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高盛:降新鸿基地产目标价至96港元 评级“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 03:19
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) achieved a basic earnings per share of HKD 3.93 for the second half of the fiscal year ending June, representing a 9% increase compared to the previous half, but an 11% decrease year-on-year, and 7% lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations [1] - Revenue was 24% below Goldman Sachs' forecast, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from property development and other non-property businesses [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts a 4% year-on-year decline in dividends for the fiscal year 2026 due to basic earnings growth, followed by a 4% annual growth from 2027 to 2028, and has adjusted the target price down by 8% from HKD 104 to HKD 96 based on the price-to-book ratio against return on assets and return on equity [1] Group 2 - Property development revenue was 39% lower than Goldman Sachs' forecast due to lower-than-expected contributions from the Hong Kong and mainland markets [2] - EBIT exceeded Goldman Sachs' expectations, attributed to higher profit margins from mainland operations [2] - Goldman Sachs forecasts a property development profit margin of 13% for the fiscal year ending June 2026, gradually recovering to 15% and 18% in 2027 and 2028, benefiting from an industry rebound [2] - Following the analysis of the second half performance, management guidance, and the latest revenue recognition plans, Goldman Sachs has revised down the basic earnings per share forecasts for 2026 to 2028 by 14%, 12%, and 2% respectively, while adjusting dividend forecasts down by 4%, 3%, and up by 3% [2] - The average payout ratio for the next three years is expected to be around 49%, compared to an average of 52% over the past five years, with management reaffirming a maximum dividend payout ratio of 50% [2]
美银证券:微升新鸿基地产目标价至95港元 维持“中性”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 03:19
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities maintains a "Neutral" rating on Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) due to its fiscal year 2025 performance being slightly below expectations [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is benefiting from a rebound in the Hong Kong residential market, but the low profit margin from property development may keep short-term earnings per share and dividends flat [1] - The target price for Sun Hung Kai Properties has been slightly increased from HKD 94 to HKD 95 [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share forecast for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 has been adjusted downwards by 1% to 4% due to changes in property sales recognition timing [1] - Unless there is a significant increase in Hong Kong property prices in the short term, earnings per share for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 are expected to remain relatively flat [1] Group 3: Market Comparison - Compared to peers with a 4% yield level, the company’s yield compression potential is considered limited [1]
美银证券:微升新鸿基地产(00016)目标价至95港元 维持“中性”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-05 03:19
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities maintains a "Neutral" rating on Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) due to slightly disappointing performance expectations for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is benefiting from a rebound in the Hong Kong residential market, but the low profit margin from property development may lead to flat earnings per share and dividends in the short term [1] - The target price for Sun Hung Kai Properties has been slightly increased from HKD 94 to HKD 95 [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share forecast for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 has been adjusted downwards by 1% to 4% due to changes in property sales recognition timing [1] - Unless there is a significant increase in Hong Kong property prices in the short term, earnings per share for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 are expected to remain relatively flat [1] Group 3: Market Comparison - Compared to peers with a 4% yield, the potential for further compression of Sun Hung Kai Properties' yield is considered limited [1]
大摩:新鸿基地产派息符预期 目标价102.3港元 评级“增持”-股票-金融界
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-09-05 02:55
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties' annual earnings per share remained flat, with dividends meeting expectations and a payout ratio maintained at 50%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's local property development contract sales reached HKD 42.3 billion for the year, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year [1] - The group aims for a target of HKD 30 billion in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with profit margins remaining similar [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail market [1] - Significant revenue increases are expected from investment properties at the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station and Shanghai Xujiahui Center (ITC) in the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 [1] Financial Health - The company's net debt ratio decreased from 17.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025 to 15.1% for the full year [1] - Financing costs improved, dropping from 4.4% in the same period last year to 3.7%, benefiting from increased allocation to floating-rate debt in RMB and HKD [1]
大行评级|高盛:下调新鸿基地产目标价至96港元 可受惠地产周期转势
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 02:40
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties' basic earnings per share for the second half of the fiscal year ending June 30 is HKD 3.93, representing a 9% increase compared to the previous half but an 11% decrease year-on-year, and 7% lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue was 24% lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from property development (DP) and other non-property businesses [1] - Property development revenue was 39% below the bank's forecast, attributed to lower-than-expected contributions from both the Hong Kong and mainland markets [1] Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Following the analysis of the second half fiscal performance, management guidance, and the latest revenue recognition plans, Goldman Sachs has revised its earnings per share forecasts for Sun Hung Kai Properties for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 downwards by 14%, 12%, and 2% respectively [1] - Dividend forecasts have been adjusted downwards by 4%, 3%, and then increased by 3% for the same periods [1] - The average payout ratio is expected to be around 49% over the next three years, compared to an average of 52% over the past five years, with management reaffirming a maximum dividend payout ratio of 50% [1] Target Price Adjustment - Goldman Sachs has lowered its 12-month target price by 8%, from HKD 104 to HKD 96, while maintaining a "Buy" rating, as the company is expected to continue benefiting from the gradual turnaround in the Hong Kong property market cycle [1]
大摩:新鸿基地产派息符预期 目标价102.3港元 评级“增持”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:38
