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央行:1月社融规模新增7.22万亿元,M2同比增长9%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 01:29
初步统计,2026年1月末社会融资规模存量为449.11万亿元,同比增长8.2%。其中,对实体经济发放的 人民币贷款余额为273.3万亿元,同比增长6.1%;对实体经济发放的外币贷款折合人民币余额为1.09万亿 元,同比下降12.1%;委托贷款余额为11.3万亿元,同比增长0.2%;信托贷款余额为4.67万亿元,同比增长 7%;未贴现的银行承兑汇票余额为2.78万亿元,同比增长6.7%;企业债券余额为34.69万亿元,同比增长 6.1%;政府债券余额为95.9万亿元,同比增长17.3%;非金融企业境内股票余额为12.23万亿元,同比增长 3.9%。 从结构看,1月末对实体经济发放的人民币贷款余额占同期社会融资规模存量的60.9%,同比低1.2个百 分点;对实体经济发放的外币贷款折合人民币余额占比0.2%,同比低0.1个百分点;委托贷款余额占比 2.5%,同比低0.2个百分点;信托贷款余额占比1%,同比低0.1个百分点;未贴现的银行承兑汇票余额占比 0.6%,同比持平;企业债券余额占比7.7%,同比低0.2个百分点;政府债券余额占比21.4%,同比高1.7个百 分点;非金融企业境内股票余额占比2.7%,同比低0 ...
智谱、MiniMax发布新模型、迅策将入港股通:数据成为释放大模型价值的稀缺资源
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 01:29
随着大模型能力加速商品化,模型本身正逐步从"稀缺能力"转向"可规模采购的工具"。真正制约大模型 进入企业核心系统的瓶颈,正在从算法层转移到数据侧。模型能力的趋同,正使得高质量、可实时调用 的数据成为释放大模型价值的真正稀缺资源。 2月13日盘后,港股通迎来年度审议关键节点。恒生指数公司公布恒生系列指数调整结果,并于3月9日 正式实施。其中,港股"Data Agent"第一股迅策科技(03317.HK)获纳入恒生综指和恒生综指中小型/小型 股指和恒综多个行业指数,以及恒生港股通多个行业指数等共计8个指数。一般而言,"入指"(纳入恒生 综合指数成份股)即"入通"(纳入港股通)。 春节前AI军备竞赛如火如荼。 继Deepseek之后,2月12日MiniMax与智谱发布新一代大模型,二者股价单日暴涨,AI赛道再度被情绪 点燃。 但在情绪之外,产业侧的变化更值得关注。 这家被称为"中国版Palantir"的公司,并不提供模型本身,而是解决模型进入企业真实业务之前最难的一 步——为企业搭建一套可被大模型持续调用的实时数据基础设施,让企业真正掌握可被模型反复调用的 数据资产,从而真正地释放大模型价值。 数据成为释放大模型价 ...
希迪智驾(3881.HK)投资价值分析报告:深耕“矿”野无人境 智启商用车新征程
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 18:04
Core Viewpoint - The company, Xidi Zhijia, is positioned as a leading provider of autonomous driving technology and solutions for commercial vehicles, particularly in the mining and logistics sectors, and is expected to benefit from the expanding market for autonomous mining trucks and related technologies [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xidi Zhijia was established in 2017 and is one of the first companies in China to achieve "no safety operator normal operation" for autonomous commercial vehicles such as mining trucks and logistics vehicles [1]. - The company focuses on the intelligent implementation of autonomous driving solutions in specific scenarios, including mining and logistics [1]. Group 2: Market Potential - According to Xidi Zhijia's prospectus, the market size for autonomous mining truck solutions in China is projected to reach 1.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a total potential market size of 550 billion yuan, and is expected to grow to 39.6 billion yuan by 2030, representing a CAGR of 65.3% from 2024 to 2030 [2]. - The penetration rate of autonomous mining trucks in mining transportation scenarios is expected to continue increasing as the demand for intelligent mining solutions and technological maturity grows [2]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Xidi Zhijia possesses core advantages in technology, scenario adaptation, and commercialization: - Technological differentiation allows for large-scale mixed fleet operations with superior obstacle perception and positioning accuracy compared to competitors [2]. - Strong integrated adaptation capabilities across six core functions covering the entire process [2]. - Rapid commercialization through a pure product sales model, enabling quick conversion of technology into commercial results [2]. Group 4: Financial Forecast - The company is projected to reduce its Non-IFRS net loss to 76 million yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 39.8%, with expected Non-IFRS net profits of 75 million yuan and 357 million yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3]. - The company is anticipated to accelerate the rollout of its autonomous mining truck business and maintain its leading position in the industry due to its technological, scenario, and commercialization advantages [3].
