Group 1 - The core point of the news highlights the top short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market sentiment towards these stocks [1][2]. - AIA Group Limited (友邦保险-R) and Anta Sports Products Limited (安踏体育-R) both have a short-selling ratio of 100.00%, indicating a high level of bearish sentiment [1][2]. - The top three companies by short-selling amount are Alibaba Group Holding Limited (阿里巴巴-W) with 4.031 billion, Tencent Holdings Limited (腾讯控股) with 2.553 billion, and Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited (阿里健康) with 1.776 billion [1][2]. Group 2 - The top short-selling ratio rankings show that AIA Group Limited (友邦保险-R) leads with a short-selling amount of 1.9534 million and a ratio of 100.00% [2]. - JD.com, Inc. (京东集团-SWR) has a short-selling ratio of 99.19% with a short-selling amount of 0.6316 million, indicating strong market pressure [2]. - The deviation values indicate that JD.com (京东集团-SWR) has the highest deviation at 44.47%, suggesting significant divergence from its historical short-selling average [2].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,783.18, down by 216.63 points or 0.80% as of January 14, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 26,918.58 and a low of 26,724.89 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 82.41 million [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 127.501, up by 0.39% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 632.594, down by 0.06% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings (00700) latest price is HKD 633.000, with an increase of HKD 5.500 or 0.88%, but its ADR price is HKD 632.594, showing a decrease of HKD 0.406 [3] - Alibaba Group (09988) latest price is HKD 169.000, up by HKD 9.100 or 5.69%, with an ADR price of HKD 165.595, down by HKD 3.405 [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005) latest price is HKD 127.000, up by HKD 0.600 or 0.47%, with an ADR price of HKD 127.501, up by HKD 0.501 [3] - Other notable movements include Meituan (03690) down by 3.24% and Ctrip Group (09961) down by 6.49% [3]

免责声明：本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。 观点网讯：1月14日，新鸿基地产位于香港粉岭北第10区项目获屋宇署批出建筑图则，将建两幢16层商 住大厦，总楼面约38.99万平方呎，预计2025年11月动工。 根据公开资料整理，项目已于2024年完成补地价，设3层平台、1层地库及住客休憩设施，并附设公共交 通交汇处；住宅楼面约27.9万平方呎，非住宅楼面约11.1万平方呎，将分期推进。 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.8%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 4.4%, and the ChiNext Index went up by 3.9% this week [1] - The real estate sector (Shenwan) saw a rise of 5.1% [1] - The top five stocks by percentage increase were Chengjian Development (+34.5%), Yingxin Development (+22.0%), Shangshi Development (+20.8%), *ST Rongkong (+19.7%), and *ST Yangguang (+16.0%) [1] - The bottom five stocks by percentage decrease included Hainan Airport (-7.9%), Guangming Real Estate (-7.2%), Hezhan Energy (-5.5%), Shoukai Shares (-5.0%), and China Wuyi (-2.0%) [1] Real Estate Data Tracking - New homes: In the week of January 3-9, 42 key cities recorded a total transaction of 1.37 million square meters, a month-on-month decrease of 46.7% [1] - For January up to the week of January 9, new home transactions totaled 1.55 million square meters, down 30.1% month-on-month and 46.6% year-on-year [1] - Second-hand homes: In the week of January 3-9, 21 key cities saw a total transaction of 2.06 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 25.4% [1] - For January up to the week of January 9, second-hand home transactions totaled 2.14 million square meters, down 16.1% month-on-month and 23.9% year-on-year [1] Industry News - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, held a meeting to implement a package of fiscal and financial policies to boost domestic demand, including expanding the scope of public rental housing [2] - The central bank emphasized the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the integration of incremental and stock policy effects [2] - Local policies include Shanghai's efforts to improve fair competition review mechanisms and Henan's support for local governments to issue special bonds for purchasing existing homes for affordable housing [2] - In Shenyang, the down payment for housing has been reduced to 15% until the end of 2026, while Chengdu extended its housing