Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Positive" for the refrigerant industry, indicating an expectation of better performance compared to the relevant market index over the next 12 months [9]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has issued a notification regarding the quota setting and distribution plan for ozone-depleting substances and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) for the year 2026, which includes significant reductions in production and usage quotas [2][6]. - The production quota for HCFCs in 2026 is set at 151,400 tons, representing an 8% decrease from 2025, with specific reductions for R22 and R141b quotas [12]. - The report highlights that the second-generation refrigerants will continue to be phased out, with a target of a 97.5% reduction by 2030 as per the Montreal Protocol, while the demand for R22 remains relatively inelastic due to its use in air conditioning maintenance [12]. - The third-generation refrigerants will see an increase in quota adjustments, allowing for a total increase of 11,000 tons for HFC-245fa and other specific refrigerants, with a notable change in the adjustment ratio from 10% to 30% [12]. - Current prices for third-generation refrigerants such as R32 and R134a are reported at 63,000 and 54,000 CNY per ton respectively, indicating a trend towards price increases due to their essential nature and the evolving business model in the industry [12]. Summary by Sections Quota Setting and Distribution - The 2026 quota plan includes a reduction of 71.5% and 76.1% for HCFCs production and usage respectively, with specific quotas for R22 and R141b [12]. - The report outlines the distribution of HFCs production quotas based on the needs arising from the phase-out of HCFCs, including specific increases for HFC-245fa and HFC-41 [12]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the price of R22 has recently dropped to 16,000 CNY per ton due to weakened supply and demand, but is expected to rise as quotas are gradually reduced [12]. - The characteristics of the refrigerant industry are evolving, with third-generation refrigerants becoming more recognized as essential products, leading to a potential normalization of price increases [12]. Company Recommendations - The report expresses a positive outlook on companies such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, Sanmei Co., Haohua Technology, and Yonghe Co. due to their strong positions in the refrigerant market [12].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that the implementation of the 2026 refrigerant quota reduction for second-generation refrigerants and the continuation of the third-generation refrigerant quota system will maintain a tight supply-demand balance for mainstream refrigerants like R32 and R134a, with significant long-term price upside potential [1][2]. Regulatory Framework - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has issued the quota setting and distribution plan for 2026, emphasizing strict compliance with the annual phase-out tasks for second-generation refrigerants and making slight adjustments to the third-generation refrigerant quotas, increasing the inter-species adjustment limit from 10% to 30% [1][3]. Production Quotas - For HCFCs, the production quota for 2026 is set at 151,400 tons, with a reduction of 71.5% and 76.1% from baseline values for production and usage, respectively. The R22 production quota will see a year-on-year reduction of 3,000 tons, which is a decrease of 2.01% [3][4]. Market Dynamics - R22 prices have stabilized after a decline, while R32 and R134a continue to show strong market conditions. The average price of R22 fell to 34,100 CNY/ton in Q3 2025, while R32's average price rose to 59,000 CNY/ton, reflecting a strong demand [5]. Investment Opportunities - Companies with complete industrial chains, robust infrastructure, leading refrigerant quotas, and advanced technology in fluorochemical production are recommended for investment. Notable companies include Juhua Co., Ltd. (600610.SH), Dongyue Group (00189), and Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379.SH) [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][23] Core Viewpoints - The release of the 2026 refrigerant quota allocation plan indicates long-term constraints on the supply side for both second and third-generation refrigerants, suggesting a continuation of favorable market conditions for refrigerant products [3][4] - The reduction in second-generation refrigerant quotas, particularly for R22, is expected to improve the supply-demand balance [3][5] - The flexibility in adjusting third-generation refrigerant quotas has increased, allowing companies to adapt production based on actual supply and demand, which benefits firms with a comprehensive product range and higher quota allocations [3][8] - The tightening of refrigerant quotas is seen as a long-term trend, with expectations that mainstream refrigerants like R32 and R134a will maintain a favorable market outlook and significant price upside potential [3][19] Summary by Sections Quota Allocation Changes - In 2026, the production quota for R22 is reduced by 3,000 tons, and the quota for R141b is eliminated entirely. The total production quota for HCFCs is set at 151,400 tons, with a reduction of 71.5% from the baseline [2][5] - The total production and usage quotas for HCFCs in 2026 will be 79,700 tons, reflecting a reduction of 76.1% from the baseline [5] Market Dynamics - The average price of R22 has decreased to approximately 15,000-18,000 yuan/ton, with expectations of price stabilization [9] - R32 has shown strong performance with an average price reaching 59,000 yuan/ton, indicating a robust market demand [10] - R134a prices have also increased due to ongoing quota consumption, with current prices around 53,000 yuan/ton [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading fluorochemical companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and strong quota positions, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co. [3][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [6][19]. Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to support high-quality development in the chemical industry, with an estimated market space of around 10 trillion yuan over the next five years [6][7]. - The introduction of the 2026 refrigerant quota plan is anticipated to lead to a contraction in R22 supply, while demand in the maintenance market remains [6][7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is expected to benefit from rising storage demand, with companies like Yake Technology and Anji Technology recommended for investment [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while global GDP growth is projected at 2.8%, stabilizing oil demand [6][7]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas export facilities in the U.S. may accelerate, reducing import costs [6][7]. Chemical Sector Configuration - The report highlights a recovery in manufacturing, with the manufacturing PMI rising to 49.8% [9]. - The investment analysis suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [6][7]. Key Material Focus - Emphasis is placed on self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, with specific companies recommended for investment [6][7]. Price Movements - Recent price movements include a 5.8% increase in Brent crude oil prices and a 2.7% rise in PTA prices [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Dongyue Future Hydrogen Energy Materials Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Future Materials") is progressing with its IPO process despite a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, although the downward trend has slowed in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. Financial Performance - Future Materials reported revenues of approximately 5.24 billion, 7.21 billion, 6.4 billion, and 3.49 billion for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively. Corresponding net profits were approximately 1.43 billion, 2.3 billion, 1.65 billion, and 926.69 million [4]. - The company's main business revenue accounted for over 95% of total revenue during the reporting period [4]. - The decline in revenue and net profit for 2024 is attributed to increased industry capacity and intensified competition affecting sales of key products [4]. Research and Development - Future Materials' R&D expenses were 602.95 million, 886.41 million, 610.74 million, and 310.07 million for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, representing 11.51%, 12.29%, 9.54%, and 8.89% of revenue, respectively [6]. - Despite the decline in R&D expense ratio, the company maintained a higher level compared to industry peers, whose average R&D expense ratios were approximately 5.34%, 6.2%, 5.7%, and 5.24% during the same periods [6]. Customer and Supplier Relationships - Future Materials has a close capital relationship with Dongyue Group, with significant transactions occurring between the two entities [8]. - Dongyue Group's subsidiary, Dongyue Fluorosilicon, has been a major customer, accounting for 13.33%, 14.19%, 13.44%, and 15.44% of Future Materials' main business revenue from 2022 to 2025 [8][9]. - Dongyue Fluorosilicon also served as the primary supplier, with procurement amounts representing 43.69%, 31.8%, and 16.02% of total purchases during the reporting period [9]. Control and Independence - Future Materials underwent a change in control in 2022, with the current control held by Zhang Jianhong, who holds 35.5% of the voting rights [10]. - The company asserts its operational independence from Dongyue Group and Dongyue Fluorosilicon, with clear separations in business and production operations [10].

