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堆量骑点公式调妥,但担心的事还是发生了
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-25 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent changes in stock selection models, highlighting an increase in the number of selected stocks and a significant rise in success rates, raising questions about the underlying factors influencing these trends [1][2][6]. Group 1: Stock Selection Changes - The number of stocks selected has decreased from 43 to 35, with a success rate increasing to 68% since June 23 [1]. - The recent year has seen a surge in selected stocks, surpassing the total from the previous three years, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [2]. - The key filtering condition for stock selection is the "OVS" (On Volume Surge), which has shown that previous bull markets had lower OVS values, contributing to fewer selected stocks [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Trading Behavior - The increase in stock selection and success rates may be attributed to changes in trading behavior, possibly influenced by the rise of quantitative trading [2]. - The recent two-month period has seen a notable increase in the number of successful trades, suggesting a possible phenomenon of market crowding due to high short-term capital density [2][7]. - Historical data indicates that previous bull markets did not exhibit similar patterns, suggesting that the current market conditions may be unique [2]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - The performance of selected stocks varies significantly across different market phases, with success rates ranging from 10% to 68% in various historical contexts [3]. - Specific groups of stocks have shown varying success rates, with the first group (2012-2015) having a 29% success rate and the most recent group (2025) achieving a 68% success rate [3]. - The model's effectiveness remains uncertain, with historical backtesting indicating potential limitations in its application [6].
高阶动量技巧——RS_D背离值逆向低吸交易原理和公式
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-25 15:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how to identify low-entry opportunities during market pullbacks and fluctuations using momentum principles, specifically focusing on the RSline bottom divergence state as a key indicator for potential price increases [1][3]. Group 1: Methods for Identifying Low-Entry Opportunities - Two previously introduced methods assess the exhaustion of bearish forces during pullbacks: one evaluates price fluctuations, while the other assesses the degree of volume-price contraction [1]. - A third method is introduced, which purely evaluates from a momentum perspective, emphasizing the importance of RSline bottom divergence [1][3]. Group 2: Understanding RSline Bottom Divergence - The RSline indicates relative strength and can show a rising trend even when stock prices are declining, which constitutes a bottom divergence structure [3]. - This bottom divergence can be quantified by calculating the difference in slopes between the RSline and the stock price, allowing for a clearer identification of potential low-entry points [3][5]. Group 3: Practical Application and Indicators - Specific characteristics of low-entry points include a positive red divergence value for RSline and a negative slope for stock prices, indicating potential buying opportunities [5]. - Conversely, when the green line peaks and reverses, it signals a short-term selling opportunity, highlighting the importance of using larger time frames for trend assessment [5].
思维破壁:主线领涨心跳加速
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-25 04:51
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading stocks in a bull market and avoiding distractions from less significant stocks, suggesting that a multi-line structure is essential for the second phase of a bull market [1]. Group 1 - The bull market is characterized by a concentration of hot money in a few leading sectors and stocks, with significant price movements observed in industries such as semiconductor, PCB, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1]. - The market sentiment has shifted from a fluctuating state to a more stable and positive range, indicating a healthy market environment since June [1]. - The article advises investors to maintain a broad perspective and focus on the direction of the market rather than getting caught up in the minutiae of stock selection [1][3]. Group 2 - The article notes that predicting daily stock movements is challenging, and it is more effective to concentrate on the details of leading stocks as long as they do not break critical support levels [3].
堆量骑牛今天的调试结果
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-24 07:44
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant stock selection based on two key market nodes, indicating a strong influx of capital into the market since June 24, 2023, with a total of 52 stocks identified from April 8 and 43 from June 24, showcasing a bullish trend in the market [1]. Summary by Sections Stock Performance Analysis - From the 52 stocks identified after April 8, there were 79 signal points generated, with a success rate of approximately 59%, indicating a favorable investment environment [1]. - The performance of selected stocks includes notable gains, with some stocks showing significant price increases, such as: - Giant Network (002558) with a 20-day increase of 26.88% and a market cap of 35.66 billion [2]. - Guidance (300803) with a 20-day increase of 53.09% and a market cap of 49.55 billion [2]. - Longxin Group (300682) with a 20-day increase of 11.77% and a market cap of 12.79 billion [2]. Sector Breakdown - The stocks are categorized into various sectors, with significant representation in technology and communication: - Communication sector stocks like New Easy Win (300502) showed a remarkable 20-day increase of 58.30% with a market cap of 232.49 billion [2]. - Semiconductor sector stocks such as Cambricon (688256) demonstrated a substantial increase of 84.64% with a market cap of 2517.53 billion [2]. Additional Insights - The article provides detailed performance metrics for individual stocks, including volume and moving averages, which can be useful for further analysis and investment decisions [4][5][6]. - The overall market sentiment appears positive, with many stocks showing strong upward momentum, suggesting potential investment opportunities in the current market environment [1].
堆量推升,骑牛公式初步告成
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-23 07:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "stacking volume" strategy in stock trading, emphasizing the importance of identifying strong bullish signals during market trends, particularly in the second phase of a bull market where stocks tend to rise significantly [6]. Group 1: Stacking Volume Strategy - The "stacking volume" strategy involves buying during the gaps of strong stocks that are in a horizontal consolidation phase, focusing on the underlying principles rather than specific signals [6]. - In a bull market led by institutions, waiting for deep corrections is considered a flawed strategy, as once a trend is established, stocks can rise rapidly and significantly [6]. Group 2: Market Signals and Data - The article provides various technical indicators and data points for different stocks, including VWA (Volume Weighted Average) and RSL (Relative Strength Line) metrics, which are crucial for identifying potential buying points [2][3][4]. - Specific stocks mentioned include "Shutai Shen" and "Gengshengtang," with detailed trading data such as volume and price points, indicating their current market status and potential for upward movement [2][3][4].
