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5 Hidden Metrics Behind Seagate’s AI-Fueled Rally
Forbes· 2025-11-03 15:10
Core Insights - Seagate's shares increased by over 10% following a strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, with revenue rising 21% year-on-year to $2.63 billion and adjusted EPS reaching $2.61, surpassing Wall Street expectations [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - Seagate delivered a record 182 exabytes of hard-drive capacity in the quarter ending October 3, 2025, with 159 exabytes from nearline drives, highlighting the importance of cloud exposure in revenue growth [3] - The average capacity per drive increased to 14.6 terabytes, marking a 26% year-on-year rise in nearline drive capacity, which supports margin expansion and contributes to the strong EPS results [4] - The company shipped over 1 million Mozaic HAMR drives during the September quarter, indicating a transition from proof-of-concept to commercial production [5] Group 2: Market Position and Future Outlook - Five major cloud service providers have approved Seagate's Mozaic 3+ HAMR platform, with additional qualifications expected to enhance supply visibility and support upgraded guidance [7] - Seagate's advancements in drive density, product qualification, and manufacturing capabilities suggest a pivotal moment for the company, aligning with the increasing demand for AI-driven storage solutions [8] - The current market enthusiasm for Seagate may indicate the beginning of a sustained structural uptrend, driven by next-generation HAMR drives and deeper cloud qualifications [9]
Is Oracle Just Consolidating For Next Rally?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 15:05
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - OCTOBER 22: Oracle co-founder and Chairman Larry Ellison delivers a keynote address during the Oracle OpenWorld on October 22, 2018 in San Francisco, California. The Oracle co-founder and Chairman kicked off the annual Oracle OpenWorld conference that runs through October 25th. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Getty ImagesOracle (ORCL) stock could be a strong contender to capitalize on the current momentum. Why? Because it possesses strong margins, a low-debt capital structure, and ...
What Is Fueling Google Stock?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:59
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 09: The exterior of the new headquarters of Google is seen at 550 Washington Street in Hudson Square on January 09, 2024 in New York City. Designed by COOKFOX Architects, the 1.3-million-square-foot project involved the restoration and expansion of the St. John’s Terminal building along the Hudson River waterfront. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)Getty ImagesAlphabet (GOOGL)’s stock increased by 65%, in the past year, driven by robust earnings and a sharp margin enhan ...
Stride Stock: What The Numbers Say About The Road Ahead
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:55
Core Insights - Stride Inc. has seen a drastic decline in market value, dropping nearly 50% shortly after reporting quarterly results that exceeded earnings expectations, with an adjusted EPS of $1.52 and revenue of $620.9 million, reflecting a nearly 13% year-over-year growth [2] - The company's full-year revenue forecast of $2.48 billion to $2.55 billion fell short of Wall Street's expectations of approximately $2.67 billion, causing investor concern [2][3] - Operational missteps in technology rollout may have resulted in a loss of 10,000–15,000 student enrollments, impacting the company's scale and retention [2] Revenue Growth and Enrollment - The revised guidance indicates a slowdown in revenue growth from approximately 18% last year to an expected 9–10% this year, raising concerns among growth investors [3] - Despite an 11% increase in overall enrollment and Career Learning segment growth exceeding 30%, skepticism remains regarding Stride's ability to maintain profitability if growth momentum declines [3] Financial Metrics and Valuation - Stride is currently trading at around 12–13 times forward earnings, significantly lower than competitors like Chegg or Coursera, which have valuations exceeding 20 times [4] - This low valuation reflects market doubt but also presents potential investment opportunities if management can stabilize enrollments and achieve long-term growth targets of 10% annual revenue growth and 20% profit growth [4]
Can Oklo's $20 Billion Story Survive Without Revenue?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:55
Core Insights - Oklo Inc. has achieved a valuation exceeding $20 billion despite not generating any revenue, drawing comparisons to early-stage Tesla and skepticism akin to the 2021 SPAC boom [1][5][12] - The company aims to revolutionize nuclear energy with its microreactors, particularly the Aurora Powerhouse, designed for various applications [3][10] - The current energy landscape, driven by AI data centers and the need for low-carbon energy, has heightened interest in Oklo's compact reactors [4][10] Company Overview - Oklo is focused on making microreactors commercially viable, which are small, factory-assembled nuclear units [3] - The company has an accumulated deficit exceeding $160 million and anticipates ongoing losses as it navigates regulatory processes and construction [6][9] - The first commercial deployment is targeted for 2027-2028, indicating that revenue generation is still years away [6] Valuation Analysis - Oklo's valuation is significantly higher than established nuclear firms and advanced-reactor competitors, trading at 8-10 times forward sales based on projected revenues of $2-3 billion by the end of the decade [8][9] - The high valuation reflects expectations of flawless execution, with potential for rapid re-evaluation if delays or regulatory issues arise [9] Market Context - The concept of modular, scalable, zero-carbon nuclear energy addresses urgent global needs for reliable clean energy amid rising electricity demands [10] - Some investors view Oklo as a high-risk technology investment, similar to early investments in Tesla or SpaceX [11][13] - The narrative surrounding Oklo is compelling, but the reality includes no current revenues and a high valuation, presenting a mixed outlook for potential investors [12][13]
Kimberly-Clark Buys Embattled Tylenol Maker Kenvue In $48 Billion Deal
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:15
ToplineKimberly-Clark will acquire Kenvue in a deal valued at nearly $49 billion, both companies announced Monday, combining the maker of Huggies diapers and Kleenex with the owner of Tylenol, which has faced pressure since President Donald Trump claimed without conclusive evidence the drug is a potential cause of autism. President Donald Trump has claimed Kenvue’s pain reliever is a potential cause of autism, despite clear evidence.AFP via Getty Images ...
