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高原反应
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-27 04:21
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market is still in a state of adjustment, and the recent performance of leading stocks does not indicate a complete recovery of the overall market [1] - Leading stocks are expected to outperform the market, and their recent movements are seen as a potential lifeline for the overall market situation [1] - Despite some leading stocks showing strong performance, the overall trading volume is declining, indicating a complex market environment [1] Group 2 - The methodology emphasized is to follow the leading stocks, as they provide clearer signals and often lead the market [3] - Recent quarterly reports have shown a correlation in stock movements, highlighting specific stocks like Dongfang Tantalum Industry [3]
这个三级分类看起来
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-26 03:51
Group 1 - The passive components sector, including resistors and capacitors, is experiencing strong demand due to the booming PCB market, which is expected to drive up prices similar to the memory market [3] - Technical characteristics of the sector indicate a significant breakout when surpassing the one-year high, with recent pullbacks showing resilience and an improving Relative Strength Ratio (RSR) [1] - Notable leading stocks within the sector have been identified, showcasing clear technical features that may present investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - Relevant upstream resources include major manufacturers such as Sanhua Group and Farah Electronics, both recognized as significant players in the chip capacitor market [2]
这批领涨股继续发力
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-24 04:40
Group 1 - The current market trend indicates a potential continuation after the recent pullback, with specific leading stocks identified as key players [1] - The stock "Shengyi Electronics" experienced a pullback of 27.3%, meeting the criteria for high-quality stocks, and its third-quarter report shows a strong reversal opportunity [2] - The use of M8 main chart indicators and pivot point stock selection tools has revealed a batch of leading stocks with pivot point signals, indicating positive feedback and an expanding number of stocks [3] Group 2 - "Fangzheng Technology" showed a pivot point signal after a low volume signal, indicating a high probability of a quality signal combination, with a pullback of 20.3% [4] - In the semiconductor sector, "Jingrui Electric Materials" had a pullback of 17.1%, representing a very high-quality shallow pullback, with a seasonal report gap and previous low volume signal indicating a strong reversal pivot signal [6] - "Jiangbolong" demonstrated a strong continuation after a narrow bottom structure, with significant volume breakout today [6] Group 3 - The main board is experiencing rapid volume shrinkage in the non-ferrous sector, with several low volume signals emerging, suggesting that the non-ferrous sector may lead the market in the future [5] - The article reflects on the characteristics and evolution of "beast stocks" under the current market conditions, emphasizing the importance of identifying key growth lines amidst market rotations [8] - A summary of five years of "beast stocks" highlights the truth of trends, focusing on base shapes and pivot points [9]
凸形反转持续缩量,就是危险信号
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-23 04:37
Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a significant reduction in trading volume, indicating a lack of conviction among investors, with a divergence between those holding cash and those holding stocks [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current trading volume is estimated to be smaller than yesterday, with a trend of decreasing volume firmly established [1] - The market's temperature is ultimately determined by buying activity, and as the number of buyers decreases, the balance will inevitably tilt [1] - The average stock price index resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder lower than the left, suggesting potential market weakness [1] Group 2: Leading Stocks and Market Sentiment - Core leading stocks are essential indicators for assessing whether the market has reached its peak, as seen in historical trends from figures like Livermore and O'Neil [1] - The abandonment of leading stocks often precedes significant market downturns, with new leaders emerging from the aftermath of market turmoil [1] Group 3: Sector Performance - The recent strength in utility stocks signals a sign of market fatigue, as these stocks typically perform well when the overall market is struggling [1] - The resilience of the Shanghai Composite Index is attributed to the support from banks, insurance, and utility stocks, which tend to rally during market downturns [1] Group 4: Micro-cap Stocks - The stability of the micro-cap stock index is due to the active participation of traditional retail investors and quantitative private equity, especially when institutional investors withdraw [1] - There is a need for preparedness, as prolonged market friction could lead to significant declines in individual stocks, even if the Shanghai Composite Index does not experience substantial pullbacks [1]
祖鲁法则中的相对强度
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-22 06:12
Group 1 - The article discusses the concept of relative strength from the Zulu principle, emphasizing its application in growth stock investment and the popularity of the PEG ratio due to this principle [1] - The relative strength compares the price movement of individual stocks against market indices, which is slightly different from the RS indicator mentioned in another source [1] - A formula for calculating relative strength using Tongdaxin is provided, illustrating how to derive the relative strength value [1] Group 2 - The output curve generated from the calculations is compared with an existing strength indicator (QR) in Tongdaxin, showing that both indicators are similar but have slight differences [2] - The QR indicator's formula is shared, indicating that it can also express the relative strength of the Zulu principle due to the underlying logic being the same [3]
