Core Insights - The Hong Kong ETP market is experiencing significant growth in 2025, becoming the third-largest globally, surpassing South Korea and Japan, with an asset management scale of HKD 653.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.1% [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 2025, the average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong ETP market reached HKD 37.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 146%, making it the third-highest globally [3] - The turnover rate of the Hong Kong ETP market is the highest in the world, achieving a turnover ratio of 14.7, up from 10.2 in 2024 [4] Group 2: Product Innovation - The launch of the first individual stock leveraged and inverse products in Asia in March 2025 has attracted retail investors, with an average daily trading volume of HKD 3.6 billion for these products, a 51% increase year-on-year [5] - The introduction of covered call ETFs has gained popularity, with total assets reaching HKD 8.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of over 32 times, and average daily trading volume rising nearly 77 times to HKD 132.2 million [5][6] Group 3: Cross-Border Trading - The average daily trading volume of ETFs through the Stock Connect programs reached HKD 4.2 billion and RMB 3.2 billion, reflecting year-on-year increases of 128% and 142%, respectively [7] - The number of eligible ETFs for trading through Stock Connect has reached 290, indicating a growing trend in cross-border ETF trading [7][8] Group 4: Sector Focus - The technology-themed ETFs have seen a total asset management scale of HKD 120.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 102%, with average daily trading volume of HKD 7.4 billion, up 247% [9] - The biotechnology ETFs have also shown growth, with total assets reaching HKD 3.4 billion, a 123% increase year-on-year [9] Group 5: Global Connectivity - The listing of ETFs tracking the Nasdaq 100 index and the first Saudi Islamic bond ETF in Hong Kong has enhanced investment opportunities and strengthened financial ties with the Middle East [10] Group 6: Active ETFs - Active ETFs have gained traction, with inflows reaching USD 183 billion in the first half of 2025, and the number of active ETFs in Hong Kong has increased to 31, with a total market value of HKD 23.7 billion, a 143% year-on-year growth [11]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong ETP market is experiencing significant growth, becoming the third-largest market globally by trading volume as of September 2025, surpassing South Korea and Japan [1][2] - The asset management scale has increased by 34.1% year-on-year, reaching HKD 653.5 billion [1] Group 1: Trading Volume and Turnover - As of September 2025, the average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong ETP market reached HKD 37.8 billion, a 146% year-on-year increase, making it the third-highest globally [2] - The turnover rate in the Hong Kong ETP market has risen to 14.7, establishing its leading position worldwide [2] Group 2: Product Innovation - The launch of the first individual stock leveraged and inverse products in Asia in March 2025 has catered to retail investors' needs, particularly for trading high-liquidity stocks like NVIDIA and Tesla [3] - The average daily trading volume for all leveraged and inverse products listed in Hong Kong reached HKD 3.6 billion, a 51% increase year-on-year [3] Group 3: Cross-Border Trading - The average daily trading volume for ETFs traded through the Stock Connect programs reached HKD 4.2 billion and RMB 3.2 billion, reflecting year-on-year increases of 128% and 142%, respectively [5] - A total of 290 ETFs are eligible for trading through the Stock Connect, indicating a growing cross-border trading environment [5] Group 4: Sector Focus - The technology-themed ETFs have seen a total asset management scale of HKD 120.1 billion, a 102% increase year-on-year, with an average daily trading volume of HKD 7.4 billion [7] - The biotechnology ETFs have also gained traction, with a total asset management scale of HKD 3.4 billion, marking a 123% increase from the previous year [7] Group 5: Global Connectivity - The introduction of ETFs tracking the Nasdaq 100 index and the first Saudi Islamic bond ETF in Hong Kong has enhanced the market's global connectivity [8] - A memorandum of understanding signed between the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange aims to strengthen financial market ties [8] Group 6: Rise of Active ETFs - Active ETFs have gained prominence, with inflows reaching USD 183 billion in the first half of 2025, driven by strong market performance [9] - As of September 2025, there are 31 active ETFs listed in Hong Kong, with a total market value of approximately HKD 23.7 billion, a 143% increase from the previous year [9] Conclusion - The strong performance of the Hong Kong ETF market in 2025 is attributed to its robust growth and continuous development, positioning it as a leading global ETF market [10]