Earnings, Deals and Trade, Set the Tone for the Week
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:10
The US and China flags fly as we see a calming in the tariff and trade rhetoric (Photo by Wang Gang/VCG via Getty Images)VCG via Getty ImagesKey Takeaways-Trade talk between US and China helped calm Markets- Tech and Health Care deals over weekend- Earning season continues The trade truce that was established last week between the US and China is having a positive effect on the markets in today’s premarket trading. We saw the Asian markets with a positive reaction overnight (although Japan was closed for a ...
Is Amazon Stock Winning?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 14:10
Core Insights - The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has sued Amazon, alleging deceptive practices related to Prime subscriptions and complicated cancellation processes [2] - Amazon's stock has increased by 9.6% in a single day, prompting a reassessment of its performance compared to competitors [2] - Amazon's operating margin is 11.4%, which is lower than most competitors, particularly Microsoft at 46.3% [6] Revenue Growth Comparison - Amazon's revenue growth over the last 12 months is 10.9%, which surpasses competitors like Apple, Walmart, Alibaba, and Wayfair, but lags behind Microsoft [6] Stock Performance - Amazon's stock has risen by 31.0% over the past year and is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 36.8, although competitors like Alibaba and Wayfair have delivered better returns [6] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes 30 stocks, has historically outperformed its benchmark indices, indicating a smoother investment experience with superior returns and reduced risk [7]
Why Is Blackstone Stock Falling?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 13:55
Core Insights - Blackstone (BX) shares are experiencing a seven-day losing streak, with total losses of -9.3% during this period, following mixed Q3 2025 earnings that showed a 20% year-over-year revenue growth but fell short of Wall Street expectations [1][4] - The company's market cap has declined by approximately $12 billion over the past week, bringing it to around $175 billion, and the stock is currently 13.1% lower than at the close of 2024, contrasting with a year-to-date return of 16.3% for the S&P 500 [3][4] Financial Performance - Blackstone's operating margins for the quarter were below last year's figures, attributed to a less favorable mix of revenue streams and some seasonal expenses [1] - The ongoing decline in BX stock raises questions about whether it signals a red flag or a potential recovery opportunity [4] Market Context - The current losing streak of BX stock is part of a broader market trend, with 92 S&P 500 constituents experiencing at least three consecutive days of declines [7] - Historical data suggests that prolonged weakness in stock prices can indicate changing market sentiment or underlying issues, potentially offering investment opportunities if fundamentals remain solid [6] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes 30 stocks, has historically outperformed its benchmarks, indicating that a diversified investment strategy may yield better returns with reduced risk compared to investing in a single stock like BX [8]
Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Crypto - Where Is Money Flowing?
Forbes· 2025-11-03 13:50
Market Overview - Gold prices have surged to record highs since the onset of the Hamas-Israel war, influenced by the weakening US dollar and anticipated rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [3] - Equities increased by 0.3% yesterday, with positive returns over the past week and month [4] - Bonds experienced a slight decline of 0.06% yesterday, following a 0.6% drop last week, but showed a 0.2% increase over the month [4] - Gold fell by 0.5% in the previous session, with weekly and monthly changes of -2.5% and 3.8%, respectively [4] - Commodities rose by 0.7% yesterday, reflecting positive returns for both the week and month [4] - Real Estate advanced by 0.3% yesterday, despite weekly and monthly declines of 3.5% and 2.1% [4] - Bitcoin gained 1.4% yesterday, after a drop of 1.1% last week and a significant 9% decline over the month [4] Investment Strategies - The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, consisting of 30 stocks, has a history of outperforming its benchmark, which includes the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap indices [5] - The HQ Portfolio has provided superior returns with reduced risk compared to the benchmark index, minimizing volatility [5] - Empirical Asset Management has integrated the Trefis HQ Portfolio into its asset allocation framework, aiming to deliver superior returns with reduced risk compared to the benchmark index [3]