三、02月26日新发基金一览（不包含传统封闭式基金） 四、02月26日基金分红一览 （1）02月26日新发基金共有22只，主要为混合型基金和股票型基金，其中华商核心优选混合A募集目标金额达80.00亿元； 基金分红22只，多为ETF联接基金，派发红利最多的基金是中银香港盈荟系列-中银香港全天候亚洲债券基金，每10份基金 份额派发红利0.3200元。 （2）2月26日，工银添悦、广发成长甄选等13只基金同日开卖；2月27日至3月底，还有50只新基蓄势待发，即将开启认 购。数据显示，截至2月26日，年内新成立基金已达228只，合计发行份额突破2100亿份，同比均大幅增长。年初发行火热 与去年权益基金亮眼表现密切相关，展望后市，A股仍有较强支撑因素，乐观行情或持续演绎。 （3）数据显示，截至2月25日，按红利发放日统计，有公募基金产品年内分红次数已达7次，其中量化基金表现尤为活跃。 新发端亦积极布局红利及高股息类产品。规范分红以提升产品长期吸引力，正成为管理人应对发行难、响应政策要求的重 要方式，权益类基金分红力度持续加大。 | | 家 | 基金经理 | 首次夢集[ | | | | --- | --- | --- ...

证券研究报告 基金双周报：ETF市场跟踪报告 2 ETF市场回顾： • 收益表现与资金流向：截至1月30日，近两周ETF产品涨跌不一。国内主要宽基ETF中，中证500涨幅最大，行业与主题产品中，周期主题ETF涨幅最大。近两 周，国内主要宽基ETF中，中证2000ETF资金净流入，沪深300ETF资金大幅净流出。2）近两周，周期、医药、消费ETF资金加速流入，军工、金融地产、科 技ETF资金流入速度放缓，大制造其他、新能源ETF资金转为净流入，红利ETF资金流出速度放缓。债券ETF方面，可转债ETF资金加速净流入，短融ETF资 金转为净流入，政金债、信用债、国债、地方债ETF资金净流出速度放缓。 • 产品结构分布：截至1月30日，近两周市场新成立ETF共19只，发行份额合计109.63亿份，均为股票ETF。相较25年末，商品ETF、行业+红利ETF、QDII-ETF 规模分别上升38.50%、23.19%、6.01%，债券ETF、宽基ETF规模分别下降12.49%、34.99%。 证券分析师 | 陈 | 瑶 | 投资咨询资格编号：S1060524120003 | | --- | --- | --- | | 郭子 ...

Core Insights - 2025 is viewed as a pivotal year for the technology sector, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, hardware innovation, and supportive policies, leading to a significant market transformation [1] - The performance of technology-themed ETFs, particularly those represented by the STAR Market and ChiNext, has significantly outperformed the market average, establishing their status as "core growth poles" [2] - The macroeconomic outlook for 2026 indicates a transition from structural pain to "micro recovery," with key indicators expected to show positive trends [3] Group 1: 2025 Review - The technology-themed ETFs have shown remarkable performance, with several related funds achieving net value growth rates exceeding 50%, and the ChiNext 50 Index rising by 57% [2] - The strong performance is attributed to the underlying high growth potential, profitability elasticity, and alignment with policy directions, focusing on high-quality companies characterized by innovation and new technologies [2] Group 2: 2026 Macro Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to improve, with key indicators like PPI, CPI, and PMI projected to recover from low levels, enhancing the corporate profitability landscape [3] - The investment focus in 2026 will shift towards performance certainty, moving away from the previous emphasis on "visions and expectations" [4] Group 3: AI Industry Insights - AI is identified as a long-term structural industry opportunity, with 2026 marking a critical transition from "technology validation" to "scale deployment" [5] - The AI sector is shifting from a focus on infrastructure to application deployment, with significant investments in efficiency and global competitiveness [5] - The core companies in the AI wave are financially healthy, and the demand for computing power is expected to grow significantly over the next 5-10 years [5][6] Group 4: Tooling Configuration - The ChiNext 50 Index is highlighted for its structural advantages, with a balanced industry matrix and a focus on growth and diversification [7] - The index's valuation remains reasonable, with expected annual net profit growth of over 25% in the next three years, indicating a favorable balance between volatility control and growth elasticity [7] - The long-term investment value of the Hong Kong technology sector is increasing, with potential for valuation recovery and phase-based gains [7] Group 5: Conclusion - The key to technology investment in 2026 lies in returning to performance and fundamentals, emphasizing high-quality broad-based indices to navigate market cycles [8] - Focus should be on companies with competitive advantages in the global supply chain, sustained R&D investment, and those entering a profit growth phase [8] - The market's pricing mechanism is shifting from forward-looking expectations to continuous validation of actual operational results, raising the bar for asset allocation and risk management [8]

Group 1 - In 2025, private equity firms showed strong enthusiasm for investing in newly listed ETFs, with 171 firms appearing among the top ten holders of 209 ETFs, holding a total of 3.341 billion shares [1] - Subjective strategy private equity firms emerged as the main contributors to ETF subscriptions, holding 1.257 billion shares, which accounts for 37.62% of the total, while quantitative strategy firms held approximately 1.137 billion shares, representing 34.03% [1] - The preference for technology-themed ETFs was notable, with 68 out of the 209 ETFs containing "technology" or "innovation" in their names, and private equity firms holding a total of 1.136 billion shares in these products [2] Group 2 - The reasons for the active allocation to ETFs by private equity firms include the efficiency, low cost, and risk control offered by ETFs in a rapidly