格隆汇11月19日丨中国宝安(000009.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，下属子公司贝特瑞生产的负极材料有 供应给储能系统和储能电池生产厂家。 ...

一、锂电负极上市公司 前三季度 盈利能力分析 从锂电负极材料上市公司的营收情况来看， 2025年1-9月行业整体发展趋势良好；除山河智能营收同比下降外，其他上市公司同比均有较大的增幅，行业龙头贝特瑞、杉 杉股份营收同比分别增长20.6%，11.48%。上市公司中营收同比增速最快为尚太科技同比增长52.09%。 | 名称 | 2024营收(亿元) | 2025 营收(亿元) | 2024营收同比 | 2025营收同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (1-9月) | (1-9月) | (1-9月) | (1-9月) | | 贝特瑞 | 102. 70 | 123. 80 | -49. 44% | 20. 60% | | 杉杉股份 | 132.80 | 148.10 | -9. 69% | 11. 48% | | 埃泰来 (紫宸科技) | 98. 40 | 108. 30 | -15.81% | 10. 06% | | 中科电气 (中科星城) | 38. 84 | 59.04 | 10. 27% | 52. 03% | | 尚太科技 | 36. 02 | 55.06 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery energy storage sector is experiencing a significant surge driven by policy support, market demand, and rising prices, indicating the onset of a new super cycle in the industry [1][5][24]. Policy Support - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to promote renewable energy consumption, aiming for an average of 200GW by 2030, which enhances the profitability of energy storage projects [3]. - Energy storage projects can now earn stable income by providing peak shaving services to the grid, increasing internal rates of return (IRR) from 5%-6% to 8%-10%, with some regions even reaching 12% [3][4]. - The cancellation of mandatory energy storage requirements has led to a 212% year-on-year increase in domestic energy storage bidding volumes [4]. Demand Explosion - The domestic market has seen a doubling of registered energy storage projects to 1125GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a shift from being an accessory to renewable energy to a primary focus [6]. - Overseas orders for Chinese energy storage companies surged by 246% year-on-year, with significant demand from the U.S. and Europe due to AI data centers and carbon neutrality goals [6][7]. Price Increases in Materials - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate (6F) has increased by 50% from its bottom price of 45,000 yuan/ton, driven by rising demand and limited production capacity [16]. - Prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate and other additives have also seen significant increases, with VC prices rising by 50% since September [12][17]. - The supply-demand dynamics in the materials sector are expected to continue driving price increases, with structural shortages in key components like cathodes and separators [19][23]. Key Companies and Investment Opportunities - Companies involved in energy storage systems and power conversion systems (PCS) are positioned to benefit from the surge in global orders, with notable players including Sungrow Power and Huaneng Renewables [21]. - Leading battery cell manufacturers like CATL and EVE Energy are expected to see stable demand growth, with their production capacities fully utilized [22]. - Material producers such as Tianji and Huasheng Lithium are highlighted for their strong profit potential due to rising prices and demand [23]. Summary - The lithium battery energy storage sector is at the beginning of a super cycle, driven by favorable policies, robust demand, and rising material prices, with significant opportunities across the entire supply chain [24][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [4] Core Insights - The global resonance in energy storage demand is expected to lead to explosive growth in storage needs by 2025, driven by domestic pricing reforms and international policies [2][15] - The supply chain for energy storage is heavily concentrated in China, which is projected to benefit significantly from the accelerating global storage cycle [2][28] - The current lithium battery materials cycle is characterized by structural shortages, leading to a new round of price increases [3][52] Summary by Sections 1. Energy Storage: Global Resonance and Demand Surge - Energy storage is a crucial tool for energy regulation, enhancing the predictability and controllability of renewable energy sources [8] - Strong policy support is anticipated to drive an 80% year-over-year increase in global energy storage demand by 2025 [15] - China is expected to dominate the global energy storage market, with over 93% market share in battery cells and 76% in storage systems by 2025 [28][31] 2. AIDC Energy Storage: NVIDIA's Leadership and Future Demand - NVIDIA's white paper emphasizes the necessity of integrating energy storage into power architectures, projecting a significant increase in demand for energy storage in data centers by 2030 [2][32] - The global demand for AIDC energy storage is expected to rise from 16.5 GWh in 2024 to 209.4 GWh by 2030, indicating explosive growth [47][50] 3. Energy Storage Materials: Structural Shortages and Price Increases - The current lithium battery cycle is driven by upstream demand, particularly for energy storage, leading to saturation in orders and accelerated production at battery manufacturers [3][52] - Lithium hexafluorophosphate is experiencing a new price surge, with prices rising significantly from previous lows, indicating strong price elasticity [52][53] - Phosphate iron lithium is facing structural shortages due to high demand, with production increasing by 70.2% year-over-year [3][52]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3969.92 points, above the five-day moving average, with a gain of 0.25% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 1,529.84 billion yuan, with 765 A-shares breaking through the five-day moving average [1] Stock Performance - The stocks with the highest deviation rates from the five-day moving average include: - Yunlu Co., Ltd. (688190) with a deviation rate of 8.96% and a daily increase of 11.05% [2] - Xilinmen (603008) with a deviation rate of 8.09% and a daily increase of 9.98% [2] - Wanders (688178) with a deviation rate of 7.94% and a daily increase of 12.47% [2] - Other notable stocks with significant daily increases include: - Aerospace Intelligence (300446) with a daily increase of 14.59% and a deviation rate of 7.93% [2] - Nandu Power (300068) with a daily increase of 11.13% and a deviation rate of 7.46% [2] Additional Stock Data - The table lists various stocks with their respective daily performance metrics, including trading volume and deviation rates from the five-day moving average [2][3] - Stocks such as Haibo Si (688411) and Huaci Co., Ltd. (001216) also show positive performance with deviation rates of 4.69% and 4.67% respectively [3]