成交量(金额)加权以后的相对强度
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-22 14:38
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the construction of a true cost price curve using cumulative transaction amount divided by cumulative transaction volume, emphasizing its accuracy compared to traditional methods [1]. Group 1: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) - The article introduces a new formula for calculating VWAP using cumulative transaction amount (AMO) and price (C), which is expressed as SUM(AMO*C,N)/SUM(AMO,N) [1]. - This VWAP formula is designed to be more sensitive and reliable than traditional volume-weighted methods, especially when accounting for stock splits and other corporate actions [1]. Group 2: Standardized Strength Calculation - A new standardized strength formula is proposed, replacing the arithmetic mean price with the volume-weighted price, resulting in VWAP and standard deviation (STDD) calculations [1]. - Two output methods are provided: one using the weighted price as the divisor for deviation and another using standard deviation for normalization [1]. Group 3: Relative Strength (RS) Calculation - The article extends the VWAP concept to calculate a relative strength line (RSLine), which is claimed to be more reasonable than popular moving average methods [4]. - The RS calculation is defined as CLOSE/INDEXC, with a volume-weighted RS (VWRS) formula introduced for enhanced accuracy [4]. Group 4: Output Comparison - The article notes that the output from the new calculations is consistent and stable when configured as a Relative Strength Ratio (RSR) [2]. - It highlights the effectiveness of using volume-weighted prices in producing reliable output compared to traditional methods [2].
成交量加权移动平均线VWAP
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-22 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the relationship between trading volume and price movements, emphasizing that volume can be a leading indicator for price changes, and introduces a volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) as a more responsive alternative to traditional moving averages [1][2]. Group 1: Volume and Price Relationship - The concept of volume leading price movements is explored, suggesting that if volume is a leading variable, it should have a cumulative effect on price movements [1]. - A method is proposed to analyze this relationship by applying a volume-weighted approach to price movements, comparing it to traditional moving averages [1]. Group 2: VWMA vs. EMA - The VWMA formula is presented as VWMA: SUM(V*C, N) / SUM(V, N), where V is volume and C is price, with a common period of 20 days used for comparison [2]. - The VWMA is shown to react more quickly to price changes compared to the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating its effectiveness in reflecting investor participation in price movements [2][4]. Group 3: Indicator Analysis - The article references the book "Trend is Gold," which provides a comprehensive analysis of the reliability and backtesting results of various indicators, including VWMA, demonstrating its superiority over EMA [4]. - The emphasis on volume in the VWMA approach is highlighted as a way to capture the significance of trading days with higher volume, making it more relevant to market dynamics [4].
思维破壁:低吸无需蓝绿钻
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-22 03:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of identifying low volatility points in a strong market for investment opportunities, rather than relying solely on mechanical indicators like blue-green diamonds [1][2] - The article suggests that in a strong upward trend, the price structure is controlled by the bulls, and the absence of blue-green diamonds does not negate the potential for investment [2] - It highlights the significance of understanding the RS_D indicator for recognizing convergence points, which can be adjusted based on market conditions [1][2] Group 2 - The discussion includes the importance of being adaptable with parameters when using indicators like RS_D to identify market opportunities [1] - The article mentions that successful strategies involve understanding and mastering specific indicators, such as RSLine divergence, to capitalize on market movements [3] - It concludes that having a clear understanding and confidence in chosen strategies is essential for achieving success in investments [3]
专注在领涨股的细节
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-20 16:01
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading stocks in a bull market, as they provide clearer signals for investment decisions [1][4] - It highlights that the strongest stocks in a sector are the ones that should be monitored for signs of market peaks, rather than lesser-performing stocks [1][5] - The article mentions specific stocks like Industrial Fulian and Shanghai Xinyang, indicating their potential for continued growth based on technical analysis [1][3][4] Group 2 - The discussion includes the performance of leading stocks in the consumer sector, particularly mentioning the stock Yu Yuchen, which has shown significant gains [2] - It points out that the current market allows for various investment strategies, not just focusing on high-performing stocks, countering the notion that only high-flying stocks will prevail [4] - The article also compares the performance of two logistics stocks, Shentong and others, illustrating the disparity in their price movements and emphasizing the importance of selecting the right leading stock [5][6]
中国家电的工业设计任重道远
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-20 04:39
Group 1 - The home appliance industry is viewed as a competitive sector in China, with strong performance in overseas markets mitigating the impact of the real estate downturn [1] - There is a notable gap in industrial design quality among domestic brands, which has been a long-standing issue [1][3] - Specific examples of design flaws in popular domestic appliances highlight the lack of attention to practical usability and durability [5][7] Group 2 - Despite the design shortcomings, consumers are still inclined to support domestic brands for their cost-effectiveness, with a preference for brands like Changhong Meiling [1][3] - The perception of brand value is influenced by the design and functionality of products, leading to questions about the premium pricing of well-known brands [5][7] - The overall sentiment suggests that the industry may be facing challenges related to management and innovation, reflecting a broader trend in the sector [1][3]