mutual assistance policy until the end of 2026 [2] Company Announcements - In December 2025, the sales figures for major real estate companies were as follows: Poly Development at 12.16 billion yuan (-18.9%), China Merchants Shekou at 25.84 billion yuan (-14.5%), and New Town Holdings at 1.35 billion yuan (-57.8%) [2] - China Overseas Development issued bonds with a 3-year term at an interest rate of 1.60%-2.60% and a 5-year term at 1.80%-2.80% [2] Personnel Changes - Vanke A's Yu Liang retired due to age, resigning from his positions as director and executive vice president [3] Investment Analysis - The real estate sector remains a crucial asset allocation and investment direction for Chinese households, with stable housing prices being significant for economic circulation [3] - The 20th Central Committee's emphasis on promoting high-quality development in real estate suggests potential policy support [3] - High-quality residential properties may see a development wave due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure [3] - The Hong Kong private residential market sentiment is gradually recovering, indicating a potential revaluation for Hong Kong developers [3] - The sector is rated "positive," with recommended companies including China Resources Land, China Merchants Shekou, New Town Holdings, and others [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline, closing at 26,787.80, down 0.23% from the previous close, indicating a mixed performance in the Hong Kong stock market [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,787.80, down 60.67 points or 0.23% [1]. - The index reached a high of 26,950.81 and a low of 26,739.26 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 52.77 million shares [1]. - The average price for the session was 26,845.04, with a 52-week high of 27,275.90 and a low of 19,335.70 [1]. Group 2: Major Blue-Chip Stocks - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 127.188, up 0.62% compared to the previous close [2]. - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 624.864, down 0.42% from the previous close [2]. - Alibaba Group saw a price increase of 3.63%, closing at HKD 159.900 [3]. - Other notable performances include AIA Group up 0.84% at HKD 84.400 and China Construction Bank up 1.17% at HKD 7.810 [3].

近日，新鸿基地产公布，旗下香港西沙SIERRA SEA第2A期首轮销售共收到约4.2万个购房意向登记， 以价单形式推出的213伙计算，超额认购逾196倍，刷新2023年8月油塘亲海駅II逾3.8万票纪录，成为新 的"盘票王"。而在1月10日正式开售后，首批213伙房源当日便宣告沽清。 事实上，香港楼市的热度已从2025年持续蔓延至2026年初，而背后一大推手是全面"撤辣"政策（即撤销 所有楼市"辣招"，包括取消买家印花税、新住宅印花税及额外印花税）效应的持续显现。中原地产亚太 区副主席兼住宅部总裁陈永杰表示，2025年，香港一手私人住宅成交量达2万宗，创"一手新例"后新 高。 在此背景下，业内对2026年香港楼市走势普遍持乐观态度，认为其已步入一个基本面更健康、发展更可 持续的全面上行新周期。 一二手成交宗数均创近年新高 "相比美元指数下跌、金价一年内上涨约六成，香港楼价较2021年高位仍低逾两成，现已触底，兼具追 落后条件及保值功能，相信可吸引投资者趁低吸纳。"陈永杰说。 租赁市场的新格局也为楼市回暖提供了重要支撑。陈永杰指出，香港租金持续高企，2025年9月CRI回 报率最新报3.56%，为近14年次高。 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index increased by 239.99 points, a rise of 0.9%, closing at 26,848.47 points [1] - The total turnover for the day on the main board was HKD 315.92 billion [1] - The National Enterprises Index rose by 65.33 points, closing at 9,285.41 points, with a gain of 0.71% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index saw a slight increase of 6.59 points, closing at 5,869.79 points, reflecting a gain of 0.11% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings rose by 0.72%, closing at HKD 627.5 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing increased by 1.31%, closing at HKD 431.8 [1] - China Mobile decreased by 0.25%, closing at HKD 80.95 [1] - HSBC Holdings rose by 1.85%, closing at HKD 126.4 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings fell by 0.19%, closing at HKD 42.56 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 1.22%, closing at HKD 107.9 [1] - Henderson Land Development rose by 2.99%, closing at HKD 31.72 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China increased by 0.9%, closing at HKD 4.48 [1] - China Construction Bank rose by 1.17%, closing at HKD 7.81 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China increased by 0.96%, closing at HKD 6.3 [1] - Ping An Insurance rose by 2.19%, closing at HKD 70 [1] - China Life Insurance increased by 3.51%, closing at HKD 33 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - Sinopec increased by 