Recruitment Program - Goldman Sachs is accepting online applications for the Summer Analyst, Summer Associate, and New Analyst positions for the 2026 program [1][2] - Positions are available in various locations including Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Singapore, Seoul, and Tokyo [2] Application Details - The program targets undergraduate and master's students graduating between August 2026 and July 2027, with a start date from June to August 2026 [3] - Application deadlines are set for October 5, 2025, for undergraduate/master's students and November 16, 2025, for master's students including MBA, PhD, JD, MD, and LLM [3] Departments Hiring - Various departments are hiring including Asset & Wealth Management, Corporate Treasury, Engineering, Global Investment Research, Global Banking & Markets (FICC & Equities), Investment Banking, Operations, Risk, Compliance, Controllers, and Internal Audit [3] Application Process - Applications are accepted on a first-come, first-served basis, encouraging early application and interview participation [4] - After submission, applicants will receive a status notification approximately one month later [4] Additional Information - Interested candidates can visit the Goldman Sachs recruitment website for more information and to search for job vacancies [5] - Online events are available to learn more about Goldman Sachs, and updates can be followed through their official WeChat account [6] Application Steps - The application process includes browsing the recruitment website, selecting the appropriate 2026 Asia-Pacific program, choosing the relevant project, and filling out personal background information [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant impact of geopolitical risks, particularly the U.S.-China trade tensions, on investment strategies and market analysis, reshaping the traditional focus on business cycles and macro policies [5]. Group 1: Career Background - The chief China equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, Kinger Lau, has been with the firm since 2004, focusing on onshore and offshore Chinese stocks, as well as markets in Hong Kong and Taiwan [2]. - Lau's educational background includes a master's degree in finance from the London School of Economics and a bachelor's degree in commerce from the University of British Columbia, along with certifications as a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a U.S. Certified Public Accountant [2]. Group 2: Market Events - Significant market events that have shaped Lau's perspective include the 2008 financial crisis, the 2015 A-share trading halt, and the COVID-19 pandemic, with the 2018 U.S.-China trade tensions being particularly transformative [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Human Behavior - The article discusses the dual nature of investing as both a science and an art, highlighting the influence of human psychology on short-term market fluctuations. The development of quantitative models to gauge investor sentiment is noted, though the accuracy of these models is contingent on the quality of input data [6]. Group 4: Work-Life Balance - The importance of work-life balance is underscored, with emphasis on the need for recovery time to seize investment opportunities. Family time and sports activities are highlighted as key relaxation methods for Lau [7].

