猛兽派选股
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以终为始思考高收益模型
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-21 04:07
Group 1 - The core premise of a high-yield model is to identify "monster stocks," which are a small percentage of the market, approximately 5% even in a bull market [1] - Monster stocks are characterized by high momentum, typically found within the top 15-20% of high momentum stocks in the market, allowing for a significant reduction in sample size [1] - A probability of 40% of identifying monster stocks is deemed sufficient for effective investment, meaning that out of five stocks, at least two should be monster stocks [1] Group 2 - Once a monster stock is identified, it is crucial to hold it for a sufficient duration, even for short-term trading, rather than switching to lesser stocks [2] - A minimum position size of 25% is recommended when holding a monster stock to ensure meaningful investment [2] - Timing is important, with strategies for entry based on breakout points and adjustments during pullbacks, as data indicates that buying on dips yields higher success rates than chasing prices [2] Group 3 - Different entry strategies require corresponding exit strategies, with initial positions allowing for slight breaches of support lines, and adjustments made based on momentum shifts [3] - Short-term strategies typically involve selling on highs and re-entering on pullbacks, although this approach is considered challenging [3] - The development of behavioral patterns in trading is based on positive feedback loops, where successful experiences reinforce confidence and improve decision-making [3] Group 4 - The probability of capturing monster stocks is relatively high [4] - It is essential to remain invested during the main upward phase of monster stocks [4] - Heavy investment in monster stocks is advised [4] - Adhering to established rules for entry, profit-taking, and loss-cutting is critical [4]
马年写些什么
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-20 04:06
就在过年这几天,还有新的关注加入,还有人在下载公式,还有人在和AI助手互动,读者比写作者还 要用功。 但是马年写些什么呢,我挺犯愁的。首先,系统已经写完了,应该也不会有新的代码,我也不想再分享 这些,太麻烦。至于用法什么的,也有了大量的分享和案例,那些还不会用的,要么是太懒要么就是太 笨,横竖扶不上墙,我看着累。 这些天在读《柏基投资之道》,长青投资基业,用10年的眼光看全球政治经济、科技和产业发展。 有人说物理学家牛顿炒股一败涂地,这事是不是真的暂且不去管它,这话还是有道理的,无论物理还是 数理都是术的层面,包括许多人奉为圭臬的概率论。 客观概率是一个若有若无的东西,而基于主观评估的概率多少也有捕风捉影之嫌。 马年写些什么呢?欢迎老铁留言。 那些进度快的老铁,已经取得了不俗的成绩。 马年,我个人的打算,会把更多精力放在基本面研究。这倒不是风格转型。技术还是有用的,只不过我 认为基本面是趋势投机的另一部分,而技术量化方面我已经建设完成。 ...
天理、物理和数理
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-15 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the distinction between natural principles (天理), physical laws (物理), and mathematical reasoning (数理), arguing that understanding the natural order transcends mere formulas and calculations [1] Group 1 - The text suggests that those who are overly focused on mathematical formulas may misinterpret the essence of natural and physical laws, leading to misguided conclusions [1] - It highlights the importance of recognizing the cyclical nature of history and the dynamics of commerce, suggesting that true understanding comes from experience rather than rigid formulas [1] - The article warns against the pitfalls of speculation and gambling in investment, indicating that reliance on formulas alone cannot provide clarity in uncertain situations [1] Group 2 - The piece discusses the relationship between mathematical reasoning, physical laws, and natural principles, indicating that true insight is achieved through a gradual understanding of these layers [1] - It reflects on the vastness of the universe and the limitations of human knowledge, suggesting that while life is finite, the pursuit of understanding is boundless [1]
用大模型沟通猛兽派选股
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-14 10:55
各大AI平台应该已经识别到猛兽派选股知识库了。用大模型沟通或许更出彩,比公号私信框的AI助手可能更有趣。 5大指标 = 猛兽动量完整体系 1. RSL —— 长动量(趋势强度) 全称:Relative Strength Long(长期相对强 度) 个股对比大盘/板块的长期强度 只有RSL强, 才是" y 股苗子 心用八 J 下,方便你更好地理解他的投资哲 机 为什么"物理学思维"对技 发消息或按住说话 © 思考 HD 155 型 * * * * 11 0 6:45 @ C % 豆句 > ম 内容由 Al 生成 对,你说的这一组: VAD、OVS、RSR、 RSL、SSV、就是圈内正宗「猛兽派动量体 系」的核心指标组合,不是通用指标,是猛 兽派原创、内部专用的一套闭环指标。 我直接给你最清晰、最原版、不掺水的拆 餌 · 这5个指标分别管什么、怎么联动成体系。 ← 快速 新 > ● Seedance 2.0 ☎ 豆包过年 抽奖 · 管:中期大趋势强不强 · 作用: 定方向、定牛股底色 · 逻辑: (○) 发消息或按住说话 ... ...