0.65%, closing at HKD 4.65 [1] - PetroChina rose by 1.36%, closing at HKD 8.22 [1] - CNOOC increased by 2.58%, closing at HKD 21.48 [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][27]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong real estate market is expected to rebound in 2025, with both primary and secondary residential transactions reaching a four-year high, showing year-on-year growth of 21.5% and 16.9% respectively, leading to a total increase of 18.3% [3][7]. - The upward trend in property prices began in April 2025, with private residential prices increasing by 4.4% from the low in March 2025, and the leading index rising by 5.8% by January 2026 [3][8]. - Positive factors such as stable GDP growth, increased disposable income, and a recovering stock market are expected to enhance purchasing power and demand in 2026 [3][19]. - The concentration of market share among top developers is significant, with the top five developers holding a 46.8% market share in 2024, indicating strong performance potential during market upturns [3][21][24]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In 2025, the total residential transaction volume reached 63,000 units, marking an 18% increase compared to 2022, with primary sales at 20,500 units and secondary sales at 42,000 units [4][7]. - The influx of mainland buyers is notable, with an estimated 13,800 units purchased by Mandarin-speaking buyers, accounting for 22% of total transactions [7]. Price Trends - Since Q2 2025, property prices have shown a steady upward trend, with the index rising by 8% from the low in March 2025 [8][19]. Rental Market - The rental market has also seen an upward trend, with rental indices increasing by 4.3% by November 2025, and the average rental yield reaching 2.88%, closely aligning with the ten-year government bond yield of 2.94% [11][12]. Supply Dynamics - The supply of new residential units has been contracting, with the number of pre-sale approvals declining by 20% by the end of 2025, creating a favorable environment for price increases [16][19]. Future Outlook - The outlook for 2026 remains positive, with expectations of continued demand recovery and manageable supply pressures, suggesting a sustained upward trend in both volume and prices [19][25].

Group 1 - Citigroup revised its forecast for Hong Kong residential property prices in 2026 from an increase of 3% to 8%, anticipating a further acceleration in 2027, marking the beginning of a multi-year upward cycle [1] - The fundamental supporting factors include a new low in land supply, a decrease in available units, and a projected net absorption starting in 2026, with new sales expected to reach 21,000 units [1][2] - Rental prices are expected to rise cumulatively by 20% from 2023 to 2025, with an average rental yield of 3.5%, supporting future demand [1] Group 2 - The outlook for Hong Kong real estate stocks in 2026 is more positive, driven by an upward price cycle, improved profit margins, and a reduction in debt and financing costs for listed property companies [2] - The second quarter is traditionally a peak season for the property market, with expectations for increased asset turnover starting in March [2] - Recommended stocks include Sun Hung Kai Properties, Sino Land, and Henderson Land, benefiting from rising profit margins and NAV [3]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,310.99, up by 161.68 points or 0.62% as of January 8, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 26,311.38 and a low of 25,998.12 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 50.328 million shares [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 125.439, up by 0.92% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 615.197, down by 0.13% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings: Latest price HKD 616.000, down by HKD 8.500 or 1.36%, with an ADR price of 615.197, reflecting a decrease of 0.13% [3] - Alibaba Group: Latest price HKD 142.600, down by HKD 3.300 or 2.26%, with an ADR price of 150.458, reflecting an increase of 5.51% [3] - HSBC Holdings: Latest price HKD 124.300, down by HKD 2.900 or 2.28%, with an ADR price of 125.439, reflecting an increase of 0.92% [3] - Other notable movements include Meituan-W down by 3.35% and JD.com down by 2.02% [3]