31 Oct 2024 Earnings Summary CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update GAC Group (2238 HK) 3Q miss; new models, cost cut as key in FY25 GAC posted the largest quarterly net loss (RMB1.4bn) in 3Q24 since at least 2013, partly due to the FX loss and lower government grants. Management is determined to revive its homegrown brands with a plethora of new models in 2025. The market demand for GAC Toyota and GAC Honda has also recovered a bit recently aided by the peak season and stimulus ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for RemeGen, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [12]. Core Insights - RemeGen achieved record product sales in Q3 2024, with revenue of RMB467 million, reflecting a 14% quarter-over-quarter and 35% year-over-year increase, driven by strong sales of RC18 and RC48 [1]. - The company narrowed its net loss to RMB291 million in Q3 2024 from RMB432 million in Q2 2024, indicating improved financial performance [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 82.1% in Q3 2024, up from 78.3% in the first half of 2024, while the SG&A expense ratio decreased to 68.5% [1]. - RemeGen's total revenue for the first nine months of 2024 reached RMB1,209 million, representing a 57% year-over-year growth and aligning with expectations [1]. - The report anticipates continued strong sales momentum into Q4 2024 and beyond, supporting the company's FY24 sales target of over 50% year-over-year growth [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24 are estimated at RMB1,740 million, with a year-over-year growth of 61.7% [2]. - The net profit for FY24 is projected to be a loss of RMB1,268 million, improving to a loss of RMB967 million in FY25 and further narrowing to RMB275 million in FY26 [2]. - R&D expenses are expected to be RMB1,450 million for FY24, remaining stable in FY25, and slightly increasing to RMB1,502 million in FY26 [2]. - The gross profit margin is projected to be 80.31% for FY24, improving to 81.15% in FY25 and 80.81% in FY26 [7]. Valuation - The report revises the DCF-based target price from HK$19.59 to HK$21.09, reflecting a 28% upside from the current price of HK$16.48 [3][4]. - The DCF per share is calculated at HK$21.09, based on a WACC of 12.93% and a terminal growth rate of 2.0% [4][5]. - The market capitalization of RemeGen is approximately HK$8,970.6 million, with an average three-month turnover of HK$42.5 million [3].

30 Oct 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Naura Technology (002371 CH) Solid Q3 earnings signal intact growth trajectory Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales (up 47.0% in 9M24). NP was RMB1.7bn, up 55.0% YoY and 1.7% QoQ. GPM was 42.3%, up 5.9ppts from 3Q23 but declined 5.1ppts sequentially, mainly due to 1) higher photovoltaic (PV) equipment sales that had a lowe ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating on Shennan Circuit with a target price adjusted to RMB115, reflecting a 27x 2025E P/E, close to its 3-year average historical forward P/E [2][4]. Core Insights - Shennan Circuit reported a 37.9% year-over-year revenue growth in 3Q24, reaching RMB4.73 billion, which exceeded Bloomberg consensus by 19.7%. However, net profit increased by only 15.3% YoY but declined 17.6% QoQ [2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) decreased to 25.4% in 3Q24 from 27.1% in 2Q24, attributed to higher sales from lower-margin PCBA business, ramp-up of the Guangzhou factory, and high copper prices [2]. - The company expects PCB revenue to grow by 11% in 2025E, while substrate revenue is projected to grow by 7% in the same year [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24E is estimated at RMB17,574 million, with a year-over-year growth of 29.9%. For FY25E, revenue is projected to be RMB18,765 million, reflecting a 6.8% growth [3][9]. - The net profit for FY24E is expected to be RMB1,878 million, with a YoY growth of 34.3%, and for FY25E, it is projected to reach RMB2,178 million, indicating a 16.0% growth [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY24E is estimated at RMB3.68, increasing to RMB4.27 in FY25E [3][9]. Market Segmentation - By end market, telecom remains the largest segment, contributing approximately 40% of PCB sales in 3Q24. Other segments include datacom (20%), auto (13%), industrial & medical (10%), and energy (5%) [2]. - The report highlights a strong utilization rate of around 90% for AI-related PCB production, while non-AI production utilization remains between 85-90% [2].

30 Oct 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) Earnings recovery underway WuXi AppTec reported 3Q24 revenue of RMB10.46bn, slightly down 2.0% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB2.97bn, down 3.2% YoY. Total non-COVID revenue and non-COVID Chemistry revenue growth rebounded to 14.6% YoY and 26.4% YoY, respectively, in 3Q24. Despite the challenging geopolitical environment, mgmt. reiterated its revenue guidance of RMB38.3- 40.5bn fo ...

