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瑞郎政策分化主导 震荡下行避险情绪添扰动
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:56
全球避险情绪波动为汇率添扰。近期中东局势紧张、特朗普对伊朗发军事警告及欧洲强化北极军事存在 的讨论,推升避险需求,作为传统避险货币的瑞郎吸引力上升,1月13日汇率一度跌至0.7970(单日跌幅 0.55%)。但当前避险情绪整体温和,无大规模恐慌性资金流动,既限制瑞郎升值空间,也令美元兑瑞郎 维持窄幅震荡。 技术面看,美元兑瑞郎中长期弱势未改,日线MACD持续运行于零轴下方,下行动能未消。14日RSI指 标约48,处于中性区间,多空暂时平衡;小时级别布林带收口,短期突破动能不足。支撑位方面,前期 低点0.7930为首要支撑,下方0.7860-0.7830为强支撑带;阻力端关注0.7950-0.7960(20日均线附近)及 0.8020-0.8030区间,突破后或冲击0.8060关键位。 后续焦点:数据与政策信号定方向 短期需重点关注美国12月CPI及核心PCE数据:数据走强或缓解激进降息预期,为美元提供支撑;数据 疲软则强化宽松预期,推动汇价向支撑区间回落。同时,瑞士12月CPI数据将影响瑞郎走势,若通缩压 力升温引发降息预期,可能扭转瑞郎短期态势。 中长期核心变量仍是两国央行政策。机构预测,瑞士央行大概率维持 ...
澳元震荡承压 政策分化与商品支撑博弈
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:55
Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing weak fluctuations against the US dollar (USD), with a slight increase observed, while market sentiment remains cautious due to various economic indicators and central bank policies [1]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - Australia's November CPI increased by 3.4% year-on-year, lower than the expected 3.65% and down from the previous value of 3.8%, but still above the target range of 2%-3% [1]. - The Westpac consumer confidence index for January fell by 1.7% month-on-month to a three-month low of 92.9, indicating a slowdown in household spending and a cautious consumer attitude under high interest rates [1]. - Despite these challenges, Australia's economy shows resilience, with a projected GDP growth of 2.1% year-on-year by Q3 2025 and a stable unemployment rate at a low of 4.3% [1]. Group 2: Central Bank Policies - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 3.6% for three consecutive times, with Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser indicating that a rate cut is unlikely in the near term [1]. - Market expectations suggest that the RBA may initiate rate hikes as early as June, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's slower pace of potential rate cuts [1]. Group 3: Commodity Influence - As a commodity currency, the AUD is supported by strong iron ore prices, with forecasts indicating a 5%-7% increase in coal prices by 2026, alongside improvements in global supply-demand dynamics [2]. - However, the strengthening USD, bolstered by the resilience of the US economy and safe-haven buying, is exerting downward pressure on the AUD [2]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The AUD/USD is currently in a consolidation phase, with key resistance levels at 0.6720 and 0.6750, while support is focused on the recent low of 0.6675 [2]. - If the AUD breaks below 0.6675, it may test the 50-day EMA support at 0.6634, with further declines potentially reaching the 0.6600 level [2]. - The 14-day RSI stands at 60.55, indicating moderate bullish momentum without reaching overbought territory, suggesting limited potential for a trend breakout in the short term [2].
