东吴证券近日发布建筑材料行业跟踪周报：本周全国高标水泥市场价格为354.7元/吨，较上周+4.5元/ 吨，较2024年同期-70.3元/吨。较上周价格持平的地区：泛京津冀地区、两广地区、华北地区、东北地 区、西北地区；较上周价格上涨的地区：长三角地区（+10.0元/吨）、长江流域地区（+10.7元/吨）、 华东地区（+5.7元/吨）、中南地区（+6.7元/吨）、西南地区（+11.0元/吨）；无较上周价格下跌的地 区。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 本周（2025.11.29–2025.12.5，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅1.55%，同期沪深300、万得全 A指数涨跌幅分别为1.28%、0.72%，超额收益分别为0.27%、0.82%。 1、玻纤：（1）普通品类短期复价节奏需关注下游库存去化情况和终端需求支撑。（2）风电、热塑短 切等供给格局相对较好的中高端品类同时复价，体现龙头企业提升盈利的意愿，龙头企业凭借产品结构 优势享受超额利润，叠加10月初7628电子布提价0.3元也已落地，中高端占比相对较高和普通电子布体 量大的龙头企业业绩增厚有望更为显著（巨石、中材科技、国际复材等）。（3）我们认为 ...

铜：逼仓逻辑引领金属牛市。本周铜价继续上行，LME铜上涨4.38%。主要系LME注销仓单使得库存搬 家逻辑强化，具体说来，市场预期26年后美国依然会对电铜加征关税，导致目前COMEX铜相较于LME 铜出现一定的溢价，因此年初的库存搬家逻辑再次出现，本周LME铜仓单大幅注销引发欧洲、亚洲电 铜短缺预期，导致铜价大幅上涨。综合来看，由于自由港和泰克资源26年产量预期的下调，26年预计铜 会出现供需紧张的局面，同时美政府开门对其26年的财政支出存在进一步强化的预期，叠加库存搬家逻 辑的存在，我们认为调整即为买点，建议逢低做多。 铝：跟随铜价上涨。本周LME铝上行1.24%，主要跟随铜价上涨。基本面呈现淡季特征，铝水比例方 面，本周SMM周度铝水比例录得76.6%，环比下降0.26个百分点，随着淡季深入，下游开工出现边际下 滑的趋势，其中铝棒企业12月预计出现更多减产行为。本周国内铝下游加工龙头企业周度开工率环比下 降0.4个百分比至61.9%，市场延续结构性分化。原生铝合金开工率持稳于60.2%，主流企业长单交付稳 定，但高铝价抑制散单成交，需求端偏谨慎。总体来看，铝价本周上涨跟随铜价而行，在26年供给扰 动，储能 ...

本期内容提要: 来源：中国能源网 供需格局：全球：北美产能逐步释放，需求"西强东弱"。2025年至今全球天然气供需在时间上呈现"前 紧后松"，空间上呈"西强东弱"格局。供应端，LNG产能稳步释放，美国出口大幅领跑，全球LNG供应 进一步向北美和中东集中。需求端，亚洲市场基本面偏弱，LNG进口大幅缩减，中国贡献主要缩量。 欧洲市场管道气替代需求强劲，LNG进口高增。价格方面，全年呈现"前高后低"态势，并存在"欧洲溢 价"重现、出口推动下美国HH气价中枢系统性上移等结构性变化。展望2026-2029年，随着美国、卡塔 尔等国新增液化产能的密集投放，全球天然气市场将进一步转为买方市场，欧亚气价中枢有望进一步下 移。国内：俄气放量挤占LNG进口，价格回落驱动需求逐季改善。供应端国产气稳步增产，中俄东线 爬坡带动进口管道气量同比增长，LNG进口量受高价抑制，天然气对外依存度有所降低。需求端呈 现"前低后高、逐季修复"态势，中国石化经济技术研究院预计，2025年全年我国天然气表观消费量同比 增长1.2%。 信达证券近日发布天然气行业2026年度策略报告：2025年至今全球天然气供需在时间上呈现"前紧后 松"，空间上呈"西 ...

