Investment Rating - The report rates the coal industry as "Overweight" [4]. Core Viewpoints - Coal prices are expected to peak, with pressure remaining in the first half of 2026 but easing compared to the same period in 2025. Demand for electricity coal, combined with the elasticity of coal prices, is likely to lead to prices exceeding 800 RMB/ton in the second half of 2026 [2]. - The report recommends core companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, while continuing to recommend Yanzhou Coal Mining and Jincheng Anthracite Mining [4]. Summary by Sections Demand and Supply Analysis - In July, national electricity consumption increased by 8.6% year-on-year, and thermal power generation rose by 4.3%, indicating a significant improvement in the supply-demand balance [4]. - Raw coal production in July was 380 million tons, a decrease of 40 million tons month-on-month, primarily due to extreme weather in Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi [4]. - For the second half of the year, production is expected to decline slightly due to "overproduction checks," with total production projected at 2.35 to 2.4 billion tons, maintaining year-on-year stability [4]. Price Trends - As of September 12, 2025, the price of Q5500 coal at Huanghua Port was 688 RMB/ton, down 3 RMB/ton (-0.4%) from the previous week [7]. - The price of Q5000 coal at Huanghua Port was 595 RMB/ton, down 8 RMB/ton (-1.3%) from the previous week [10]. - The report notes that domestic coal prices are stabilizing while imports continue to decline, leading to an overall downward trend in supply [4]. Focus on Coking Coal - As of September 12, 2025, the price of main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1550 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous week [35]. - The average price of metallurgical coke at major domestic ports was 1653 RMB/ton, down 43 RMB/ton (-2.5%) from the previous week [60]. Inventory and Production Rates - As of September 12, 2025, coking coal inventory at three major ports totaled 2.646 million tons, a decrease of 1.6% from the previous week [51]. - The operating rate of coking enterprises with production over 200 million tons was 79.18%, showing a slight increase [4]. Long-term Contracts - The annual long-term contract price for Q5500 coal at Northern Ports was 674 RMB/ton, up 6 RMB/ton (0.9%) month-on-month [33]. - The report indicates that long-term contract prices for coking coal remained stable compared to the previous week [69].

消息面上，9月15日，国内双焦期货市场强势上行，焦炭主力、焦煤主力盘中均涨超5%。据Mysteel，9 月15日山西省吕梁中阳一座煤矿于9月14日停产，复产时间暂不确定。该煤矿核定产能120万吨。 浙商证券指出，9月淡季预期压制煤价，现货逐渐接近长协，当前煤价有望触底反弹，把握左侧布局机 会。随着煤价与长协煤不断靠近(低卡倒挂)，下游采购积极性有望提升。展望四季度，供需有望逐步平 衡，煤价稳步上行，维持行业 "看好"评级。布局弹性动力煤公司和困境反转的焦煤焦炭公司。 智通财经APP获悉，煤炭股午后涨幅扩大，截至发稿，兖矿能源(01171)涨5.81%，报9.83港元；中国秦 发(00866)涨3.79%，报3.01港元；中国神华(01088)涨2.42%，报38.02港元；中煤能源(01898)涨1.06%， 报9.57港元。 ...

Group 1 - Coal stocks saw significant gains in the afternoon, with Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188) up 5.81% at HKD 9.83, China Qinfeng (00866) up 3.79% at HKD 3.01, China Shenhua (601088) up 2.42% at HKD 38.02, and China Coal Energy (601898) up 1.06% at HKD 9.57 [1] - On September 15, the domestic coking coal futures market experienced a strong upward trend, with both coking coal and coke futures rising over 5% [1] - A coal mine in Luliang, Shanxi Province, was reported to have suspended operations on September 14, with an uncertain timeline for resumption and a certified production capacity of 1.2 million tons [1] Group 2 - Zheshang Securities (601878) noted that the seasonal expectations in September are suppressing coal prices, with spot prices gradually approaching long-term contracts, indicating a potential bottoming out and rebound in coal prices [1] - As coal prices align more closely with long-term contracts (with low calorific value discounts), downstream purchasing enthusiasm is expected to increase [1] - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, supply and demand are anticipated to gradually balance, leading to a steady rise in coal prices, maintaining a "positive" outlook for the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal supply-demand fundamentals are expected to improve due to the "check overproduction" policy leading to reduced output and the anticipated recovery in non-electric coal demand during the "golden September and silver October" peak season, providing upward price elasticity for both types of coal [1][3]. Group 1: Coal Price Dynamics - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy coal type, with expectations for prices to rebound to long-term contract prices, recently surpassing the second target price of around 700 CNY per ton [2]. - The current adjustment in prices is attributed to the seasonal transition from summer to autumn, which has weakened coal consumption, but the upcoming peak season is expected to drive prices up again, particularly in the chemical sector [2][3]. - Coking coal prices are more influenced by supply-demand fundamentals, with target prices based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices, indicating potential target prices of 1608 CNY, 1680 CNY, 1800 CNY, and 2064 CNY for different levels of market performance [2]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The coal sector exhibits dual attributes of cyclical elasticity and stable dividends, with many coal companies maintaining high dividend yields despite overall profit pressures [3]. - Six listed coal companies have announced interim dividend plans totaling 24.13 billion CNY, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns [3]. - Key coal stocks benefiting from these trends include: - Cycle logic: Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源, 平煤股份, 淮北矿业, 潞安环能 - Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源, 陕西煤业 - Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份, 电投能源 - Growth logic: 新集能源, 广汇能源 [3].

Group 1 - The company, China Coal Energy (601898.SH), announced a projected commodity coal production of 11.6 million tons for August 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [1] - The company's commodity coal sales are expected to reach 20.85 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.8% [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) announced a decrease in both coal production and sales for August 2025, indicating potential challenges in the coal market [1] Group 1: Production and Sales Data - The company's coal production for August 2025 is projected to be 11.6 million tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [1] - The coal sales volume is expected to reach 20.85 million tons, which reflects a year-on-year decline of 12.8% [1]

中煤能源(01898HK)在港交所发布公告称，前8月商品煤销量17070万吨，同比下跌5.6%；8月商品煤销 量为2085万吨，同比下跌12.8%。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Coal Energy (601898) reported a decrease in both coal production and sales for August 2025 compared to the previous year [1] - In August 2025, the company's coal production was 11.6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, while coal sales were 20.85 million tons, down 12.8% year-on-year [1] - For the period from January to August 2025, the total coal production was 89.99 million tons, reflecting a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, and coal sales were approximately 171 million tons, which is a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [1]

2025 年 8 月份主要生产经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2025-028 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 | 指标项目 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 | 2024 | 年 | 变化比率（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8 月份 | 累计 | 8 月份 | 累计 | 8 月份 | 累计 | | 一、煤炭业务 | | | | | | | | | （一）商品煤产量 | 万吨 | 1,160 | 8,999 | 1,181 | 9,041 | -1.8 | -0.5 | | （二）商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 2,085 | 17,070 | 2,392 | 18,090 | -12.8 | -5.6 | | 其中：自产商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 1,151 | 9,040 | 1,116 | 8,869 | 3.1 | 1.9 | | 二、煤化工业务 | | | ...

格隆汇9月12日丨中煤能源(01898.HK)公布，2025年8月份，公司商品煤产量1,160万吨，同比减少 1.8%；商品煤销量2,085万吨，同比减少12.8%；其中，自产商品煤销量1,151万吨，同比增加3.1%。 ...