Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index Hong Kong 300 Energy Index has shown significant growth, with a 11.96% increase over the past month, 19.68% over the past three months, and a 6.93% increase year-to-date [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Index Hong Kong 300 Energy Index is currently at 2656.17 points [1] - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industries in the Hong Kong market, based on the China Securities Industry Classification Standards [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed entirely of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] - The sector breakdown of the index includes: - Oil refining: 41.59% - Integrated oil and gas companies: 33.45% - Coal: 22.70% - Oilfield services: 1.55% - Coking: 0.72% [1] Group 3: Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted biannually, specifically on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to significant events affecting sample companies [2]

Group 1 - The coal stocks in Hong Kong experienced a collective decline, with notable drops in several companies [1] - Green Leader Holdings fell nearly 8%, while China Coal Energy dropped over 4% [1] - Other companies such as South Resources, Mongolian Coking Coal, and Yancoal Australia also saw declines exceeding 3% [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance includes: - Green Leader Holdings: -7.84% at a price of 0.094 with a market cap of 49.4685 million [2] - China Coal Energy: -4.23% at a price of 9.730 with a market cap of 129.007 billion [2] - South Resources: -3.92% at a price of 0.245 with a market cap of 1.88 million [2] - Mongolian Coking Coal: -3.76% at a price of 7.930 with a market cap of 8.226 billion [2] - Yancoal Australia: -3.18% at a price of 31.950 with a market cap of 42.188 billion [2] - China Shenhua: -2.30% at a price of 33.950 with a market cap of 674.536 billion [2]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，7月31日，港股煤炭股持续走低，中煤能源(01898.HK)跌超4%，兖矿能源(01171.HK)跌超 3%，中国神华(01088.HK)、南戈壁(01878.HK)等跟跌。 ...

港股煤炭股持续走低，中煤能源(01898.HK)跌超4%，兖矿能源(01171.HK)跌超3%，中国神华 (01088.HK)、南戈壁(01878.HK)等跟跌。 ...

A股煤炭板块盘初走弱，潞安环能跌超6%，平煤股份跌超3%，兖矿能源、陕西煤业等跟跌。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed a mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.68% while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.24% [1] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,562.13 points with a trading volume of 250.3 billion HKD, down from 281.8 billion HKD in the previous trading day [1] - The afternoon session saw a rebound in the market after an initial decline in the morning [1] Sector Performance - Innovative pharmaceuticals and large financial sectors performed well, while local real estate stocks strengthened in the afternoon [1] - Conversely, sectors such as solar energy, coal, and non-ferrous metals weakened [1] Notable Stocks - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (宁德时代) surged by 6.24%, reaching a new high since its listing [1] - Hengrui Medicine (恒瑞医药) saw a significant increase of 24.54% after announcing a potential $12.5 billion licensing agreement with GSK [1] - China Ping An (中国平安) rose by 3.49% [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) declined by 3.90% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (赣锋锂业) fell by 6.66% [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong coal stocks collectively declined, with Mongolian Coking Coal (00975.HK) dropping nearly 6% [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (01171.HK) fell over 3% [1] - Other companies such as China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) and China Coal Energy (01898.HK) also experienced declines [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong coal stocks are experiencing a decline, with Mongolia Coal falling over 7% [1] - Mongolia Coal (00975.HK) decreased by 7.31%, South Gobi (01878.HK) by 4.47%, Yanzhou Coal (01171.HK) by 3.48%, and China Coal Energy (03668.HK) by 3.37% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the potential for coal prices to rebound due to the "anti-involution" policy, which is expected to lead to actual production cuts and improve coal prices. The analysis is based on the mean reversion of return on equity (ROE) and the reasonable profit distribution levels of thermal coal and coking coal within their respective industrial chains [2][6][8] Summary by Sections Introduction - The "anti-involution" policy has catalyzed significant increases in coal commodities and equity prices. The report highlights the importance of understanding the future space for coal under this policy, particularly following the State Energy Administration's notice regarding coal mine production inspections [6][18] ROE Perspective - The report calculates the expected central price levels for thermal coal and coking coal based on historical average ROE. The central price for thermal coal is estimated at 749 CNY/ton, which is 96 CNY/ton higher than the price of 653 CNY/ton on July 25, 2025 (+14.7%). For coking coal, the central price is estimated at 1838 CNY/ton, which is 158 CNY/ton higher than the July 25 price of 1680 CNY/ton (+9.4%) [6][34][35] Industry Chain Perspective - The report assesses the reasonable price levels for thermal coal and coking coal based on profit distribution in the coal-electricity and coal-steel industrial chains. It estimates that the reasonable price for thermal coal could be between 776 CNY/ton and 835 CNY/ton, reflecting potential increases of 18.9% and 27.9% respectively from current prices. For coking coal, the reasonable price could range from 1707 CNY/ton to 2094 CNY/ton, with corresponding increases of 1.6% to 24.7% [7][44][45] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that there is still room for price-to-book (PB) mean reversion, indicating a favorable investment ratio for coal stocks. It recommends focusing on short-term rebounds and long-term reversal opportunities in the coal sector. Specific stock recommendations include: 1. Elastic stocks: Lu'an Environmental Energy, Pingmei Shenma, Huaibei Mining, Shanxi Coking Coal, Yanzhou Coal, Jinkong Coal, and Shanmei International 2. Long-term stable profit leaders: China Coal Energy (A+H), China Shenhua (A+H), and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical 3. Transition growth stocks: Electric Power Investment Energy and New Energy [8][50][52]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector [11][12] - The report highlights a tightening supply side due to government policies aimed at curbing overproduction, which is expected to support a rebound in coal prices [3][11] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a balanced short-term supply-demand situation and a medium to long-term gap still anticipated [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 26, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 645 CNY/ton, an increase of 11 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is reported at 1650 CNY/ton, up 230 CNY/ton week-on-week [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, down 0.6 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 86.9%, up 0.8 percentage points [11][42] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 51,000 tons/day (-13.04%) and in coastal provinces by 19,600 tons/day (-8.1%) [11][42] Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in coastal provinces increased by 429,000 tons week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a slight increase of 85,000 tons [11] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown strong performance, with the coal mining sector rising by 8.00% this week, outperforming the broader market [15][17] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, which are noted for their stable operations and solid performance [12][13]