加元高位震荡拉锯 政策与油价成核心博弈点
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:55
Core Viewpoint - The USD/CAD exchange rate is experiencing high volatility due to policy divergence, oil prices, and geopolitical risks, with the rate reported at 1.3881 as of January 13, 2026, reflecting a slight increase of 0.04% [1] Group 1: Policy Divergence - The core logic driving the exchange rate is the policy divergence between the U.S. and Canada, with the Federal Reserve having cut rates by 75 basis points in 2025 and maintaining a current range of 3.5%-3.75%, while the Bank of Canada has paused rate cuts after a total reduction of 100 basis points to 2.25% [2] - Market expectations suggest a 90% probability of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before September 2026, contrasting with the Bank of Canada's stance that it will likely not cut rates again before March 2026, leading to a narrowing interest rate differential that suppresses the USD/CAD exchange rate [2] Group 2: Oil Prices and Geopolitical Risks - The Canadian dollar, as a commodity currency, is highly influenced by oil price fluctuations, with WTI crude oil prices rising to around $59.40 per barrel due to supply constraints from OPEC+ and geopolitical tensions in Iran, providing support for the CAD [3] - However, plans by the U.S. to resume oil imports from Venezuela may increase competition for Canadian oil, potentially exerting downward pressure on the CAD [3] - Geopolitical risks, including U.S. warnings about higher tariffs for countries engaging in business with Iran and ongoing conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine situation, contribute to market volatility and enhance the appeal of commodity currencies [3] Group 3: Economic Fundamentals and Technical Analysis - The Canadian economy shows resilience with strong consumer and employment data, stable retail sales, and real wage growth, which supports the CAD despite housing market pressures [4] - In contrast, U.S. economic growth expectations have decreased from 1.6% in 2025 to 1.5% in 2026, with recent weak non-farm payroll data reducing the attractiveness of the USD, although a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.4% provides some support [4] - Technically, the USD/CAD rate faced resistance around 1.3920 and is currently below short-term moving averages, with the 20-day moving average flattening and the 50-day moving average providing medium-term support [4]
1月14日白银早评:美国通胀数据不及预期 银价有望登上90美元
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:03
Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 99.237, while spot silver opened at $86.90/oz and is currently around $88.69/oz, indicating a rise in silver prices due to increased safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties [1] - On January 13, the dollar index rose by 0.29% to close at 99.186, while spot silver increased by 2.06% to $86.91/oz, reaching a historical high of $89.12 before retreating [1] - The upcoming economic data to watch includes the US November retail sales month-on-month and the November PPI data [1] Group 2 - As of January 13, silver ETF holdings decreased by 26.79 tons to 16,321.16 tons compared to the previous trading day [2] - The US CPI growth rate remained stable in December, with core CPI slightly below expectations, leading to comments from Trump advocating for significant interest rate cuts by Powell [2] - The ADP weekly employment report indicates that private sector employers added an average of 11,750 jobs per week over the four weeks ending December 20, 2025 [3] Group 3 - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange plans to launch a 100-ounce silver futures contract on February 9 [5] - The silver market experienced fluctuations, opening at $85.362, hitting a low of $83.348, and then rising to a high of $89.124 before closing at $86.891 [6]
特朗普对伊选项曝光 金价获双重支撑关注1035争夺
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:03
Group 1 - The current spot gold price is reported at 1035.77 CNY per gram, reflecting an increase of 6.75 USD or 0.66% from the previous trading day, indicating a rebound after a decline [1] - The opening price for the day was 1029.01 CNY per gram, with a daily high of 1036.28 CNY and a low of 1029.01 CNY, showing volatility within the trading session [1] Group 2 - The situation in Iran is described as "very fragile," with President Trump indicating potential U.S. actions against the Iranian regime, amidst significant civil unrest and human rights violations [2] - The Iranian protests, initially sparked by inflation and currency collapse, have escalated following government internet shutdowns, leading to a reported death toll exceeding 2000 and nearly 16,800 arrests [2] - The U.S. military presence in the region includes six naval vessels, but lacks an aircraft carrier, complicating military response options, although strikes can still be executed using destroyers and bombers [2] Group 3 - Gold prices have shown a fluctuating upward trend, with a potential for a pullback expected, although market conditions do not support a significant decline [3] - Key resistance for gold is identified at approximately 4610, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level; failure to break this resistance may lead to downward pressure [3] - If gold prices stabilize above 4610, there is potential for further upward movement towards 4620 and 4630, but caution is advised regarding the risk of price retracement after reaching new highs [3]
(2026年1月14日)白银期货价格今日行情查询
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:01
打开APP,查看更多高清行情》 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新白银期货价格、白银期货合约、白银期货交易以及白银期 货走势,更多白银期货行情敬请关注:白银期货专栏 备注:以上白银的价格仅供参考,请以官方报价为准。如对白银投资有疑问可咨询本站客服。 金投白银网提供今日白银期货价格走势_今天白银期货价格走势(2026年1月14日) 今日白银期货价格查询(2026年1月14日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 22386.00 | 22495.00 | 21358.00 | 21004.00 | ...
纽约白银期货实时行情(2026年1月14日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 02:01
金投白银网提供今日纽约白银期货实时行情_今天白银期货价格走势(2026年1月14日) 今日白银期货价格查询(2026年1月14日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | comex白银期货 | 88.31 | 88.50 | 86.75 | 86.86 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情》 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新comex白银期货价格、comex白银期货合约、白银期货交易 以及白银期货走势,更多白银期货行情敬请关注:白银期货专栏 ...
