太平洋证券研报指出，新华保险2025年上半年归母净利润147.99亿元，同比增长33.5%；新单高增、续 期稳健，渠道协同驱动保费增长。业务品质显著改善，退保率降至0.8%，续期保费在高增长新单基础 上发挥稳定压舱作用。公司积极参与长期资金入市试点改革，联合设立的基金已历三期，计入长期股权 投资，带动长股投规模从年初的302.45亿元增长至416.90亿元。公司上半年实现保费与利润双高增，新 业务价值显著提升，总投资收益大幅增长；随着居民中长期保险保障需求释放、监管鼓励险资入市，公 司新单高增与投资回暖的良性共振格局有望延续。维持"买入"评级。 ...

人民财讯10月21日电，港股收盘，恒生指数涨0.65%，恒生科技指数涨1.26%，中石化油服涨12%，中国 人寿涨超6%，新华保险涨超4%。 （原标题：恒生指数收涨0.65% 恒生科技指数涨1.26%） ...

Core Viewpoint - A series of positive earnings forecasts from listed insurance companies suggest that they are likely to report strong performance for the third quarter, driven primarily by significant investment income due to a rising capital market [1][2]. Earnings Forecasts - New China Life Insurance expects a net profit of between 29.986 billion to 34.122 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 45% to 65% [2]. - China Life Insurance anticipates a net profit of approximately 156.785 billion to 177.689 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 50% to 70% [2]. - The overall net profit growth for these three companies is projected to be between 40% to 70%, exceeding previous expectations from analysts [2][3]. Investment Income as a Growth Driver - The primary driver of the earnings growth is attributed to enhanced investment income, as companies have increased their equity investments in a recovering stock market [5][6]. - The A-share market has shown a "slow bull" trend since April 2025, with the CSI 300 index rising approximately 18% in the first three quarters [5][6]. - The equity investment scale of listed insurance companies has significantly increased, with a total increase of 411.858 billion yuan, representing a 28.7% growth compared to the end of the previous year [6]. Liability Side Growth - Analysts expect that the new business value (NBV) for listed insurance companies will continue to grow rapidly, with an average year-on-year growth of 36.1% projected for the third quarter [9]. - The growth in NBV is driven by factors such as a surge in customer demand prior to the interest rate cut and improvements in insurance demand due to changing market conditions [9]. Cost Efficiency Improvements - The comprehensive cost ratio for listed insurance companies is expected to continue improving, aided by lower claims from natural disasters and the implementation of the "reporting and pricing" system for non-auto insurance [10]. - The insurance sector has seen a cumulative increase of 13.26% from early April to October 20, indicating a recovery trend in valuations [10].

Core Insights - The A-share insurance sector is expected to report strong third-quarter results, with significant profit growth driven by capital market gains and increased investment returns [1][2][4] Investment Performance - As of mid-2023, the total stock investment balance of the five major A-share listed insurance companies increased by 411.86 billion yuan, a growth of 28.7% compared to the end of last year [1][6] - Analysts predict that the net profit for these companies in the third quarter will see a year-on-year increase of 40% to 70%, with specific forecasts indicating that New China Life Insurance's net profit could reach between 29.986 billion yuan and 34.122 billion yuan, marking a 45% to 65% increase [2][3] Profit Growth Drivers - The primary driver of profit growth for listed insurance companies is attributed to enhanced investment returns, as the stock market has shown a stable upward trend since April 2025, with the CSI 300 index rising approximately 18% in the third quarter [5][8] - New China Life and China Life have the highest proportions of their stock investments classified under FVTPL (Fair Value Through Profit or Loss), which directly impacts their reported profits [7] New Business Value (NBV) - The average NBV for the five major A-share listed insurance companies is expected to grow by 36.1% year-on-year in the third quarter, driven by strong demand prior to the reduction in preset interest rates and growth in both bancassurance and individual insurance channels [8][9] - The demand for health insurance products is anticipated to increase due to demographic changes and healthcare reforms, contributing to stable growth in premiums and NBV [8] Underwriting Profit - In addition to investment gains, underwriting profits are also expected to improve, particularly for property insurance companies like PICC, which reported significant growth in underwriting profits alongside investment returns [9] - The overall combined ratio for the insurance sector is projected to continue improving, aided by fewer natural disasters impacting claims and the implementation of the "reporting and pricing together" policy for non-auto insurance [9]