Core Insights - The lithium battery materials industry has shown significant improvement in the third quarter of 2025, with many companies turning losses into profits and a clear trend of recovery in the sector [1][3] Group 1: Performance of Positive Electrode Material Companies - Tianqi Lithium's revenue for the first three quarters was 7.397 billion yuan, down 26.5%, but it achieved a net profit of 180 million yuan, marking a turnaround [2] - Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion yuan, a growth of 5.02%, with a net profit of 2.552 billion yuan, also a turnaround [2] - Huaneng Technology and other companies have seen significant profit increases, with Huaneng's revenue reaching 23.226 billion yuan, up 46.27%, and a net profit of 645 million yuan, up 31.51% [2][3] Group 2: Trends in Positive Electrode Materials - High-pressure compact lithium iron phosphate has become a focal point for companies, driven by strong demand in the energy storage sector and advancements in technology [3][4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has rebounded, maintaining a range of 80,300 to 81,700 yuan per ton, contributing to the positive performance of many positive electrode material companies [4] - Major companies like Longpan Technology have secured large orders from leading firms, enhancing their market position [4] Group 3: Performance of Negative Electrode Material Companies - The negative electrode materials sector has also seen a recovery, with a total shipment of 201.1 million tons in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.1% [7] - Shanshan Co. achieved a net profit of 33.14 million yuan in Q1, marking a successful turnaround, and its stock price has rebounded significantly [7][8] - Companies like BTR and Putailai are expanding their overseas business and solid-state battery technology, contributing to their recovery and growth [8]

