Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the coal mining industry, emphasizing potential investment opportunities in the U.S. energy sector driven by AI and market dynamics [5][40]. Core Insights - The report highlights a dual weakness in supply and demand for coal in November 2025, with a year-on-year decline in raw coal production of 0.5% and a projected annual increase in thermal coal production to approximately 3.88 billion tons, albeit with a narrowing growth rate of 1.4% [1][13]. - Coal imports in November 2025 decreased by 19.9% year-on-year, totaling 44.05 million tons, with an expected annual import level of around 38 million tons, reflecting a 6.4% decline [2][19]. - The report notes a 4.2% year-on-year decline in thermal power generation in November, contrasting with a 2.7% increase in overall industrial power generation [3][22]. - The U.S. coal market is anticipated to experience a historic reversal due to low inventory levels, explosive demand growth, and a rigid supply decline, with coal demand driven primarily by electricity generation [41]. Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the raw coal production was 430 million tons, showing a 0.5% year-on-year decline, while the daily average production was 14.23 million tons [1][13][12]. - For the first eleven months of 2025, the cumulative raw coal production reached 4.4 billion tons, reflecting a 1.4% year-on-year increase [1][13]. Imports - Coal imports in November 2025 were 44.05 million tons, down 19.9% from the previous year, with a total of 431.68 million tons imported from January to November, marking a 12.0% decline [2][19][20]. Demand - The report indicates a 4.2% year-on-year decrease in thermal power generation in November, with total industrial power generation increasing by 2.7% [3][22]. - The crude steel production in November 2025 was 6.987 million tons, down 10.88% year-on-year [3][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on investment opportunities in the energy sector driven by AI, recommending companies such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [40][8]. - It also highlights the potential for significant growth in U.S. coal demand due to the increasing electricity needs of data centers, predicting a compound annual growth rate of 21% from 2024 to 2030 [41].

Core Viewpoint - Coal stocks experienced a significant increase in share prices during the closing hours of trading, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the coal industry [1] Company Summaries - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) saw its stock rise by 2.23%, reaching HKD 10.09 [1] - China Shenhua Energy Company (中国神华) increased by 1.98%, with shares priced at HKD 39.22 [1] - China Coal Energy Company (中煤能源) reported a 1.56% gain, trading at HKD 10.4 [1] - Yida International (易大宗) experienced a 1.1% rise, with shares at HKD 0.92 [1]

Group 1 - Coal stocks saw significant gains, with Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (01171) up 2.23% to HKD 10.09, China Shenhua Energy (01088) up 1.98% to HKD 39.22, China Coal Energy (01898) up 1.56% to HKD 10.4, and Yidao Commodity (01733) up 1.1% to HKD 0.92 [1] - On December 18, the main contracts for coking coal and coke rose over 6% during trading [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and five other departments issued the "Benchmark Levels for Key Areas of Clean and Efficient Utilization of Coal (2025 Edition)", tightening coal consumption standards for coal-fired power generation compared to the 2022 version, which is expected to increase demand for high-quality coal [1] Group 2 - Shanxi Securities released a report highlighting the recovery of profitability in the coal sector, supported by seasonal demand due to cold weather [1] - There are expectations for improved performance in Q4, and if prices remain high, there is significant potential for earnings recovery in 2026 [1] - The decline in stock prices has reinforced dividend value, suggesting opportunities for low-cost acquisitions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal stocks have seen an increase in their closing prices, driven by rising demand for high-quality coal and regulatory changes aimed at improving coal efficiency and reducing consumption [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) increased by 2.23%, reaching HKD 10.09 [1] - China Shenhua Energy (中国神华) rose by 1.98%, reaching HKD 39.22 [1] - China Coal Energy (中煤能源) gained 1.56%, reaching HKD 10.4 [1] - Yida Zong (易大宗) increased by 1.1%, reaching HKD 0.92 [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - On December 18, coking coal and coke futures contracts rose over 6% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with five other departments, issued the "Benchmark Levels for Key Areas of Clean and Efficient Utilization of Coal (2025 Edition)" on December 17 [1] - Compared to the 2022 version, the new benchmarks indicate tighter coal consumption standards for coal-fired power generation, leading to increased demand for high-quality coal [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Shanxi Securities released a report highlighting the recovery of profitability in the coal sector, supported by seasonal demand due to cold weather [1] - There are expectations for improved performance in Q4, with potential for significant recovery in 2026 if prices remain high [1] - The decline in stock prices has enhanced dividend value, suggesting opportunities for low-cost acquisitions [1]