今天这批领涨股的信号
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-21 07:58
Group 1 - The adjustment rhythm is closely related to the leading technology stocks, with companies like Xinyiseng, Shenghong, Fulin, and Hanwu showing limited pullback but extended pullback duration, causing a convex curve in moving averages [1] - Leading stocks are showing pivot point signals, indicating potential market movements, but it is not yet confirmed that the base has ended [2] - Shenghong has experienced a pullback of 27.6%, which is within the acceptable range for quality bases, and recent mild volume increase along with today's pivot point signal suggests cautious bullish sentiment [3] Group 2 - Fulin shows the best status with a pullback of only 15.7%, indicating a potential for renewed volume and new highs, similar to companies like Yuanjie Technology [5] - Overall, the signals from leading technology stocks are positive, but attention should be paid to subsequent changes and confirmation signals, particularly regarding the 20-day moving average [6] - The average stock price index has not yet exited the pullback structure, and the possibility of new lows remains significant [6]
本应该从从容容游刃有余
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-20 06:03
Group 1 - The current stock market is experiencing a weak rebound, but it is likely to continue hitting new lows in the near future [1] - There is a sense of urgency and chaos in the market, contrasting with a previously more relaxed approach [1] - The importance of not underestimating the medium to long-term moving average convex reversal is emphasized [1] Group 2 - A recent book, "The Life of Jesse Livermore," is noted for its readability compared to "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator," despite having a similar storyline [1]
驼峰区的磨损足以吐尽前期获利
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-18 03:16
Group 1 - The article discusses the psychological risks faced by traders, emphasizing that the greatest risk is not from the market but from one's own behavior and mindset [2] - It highlights the strong bearish momentum released on Friday, indicating that the market has not yet reached a bottom and further downward movement is likely [4] - The article suggests that the market is in a phase of constructing another consolidation area before potentially testing momentum again, indicating a cyclical pattern [4] Group 2 - The author emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, particularly the relationship between volume, price, and time, which are crucial for interpreting market movements [4] - It is noted that many traders lack a deep understanding of these concepts, which are essential for effective trading strategies [4] - The article uses a metaphor of "capital as a celestial mass" to explain how market forces influence price movements over time, suggesting a complex interplay between market dynamics and trader psychology [4]
我为什么采用平均股价指数分析大盘
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-17 05:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the effectiveness of different market indices in reflecting the overall market situation, specifically comparing the All A Equal Weight Index and the Average Price Index. Group 1: Index Comparison - The All A Equal Weight Index treats all stocks equally, with a calculation formula that averages the price changes of all constituent stocks, disregarding market capitalization and stock price [1]. - The Average Price Index, on the other hand, is influenced by the market capitalization and stock price, giving more weight to high-priced and large-cap stocks, which reflects the actual market dynamics better [4]. - The All A Equal Weight Index can create a misleading representation of the market, as it can be easily influenced by small-cap stocks, leading to a distorted view of market performance [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The Average Price Index is argued to be more representative of market sentiment, as it reflects the capital flow and the actual market conditions, thus providing a more realistic view of the market [4]. - High-priced and large-cap stocks, such as Moutai and Ningde Times, significantly impact the Average Price Index, indicating the importance of respecting these stocks in market analysis [4]. - The article emphasizes that abstract mathematical representations in the stock market lack significance without considering capital dynamics, which are crucial for understanding market behavior [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The author notes a cautious outlook on the market, indicating a trend towards weakness and increased volatility in individual stock performances [5].
上证的归上证,其它的归其它
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-16 08:18
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term investment in blue-chip and high-dividend stocks, suggesting that the guidance provided by the Shanghai Composite Index is significant for investors [1] Group 1 - Retail investors have recently been overly optimistic about the Shanghai Composite Index, leading to potential misconceptions [1] - The turning point of the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Index is evident, indicating a need for caution in market movements [1] - The article suggests that the best defense strategy is to observe more and act less, highlighting a shift from volume-price divergence to a consistent decline in volume and price [1]