Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company's Q3 2025 performance was slightly below expectations, with revenue of 704.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.5 billion yuan, down 0.5% year-on-year [1] - The exploration segment's profit declined year-on-year due to falling oil and gas prices, despite a 3% increase in oil equivalent production [2] - Refining profits improved year-on-year due to external sanctions affecting supply, with refining processing volume up 3.8% year-on-year [3] - The chemical segment faced significant profit pressure due to the continuous release of new domestic capacity, resulting in a unit profit loss of 0.8 USD per barrel of oil equivalent [4] - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 43.5 billion, 53.6 billion, and 64.1 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times [4] Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 2,797.85 billion yuan, with a growth rate of -9.00% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 43.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13.54% [5] - The expected dividend yield for A shares in 2025 is 4.6%, while for H shares it is 6.6% [4] - The company's current price is 5.56 yuan, with a target price not specified [6]

Group 1 - The opening ceremony of Sinopec's first gas station in Australia was attended by key officials, including the Consul General Fang Xinwen and representatives from Sinopec and local government [2][4] - Fang Xinwen emphasized the importance of energy cooperation between China and Australia, highlighting the potential for growth in this sector [4] - The Mayor of Frankston, Borham, expressed gratitude for Sinopec's contribution to community development and welcomed the establishment of the gas station [4] Group 2 - The event signifies a positive development in China-Australia relations, with a focus on enhancing cooperation in the energy sector [4] - Sinopec is encouraged to leverage this opportunity to strengthen its brand presence and better serve the local community [4] - The relationship between Frankston and Wuxi, China, is highlighted as a foundation for future exchanges and collaboration [4]

2025 年 10 月 30 日 公司研究 Q3 归母净利润环比小幅改善，静待炼化景气修复 ——中国石化（600028.SH/0386.HK）2025 年三季报点评 A 股：买入（维持） 当前价：5.52 元 H 股：买入（维持） 当前价：4.22 港元 作者 分析师：赵乃迪 执业证书编号：S0930517050005 010-57378026 zhaond@ebscn.com 分析师：蔡嘉豪 执业证书编号：S0930523070003 021-52523800 caijiahao@ebscn.com 分析师：王礼沫 执业证书编号：S0930524040002 010-56513142 wanglimo@ebscn.com 市场数据 | 总股本(亿股) | 1211.78 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(亿元)： | 6689.00 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 5.25/6.78 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 1.09% | 要点 事件： 公司发布 2025 年三季报，2025 年前三季度，公司实现营业总收入 21134 亿元，同比-10.7%，实现归母净利润 300 亿元，同比-32. ...

Macroeconomic News - The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump is scheduled for October 30 in Busan, South Korea, focusing on strategic and long-term issues in China-U.S. relations [1][2] - The People's Bank of China is committed to deepening capital market reforms and expanding high-level financial openness to attract foreign investment [1][2] Industry News - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking the fifth rate cut since September 2024 [4] - A strategic emerging industry development fund with a scale of 51 billion yuan has been launched, focusing on supporting industries such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and future energy [4][5] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued a notice to enhance the integration of technologies like AI and blockchain in urban commercial systems [5] Company News - Kweichow Moutai reported a net profit of 19.224 billion yuan for the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 0.48% [7] - Sinopec announced a third-quarter net profit of 8.3 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year, and is continuing share buybacks [7] - NewEase reported a net profit of 6.327 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a significant increase of 284% [7] - Tianfu Communication announced a net profit of 1.465 billion yuan for the first three quarters, up 50.07% year-on-year [7] - Tianqi Lithium reported a net profit of 180 million yuan for the first three quarters, marking a return to profitability [7] - Industrial Fulian reported a net profit of 22.487 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 49% increase, driven by high-growth products like AI servers [7] - WuXi AppTec's major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 2% [7] - Dongni Electronics disclosed that its annual report contained false records, leading to a name change to ST Dongni starting October 31 [7] - Guokai Military Industry signed a 466 million yuan annual order contract for military trade products, expected to positively impact the company's performance [8] - Dayou Energy reported a net loss of 1.122 billion yuan for the first three quarters due to declining product prices [9] - Midea Group announced a net profit of 37.883 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 19.51% [9] - Peking University Pharmaceutical's chairman has been criminally detained and is temporarily unable to perform duties [9] - China Rare Earth reported a net profit of 192 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 195% [10] - Shandong Gold reported a net profit increase of 92% for the first three quarters, benefiting from rising gold prices and sales volume [10] - Huizhou Intelligent announced that its 2019 and 2020 annual reports contained false records, leading to a name change to ST Huizhou [10] - China Unicom's subsidiary participated in the investment of the central enterprise strategic emerging fund [11] - Shikang Co. reported a net loss of 3.105 billion yuan for the first three quarters [11] - Hangyang Co. received a stake increase from CITIC Financial Assets, reaching a 5% holding [11] - Western Gold reported a net profit increase of 168% for the first three quarters, driven by increased sales and prices of gold products [11] Investment Opportunities - The demand for AI server storage is exceeding expectations, with major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix operating at full capacity [15][16] - The market for enterprise-level SSDs is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing requirements for data transmission and computation in AI applications [16] - The price of tungsten has surged, leading to significant price increases for hexafluoride tungsten suppliers targeting semiconductor manufacturers [17]