Core Viewpoint - Dongyue Group's subsidiary Dongyue Silicon Materials reported its unaudited performance for the third quarter of 2025, indicating a significant revenue generation and asset growth [1] Financial Performance - For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, Dongyue Silicon Materials achieved a revenue of RMB 3.027 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was RMB 2.857 million [1] Asset and Equity Position - As of September 30, 2025, the total assets of Dongyue Silicon Materials reached RMB 6.073 billion [1] - The equity attributable to shareholders of Dongyue Silicon Materials was RMB 4.896 billion [1]

Group 1 - Dongyue Group (00189) announced that Dongyue Silicon Materials (300821) achieved a revenue of 3.027 billion RMB for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of Dongyue Silicon Materials was 2.857 million RMB [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Dongyue Group (00189) announced its financial results for Dongyue Silicon Materials, reporting a revenue of 3.027 billion yuan for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.857 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Dongyue Silicon Materials achieved a revenue of 3.027 billion yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was reported at 2.857 million yuan [1]

香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 告 之 內 容 概 不 負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部 或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 DONGYUE GROUP LIMITED – 1 – 以下是東岳硅材於2025年9月30日╱截至2025年9月30日止九個月未經審計的主要 財務資料： 於2025年9月30日╱ 截至2025年9月30日 止九個月 （未經審計） 人民幣千元 東 岳 集 團 有 限 公 司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：189） 內幕消息 附屬公司的季度業績 東岳集團有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司 證券上市規則》（「《上市規則》」）第13.09 (2) (a)條及香港法例第571章《證券及期貨條 例》第XIVA部的內幕消息條文（ 定義見《上市規則》）發出本公告。 本公司於深圳證券交易所創業板上市的非全資附屬公司山東東岳有機硅材料股份 有限公司（「東岳硅材」，股票代碼：300821.SZ ）已於深圳證券 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery opportunity at the bottom of the chemical cycle, particularly in the titanium dioxide sector, with major companies expanding globally and focusing on asset acquisitions [3][4]. - Global oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable with a projected global GDP growth of 2.8% [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of various chemical chains, including textiles, agriculture, and exports, as well as the potential for recovery in profitability for titanium dioxide due to easing trade tensions and improved overseas real estate conditions [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is anticipated to rise, with OPEC+ expected to increase production, while demand is stable but may slow due to tariffs [4]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas exports from the U.S. are likely to increase, reducing import costs [4]. Chemical Product Prices and Trends - The report notes that the PPI for all industrial products fell by 2.3% year-on-year in September, indicating a narrowing decline compared to August [5]. - Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, suggesting a continued recovery in manufacturing activity [5]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on four key areas for investment: textiles, agriculture, export-related chemicals, and sectors benefiting from reduced competition [3]. - Specific companies to watch include Lu Xi Chemical, Tongkun Co., and Huafeng Chemical in the textile chain, and various firms in the agricultural sector such as Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [3][4]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating their market capitalization and projected earnings for the coming years [14].