Core Viewpoint - The CEO of Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Charles Li, highlighted the significant recovery of Hong Kong's financial market since his appointment two years ago, overcoming challenges such as low daily trading volumes and a sluggish IPO market [2] Group 1: Market Recovery - When Charles Li took office, the average daily trading volume was less than 100 billion HKD, and the IPO market was weak, presenting considerable challenges [2] - Currently, over 300 companies are queued for listing, indicating a strong Chinese economy and the resilience of Hong Kong's market [2] Group 2: Investment Trends - Global investment has recently concentrated on the US market, particularly on the "Magnificent 7" tech giants, but geopolitical tensions are prompting investors to diversify their portfolios [2] - Hong Kong is positioned to capture these investment opportunities by offering more efficient products to facilitate access to its market [2]

Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its profit forecast for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) for 2025 by 3% to HKD 17.1 billion, while maintaining the 2026 forecast largely unchanged. The current trading multiples are at 31x for both 2025 and 2026 P/E, with a target price of HKD 500, indicating an 18% upside potential [1]. Group 1 - The forecast for Q3 2025 indicates a year-on-year profit increase of 49% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5% [2]. - CICC expects Q3 revenue to rise by 40% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 75.3 billion, with core fee income projected to increase by 57% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 65.1 billion [2]. - CICC anticipates total revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025 to increase by 35% and 42% year-on-year, reaching HKD 216.1 billion and HKD 132.0 billion, respectively [2]. Group 2 - Trading activity remains robust, with Q3 average daily turnover (ADT) expected to rise by 141% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 286.4 billion [2]. - Southbound ADT is projected to increase by 285% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 152.5 billion, accounting for 26.6% of Hong Kong stocks [2]. - The number of IPOs in Q3 is expected to reach 25, raising HKD 73.5 billion, which is a 74% year-on-year increase but a 19% quarter-on-quarter decrease [2]. Group 3 - Investment income is expected to decline by 18% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 9.9 billion in Q3 2025 [3]. - The narrowing of margin interest spreads is anticipated due to a decline in long-term yields and a rise in short-term borrowing costs, which may negatively impact investment income [3]. - Market volatility is expected to decrease, leading to a reduction in margin requirements for derivatives trading, further affecting investment income performance [3]. Group 4 - The fundamental outlook for HKEX remains strong, with high trading activity supported by a favorable liquidity environment for foreign capital [4]. - The average daily turnover for Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 288 billion in October, indicating sustained high trading activity [4]. - CICC suggests that the anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve could support liquidity in the Hong Kong market, presenting potential investment opportunities [4].

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑市场成交活跃度提振，上调香港交易所(00388)25e盈利预测 3%至171亿港币、维持26e预测基本不变。公司当前交易于31x/31x 25e/26e P/E，维持跑赢行业及目标价 500港币不变(37x/37x 25e/26e P/E及18%上行空间)。 中金主要观点如下： 预测3Q25盈利同比+49%/环比+5% 1)现货：3Q ADT同比+141%/环比+20%至2,864亿港币，其中南下ADT同比+285%/环比+36%至1,525亿 港币、占港股26.6%，北上ADT同比+144%/环比+77%至2,687亿元、占A股7.1%;2)衍生品：衍生品ADV 整体同比+12%/环比+7%至165万张，其中股指ADV同比-7%/环比-6%至72.9万张，个股期权ADV同比 +33%/环比+19%至92.0万张;3)商品：LME ADV同比+3%/环比-9%至70.5万张;4)上市：3Q完成IPO 25 家、融资额735亿港币(同比+74%/环比-19%)。 港交所计划于11月5日披露3Q25业绩：该行预计3Q收入同比+40%/环比+4%至75.3亿港币，剔除投资收 ...