中芯認股證結構透視:遠價外集中度近七成 技術位博弈暗藏流動性陷阱
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 17:40
技術座標揭示合理邊界 成交分布印證博弈心態 全日成交額243,367千港元中,遠價外區間獨佔112,840千元(46.37%),中價外區間貢獻56,909千元 (23.38%),合計69.75%成交集中於技術阻力位上方,顯示資金過度集中於突破博弈。 條款競爭力顯現結構效率落差 中價外區間展現相對較佳風險回報特性,平均引伸波幅53.90%,配合4.76倍槓桿,提供較合理平衡。價 內主力區間雖具備52.68%引伸波幅與3.39倍槓桿的效率優勢,但產品數量僅8隻限制實際操作彈性。遠 價外區間雖有5.35倍槓桿的表面優勢,但引伸波幅高達59.11%,推升持倉成本,加上流動性不足,顯示 成本與預期回報空間出現嚴重錯配。 市場結構隱含系統性風險 以中芯國際現價69.6元為基準,技術分析劃定明確活動範圍:主要支持位68.3元與下試區域62.7元構成 下行防線,主要阻力位75.2元與上望目標80.4元定義上行空間。在此框架下,行使價62.7-75.2元區間屬 於技術合理範圍,而當前市場結構顯示顯著偏離理性邊界。 行使價分布凸顯結構失衡 市場現存145隻認購證呈現明顯結構分化:深價內區間(41.50-62.93元)30隻產品提 ...
阿斯利康,豪赌中国
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 17:24
Core Insights - AstraZeneca achieved a record revenue of $6.664 billion in China for 2025, marking a significant milestone in its 30-year history in the market [1] - The company plans to invest $15 billion in China by 2030 and has established a $18.5 billion collaboration with CSPC Pharmaceutical Group [1] Revenue Performance - AstraZeneca is the second-largest market for the company, with 2024 revenues reaching $54.073 billion, and China contributing $6.413 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11% [1] - In 2025, total revenue reached $58.739 billion, with China contributing $6.654 billion, accounting for 11% of total revenue, maintaining the top position among multinational pharmaceutical companies in China [1][3] Product Portfolio - Since entering the Chinese market in 1993, AstraZeneca has introduced over 40 innovative drugs, including key products in oncology and chronic disease management [3] - The inhaled budesonide suspension is the highest-selling drug in China, although its sales have declined due to policy price adjustments [3] - Osimertinib is expected to become a new flagship product in China, potentially replacing budesonide due to the large market for non-small cell lung cancer patients [3][4] Strategic Focus - AstraZeneca is focusing on a comprehensive "innovation offensive" in China, particularly in oncology, cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic disease areas [6] - The company has a robust pipeline in oncology, with several promising drugs set to launch in China, including novel AKT inhibitors and TROP2 ADCs for breast cancer treatment [6] - The pipeline also includes treatments for chronic diseases and rare diseases, addressing the diverse needs of the Chinese market [7][8] Investment Plans - AstraZeneca's $15 billion investment will focus on expanding drug manufacturing and R&D capabilities, particularly in cell therapy and radiolabeled drug conjugates [12][13] - The company has made 23 collaborations in China since 2021, totaling over $40 billion, with a significant focus on oncology and chronic disease treatments [9][12] Market Positioning - AstraZeneca aims to leverage China's scientific and manufacturing strengths to provide cutting-edge treatment solutions, positioning itself as a leader in cell therapy capabilities [13] - The company has established global strategic R&D centers in Beijing and Shanghai and operates multiple production bases across China [13][14] Conclusion - AstraZeneca's deep integration into the Chinese market signifies a shift from merely selling products to becoming a core participant in China's healthcare ecosystem, evolving into a global innovation center rooted in China [15]
HUA HONG SEMICONDUCTOR LTD(1347.HK)4Q25 RESULTS:RE-RATING UNDERWAY ON ADVANCED NODE POTENTIAL
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 17:17
Core Viewpoint - Hua Hong reported mixed results for 4Q25, with revenue slightly exceeding guidance but net income falling short due to increased R&D labor costs. Management provided a cautious outlook for 1Q26, expecting revenue to decline slightly while gross profit margin (GPM) improves due to demand in AI and localization [1][2][3]. Group 1: 4Q25 Results - Revenue grew 22% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter to a historical high, driven by a 3% increase in wafer shipments, particularly in MCU and PMIC segments [2]. - GPM narrowed by 0.6 percentage points quarter-over-quarter to 13%, aligning with prior guidance [2]. - Net income was recorded at US$17 million, missing estimates by 53-54%, primarily due to elevated R&D labor costs, although partially offset by foreign exchange gains and government subsidies [2]. Group 2: 1Q26 Guidance - Management guided for 1Q26 revenue of US$650-660 million, representing a 1% decline quarter-over-quarter at the midpoint and 6% below consensus [3]. - GPM is expected to be between 13% and 15%, reflecting a 1 percentage point improvement quarter-over-quarter and above consensus expectations [3]. - Factors contributing to revenue include price increases in PMIC, MCU, and discrete devices for AI applications, alongside strong domestic demand in China, though offset by depreciation in new fabs and weak consumer electronics demand [3]. Group 3: 2026 Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from increased exposure to auto, industrial, communication, and computing sectors, projected to account for approximately 36% of revenue in 2025 [4]. - Initiatives focused on China-for-China and demand for AI-related products are anticipated to mitigate the impact of declining consumer electronics demand [4]. - Potential catalysts for stock performance include the completion of the HLMC (Fab5) injection in 2H26 and ongoing developments in domestic GPUs at HLIC (Fab6) [4]. Group 4: Valuation - Revenue and margin estimates have been slightly revised downward due to moderate near-term demand, leading to EPS cuts of 7% for 2026 and 5% for 2027 [5]. - Despite this, the market is expected to re-rate Hua Hong based on advanced node potential, prompting an increase in target price to HK$116.5, based on a 4.0x price-to-book ratio [5].