Core Viewpoint - A total of 80 stocks have shown a continuous improvement in net profit for two consecutive quarters, indicating a positive trend in profitability [1] Group 1: Profitability Trends - As of the third quarter of 2025, 80 stocks have reported profitability with both the third and second quarters showing sequential net profit growth [1] - Continuous improvement in net profit suggests that these companies are in a phase of sustained profitability enhancement [1] Group 2: Valuation Levels - Among the 80 stocks with improving performance, 29 have a rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio below 30 times [1] - Xinhua Insurance has the lowest rolling PE ratio at 7.01 times, while several companies like Zijin Mining, Hanhua Environment, and others have PE ratios ranging from 10 to 20 times [1] Group 3: Capital Inflows - Recently, some low PE ratio stocks with continuous performance improvement have attracted increased investment from financing clients [1] - As of October 20, 2023, seven stocks have seen net financing purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since October, with Zijin Mining leading at a net purchase of 2.349 billion yuan [1]

Core Insights - Several listed insurance companies reported double-digit year-on-year growth in premium income for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a strong performance in the sector [1] Company Performance - Xinhua Life Insurance Co., Ltd. reported original insurance premium income of 172.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19% [1] - China Pacific Life Insurance Co., Ltd. achieved premium income of 232.436 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.9% [1] - ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance Co., Ltd. reported premium income of approximately 26.934 billion yuan [1] Market Trends - Insurance capital has shown a preference for high-dividend, low-valuation bank stocks, as evidenced by multiple stake acquisitions in bank shares since 2025 [1] - H-shares of banks have become a significant focus for insurance capital due to their higher dividend yields and characteristics that allow inclusion in Other Comprehensive Income (OCI) [1] - On October 21, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Financial ETF (513190) tracked the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Mainland Financial Index, which rose over 2% during intraday trading [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong insurance stocks experienced a significant increase on October 21, with China Life (02628.HK) rising by 5.44% to HKD 24.8 [1] - New China Life (01336.HK) saw a gain of 3.68%, reaching HKD 50.1 [1] - Ping An Insurance (02318.HK) increased by 2.67%, trading at HKD 55.75 [1] - China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK) rose by 2.35%, with a price of HKD 19.19 [1]

Group 1 - Xinhua Life Insurance Co., Ltd. reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of RMB 17,270,462,000 from January 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19% [1] - China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary, China Pacific Life Insurance Co., Ltd., reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of RMB 232.436 billion during the same period, with a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [1] - ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance Co., Ltd. achieved a total original insurance premium income of approximately RMB 26.934 billion from January 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025 [1] Group 2 - Insurance companies have been actively acquiring H-share bank stocks, with several banks such as Postal Savings Bank, China Merchants Bank, Agricultural Bank, Citic Bank, and Hangzhou Bank receiving significant investments from insurance capital since the beginning of 2025 [2] - The characteristics of banks, including low volatility, high dividends, and low valuations, continue to attract insurance capital, as bank dividend yields are superior to long-term bond yields [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Financial ETF (513190), which has the highest H-share bank content among listed ETFs, has seen its index rise over 2% as of October 21 [2]

光大证券发布研报称，受益于权益投资收益增长，业绩大超预期。该行认为2025年前三季度三家上市险 企在去年同期"924行情"带来的较高基数下进一步实现利润高增的共同原因为股票市场回稳向好推动权 益投资收益同比大幅增长，其中第三季度沪深300指数累计上涨17.9%，涨幅较去年同期扩大1.8pct。该 行指出，股票仓位明显提升，险企资产端弹性加大。 内险股全线走高，截至发稿，中国人寿(02628)涨5.44%，报24.8港元；新华保险（601336）(01336)涨 3.68%，报50.1港元；中国平安(02318)涨2.67%，报55.75港元；中国财险(02328)涨2.35%，报19.19港 元。 消息面上，近期多家险企发布2025年前三季度业绩预增公告。中国人寿预计前三季净利润1568-1777亿 元，同比增长50%-70%；新华保险预计前三季净利润299.9-341.2亿元，同比增长45%-65%；中国财险预 计前三季净利润375-428亿元，同比增长40%-60%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，内险股全线走高，截至发稿，中国人寿(02628)涨5.44%，报24.8港元；新华保险 (01336)涨3.68%，报50.1港元；中国平安(02318)涨2.67%，报55.75港元；中国财险(02328)涨2.35%，报 19.19港元。 光大证券发布研报称，受益于权益投资收益增长，业绩大超预期。该行认为2025年前三季度三家上市险 企在去年同期"924行情"带来的较高基数下进一步实现利润高增的共同原因为股票市场回稳向好推动权 益投资收益同比大幅增长，其中第三季度沪深300指数累计上涨17.9%，涨幅较去年同期扩大1.8pct。该 行指出，股票仓位明显提升，险企资产端弹性加大。 消息面上，近期多家险企发布2025年前三季度业绩预增公告。中国人寿预计前三季净利润1568-1777亿 元，同比增长50%-70%；新华保险预计前三季净利润299.9-341.2亿元，同比增长45%-65%；中国财险预 计前三季净利润375-428亿元，同比增长40%-60%。 ...