dermatitis, chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, and seasonal allergic rhinitis, all included in the 2026 medical insurance directory. This is expected to significantly enhance market coverage and sales [2][3]. - **Sales Projections**: CM310 is projected to achieve sales of 7.5 billion RMB in 2026, with a peak potential of 50 billion RMB [2][18]. - **18.2 ADC**: As the first-in-class product globally, it is expected to reach sales peaks of 1.5 to 2 billion USD (approximately 10 to 14 billion RMB) in overseas markets. 康诺亚 shares rights with 乐普生物, supporting an additional 10 billion RMB in market value [2][5]. - **TSLP Project**: A key catalyst project, with data from chronic rhinosinusitis patients expected mid-2026 and asthma data from 200 samples by year-end [2][14]. - **Claudin 18.2 ADC**: This project will initiate more phase III clinical trials this year, with AstraZeneca also applying for NBA, aiming for global registration by mid-2026 [2][19]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - **Market Advantage**: 康诺亚 is positioned to be the only domestic manufacturer commercializing CM310 in the nasal indication market, potentially enjoying a four-year market protection period post-2026 [3][8]. - **Sales Comparison**: 康诺亚's CM310 is expected to achieve sales comparable to Dupilumab, which has seen sales growth from 500 million RMB in 2019 to over 6 billion RMB in 2025 [7]. Financial Outlook - **Current Valuation**: 康诺亚's market capitalization is approximately 15 billion RMB, with a potential peak sales forecast of 40 to 50 billion RMB. Valuation estimates range from 14 billion to 16 billion RMB based on a price-to-sales ratio of 130 to 4 [6]. - **Future Sales Goals**: The company aims to increase sales from 7 billion RMB to over 30 billion RMB within two years, with peak sales projected to reach 40 to 50 billion RMB by 2028 [18]. Clinical Development and Research - **Ongoing Trials**: The company is actively enrolling patients for its COPD project, having reached 200 cases, and plans to submit a global ADA NDA in the first half of the year [15][16]. - **Emerging Projects**: Other projects include dual antibodies for autoimmune diseases, currently in phase II trials, with data expected to support future research [20]. Strategic Initiatives - **Sales Team Stability**: 康诺亚 has maintained a stable sales team with effective internal incentive policies and external market investment strategies [13]. - **Regulatory Milestones**: The company has set milestones for continuous progress post-business development, ensuring timely submissions for regulatory approvals [16]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Size Potential**: The market for moderate to severe patients could exceed 30 billion RMB, assuming a penetration rate of 20%-30% with an annual cost of 10,000 RMB per patient [12]. - **Differentiation in Drug Types**: The advantages of small molecule drugs include convenience and rapid onset, while biologics offer longer-lasting effects, indicating a complementary relationship between the two [9][10]. This summary encapsulates the key developments, market positioning, financial outlook, and strategic initiatives of 康诺亚 as discussed in the conference call.

Summary of the Conference Call for Pop Mart Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart - **Industry**: Consumer Goods, specifically in the collectibles and toys sector Key Points and Arguments Stock Performance and Valuation - The stock price has rebounded following a significant buyback, similar to actions taken in early 2022 and 2023, providing support for future performance. The current valuation is approximately 16 times earnings, which is lower than other consumer stocks, maintaining a recommendation rating [2][4] North American Market Concerns - The North American market is a critical factor influencing Pop Mart's stock price. Despite the maturity of the Chinese and Asian markets, growth concerns remain in North America. The company did not release any related products in Q4 to test the performance of other IPs and build foundational capabilities in the U.S. [2][5] Long-term Strategy for IPs - For 2026, Pop Mart plans to enhance the long-term operation of its main IP, Labubu, through more collaborations and new product launches. The introduction of a 10th-anniversary blind box card aims to increase IP diversity, with expectations of a partnership with Sony for a major film to boost brand value [2][5] Emerging IP Performance - The performance of emerging IPs has been strong, utilizing an industrialized system for new IP launches, focusing on high exposure, content creation, and multi-category operations. Data from TikTok live commerce indicates a significant increase in the share of emerging IPs, suggesting a robust product innovation mechanism [2][6] Growth Projections in China and Asia - The Chinese market is expected to see a natural growth rate of approximately 15% in 2026, with stable and healthy demand. Sales of blockbuster products are performing well. The Southeast Asian market is developing steadily, with notable improvements in East Asia, particularly in Japan and South Korea, where demand is strong and prices have increased [2][7] Store Expansion Plans - By the end of 2025, Pop Mart anticipates having 12 stores in the U.S., with plans to add 40 to 50 more in 2026, aiming for a doubling of store count. In Europe, Australia, and other regions, around 15 new stores are expected. Overall revenue is projected to reach 50 billion, corresponding to a profit of 17.5 billion [2][7] Market Sentiment on Future Performance - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of Pop Mart's performance in 2026. However, the strategy of delaying new product launches is seen as beneficial for building foundational capabilities. The company is optimistic about the long-term operation of its main IPs and the performance of its mid-tier IPs, such as DIMO and Scoop Panda, which have shown good results [3][8]