需求：1）海外：据海关总署，10月光伏组件出口额约22.58亿美元，同比增长4.39%，环比下降 19.34%。1-10月累计出口额234.73亿美元，同比下降4.89%。2025年10月，国内光伏组件出口量约12.83 亿个，同比增长73.14%，环比降低0.97%。2025年10月逆变器出口额6.77亿美元，同比增加2.76%，环比 下降5.02%。1-10月累计出口额74.35亿美元，同比增加17.45%。2025年1-10月国内光伏逆变器出口金额 在区域结构上存在差异。欧洲以29.1亿美元居首；亚洲地区次之，出口额为25.83亿美元，同时南美等新 兴市场提供了多元化增长潜力。2025年10月，中国逆变器出口澳大利亚金额同比增长率超200%，有望 提供新的增长空间。2）国内：2025年10月国内光伏新增装机量为12.6GW，环比增长30.4%，同比下降 38.3%。国内1-10月累积新增光伏装机252.87GW，同比增长39.5%。2025年10月，储能EPC/PC（含直流 侧设备）、储能系统和储能电芯新增招标项目共计12.7GW/38.7GWh，容量规模同比增长85%，环比下 降11.24%。 投资建 ...

五矿证券近日发布A股锂矿行业2025年三季报梳理分析：2025Q3全球新能源汽车销量540万辆，同比 +23%；储能电池出货量170Gwh，同比+98.5%，产业链排产增加带动库存去化并加速。2025Q3锂盐库 存由15万吨下降至13万吨，进入十月份后，库存去化速度加快。 以下为研究报告摘要： 事件描述 A股12家涉及锂矿&锂盐业务企业均已披露2025Q3季报，我们从价格、产量、库存、营业收入、归母净 利润、毛利率&净利率、费用、资本支出和偿债能力九大方向进行分析，通过样本企业观测市场整体变 化趋势，以寻求锂行业周期拐点启示。 12家样本企业为：天齐锂业、中矿资源、盛新锂能、雅化集团、融捷股份、永兴材料、江特电机、盐湖 股份、藏格矿业、西藏矿业、天华新能、华友钴业（以上排名不分先后）。 事件点评 通过我们对A股12家锂矿企业2025Q3季报的梳理，我们发现： 1.市场方面： 2）产量：2025Q3盐湖放量叠加冶炼端套保利润增加，中国锂盐产量增速提升； 3）库存：需求旺季，锂盐库存逐月下降并向下游聚集。 2.上市公司业绩层面： 1）营业收入：2025Q3上市公司量价齐升，营业收入同比+27%； 2）归母净利润： ...