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of RMB75, representing an upside of 54.6% from the current price of RMB48.50 [3]. Core Insights - Zhejiang Dingli's EBIT in 3Q24 grew 20% YoY to RMB672 million, driven by a 38% revenue growth YoY, despite a 4.8 percentage point decrease in gross margin due to a high base in 3Q23 [1]. - The company reported a net profit growth of 38% YoY to RMB636 million, supported by an increase in net finance income [1]. - Management emphasized a focus on the US market, which is expected to remain the most promising in 2025E [1]. - The US sales target for 2024E is maintained at US$500 million (~RMB3.5 billion), indicating potential sales of ~RMB600 million in 4Q24E [1]. - Dingli aims to deliver a total of 6,000 units of boom lifts overseas, with 2,000 units targeted for the US [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB6,312 million in FY23A to RMB7,569 million in FY24E, reflecting a YoY growth of 19.9% [2]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB1,867.2 million in FY23A to RMB2,104.9 million in FY24E, a growth of 12.7% [2]. - The P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 13.2x in FY23A to 11.7x in FY24E, indicating a more attractive valuation [2]. Product and Market Strategy - Dingli plans to differentiate its products to mitigate the impact of anti-dumping duties in the EU, aiming for stable sales in Europe [1]. - The company expects overseas revenue from boom lifts to exceed that from scissors lifts for the full year [1]. - The anticipated reduction in anti-dumping duties in the US is expected to alleviate some market pressures [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Haier Smart Home and raises the target price to HK$ 36.41, reflecting a 22.2% upside from the current price of HK$ 29.80 [1][4]. Core Insights - Haier's 3Q24 results were in line with expectations, with a 1% YoY sales increase to RMB 67.3 billion and a 13% YoY net profit growth to RMB 4.7 billion. The company is expected to see a decent pickup in 4Q24 due to favorable macroeconomic conditions and internal efficiency improvements [1][6]. - The management has set a net profit growth target of 15% per annum, supported by various cost-saving initiatives and operational efficiency gains [1][6]. - The report highlights significant sales growth drivers, including improved sales trends in China, strong demand for the Casarte brand, and positive developments in the US and European markets [1][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 271.8 billion in FY24E to RMB 304.8 billion in FY26E, with a CAGR of 5.4% [2][11]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 19.8 billion in FY24E to RMB 24.5 billion in FY26E, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2][11]. - The report revises FY24E/25E/26E net profit forecasts upward by 1%/3%/2% to account for efficiency gains and cost savings [1][7]. Operational Efficiency - Haier is implementing a series of reforms aimed at enhancing operational efficiency, including digitalization efforts and structural changes in procurement and R&D processes [1][6]. - The acquisition of Goodday, a logistics provider, is expected to yield significant synergies, including a 20-30% reduction in inventory levels and a 10% decrease in total logistics costs [1][6]. Market Position - Haier's stock is currently trading at 13x/11x FY24E/FY25E P/E, which is below its 5-year average of 15x, indicating potential undervaluation [1][4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business model and enhancing brand equity through value-added products and services [1][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Jiangsu Hengli with a target price of RMB64, indicating a potential upside of 14.7% from the current price of RMB55.82 [2][4]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Hengli's EBIT in 3Q24 decreased by 6% YoY to RMB445 million, attributed to a gross margin contraction of 1.9 percentage points YoY, despite an 11% YoY revenue increase to RMB2.1 billion [2]. - The net profit for 3Q24 grew by 6% YoY to RMB504 million, supported by higher net finance income and other gains [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from increasing revenue contributions from non-excavator components and new growth drivers such as electric cylinders and ball screws in 2025 [2]. - The report highlights potential risks related to the upcoming U.S. elections and possible tariff increases under a potential Trump presidency, which could impact exports from Mexico to the U.S. [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24E is projected at RMB10,033 million, reflecting an 11.7% YoY growth, with further growth expected in FY25E and FY26E [3][13]. - Adjusted net profit for FY24E is estimated at RMB2,756.5 million, with an EPS of RMB2.06, representing a 10.3% YoY increase [3][13]. - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly to 41.9% in FY24E, with a long-term target of 43.0% by FY26E [10][16]. Production and Operational Insights - The production plan for October includes 42,000 units of hydraulic cylinders for excavators, a decrease of approximately 5% YoY, while production of non-standardized cylinders is expected to drop by about 10% YoY [2]. - Positive production trends are noted for small-size pumps and valves, with planned increases of approximately 40% and 90% YoY, respectively [2]. Market Position and Valuation - The company maintains a strong market capitalization of RMB74,844.6 million, with a P/E ratio projected to decrease from 31.1x in FY22A to 21.4x in FY26E [4][10]. - The report indicates a stable financial position with a net gearing ratio improving from (51.9%) in FY22A to (52.4%) in FY26E, suggesting a strong balance sheet [3][10].