Core Insights - Major blue-chip stocks mostly rose, with HSBC Holdings closing at 102.033 HKD, down 0.07% from the previous close, while Tencent Holdings closed at 634.928 HKD, up 1.18% [2] Stock Performance Summary - Tencent Holdings: Latest price at 627.500 HKD, increased by 19.500 HKD, representing a 3.21% rise; ADR price at 634.928 HKD, up by 7.428 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - Alibaba Group: Latest price at 161.900 HKD, increased by 7.500 HKD, representing a 4.86% rise; ADR price at 168.452 HKD, up by 6.552 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - HSBC Holdings: Latest price at 102.100 HKD, increased by 1.200 HKD, representing a 1.19% rise; ADR price at 102.033 HKD, down by 0.067 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - AIA Group: Latest price at 72.100 HKD, increased by 3.050 HKD, representing a 4.42% rise; ADR price at 72.889 HKD, up by 0.789 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - BYD Company: Latest price at 104.800 HKD, increased by 1.600 HKD, representing a 1.55% rise; ADR price at 106.041 HKD, up by 1.241 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) anticipates continued growth in its ETF market following record turnover and new listings this year [1] - The average daily turnover in ETFs reached a record HK$37.8 billion (US$4.8 billion) in the first nine months, with 225 ETFs attracting more investors from various regions [1][5] - Hong Kong is now the world's third-largest ETF market, with a market size of HK$315.8 billion, trailing mainland China and the US [3] Market Performance - The benchmark Hang Seng Index increased by 35% in the first nine months, making it one of the best-performing major indices globally [5] - Mainland investors traded an average of HK$4.2 billion in ETFs per day in Hong Kong, marking a 128% increase year-on-year [7] - International investors' trading in mainland ETFs grew by 142% to 3.2 billion yuan (US$449 million) per day [7] Connectivity and Growth Factors - Connectivity is deemed critical for the growth of the Hong Kong ETF market, as highlighted by HKEX's head of exchange-traded products [4] - The cross-border ETF Connect mechanism has facilitated international investors' access to 273 ETFs listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, while allowing mainland investors to access 17 ETFs in Hong Kong [5]

高盛发布研报称，基于香港交易所(00388)9月及10月至今的成交量数据，调整2025至27年每股盈利预 测，分别上调0.8%、下调0.5%及上调0.1%，并引入2028年每股盈测为15.4港元;维持"买入"评级及目标 价544港元。 ...

高盛发表报告，基于港交所9月及10月至今的成交量数据，调整2025至27年每股盈利预测，分别上调 0.8%、下调0.5%及上调0.1%，并引入2028年每股盈测为15.4港元。该行维持对其"买入"评级及目标价 544港元。 ...

Core Insights - Hong Kong's ETF market ranks third globally in liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of HKD 37.8 billion from the beginning of the year to September 30, surpassing South Korea [1] - The asset management scale of the Hong Kong ETP market has increased by 32% year-on-year to HKD 653 billion, with the number of ETPs rising by 16% to 225 [1] - Three main factors contributing to the increase in average daily trading volume of ETFs include improved market structure, enhanced connectivity, and continuous innovation [1][2] Market Structure Improvements - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has implemented various measures to enhance market efficiency and promote liquidity, including the introduction of market makers for ETFs and leveraged and inverse products during pre-opening and closing auction trading sessions [1] Connectivity Enhancements - HKEX has increased its connectivity with the Middle East and some ASEAN markets, which remains crucial for the growth of the Hong Kong ETF market [2] Continuous Innovation - HKEX has introduced various new products to the ETF market, such as covered call option ETFs and recently launched single stock leveraged and inverse products, aiming to meet customer demands and bring suitable products to market [2] ETP Market Growth - As of October 16, HKEX has welcomed 41 new ETPs in 2025, exceeding the previous year's record for ETP issuances [2] - The average daily trading volume of income-generating ETFs has increased to over HKD 200 million, with an asset management scale of approximately HKD 23.4 billion [2] - Currently, there are 29 leveraged and inverse products with a total market value of about HKD 28 billion, accounting for 4.3% of the overall ETP market, and their average daily trading volume is HKD 3.6 billion, representing 9.5% of the entire ETP market [2]