Industry Overview - The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 16th this week (2025/12/01-2025/12/05) with a fluctuation of 0.13%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index, which had fluctuations of 0.37% and 1.86% respectively [1] - The chemical industry is expected to continue its differentiated trend in 2025, with a focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [1] Synthetic Biology - The arrival of a pivotal moment in synthetic biology is anticipated, driven by the adjustment of energy structures, which may disrupt fossil-based materials and favor low-energy products [1] - Traditional chemical companies are expected to compete based on energy consumption and carbon tax costs, with successful firms leveraging green energy alternatives and integrated advantages to reduce costs [1] - Companies to watch in the synthetic biology field include Kasei Bio and Huaheng Bio [1] Refrigerants - The quota policy for third-generation refrigerants is set to be implemented, leading to a high prosperity cycle for this segment [2] - The supply of refrigerants is expected to decrease due to the "quota + continuous reduction" phase starting in 2024, while demand remains stable due to market expansions in heat pumps and cold chains [2] - Companies benefiting from this trend include Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Haohua Technology, and Yonghe Co. [2] Electronic Specialty Gases - Electronic specialty gases are critical for the electronics industry, characterized by high technical barriers and added value [3] - The domestic market faces a mismatch between rapid upgrades in wafer manufacturing and insufficient high-end electronic specialty gas capacity, presenting opportunities for domestic replacements [3] - Key players in this sector include Jinhong Gas, Huate Gas, and China Shipbuilding Gas [3] Light Hydrocarbon Chemicals - The trend towards light raw materials in the global olefin industry is notable, with a shift from heavy naphtha to lighter low-carbon alkanes like ethane and propane [4] - Light hydrocarbon chemicals are favored for their low carbon emissions, low energy consumption, and low water usage, aligning with global carbon neutrality goals [4] - Companies to focus on in this area include Satellite Chemical [4] COC Polymers - The industrialization of COC/COP (cyclic olefin copolymer) is accelerating in China, driven by domestic companies overcoming previous R&D challenges [5] - The demand for COC/COP is increasing in various applications, including mobile camera lenses and medical packaging, with a strong push for domestic alternatives due to supply chain security concerns [5] - Acelor is a notable company in the COC polymer production segment [5] Potash Fertilizers - Potash fertilizer prices are expected to rebound as the industry enters a destocking cycle, with supply constraints from major producers like Canpotex and Nutrien [6] - The demand for potash is anticipated to rise due to increased planting intentions among farmers, driven by higher grain prices [6] - Key companies in the potash sector include Yara International, Salt Lake Potash, Zangge Mining, and Dongfang Iron Tower [6] MDI Market - The MDI market is characterized by oligopoly, with demand steadily increasing due to the expansion of polyurethane applications [7] - The market is currently experiencing price stabilization at low levels, but profitability remains strong, with future supply dynamics expected to improve [7] - Wanhu Chemical is a key player to watch in the polyurethane sector [7] Chemical Price Tracking - The top five price increases this week included liquid chlorine (21.43%), butadiene (10.29%), and nitric acid (8.33%) [8] - The top five price decreases included trichloroethylene (-10.64%) and phenol (-6.17%) [8] Supply Side Tracking - This week, 166 chemical companies reported changes in production capacity, with five new repairs and five restarts [9]

Core Viewpoint - Recent data has increased the probability of the Federal Reserve further lowering interest rates in December, providing support for precious metal prices [2][3] Precious Metals - Gold price reached $4243.00 per ounce, up $51.95 from November 28, with a growth rate of 1.24% [2] - Silver price was $58.11 per ounce, increasing by $4.20 from November 28, reflecting a growth rate of 7.78% [2] - The core PCE price index for September showed a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, down from 2.9% previously, aligning with expectations [2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 86.2% according to the CME Fedwatch tool [2] Copper and Aluminum - LME copper closed at $11616 per ton, up $631 from November 28, with a growth rate of 5.74% [4] - SHFE copper closed at 92720 yuan per ton, increasing by 5250 yuan from November 28, with a growth rate of 6.00% [4] - LME copper inventory was 162550 tons, up 3125 tons from November 28, but down 107975 tons year-on-year [4] - Domestic aluminum price was 22150 yuan per ton, up 720 yuan from November 28 [5] - LME aluminum inventory was 528300 tons, down 10750 tons from November 28, and down 158825 tons year-on-year [5] Tin - Domestic refined tin price was 314410 yuan per ton, up 14120 yuan from November 28, with a growth rate of 4.70% [7] - LME tin inventory was 3085 tons, down 75 tons from November 28 [7] - Supply disruptions and expectations of interest rate cuts have led to a significant increase in tin prices [7] Antimony - Domestic antimony ingot price remained stable at 171000 yuan per ton, unchanged from November 28 [8] - Both supply and demand are weak, leading to stable prices [8] Industry Ratings and Investment Strategies - Gold industry maintains a "recommended" investment rating due to the Federal Reserve's easing cycle [9] - Copper industry also holds a "recommended" investment rating due to ongoing tightness in copper supply [10] - Aluminum industry is rated "recommended" as supply remains rigid [11] - Tin industry is rated "recommended" with expectations of tight supply supporting prices [12] - Antimony industry is rated "recommended" following a rebound after a six-month price decline [13] Key Stock Recommendations - Gold industry recommends stocks such as Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Shandong Gold International, and China National Gold [14] - Copper industry recommends stocks including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, Western Mining, Cangge Mining, and Minmetals Resources [15] - Aluminum industry recommends stocks like Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, Tianshan Aluminum, and China Hongqiao [16] - Antimony industry recommends Hunan Gold and Huaxi Nonferrous Metals [17] - Tin industry recommends stocks such as Xiyang Co., Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, and Xingye Silver Tin [17]