ETF收评 | A股全线下跌 ,航空航天板块走强 ,航空航天ETF涨2%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 16:09
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline across all major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.28%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 1.57% [1] Sector Performance - The shipbuilding, aerospace, and comprehensive industries showed the highest gains, while the photovoltaic equipment, minor metals, and glass fiber sectors collectively retreated [1] - The aerospace sector saw a counter-trend increase, with the Huatai-PB Aerospace ETF and the Huaxia Aerospace ETF rising by 2.3% and 1.58%, respectively [1] - The semiconductor sector also performed well, with the Huatai-PB Korea Semiconductor ETF and the Semiconductor Equipment ETF increasing by 1.8% and 1.25%, respectively [1] - In contrast, the oil and gas sector faced declines, with the Bosera Oil and Gas ETF and the Oil ETF dropping by 4.21% and 3.99% [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a broad downturn, with the Fuguo Non-ferrous ETF and the Huatai Oil and Gas ETF falling by 3.73% and 3.72%, respectively [1] International Market - Japanese stocks continued to rise, with the Huaxia Nikkei ETF increasing by 1.39% [1]
美股异动丨Rivian大涨超21% Q4业绩超预期 预计2026年交付量将激增53%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 15:36
美国电动车制造商Rivian(RIVN.US)目前上涨超21%。消息上,由于电动汽车制造商Rivian正致力于在下 一代SUV发布前的关键时期控制成本,该公司警告称,今年的亏损可能高于预期。在发布第四季度财报 时,Rivian预计2026年调整后息税折旧及摊销前利润亏损为18亿至21亿美元。该区间的终值虽然较去年 的亏损有所改善,但超过了分析师此前预期的约18亿美元亏损。此外,公司预计2026年交付量将激增 53%。 ...
佳宁娜(00126.HK)拟出售Profit Share Investments Limited全部股权
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 15:02
Core Viewpoint - The company,佳宁娜, has entered into a sale agreement to divest its 100% stake in Profit Share Investments Limited, which will no longer be a subsidiary post-transaction, allowing for better resource allocation and debt reduction [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The seller, 佳宁娜地产发展, and the buyer, Silver Chaser Holdings Limited, have agreed on the sale of shares, which includes three batches of shares [1] - The target company is registered in the British Virgin Islands and primarily engages in investment holding, with its sole asset being approximately 4.62% indirect equity interest in the invested group [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The sale provides an opportunity for the group to liquidate its investment in the target company and reallocate financial resources for future development [1] - Proceeds from the sale will contribute to reducing the group's debt, aligning with the overall strategic planning of the group [1] - The board believes that the transaction will optimize resource allocation and strengthen the group's cash flow [1]
国家联合资源(00254.HK):预计中期净亏损为2200万港元至2500万港元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 15:02
Core Viewpoint - The company expects a revenue decline of approximately 38.7% for the six months ending December 31, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to the disposal of assets in its IT business segment and a significant decrease in revenue from its car rental and shuttle bus services [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue is projected to decrease from approximately HKD 56,029,000 in the corresponding period to about HKD 34,343,000 in the current period, a reduction of HKD 21,686,000 [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a 30% decrease, or approximately HKD 7,000,000, in income from the car rental and shuttle bus services [1] Financial Losses - The company anticipates a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately HKD 22,000,000 to HKD 25,000,000 for the current period, which represents an increase of about HKD 3,000,000 to HKD 6,000,000 compared to the loss of approximately HKD 19,238,000 in the corresponding period [1] - The previous period included a fair value loss on financial liabilities of approximately HKD 9,348,000, which is not expected in the current period, helping to mitigate the impact on net losses [1]