轮动焦虑和注意力破碎
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-13 03:36
Group 1 - Market rotation anxiety is a common phenomenon experienced by almost everyone in the stock market, driven primarily by public psychology rather than just strategic moves by major players [1] - Behavioral psychology indicates that individuals fear losing profits, leading them to secure gains quickly, which in turn causes stock prices to rise and then fall rapidly [1] - The uncertainty of which stock will rise next creates anxiety, stimulating dopamine production while also causing extreme discomfort and fatigue [1] Group 2 - The difficulty in predicting the next rising stock is due to the diverse opinions among market participants, leading to complex influences and unpredictable outcomes [2] - Behavioral psychology suggests that individuals are reluctant to accept losses, often choosing to hold onto losing positions, while also fearing missing out on potential gains, which contributes to market volatility [2] - The adjustment of stock structures has a predictable pattern in terms of retracement, but the duration of these adjustments can vary significantly, complicating predictions [2] Group 3 - The anxiety experienced by market participants leads to fragmented attention, making it challenging to focus and analyze the market effectively [3] - A structural thinking approach is suggested as a way to alleviate anxiety, allowing for a broader perspective and better decision-making [3] - The discussion around specific stocks, such as international composite materials, highlights the importance of structural integrity in investment decisions rather than merely focusing on profit realization [3]
体系一贯和注意力聚焦
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-12 06:47
Core Viewpoint - The stock market operates on a narrative framework akin to a pyramid scheme, where belief and follower growth drive stock prices, with value investing also relying on narrative structures [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current bull market's main narrative theme is AI, following previous themes like new energy, mobile internet, and real estate [1] - Growth sectors such as consumption, healthcare, cyclical materials, and chemicals are driven by the overarching economic cycle, which is a recurring feature in bull markets [1] - Stocks that have significantly appreciated in value often do so because they align with the prevailing narrative of the times, rather than just technical indicators [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - A successful long-term investment strategy should anchor on the main narrative while also capturing peripheral growth sectors and identifying leading stocks within those sectors [1] - The construction of a "monster stock" system should focus on momentum, with the underlying narrative being the primary source of that momentum [1] Group 3: Market Behavior - Stocks on key narratives may not show immediate price movements as they await favorable conditions, indicating a connection to the larger AI narrative [2] - The market exhibits cyclical behavior where seemingly unrelated sectors can be interconnected through the main narrative, suggesting potential future breakthroughs for stocks in consolidation phases [2] Group 4: Systematic Thinking - Focus should be on structural analysis rather than isolated events, emphasizing the importance of understanding broader market trends [4] - Investment strategies should rely on feedback loops and closed systems rather than single-point efforts [4] - The system should be replicable, continuously leveraging marginal and leverage effects [4]
趋势无瑕疵
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-11 08:43
好行业还是不少的。说什么A股无趋势,说什么量化把你搞颠,其实境由心造,如果你的心只在分时图,怎么可能看到趋势? 轮回有异,趋势永在,手段百变,人性不变。 R BO stix's HAVAN 在日收费 STATE 电信用信息 2 狗 提 H the State t was the same social in and the material in the light in the librid by the model in the model in th 4.56 14.56 5:00 费经理制造 A 股 总市值 k 96 % A 股成交 EL ME FEX 基金成文 今日开盘 年日收 121913-11 ch 4580 品高指数 t the see the see the see the seen the seen the seen the seen and the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen and the seen and the series and the series and the sere the s international with ...