changing market environment, as well as their low fees and diversified holdings [2] - The technology sector's high growth potential and innovation, particularly in artificial intelligence and biomedicine, are driving interest in technology-themed ETFs, providing efficient tools for institutions to seize industry opportunities [3] - Medium-sized private equity firms, particularly those managing between 1 billion and 5 billion yuan, were the most active in ETF allocations, holding 1.357 billion shares, which accounts for over 40% of the total [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the structural opportunities in the Chinese equity market for 2026, driven by the global competitiveness of high-quality Chinese enterprises and the ongoing long-term valuation reassessment of Chinese assets [1] - Morgan Asset Management's China Equity Investment Team suggests that the market will present structural opportunities in 2026, as international investors reassess the allocation value of Chinese assets [1] - The investment strategy should focus on stable growth in industrial demand and sustainable cash flow, moving beyond traditional frameworks of "new and old industries" [1] Group 2 - The balanced growth team leader at Morgan Asset Management believes that the technology growth style will continue to show relative advantages in 2026, driven by the ongoing transformation of the economy and substantial capital expenditure from both domestic and international tech leaders [2] - The focus is on identifying quality companies with sustainable growth potential and reasonable valuations using a "value growth" strategy, particularly in the context of expected economic recovery and corporate profit rebound [2] - The balanced and value team leader highlights two key opportunities: cyclical industries benefiting from supply constraints and cash flow optimization, and high-end manufacturing companies expanding into overseas markets [2] Group 3 - The growth team manager at Morgan Asset Management is optimistic about the lithium battery and energy storage industry, noting that energy storage is becoming a core demand driver, with significant improvements in supply-demand dynamics [3] - There is a strong focus on AI-related hardware and software investment opportunities, with an emphasis on tracking the progress of application implementation and business closure [3] - The trend of ETF development is also highlighted, with a focus on "barbell" allocation strategies, and the establishment of technology-themed and dividend-themed ETFs in the A-share and Hong Kong Stock Connect markets [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the "Five Bowls of Noodles" (economic, policy, funding, overseas, and technical aspects) to navigate the current market complexities and make informed investment decisions [3][5][6]. Economic Aspect - The economic cycle is crucial for asset allocation, with the current phase identified as a "weak recovery" [5]. - The Merrill Lynch Investment Clock categorizes economic conditions into four stages: recession, recovery, overheating, and stagflation, each suggesting different fund allocations [5]. - Historical performance data shows fluctuations in the Shanghai Composite Index and various fund indices from 2019 to 2025, indicating the impact of economic cycles on investment returns [5]. Policy Aspect - The Chinese stock market is closely linked to macroeconomic policies and industry guidance, with significant policies historically providing clear direction for market movements [6][7]. - The 2025 "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes "technological innovation + self-control," targeting a GDP growth rate of 4.7% and focusing on sectors like AI and deep-sea economy [7]. Funding Aspect - Recent monetary policy changes, including interest rate cuts by the People's Bank of China and the Federal Reserve, have improved global liquidity, positively affecting the A-share market [8][9]. - Historical data shows that previous rate cuts have led to significant increases in the Shanghai Composite Index, indicating a strong correlation between monetary policy and market performance [9]. Overseas Aspect - External factors such as U.S.-China relations and global central bank gold purchasing trends are influencing market risk appetite [10]. - The trade surplus with the U.S. has increased, and China's gold reserves have reached a 20-year high, providing a buffer against geopolitical tensions [10]. Technical Aspect - Technical indicators, including index trends and trading volume, are essential for understanding short-term market rhythms [11]. Investment Strategy - The article suggests a diversified investment strategy based on individual risk tolerance, recommending a mix of technology-focused ETFs, broad index funds, and fixed-income products to balance risk and return [13][15].