本周核心观点：1）江苏广东发布2026年电力市场交易通知。近日，江苏、广东等地发布2026年电力市 场交易通知，明确2026年年度交易安排，其中，广东：2026年年度交易分阶段展开，12月5日至12月22 日，每日滚动开展年度双边协商交易、年度集中竞争交易、年度挂牌交易、年度绿电双边协商交易。江 苏：年度协商交易安排在12月12、15、16日，年度挂牌交易安排在12月11、17日，年度竞价交易安排在 12月11、17日。2）攀西特高压交流工程核准。根据国家和四川省"十四五"电力发展规划，为满足攀西 地区清洁能源基地电力送出需求，保障成都、川南负荷中心电力供应，进一步优化川南500千伏电网结 构，同意建设攀西特高压交流工程。工程总投资2317662万元，其中资本金463533万元，占总投资的 20%，由国网四川省电力公司出资，其余资金通过银行贷款解决。 行业核心数据跟踪：电价：2025年11月全国平均电网代购电价同比下降2%环比+2.8%。煤价：截至 2025/12/05，动力煤秦皇岛5500卡平仓价785元/吨，周环比下跌31元。水情：截至2025/12/05，三峡水库 站水位172.84米，2021、202 ...

原标题：中国华能：从首都绿热到雪域绿能 守护保供"暖心线" 在首都北京，电站的节能巧思化为汩汩暖流擦亮城市蓝天；在西藏，峡谷间的水电站与高原上的光 储电站点亮万家灯火，相隔千里，两场截然不同的能源实践承载着同样的暖意初心——中国华能以技术 创新破解电热保供难题，让民生温度与生态底色相映生辉。 "变废为宝" 守护首都温暖 立冬已过，北京的清晨多了些寒意，但西城区居民王阿姨家，暖气早早就热了起来。"天气预报刚 说要降温，家里就热起来了。"她摸着发热的暖气片，"听说今年还用上了环保热源。" 这份准时到达的暖意来自华能北京热电厂。电厂最新投运的三期燃机进气温度调节系统，不新增建 设用地、不额外消耗生产用水，仅利用"水—气"换热技术，就把以往被浪费的循环冷却水废热"变废为 宝"——整个供暖季可节约天然气近500万标立方米，减排二氧化碳约1万吨，减排量相当于为首都多种 植45万棵树。 走进华能北京热电厂控制室，电子屏幕上实时跳动着进气温度、热回收效率等数据。设备检修部张 超认真盯着监控画面，确保系统平稳运行。 回忆起三期燃机进气温度调节系统建设时的攻坚场面，他记忆犹新："当时在强负压环境下进行焊 接，一点外溢的火星都可能 ...

西南证券近日发布低空经济行业双周报：本期（11月24日-12月7日）低空经济板块跑赢大盘。万得低空 经济指数上涨5.46%，跑赢上证指数3.69个百分点，跑赢沪深300指数2.52个百分点，跑输创业板指1.02 个百分点；国证通用航空指数上涨6.40%，跑赢上证指数4.63个百分点，跑赢沪深300指数3.46个百分 点，跑输创业板指0.08个百分点。 沃飞长空与华龙航空正式签署50架AE200认购协议。双方在此前100架意向订单的基础上，签署了50架 确认性订单，并进一步明确了后续AE200系列交付计划，标志着双方共同倡导的"eVTOL+公务机"创新 出行模式即将进入规模化交付与商业化运营的全新阶段。沃飞长空与深城交达成战略合作。双方将围绕 eVTOL飞行器采购、起降设施规划、运营场景开发等领域展开深度合作，共同推动低空交通迈向规模 化运营。 零重力飞机工业战略投资祥源通航。核心目标为打通"造机"与"用机"的产业壁垒，构建制造端硬核实力 与运营端场景资源深度协同的产业新范式，既是新能源航空器产业链"制造+运营"协同发展的重要实 践，更为低空经济的商业化落地注入强劲动能。零重力飞机工业与巴西SAFE航空学院正式 ...