Group 1 - The GS Scholars program by Goldman Sachs focuses on knowledge sharing and business case analysis, providing participants with insights into the competencies required for campus recruitment [1] - Participants will have the opportunity to receive guidance and feedback from Goldman Sachs business leaders and apply course knowledge in practical case competitions [1] - The program is open for students interested in finance who are expected to graduate in 2026-2027, with top performers and winning teams eligible for prizes and direct access to summer internship interviews at Goldman Sachs China [1] Group 2 - The program aims to provide a deeper understanding of the essential soft and hard skills required in investment banking [2] - Participants will gain insights into Goldman Sachs' business scope and corporate culture [2] - The program facilitates direct communication with Goldman Sachs employees, offering talent matching and mentorship opportunities [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changing dynamics of housing demand in urban China, highlighting a significant decline in new housing demand due to population decrease, urbanization slowdown, and shifts in family structure, with projections indicating a future annual demand of slightly below 5 million units [2][5][6]. Group 1: Population and Housing Demand - New housing demand in urban areas peaked around 2015, with projections indicating it may stabilize at just below 5 million units annually in the foreseeable future [2][6]. - Population growth has historically been a key driver of new housing demand, but projections show a negative contribution to housing demand from 2020 to 2029, averaging -500,000 units annually, and further declining to -1.4 million units annually from 2030 to 2039 [3][5]. Group 2: Urbanization Trends - Despite a declining population, urbanization rates continue to rise, contributing significantly to housing demand. However, the pace of urbanization is expected to slow as the government aims for a 70% urbanization rate by 2030, with only a 0.5 percentage point increase per year from 2024 to 2030 [4][5]. - The contribution of urbanization to new housing demand is projected to decrease from an average of 6.4 million units annually in 2010-2019 to 3.8 million units from 2020-2029, and further to 2.8 million units from 2030-2039 [4][5]. Group 3: Family Structure Changes - The trend of shrinking family sizes in urban areas is expected to continue, supporting new housing demand. The proportion of "one-generation households" has increased from 27% in 2000 to 50% in 2020, with projections indicating an increase in demand contribution from this factor [5][6]. - The average contribution of shrinking family sizes to new urban housing demand is expected to rise from 1.4 million units annually in 2010-2019 to 1.8 million units in 2020-2029, and further to 2.1 million units in 2030-2039 [5][6]. Group 4: Housing Investment Demand - Housing investment demand, which accounted for 24% of total urban housing demand from 2010-2019, peaked at 5.7 million units in 2021 but is expected to decline sharply due to falling property prices and negative future price expectations [7]. - Projections indicate that housing investment demand will average -180,000 units annually from 2025-2030 and -120,000 units from 2030-2039, with the release of vacant second-hand properties likely to further suppress new housing demand [7].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius indicated that the recent US-China Geneva negotiations exceeded expectations, but uncertainties regarding US tariff policies remain significant, negatively impacting US economic growth [1] - Hatzius emphasized that trade between nations is not a zero-sum game, which is crucial for economic decision-makers to understand [1] - The firm noted that after the US-China trade negotiations, risks are gradually being released, and there is potential for valuation recovery in the e-commerce sector [2] Group 2: Industry-Specific Analysis - Goldman Sachs Asian Internet Research Head Ronald Keung pointed out that the potential adjustment of small package tax exemption policies by multiple countries could impact the e-commerce industry [2] - Goldman Sachs Asian Pharmaceutical Research Head Ziyi Chen analyzed that the US tariff measures on pharmaceuticals are filled with uncertainties, but the impact on China's pharmaceutical industry is limited, although supply chain costs may increase [2] - Goldman Sachs Industrial Technology Analyst Jacqueline Du discussed the development stage and competitive advantages of humanoid robots in China, noting that the industry is currently in the commercialization phase [3] Group 3: Automotive Sector Insights - Goldman Sachs Automotive Analyst Tina Hou observed that the competition in China's new energy vehicle market has entered a deep-water phase, with price wars still ongoing despite a slight narrowing in price reductions compared to last year [3] - The peak of capacity expansion in the new energy vehicle market has passed, but the "elimination race" among over 50 competing car manufacturers is still ongoing [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Goldman Sachs Chief China Equity Strategist Kinger Lau highlighted that despite ongoing external pressures, the resilience of Chinese assets is becoming increasingly evident, driven by domestic demand and policy support [3] - The firm noted that the structural opportunities for consumption upgrades and industrial transformation are being propelled by dual forces of domestic demand and policy incentives [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent US-China trade negotiations have led to a significant reduction in tariffs, which is expected to positively impact China's economic growth and reduce the need for aggressive policy easing [2][3][5]. Group 1: Trade Negotiations and Tariff Adjustments - The US has agreed to cancel some retaliatory tariffs on China, reducing the effective tariff rate from over 100% to approximately 39% [2][3]. - China's effective tariff rate on the US will also decrease from 144% to around 30% as part of the agreement [2][3]. - The unexpected extent of tariff reductions suggests a lower drag on China's economic growth than previously anticipated, leading to adjustments in export growth forecasts [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Growth Predictions - China's export growth forecast for 2025 has been revised from -5% to 0%, with net exports now expected to contribute +0.1 percentage points to GDP growth [3][5]. - The GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been increased from 4.0% and 3.5% to 4.6% and 3.8%, respectively, due to the positive impact of tariff reductions [5]. Group 3: Policy Responses and Economic Stability - The Chinese government is focusing on stabilizing employment, businesses, and market confidence while maintaining a conservative approach to fiscal policy [6][8]. - Despite the need for short-term fiscal expansion, there are concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability, leading to a more cautious use of fiscal resources [7][8]. - The government is prioritizing high-tech manufacturing and structural transformation towards quality growth rather than quantity [9][10]. Group 4: Manufacturing Sector and Export Competitiveness - China's manufacturing sector remains a key focus, with significant investments in high-tech industries and a strong global export presence [9][10]. - The country has maintained a competitive edge in various mid-to-high-end product categories, with a notable increase in export shares to emerging markets [9][10]. - The low cost of production factors, including labor and industrial land, continues to support China's export competitiveness [10][11]. Group 5: Long-term Economic Rebalancing - The trade tensions may accelerate China's shift towards an economy driven by domestic demand and consumption rather than external demand [12]. - There is a clear long-term direction towards economic rebalancing, emphasizing household consumption and local market development [12].

各位股东： 在上一封信中，我提到2023年是高盛的执行之年，我们在战略上取得了重要进展，使公司在未来发展中处于更有利的地位。我很高兴地报告， 2024年我们 看到了对业务和员工持续投资的回报 ，这有助于我们为客户提供卓越的服务，并为股东实现可观的业绩。 2024年，我们的净收入同比增长16%，达到535亿美元；每股收益增长77%，达到40.54美元；股本回报率（ROE）提高了500多个基点，达到12.7%；效率 比提高了11.5个百分点，达到63.1%；总股东回报率（注1）达到52%。 高盛上个月发表了2024年的年度报告， 董事长兼首席执行官苏德巍 (David Solomon) 在致股东函中回顾了公司在 过去一年取得的进展、介绍了新成立的业务线 条以及2025年的战略重点 。 从左⾄右：首席财务官 Denis Coleman 、董事长兼首席执行官 苏德巍 (David Solomon) 、总裁兼首席运营官 温泽恩 (John Waldron) 苏德巍提到，自2020年投资者日以来，高盛过去五年一路走来并非一帆风顺，但他为公司及全体员工取得的进展感到自豪。 高盛已经提前完成了多个业务目标，且凭 借着对业务实 ...