Core Insights - The ETF market is experiencing a shift in funding structure amid a volatile market and weak expectations, with a clear divergence in the scale changes of different ETFs [1][2] - Low-risk, low-volatility bond ETFs are seeing significant inflows, while broad-based equity ETFs and certain technology-themed ETFs are facing outflows [1][2][5] Group 1: Low-Risk Bond ETFs - Bond-related ETFs have become the main source of growth in the ETF market, with significant inflows recorded in the past month [2] - Specific bond ETFs such as the CSI Short Bond Index ETF, CSI AAA Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, and others have seen substantial increases in scale, with inflows of 106.67 billion, 93.50 billion, 52.18 billion, and 43.12 billion respectively [2][3] - The demand for stable assets is evident as both institutional and individual investors seek to enhance portfolio stability through low-volatility bond ETFs [2][3] Group 2: Equity ETFs Under Pressure - In contrast to bond ETFs, broad-based equity indices are experiencing net outflows, with the CSI 300 Index ETF seeing a decrease of 387.60 billion, the STAR Market 50 Index ETF down by 63.97 billion, and others also facing declines [4] - Technology-themed ETFs are similarly under pressure, with significant outflows from products like the CSI Hong Kong Internet ETF, which decreased by 84.49 billion [4] - The market sentiment indicates a shift away from high-volatility and high-beta index products, reflecting a cautious risk appetite among investors [4][5] Group 3: Investor Behavior and Market Outlook - Investors are increasingly focusing on risk management, favoring stable assets in their portfolio adjustments amid limited incremental capital and cautious macro expectations [6] - The current market environment suggests that the trend of inflows into low-risk ETFs may continue, while growth and high-volatility sectors will depend on improvements in macro expectations and liquidity conditions [6]

ETF Market Overview - As of November 7, the performance of ETF products varied, with the CSI 2000 showing the highest increase among major broad-based ETFs, while the new energy theme ETF had the largest increase among industry and thematic products [2][9] - In the past two weeks, major broad-based ETFs such as CSI A500, CSI 2000, and Sci-Tech 50 ETF saw net inflows, while the ChiNext ETF experienced the largest net outflow [2][9] - The recent trend indicates a shift from net inflows to net outflows in cyclical and military industry ETFs, while pharmaceutical ETFs saw accelerated inflows [2][16] ETF Fund Flow Analysis - The cumulative fund flow for broad-based ETFs has shown a trend of outflows turning into inflows and then back to outflows since the beginning of 2025, with A-series ETFs consistently experiencing outflows [10] - Recent net outflows for broad-based ETFs have slowed down, with CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 transitioning from net outflows to net inflows [10][16] - As of November 7, the total number of newly established ETFs in the past two weeks was 16, with a total issuance of 6.53 billion units, of which 13 were stock ETFs and 3 were QDII ETFs [24] Thematic ETF Tracking - In the technology theme ETFs, products tracking the Hang Seng Technology index saw the highest net inflows, while those tracking consumer electronics experienced net outflows [30] - For dividend theme ETFs, products tracking the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index had the highest net inflows, while those tracking the dividend index saw net outflows [32] Popular Thematic ETFs - AI-themed ETFs, which have a high proportion of AI stocks, experienced an average return of -2.99% with a net inflow of 1.56 billion [2] - New energy-themed ETFs had an average return of 7.67% but saw a net outflow of 5.72 billion [2] - The total holdings of ETFs by Central Huijin, Guoxin, and Chengtong reached 391.34 billion units, with a net outflow of 2.11 billion in the past two weeks [2]