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) has maintained its annual earnings per share, with dividends meeting expectations and a payout ratio of 50%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's local property development contract sales reached HKD 42.3 billion for the year, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year, with a target of HKD 30 billion for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with profit margins remaining similar [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail markets [1] - Significant increases in investment property income are expected from the IGC above the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station and the Shanghai Xujiahui Center (002561) for the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 [1] Debt and Financing - The company's net debt ratio decreased from 17.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025 to 15.1% for the full year [1] - Financing costs have dropped from 4.4% in the same period last year to 3.7%, benefiting from an increased allocation to floating-rate debt in RMB and HKD [1]
大摩:新鸿基地产(00016)派息符预期 目标价102.3港元 评级“增持”
智通财经网· 2025-09-05 02:34
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) has maintained its annual earnings per share, with dividends meeting expectations and a dividend payout ratio of 50%, resulting in a yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's local property development contract sales reached HKD 42.3 billion for the year, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year [1] - The group aims for a target of HKD 30 billion in contract sales for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with profit margins remaining similar [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail market [1] - For the fiscal years 2026 to 2027, significant revenue increases are expected from investment properties at the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station IGC and Shanghai Xujiahui Center ITC [1] Financial Health - The net debt ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties decreased from 17.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025 to 15.1% for the full year [1] - Financing costs improved from 4.4% in the same period last year to 3.7%, benefiting from an increased allocation to floating-rate debt in RMB and HKD [1] Valuation - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 102.3 for Sun Hung Kai Properties, which reflects a 50% discount to the net asset value per share [1] - The rating for the stock is "Overweight" [1]
大行评级|美银:微升新鸿基地产目标价至95港元 维持“中性”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 02:33
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties' fiscal year 2025 performance is slightly below expectations, despite benefiting from a rebound in the Hong Kong residential market [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The property development profit margin is low, which may result in flat earnings per share and dividends in the short term [1] - The target price for Sun Hung Kai Properties is raised slightly from HKD 94 to HKD 95, maintaining a "neutral" rating [1] - Earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 have been adjusted down by 1% to 4% due to changes in property sales recognition timing [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The company is experiencing limited further compression in yield compared to peers, which have a yield level of 4% [1] - Unless there is a significant increase in Hong Kong property prices in the short term, earnings per share for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 are expected to remain relatively flat [1]
大行评级|大摩:新鸿基地产派息符合预期 予其目标价102.3港元及“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 02:21
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties' annual earnings per share remained flat, with dividends meeting expectations and a payout ratio maintained at 50%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's contract sales for local property development in Hong Kong reached HKD 42.3 billion, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year [1] - The property development profit margin decreased to 12%, down from 26% in the previous year [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with a similar profit margin [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail market [1] - For the fiscal years 2026 to 2027, significant revenue growth is expected from investment properties at the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station and Shanghai Xujiahui Center [1] Investment Recommendation - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of HKD 102.3 for Sun Hung Kai Properties, with a rating of "Overweight" [1]
新鸿基地产上一财年净赚超190亿 信利国际8月营业额同比下滑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 12:31
Company News - Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016.HK) reported a revenue of HKD 79.721 billion for the fiscal year 2025, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year; net profit reached HKD 19.277 billion, up 1.2% year-on-year [2] - Sincere Watch International (00732.HK) recorded a net operating revenue of approximately HKD 11.011 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year; in August, the net operating revenue was about HKD 1.445 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2] Financial Activities - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) announced that CCB Financial Leasing plans to increase its capital by HKD 3 billion to CCB Shipping and Aviation [3] Pharmaceutical Developments - Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) received approval to conduct clinical trials for RSS0393 ointment, which can alleviate tissue damage and inflammation related to atopic dermatitis [4] - Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) also received approval for clinical trials of HRS-4729 injection, a tri-agonist for GLP-1R/GIPR/GCGR [4] Real Estate Sales Performance - China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 150.331 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 16.5% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 18.33 billion, down 0.7% year-on-year [5] - Sunac China (01918.HK) recorded a contracted sales amount of approximately HKD 30.47 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 13% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 5.39 billion, down 26.7% year-on-year [5] - China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (00081.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 20.783 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 10.6% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 2.133 billion, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year [5] - Gemdale Corporation (00535.HK) reported a total contracted sales of approximately HKD 7.588 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 39% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 608 million, down 52.9% year-on-year [5] - Hongyang Real Estate (01996.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 3.506 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 42.2% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 299 million, down 48.5% year-on-year [5] - Ronshine China Holdings (03301.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of approximately HKD 2.7 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 46.4% year-on-year; August contracted sales were about HKD 130 million, down 87.9% year-on-year [5] Share Buyback Activities - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) repurchased 2.01 million shares at a cost of approximately HKD 200 million, with prices ranging from HKD 98.75 to HKD 100.3 [6] - Midea Group (00300.HK) repurchased 310,000 shares at a cost of approximately HKD 25.849 million, with prices ranging from HKD 83.3 to HKD 83.5 [6] - Hang Seng Bank (00011.HK) repurchased 210,000 shares at a cost of approximately HKD 23.799 million, with prices ranging from HKD 112.9 to HKD 113.7 [6] - MGM China Holdings (02282.HK) repurchased 1 million shares at a cost of approximately HKD 15.687 million, with prices ranging from HKD 15.58 to HKD 15.97 [6] Shareholding Changes - Kanglong Chemical (03759.HK) completed a share reduction plan, with a total of 26.6729 million shares reduced [6] - Sinopec Limited (00386.HK) canceled 67.624 million shares that had been repurchased [6]