苯乙烯:苯乙烯短期偏强 但高估值弱预期下空间有限
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 01:56
Market Overview - On January 13, the styrene market in East China experienced slight fluctuations, with limited port-to-ship availability and expected inventory declines, leading to a constrained supply of market circulation goods. Downstream resistance to high prices is strong, and industry profits are compressed, maintaining a procurement strategy based on orders. Some production facilities have no restart plans, keeping overall industry profits acceptable. According to PEC statistics, the spot price closed at 7150-7210 yuan/ton for the February contract, with increases of 130-135 yuan [1] Profit Analysis - As of January 13, the profit for non-integrated styrene units is approximately 555 yuan/ton [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Styrene supply: As of January 8, the weekly production of styrene is 355,700 tons, an increase of 3,500 tons, with an operating rate of 70.92%, up by 0.69% [1] - Styrene inventory: As of January 12, the total port inventory of styrene in Jiangsu is 100,600 tons, a decrease of 31,700 tons from the previous period. The commodity inventory stands at 59,900 tons, down by 17,400 tons [1] Downstream Operations - As of January 8, the operating rate for EPS is 46.72%, up by 3.08%, while PS is at 58.9%, down by 1.5%, and ABS is at 69.8%, down by 0.1% [2] Market Outlook - Recently, styrene prices are supported by previous export shipments and new export transactions in January, with limited port inventory and a tight supply-demand balance. However, there is strong resistance from downstream sectors due to losses, leading to a decline in EPS operating rates and significant losses in ABS/PS, resulting in reduced operational focus and some factory shutdowns. There are expectations of inventory accumulation before and after the Spring Festival, and limited cost support suggests that the upward potential for styrene prices is constrained. The strategy includes monitoring short-selling opportunities for EB03 and reducing EB processing fees at high levels [2]
反馈皆是感恩!王佳老师以优质教学点亮河南中安建培学员通关路
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 00:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the success of Wang Jia, a senior lecturer at Henan Zhong'an Jianpei Education, who has received positive feedback from students after their exams, showcasing her effective teaching methods and responsible attitude towards education [1][4]. Group 1: Teaching Excellence - Wang Jia is recognized for her deep expertise in the field of professional qualification training, holding multiple authoritative qualifications and actively participating in practical work related to fire safety [1]. - Her teaching approach combines theoretical knowledge with practical application, making complex concepts more accessible through relatable examples and case studies [1][6]. - The positive student feedback reflects her ability to create an engaging and immersive learning environment, which has led to high pass rates among her students [3][4]. Group 2: Student Engagement - After the exam results were announced, students shared their experiences and expressed gratitude towards Wang Jia, indicating a strong sense of community and support among learners [3][4]. - Many students credited her teaching style, which includes dynamic visuals and interactive elements, for their success in passing the exams [3][4]. - The live streaming sessions on the education platform further fostered a sense of camaraderie, with students celebrating their achievements and encouraging one another [4][6]. Group 3: Educational Philosophy - Wang Jia's educational philosophy emphasizes understanding over rote memorization, catering to the needs of adult learners who often face time constraints [6]. - Her focus on exam strategies and psychological support helps students build resilience and confidence, which are crucial for overcoming challenges in their studies [6]. - The recognition from students serves as a testament to her dedication and the effectiveness of her teaching methods, reinforcing the commitment of Henan Zhong'an Jianpei Education to high-quality vocational training [6].
快乐为民折扣批发超市加盟生意怎么样?是否值得投入呢?
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-14 00:45
随着经济水平提升,我国零售市场需求量逐年迅猛增长,而国内专注于折扣产品销售的品牌极少,竞争 压力小,加盟快乐为民正能抢占这片蓝海。作为全球知名的商品折扣店品牌,快乐为民经过多年潜心经 营,已树立良好品牌形象与口碑,不仅圈粉无数消费者,更成为创业者的优质选择。 更有强大技术实力与专业运营团队护航,定期开展系统化培训,哪怕毫无经验也能快速上手。加盟商可 直接复用成熟运营体系,大幅降低创业压力。 快乐为民折扣批发超市深耕折扣零售领域,凭借"只为你定制更好的"理念,打造"衣食住行、吃喝玩 乐"一站式购物阵地,成功打破零售业销售僵局,抓住行业发展大好趋势。加盟后可直接共享品牌的高 认可度与稳定客群,无需从零培育市场。总部还会持续优化商品结构与运营策略,让门店始终紧跟市场 趋势,盈利更稳、前景更广。 创业选对项目,前景自然可期。快乐为民用市场表现证明实力:以进口好物抓牢刚需市场,靠给力折扣 与会员模式锁定客流,借全维扶持降低创业风险,完美解决"前景如何""能否盈利"等核心顾虑,是低风 险、高回报的优质创业项目。加盟快乐为民折扣批发超市,在总部全方位护航下轻松开启盈利之路。公 司地址:广州市白云区石沙路86号石井国际大厦1 ...