Summary of 康耐特光学 Conference Call Company Overview - 康耐特光学 is a leading manufacturer of resin lenses, established in 1996, and ranks second globally in resin lens sales as of 2024 [4][6] - The company has adopted a C to M model to directly meet consumer demands, enhancing operational efficiency and inventory management [2][21] Industry Insights - The global resin lens market is experiencing a significant shift towards high-end customization, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 40% from 2019 to 2023 [2][9] - The smart glasses market is rapidly evolving, with an expected global shipment of approximately 2.3 million units in 2024, a 33% year-on-year increase for AR glasses [2][15] - The resin lens market is dominated by resin materials, which account for over 95% of the market share [8] Financial Performance - From 2018 to 2024, 康耐特光学's revenue and net profit have grown at CAGRs of approximately 16% and 33%, respectively [7] - The company forecasts net profits of 560 million, 690 million, and 840 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 47x, 38x, and 32x [3][6] Strategic Developments - 康耐特光学 has established an XR R&D center since 2021, collaborating with various tech companies to develop AI and AR lens products [2][23] - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the chairman holding approximately 44% and a strategic investor, 歌尔, holding about 20% [4][6] Market Trends - The high-end customization segment is projected to increase its market share from 6.1% in 2023 to 23.4% by 2028 [2][9] - The Chinese market is experiencing rapid growth due to increased channel penetration and high demand for high-refractive-index lenses [2][7] Risks and Challenges - Key macro risks include economic fluctuations, trade tensions, and potential delays in smart glasses product launches, which could impact order timelines [27] Conclusion - 康耐特光学 is well-positioned for growth in the resin lens and smart glasses markets, supported by strong R&D capabilities and strategic partnerships, while facing certain macroeconomic risks that require monitoring [2][27]

速腾聚创 20260128 摘要 速腾聚创与滴滴、广汽等合作交付新型 Robotaxi 车型，每辆搭载 10 颗 速腾聚创激光雷达，标志着 Robotaxi 进入量产阶段，从试点验证走向 工程可复制和商业化对账。 2026 年，速腾聚创与滴滴已展开量产合作，并与小马智行、文远知行、 Momenta、百度萝卜快跑等企业有批量合作协议，海外市场与英伟达 及其生态客户深度合作。 Robotaxi 激光雷达技术升级方向是数字化，主雷达追求更远距离、更 高分辨率和点云密度，补盲雷达注重更大视场角，同时保持测距能力和 点云密度。 L4 级别自动驾驶需要高线数、高密度点云数据，数字化激光雷达通过 3D 堆叠芯片技术实现接收、捕获、传输和处理一体化，满足高精度感知 需求，500 线数字化激光雷达正迅速取代 128 线方案。 滴滴每辆车搭载 10 颗以上激光雷达，满足 L4 级别自动驾驶对环境感知 精度和可靠性的需求，高配备、多传感器组合成为行业新趋势。 Robot Taxi 市场激光雷达配置增配，标配基本是 8 台，追求超远距加零 盲区，确保绝对安全，主流项目采用双 Orin 架构，算力储备充足。 速腾聚创在 Robotax ...

28 January 2026 | 4:58PM EST Equity Research Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): 2QFY26 First Take MSFT is indicated down 4% after market after reporting 2Q26 results: We believe Callie Valenti +1(212)357-2790 | callie.valenti@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Selina Zhang +1(212)357-9979 | selina.zhang@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Praachi Arora +1(332)245-7970 | praachi.arora@gs.com Goldman Sachs India SPL c45a43530f604d12bcb9a82b5aa6b9f6 Key results: Other details Key commentary we're watching for on the call: Goldman ...

January 27, 2026 02:41 AM GMT Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. | Asia Pacific Material Inflation is Hurting Real Demand Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: LFP cell material BOM cost Other materials Electrolyte Copper foil Aluminum foil Rmb/kWh LFP cathode Anode Separators End 3Q25 Now 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - 29.00 30.00 30.25 28.10 72.48 56.82 25.30 15.40 18.70 17.00 22.00 19.00 138.23 80.50 framework * = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP Source: Wind, SMM, Morgan Stanley Research | M | | | | --- | --- ...