Core Insights - BetterRay (Beiterui New Materials Group Co., Ltd.) has regained its position as the top company by market capitalization on the Beijing Stock Exchange after releasing its latest performance report [1] Financial Performance - As of the end of September, BetterRay reported total revenue of approximately 12.384 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.60% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 768 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.37% [1] - However, the company's net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses decreased by 5.09% to 644 million yuan, indicating that the profit growth was primarily driven by non-recurring income [1] Company Background - BetterRay was established in August 2000 and is a subsidiary of China Baoan Group Co., Ltd., focusing on lithium-ion battery anode materials, cathode materials, and new materials as its core products [1] - The company was listed on the New Third Board in 2015 and subsequently on the Beijing Stock Exchange on November 15, 2021, being one of the first 81 companies to enter the market [1] Market Reaction - As of October 31, BetterRay's stock closed at 36.45 yuan, marking a 4.71% increase [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Baowu Steel Group reported a steady revenue growth of 14.87% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 16.812 billion yuan, despite industry adjustments [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of 283 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 26.51% compared to the same period last year [2][5]. - The basic earnings per share were 0.0153 yuan, down 79.18% year-on-year [2][3]. - The total assets increased by 5.22% year-on-year, reaching approximately 56.579 billion yuan [2][3]. Subsidiary Performance - The core subsidiary, Betterray, achieved a remarkable revenue of 4.547 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 40.70, with a net profit of 768 million yuan for the first three quarters [4][5]. - Betterray's growth is attributed to its comprehensive product matrix and breakthroughs in solid-state battery materials, which have led to significant order deliveries [4][5]. Market Position and Strategy - Betterray's advancements in technology and global capacity expansion are expected to enhance the profit contribution from the new energy sector for China Baowu [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerating commercialization of silicon-based anode materials, with projected market demand reaching 80,000 tons by 2030 [4][5].

Core Insights - The battery sector experienced a significant increase of 3.95% on the previous trading day, with Better Ray leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Battery Sector Performance - Better Ray (code: 920185) saw a closing price of 35.29, with a remarkable increase of 19.38% and a trading volume of 292,200 shares [1] - Copper Crown Copper Foil (code: 301217) closed at 38.09, up 14.59%, with a trading volume of 1,043,300 shares [1] - Leading Intelligent (code: 300450) closed at 62.75, up 12.80%, with a trading volume of 2,207,800 shares [1] - Other notable performers include: - Keli Yuan (code: 600478) at 7.13, up 10.03% [1] - Zhongyi Technology (code: 301150) at 42.75, up 9.42% [1] - Xiamen Tungsten New Energy (code: 688778) at 87.00, up 9.37% [1] - Changhong Energy (code: 920239) at 37.67, up 9.03% [1] - Naconoer (code: 920522) at 70.26, up 8.74% [1] - Penghui Energy (code: 300438) at 40.49, up 8.52% [1] - Hangke Technology (code: 688006) at 33.96, up 8.26% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The battery sector saw a net inflow of 6.549 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 3.707 billion yuan [2] - The sector's overall performance indicates strong institutional interest despite retail outflows [2]

Core Insights - The North Exchange stocks showed strong performance in the afternoon, with the North 50 Index rising nearly 9% [1] - Notable gainers included Huaxin Yongdao up 25%, Better Ray up over 18%, and Fujida up over 16% [1] - The Chairman of the North Exchange, Lu Songbin, announced plans to optimize the index system and introduce the North 50 ETF, enhancing trading convenience [1] Company Performance - Huaxin Yongdao: October increase of 25.21%, total market value of 4.057 billion, year-to-date increase of 5.52% [2] - Better Ray: October increase of 18.74%, total market value of 39.6 billion, year-to-date increase of 82.19% [2] - Fujida: October increase of 16.37%, total market value of 6.407 billion, year-to-date increase of 25.64% [2] - Tianma New Materials: October increase of 13.88%, total market value of 3.846 billion, year-to-date increase of 45.86% [2] - Tonghui Electronics: October increase of 13.64%, total market value of 7.052 billion, year-to-date increase of 211.92% [2] - Shuguang Digital Innovation: October increase of 13.19%, total market value of 19.2 billion, year-to-date increase of 42.24% [2]