Core Insights - Jiangsu Province is a key area for Sinopec, covering the entire petrochemical industry chain and housing several major subsidiaries [1][2] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, Sinopec's subsidiaries in Jiangsu achieved significant revenue growth, exceeding 1.7 trillion yuan, a 20% increase compared to the previous five-year period [1][2] Group 1: Production and Revenue - Sinopec's subsidiaries in Jiangsu have a production capacity of over 330 million tons/year of oil and gas equivalent, 30.5 million tons/year of refining, and 8 million tons/year of ethylene [1] - Jinling Petrochemical is projected to process 17.29 million tons of crude oil in 2024, ranking second among Nanjing's top manufacturing enterprises [2] - Yangzi Petrochemical supplies approximately 12 million tons of high-quality petrochemical products annually [2] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The East China Petroleum Bureau has made significant advancements in shale oil exploration, with cumulative production exceeding 350,000 tons and resource estimates of 350 million tons [2][3] - Various subsidiaries have developed cutting-edge technologies, including a major PTA project and advanced imaging techniques for deep reservoirs [3][4][5] Group 3: Green Development Initiatives - Sinopec is committed to achieving carbon neutrality, with Jiangsu subsidiaries implementing CCUS projects and developing environmentally friendly products [6][7] - Jinling Petrochemical has established a carbon emission monitoring system and zero-emission projects [8] Group 4: Community Engagement and Social Responsibility - Sinopec's subsidiaries actively engage in community support, with initiatives such as educational assistance and environmental protection projects [11] - The company emphasizes the importance of the petrochemical industry in contributing to national economic development and improving people's lives [11][12]

智通财经APP讯，中国石化(600028.SH)披露2025年第三季度报告，公司前三季度实现营收2.11万亿元， 同比下降10.7%;归母净利润299.84亿元，同比下降32.2%;扣非净利润305.52亿元，同比下降30.5%;基本 每股收益0.247元。 ...