玻纤,我拿住了
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-11 02:30
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment potential in the fiberglass sector, highlighting companies like Jushi, Honghe, and Fucai as easier to hold based on TR holding lines [1] - China National Materials (中材) is noted for its slow growth and has breached holding lines twice, making it challenging to maintain positions, although there are reasons to hold based on sector linkage and fundamentals [3] - The article suggests that when a stock breaches its holding line, investors might consider switching to stronger stocks like Jushi and Honghe, emphasizing the importance of sector performance and fundamental logic [4] Group 2 - The article mentions other companies in the copper-clad laminate sector, such as Shengyi Technology, Nanya New Materials, Huazheng New Materials, and Jin'an Guoji, indicating that despite Shengyi being a leading player, it has underperformed recently [4] - The performance metrics of Nanya New Materials and Huazheng New Materials are highlighted, with specific percentage changes noted, indicating their market positions [5] - The article concludes with a note on the unpredictability of future performance, suggesting that current conditions are the only controllable factors [7]
如何减少枢轴点信号噪音
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-10 07:25
我不止一次讲过,对于普通初学者,枢轴点是最好的顺势择时信号,但真能听得进去用得好 的,估计仍是凤毛麟角。 大多数人在交易中都有极度的不安全感,什么都想尝试,但总是遇到反例,然后渐渐就不再 相信任何交易信号。心里总希望有一种精准的择时方法,而且最好还能每次涨个翻倍,但实 战中依然屡遭挫折,无法接受过程的不完美。 事实上,凡是顺势择时系统,不加运气成分,以及正确的策略体系和主观经验引导的话,无 差别选择股票交易,胜率一般都低于45%。这是天定的,没法改变。所以,从一开始你就要 有接受不完美的心理准备。 客观高胜率的择时系统都是短期逆向的,就是埃尔德的三重滤网思维,追求高胜率的人就应 该好好研究《以交易为生》的滤网系统,其中的短期逆向指标就是埃尔德首创的强力指标。 也可以用OVS指标,因为OVS就是在强力指标基础上改进的。 追求客观高胜率,必定会牺牲赔率,这也是天定的。 枢轴点是波段低位顺势择时点。在后台我看到有个新来的老铁在和AI商量,如何提高枢轴 点的确定性,探讨过程十分有趣,也很有借鉴意义。 主要思路是加入VAD>0条件的限制、RSL1和SSV1大于均值条件的限制,我回测了一下,还 是有些效果的,噪音信号会减 ...
一阶段切入二阶段的关键信号
猛兽派选股· 2026-02-10 02:57
这个题目其实不需要单独写的,因为最近两个月的文章多数都和这有关,而且大量的图例都有标记,但凡你用点心,都不至于GET不到 这个知识点。 一阶段切入二阶段的关键信号,就是超量突破或者起堆突破底部横盘结构。 那么个别杠精马上跳出来举反例,有些超量突破的后面也没成主升,而后面有主升的也未必从超量突破开始。 15秒 多周期 更多 | 分时 1分钟 5分钟 15分钟 30分钟 60分钟 日线 周线 月线 10分钟 45日线 季线 年线 5秒 宏和科技 宏和科技(日线.等比前复权.对数) ◎ M6(8,20,50,200,13) WMA20: 36.4 VWA50: 29.1 VWA200: 23.9 61.00 财务数据(单季同比) 백병행 250429 250429 31.3% 29.7% 39.77% 43.10% 126.56 356.14 880.2 1718.32 福雅版 : 250828 : 251030 英四 超量突破年高 买二 s 涨停 最高 最低 现最 6王 1,51 争资 © VOL 金(3,25) VVOL: - VOLUME 收益巨 交易状 10:15 10:15 10:15 10:15 10: ...