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第一创业晨会纪要-20250919
First Capital Securities· 2025-09-19 02:55
Group 1: Defense Industry - The report highlights the signing of a defense agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, with potential participation from UAE and Qatar, indicating a shift towards seeking security guarantees from Chinese weapon systems, which is expected to significantly enhance Pakistan's weapon procurement capabilities [2] - The report anticipates a rebound in the military industry due to increased funding from the wealthiest Middle Eastern nations supporting Pakistan's military procurement [2] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry - Huawei's recent announcements at the 2025 Huawei Connect Conference detail a roadmap for the Ascend chip series, with the Ascend 950PR expected in Q1 2026 and the Ascend 960 in Q4 2027, indicating a trend of increasing chip usage in computing clusters [3] - The report suggests that the growth in chip usage will lead to a significant increase in demand for high-speed optical interconnects and high-end PCB, thus improving the outlook for the optical connection, PCB, and high-end chip manufacturing supply chains [3] Group 3: Energy Storage Industry - The report discusses insights from the 2025 World Energy Storage Conference, where the focus is on long-duration energy storage as a key development direction as the power system transitions to a stage where renewable energy sources exceed 50% of total generation [6] - Technologies such as vanadium flow batteries, compressed air storage, and hydrogen storage are expected to gain traction due to their longer discharge times and lower capacity costs, indicating a sustained high demand in the energy storage sector [6] Group 4: Home Appliance Industry - The report notes that Boss Electric's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 4.608 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 2.58%, with net profit dropping by 6.28%, reflecting challenges in the kitchen appliance sector linked to the real estate market [8] - The report highlights a significant drop in new residential sales and a contraction in the market for high-end renovation projects, which is expected to continue impacting the kitchen appliance industry negatively [8]
大指数喜怒无常,俊哥儿再挺长阳
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-28 20:25
牛市炒股最大的错误就是偏离主线,用择时代替选股,用微观代替大局,每天用公式海选,眼珠子看到爆浆,效果却若有若无,忙了很久,感觉股票还没 选着呢,怎么牛市又结束了? 心态的问题,绝大部分是缺乏模式信仰造成的。为什么模式信仰很重要,不仅因为模式可以迅速收敛选股范围,而且使人目光如炬,信心坚定。为什么真 正信仰宗教的人,心态都会比较好,这就是宗教信仰最大的意义。在股市里,没有模式信仰,就一定会心猿意马,贪得无厌,疑神疑鬼,进退失据。 获得模式信仰是一个漫长的过程,是一个知行合一的过程, 是一个充满折磨和反思的过程,是一个宽衣解带终不悔的过程。 一句话,读遍诗书皆无味,唯有俊哥最如意。 趋势投机欲有所成,面首、男模、俊哥是唯一道场。与俊哥鱼水交融、休戚与共,才能体会其中滋味, 了解俊哥如何挺起长阳的过程,就是悟道的过 程,就是一个炒股人逐渐成熟的过程: 长芯博创(日线.等比前复权.对数) ◎ M6(10,20,50,150,200,13) VWA50: 91.3 VWA150: 69.3 VWA200: 63.8 HOLD: 139.8 : 63.8 RSLNE: 192 88 -8 160.04 84.40 - 8 ...