Core Insights - In the first three quarters of the year, international crude oil prices experienced a downward trend, with the Platts Brent crude oil spot average price at $70.9 per barrel, a year-on-year decrease of 14.4% [1] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) maintained stable production and operations by optimizing regional management and enhancing efficiency [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 114.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, indicating a robust financial position [2] - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.1 trillion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 29.984 billion yuan for the first three quarters [5] - In the third quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was 9.337 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.4% [5] Upstream Operations - Sinopec focused on high-quality exploration and effective development, achieving new progress in increasing reserves and production [2] - The company made significant breakthroughs in offshore oil and gas, deep shale gas in the Sichuan Basin, and shale oil in southern Sichuan [2] - The total oil and gas equivalent production reached 55.5 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, with domestic crude oil production at 26.94 million tons and natural gas production at 31.1 billion cubic meters, up 4.9% year-on-year [2] Refining Business - The company optimized its refining operations by balancing production and sales, enhancing processing efficiency, and reducing costs through global resource allocation [2] - In the first three quarters, Sinopec processed 186.41 million tons of crude oil, producing 111.08 million tons of refined oil and 33.34 million tons of chemical light oil, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.0% [2] Sales and Chemical Business - Sinopec leveraged its integrated advantages to expand its market presence, with total domestic refined oil sales reaching 133.08 million tons [3] - The company focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement in its chemical business, producing 11.588 million tons of ethylene and achieving a total chemical product sales volume of 63.68 million tons [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing challenges faced by major chemical companies, including Dow, BASF, and Sinopec, due to weak demand and price pressures, while also noting their efforts in cost management and strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value through stock buybacks [2][4][6]. Group 1: Dow Inc. - Dow reported a net sales of approximately $10 billion for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decline of 8%, with all business segments experiencing a downturn [2]. - The packaging and specialty plastics segment, which accounts for 49% of sales, saw a revenue drop of 11% year-on-year, but EBIT increased by 179% to $199 million due to new polyethylene facilities reducing unit costs [2]. - Overall, Dow's net profit was $124 million, a turnaround from a loss, while operating EBITDA was approximately $870 million, down 37% year-on-year [3]. Group 2: BASF - BASF's Q3 2025 sales amounted to €14.3 billion, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, with price declines in chemicals, materials, and industrial solutions impacting overall performance [4]. - The EBITDA for BASF was €1.5 billion, slightly above market expectations but down €78 million year-on-year, primarily due to declines in industrial solutions and chemical sectors [5]. - BASF announced an early initiation of a €1.5 billion share buyback program, expected to start in November 2025, as part of a larger €4 billion plan [5]. Group 3: Sinopec - Sinopec reported a revenue of ¥704.39 billion for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decline of 10.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥83.13 billion, a 3.5% increase [6]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to fluctuating international oil prices and a 4% decrease in domestic refined oil consumption due to alternative energy sources [6]. - Sinopec's capital expenditure for new business layouts reached ¥716 billion, focusing on oil and gas production capacity and technology upgrades [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Central Enterprise Strategic Emerging Industry Development Fund (referred to as "Central Enterprise New Fund") aims to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries in China, with an initial fundraising of 51 billion yuan [2][6]. Fund Overview - The Central Enterprise New Fund has raised an initial capital of 51 billion yuan, with contributions from major state-owned enterprises including China Mobile, Sinopec, CNOOC, and China National Petroleum [2][8]. - The fund is managed by China Reform Holdings Corporation and was officially registered on October 27 [9]. Strategic Focus - The fund will focus on supporting strategic emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, high-end equipment, quantum technology, and future industries like future energy, future information, and future manufacturing [6]. - The fund aims to create a strategic innovation ecosystem that integrates technology innovation, capital operation, and industrial empowerment, promoting a multiplier effect in investment [5]. Management and Structure - The fund operates under a company structure, with a newly established private equity fund management company responsible for its management, implementing both sub-fund investments and direct investment strategies [10]. - The fund's management emphasizes new positioning, mechanisms, models, and teams to ensure efficient and standardized operations [6].

Core Points - The Central Enterprise Strategic Emerging Industry Development Fund (referred to as "Central Enterprise Fund") was launched with an initial fundraising of 51 billion yuan, supported by over ten central enterprises including China Mobile, Sinopec, and China National Petroleum Corporation [1][4] - The fund aims to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries, focusing on areas such as artificial intelligence, high-end equipment, quantum technology, future energy, future information, and future manufacturing [3][4] - The fund's management will adopt a company-based structure, with a newly established private equity fund management company overseeing operations [4] Group 1 - The Central Enterprise Fund is a key initiative to support the development of strategic emerging industries as mandated by the central government [2][3] - The fund emphasizes a new positioning, new mechanisms, and new models to enhance productivity and service the development of central enterprises [2][3] - The fund's establishment is seen as a significant step towards optimizing the layout and structural adjustment of state-owned enterprises [2] Group 2 - The fund's initial contributors include major state-owned enterprises, with China Guoxin contributing approximately 15 billion yuan, representing 2.94% of the fund [4] - The fund aims to create a strategic innovation ecosystem that integrates technology innovation, capital operation, and industrial empowerment [2][3] - The fund's investment strategy will focus on nine key emerging industries, aligning with the main business operations of participating enterprises [4]