蜜雪冰城股份有限公司4.44亿美元（绿鞋后5.10亿美元）港交所首次公开发行 蜜雪冰城是中国及全球最大的现制饮品企业，公司的门店网络在中国及海外11个国家共拥有 46,479家门店。2024年，公司的门店网络共实现饮品出杯量约90亿杯，终端零售额约583亿人民币 古茗控股有限公司2.33亿美元（绿鞋后2.61亿美元）港交所首次公开发行 布鲁可集团有限公司2.15亿美元（绿鞋后2.48亿美元）港交所首次公开发行 今年一季度，企业充分把握有利的股权发行环境，中国IPO市场活动显著升温。 高盛很荣幸主导了今年三宗最大的香港IPO，包括现制饮品企业蜜雪冰城和古茗，以及拼搭角色类玩具 企业布鲁可。 古茗是中国最大的大众现制茶饮店品牌，拥有约18%的市场份额，也是全价格带下中国第二大现 制茶饮店品牌 国际配售部分在价格区间顶端获得了约15倍的超额认购，有着主权财富基金、国际及中资长线基 金的积极参与，公司得以全额行使15%发售量调整权 布鲁可是中国最大的拼搭角色类玩具企业，于2023年按GMV计的市场份额为30.3%。公司亦是一 家快速增长的玩具企业，2023年GMV增长超过170% 香港公开发行认购倍数达约6,000倍 ...

在论坛期间， 施南德 还接受了 中央电视台财经频道专访 。谈及当前国际经贸环境，施南德表示 挑战的确与机遇并存 ，特别是在面临挑战时，创新往往迸发活 力，创造新的模式。虽然经济增长的模式和速度各不相同，但 亚洲整体处于全球经济增长的中心 。 色 。 博鳌亚洲论坛2025年年会 上周五在海南博鳌落幕。论坛期间， 高盛亚太区（除日本外）总裁施南德(Kevin Sneader) 参与了由国际货币基金组织原副总裁朱 民所主持的 "不稳定世界中寻找货币与金融稳定" 分论坛，探讨亚洲经济体如何应对发达经济体货币政策的外溢效应、如何有效应对公共债务和私人部门债务 压力以维护金融稳定。 施南德 在分论坛上分享了他 对全球货币及财政政策的看法，分析亚洲及中国在全球经济增长及众多上下行风险因素中扮演的关键角 " 亚洲仍是全球增长的中心 ——看清这一点非常重要。 我们能清晰地看到对中国经济增长前景的乐观情绪显著增强 ，东南亚区域在全球制造业经济中也愈发 成熟。尽管世界经济逆风而行，亚洲依旧是世界经济增长的中心。" 施南德 在接受央视采访时表示。 施南德 在采访中也提及，自去年9月中国政府推出增量经济刺激政策以来，伴随持续的货币和财 ...

卫星技术的演进 即便如此， 高盛研究部认为LEO卫星非常有潜力成为主流技术，对传统电信公司带来负面和正面影响 。在早期阶段，LEO卫星将可以 增补偏远 地区的宽带 ，与农村地区的传统宽带形成竞争。从长远来看， 卫星技术可能会纳入移动网络中 ，通过卫星和电信运营商之间的合作实现通信系 统无缝连接。 卫星发射的成本 由于所处轨道高度较低，LEO卫星的覆盖范围亦较窄。此外，为了支持相当数量的人口能够同时使用LEO卫星通信， 需要更多的卫星来确保每个 用户都有足够的速度和带宽 。如果一颗卫星提供每秒960吉比特的带宽，并以大约每秒100兆比特的速度传输数据，则需要大约46万颗卫星才能覆 盖世界一半的人口。 发射的成本也可能很高 ：每公斤卫星有效载荷或将高达12,000美元。与地面传输系统相比，卫星可能有更长的延迟或通信速度的滞后。LEO 卫星的寿命较短，会产生大量的太空碎片，需要 积极的碎片管理 。 高盛大中华区科技研究主管 张博凯(Allen Chang) 近期发布研报， 预测未来五年内全球各地将发射多达70,000颗低轨道 (Low Earth Orbit, LEO) 卫星 。这些卫星通常位于距地球100-1,2 ...