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with an adjusted target price of RMB28.75, reflecting a 25.5x 2025E P/E, close to its 3-year historical forward P/E [1][3] Core Views - Shengyi Tech's 3Q24 revenue was RMB5.1bn, up 14.5% YoY but down 1.7% QoQ, in-line with Bloomberg consensus [1] - Gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 22.9%, up 1.1ppts from 2Q24, driven by favorable product mix and lower material costs [1] - Net profit (NP) was RMB440mn, up 27.8% YoY but down 18.6% QoQ, missing Bloomberg consensus by 26% due to SBC cost of RMB150mn (~2.9% of revenue) [1] - Revenue growth is expected at 20%/16% YoY in 2024/25E, with improved margins at 22.1%/23.6% [1] PCB Segment - PCB revenue in 3Q24 was RMB1.2bn, up 49.3% YoY and 10.8% QoQ, driven by strong AI demand, particularly in server revenue (42.5% of PCB sales) [1] - Overseas market outperformed with a 32.1% YoY sales increase [1] - GPM recovered to 24.9% from 20.4%/14.2% in 3Q23/2Q24, and NPM rose to 7.5% vs. -3.4%/6.4% in 3Q23/2Q24 [1] - PCB sales projections raised by 5%/1% for 2024/25E, with expected growth of 35%/20% in 2024/25E [1] CCL Segment - CCL revenue increased YoY but declined QoQ (est. 5-6% lower) due to weaker-than-expected demand in non-AI markets, suppressing ASP recovery [1] - Margin slid sequentially as copper prices remained high (avg. price in 3Q24: ~US$9.9k/t), though Shengyi offset some material cost impacts through pre-procurement activities [1] - Inventory increased by 8% QoQ (RMB365mn) [1] - CCL sales forecasts cut by 8%/6% for 2024/25E, with expected growth of 14%/15% in 2024/25E [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow at 19.6%/15.6% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB19.8bn/RMB22.9bn [2][9] - Gross margin is expected to improve to 22.1%/23.6% in 2024/25E [2][9] - Net profit is forecasted to grow at 55.4%/51.4% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB1.8bn/RMB2.7bn [2][9] - EPS is projected to grow at 48.9%/51.4% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB0.74/RMB1.13 [2][9] Valuation - Current P/E stands at 26.5x for 2024E, expected to decrease to 17.5x in 2025E [2][12] - Target price of RMB28.75 implies a 45.8% upside from the current price of RMB19.72 [3] Growth and Profitability - Revenue growth is expected to rebound to 19.6% in 2024E after declines in FY22 and FY23 [12] - Gross profit margin is projected to recover to 22.1% in 2024E, up from 19.2% in FY23 [12] - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve to 12.6% in 2024E, rising further to 17.9% in 2025E [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Topsports has been downgraded to "Hold" with a target price of HK$2.82, based on a 12x P/E for FY2/25E [2][4]. Core Views - The performance in 1H25 aligns with profit warnings, but the underlying conditions are weaker than previously anticipated. The outlook for 2H25E is further deteriorating, and it may take Nike 1-2 years to turn around the situation [1][2]. - Topsports reported a sales decline of 8% year-on-year to RMB 13.1 billion and a net profit drop of 35% to RMB 874 million, consistent with prior profit warnings. The decline is attributed to reduced offline traffic, increased retail discounts, and a higher proportion of low-margin e-commerce sales [1][2]. - Despite a high dividend yield of 8% for FY2/25E, the negative outlook for the second half of the year and Nike's recovery timeline led to the downgrade [2][4]. Revenue Summary - Revenue for FY25E is projected at RMB 26.69 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8%. The revenue estimates for FY26E and FY27E are RMB 27.67 billion and RMB 29.84 billion, respectively, indicating a recovery of 4% in FY26E [7][11]. - The gross profit margin is expected to decline to 39.1% in FY25E, with a slight recovery to 39.8% in FY26E and 39.9% in FY27E [7][11]. Profitability Metrics - Net profit for FY25E is estimated at RMB 1.31 billion, down 41% year-on-year, with projections of RMB 1.53 billion and RMB 1.84 billion for FY26E and FY27E, respectively [7][11]. - The diluted earnings per share for FY25E is projected at RMB 0.212, with further declines expected in FY26E and FY27E [7][11]. Market Position and Challenges - The company faces significant challenges due to its reliance on Nike, which is expected to take 1-2 years to recover. The industry is also experiencing inventory risks, with major brands planning increased promotions [1][2]. - The management has provided guidance indicating a full-year sales decline and a net profit drop of 35%-45% for FY25E, reflecting a challenging market environment [1][2].