ETF Market Overview - As of October 24, the performance of ETF products varied, with the Shanghai 50 index showing the highest increase among major broad-based ETFs, while the dividend-themed ETFs had the largest gains among industry and thematic products [2][9] - In the past two weeks, major broad-based ETFs such as the CSI A50, CSI 2000, and Shanghai 50 saw net inflows, while the CSI A500 ETF experienced the largest net outflow [2][9] - The recent trend indicates a shift in fund flows, with the New Energy ETF moving from net inflow to net outflow, while the Pharmaceutical ETF transitioned from net outflow to net inflow [16] ETF Fund Flow Analysis - The cumulative fund flow for major broad-based ETFs has shown a trend of outflows turning into inflows and then back to outflows since the beginning of 2025, with significant inflows into the CSI 300 ETF in April, followed by continued outflows in subsequent months [10][12] - Recent data indicates that, apart from the Shanghai 50 ETF, which shifted from net outflow to net inflow, other major broad-based ETFs have transitioned from net inflows to net outflows in the past two weeks [10][12] Thematic ETF Tracking - For technology-themed ETFs, those tracking the Hang Seng Technology index saw significant net inflows, while products tracking the CS Artificial Intelligence index experienced net outflows [32] - Dividend-themed ETFs tracking the low-volatility dividend index had the highest net inflows, whereas those tracking the dividend index saw net outflows [35] New ETF Products and Market Growth - In the past two weeks, a total of 8 new ETFs were launched, with a combined issuance of 2.997 billion shares, all of which were stock ETFs [26] - Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased significantly, with bond ETFs, commodity ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs growing by 293.33%, 197.82%, 112.34%, 52.18%, and 13.97% respectively [26] Fund Management Scale Distribution - As of October 24, Huaxia Fund has the largest ETF scale at 912.812 billion, with E Fund's ETF management scale expanding by over 250 billion compared to the previous year [27][28]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong ETP market is experiencing significant growth, projected to be a breakthrough year in 2025, with a year-on-year asset management increase of 34.1%, reaching HKD 653.5 billion [2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 2025, the average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong ETP market reached HKD 37.8 billion, a 146% increase year-on-year, making it the third-largest ETP market globally, surpassing South Korea and Japan [2][3] - The turnover rate in the Hong Kong ETP market is leading globally, with a liquidity ratio of 14.7 as of 2025, up from 10.2 in 2024 and 9.0 in 2023 [3] Group 2: Product Innovation - The introduction of individual stock leveraged and inverse products in March 2025 has catered to retail investor needs, providing strategic investment tools for trading international equities during Asian hours [3] - The popularity of covered call option ETFs has increased since their launch in February 2024, appealing to investors seeking high-yield products in an unstable macro environment [4] Group 3: Cross-Border Trading - The average daily trading volume for ETFs through the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached HKD 4.2 billion and HKD 3.2 billion respectively, with significant year-on-year increases of 128% and 142% [5] - The anticipated inclusion of more ETFs in the Stock Connect program in November 2025 is expected to further enhance cross-border trading activity [5] Group 4: Sector Focus - In the first three quarters of 2025, 14 technology-themed ETFs were launched in Hong Kong, with a total asset management size of HKD 120.1 billion, reflecting a 102% year-on-year increase [5] - The biotechnology sector has also seen growth, with three biotechnology-themed ETFs launched this year, totaling HKD 3.4 billion in assets, a 123% increase from September 2024 [5] Group 5: Active ETFs - The inflow of funds into active ETFs in Hong Kong reached USD 183 billion in the first half of 2025, driven by strong market rebounds and robust company earnings [6] - Asset management firms are accelerating the launch of more active products to meet investor demand for results-oriented and yield-focused strategies [6]