Group 1 - The coal sector in Hong Kong experienced a rally, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Yida Zong (up 2.20%), Yanzhou Coal (up 1.11%), and Mongolia Energy (up 1.28%) [1][2] - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with five other departments, released the "Key Areas for Clean and Efficient Utilization of Coal Benchmark Levels and Baseline Levels (2025 Edition)" [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the coal sector is characterized by "anti-involution" properties and has not fully reflected profit recovery expectations, indicating a strategic investment opportunity in high-quality coal companies [1] Group 2 - The coal sector is supported by high dividend safety margins and potential for price increases and valuation recovery, suggesting medium to long-term investment opportunities [1] - Open Source Securities believes that the "anti-involution" trend is reshaping the core value of coal, balancing both cyclical and dividend advantages [1]

环球富盛理财有限公司 中煤能源 China Coal Energy Company (1898.HK) 参与出资央企战新基金，收购新能源公司 30%股权 Participate in the investment of state-owned Zhanxin Fund & Acquire 30% equity of new energy company 最新动态 ➢ 参与出资央企战新基金。中国中煤能源股份有限公司参与并以自有资金出资 10.00 亿元认购央企战新基金份额。 公司参与出资央企战新基金，该基金为公司制，公司作为股东认购 10.00 亿元的基金份额，占比 1.96%。本次 交易总额 10.00 亿元，资金来源为公司的自有资金。本次交易旨在落实国家战略部署，推动央企战新产业和未 来产业发展，突出长期资本、耐心资本、战略资本的核心价值。通过基金投资布局与中央企业发展相关的九大 战新产业领域，探索未来产业新赛道，围绕产业链部署创新链、围绕创新链布局产业链，促进产业链创新链深 度融合。该基金投资领域与公司主营业务协同性强，可通过基金接入更广泛的产融平台，有助于公司拓宽产业 合作生态圈。 Charles Zh ...

Group 1 - The coal sector in Hong Kong has experienced a rally, with companies like Yida Zong rising over 2%, and Yancoal Energy, Mongolian Energy, and Shougang Resources increasing by more than 1% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with five other departments, has released the "Key Benchmark Levels and Baseline Levels for Clean and Efficient Utilization of Coal (2025 Edition)" [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the coal sector has a "reverse involution" characteristic and is not fully reflecting profit recovery expectations, indicating a strategic investment opportunity in the medium to long term [1] Group 2 - The stock performance of various coal companies includes: Yida Zong at 0.930 with a 2.20% increase, Mongolian Energy at 0.790 with a 1.28% increase, and Yancoal Energy at 9.980 with a 1.11% increase [2] - Other notable performances include Shougang Resources at 2.910 with a 1.04% increase, China Shenhua at 38.820 with a 0.94% increase, and Zhongmei Energy at 10.330 with a 0.88% increase [2] - The overall market sentiment is supported by ample liquidity and an adjustment in risk premiums, which enhances the attractiveness of the coal sector [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for China Coal Energy Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the coal and coal chemical industry, focusing on China Coal Energy's performance and outlook for 2025 and 2026. Key Points Production and Sales Performance - In the first 11 months of 2025, the total coal production was 124 million tons, a decrease of 1.52 million tons year-on-year, while sales were 234 million tons, down by 22.43 million tons year-on-year. However, self-produced coal sales increased by 900,000 tons [2][3] - Polyolefin production was 1.249 million tons, down by 139,000 tons year-on-year, primarily due to major equipment maintenance. Sales were 1.233 million tons [3] - Urea production increased to 1.956 million tons, up by 272,000 tons year-on-year, with sales reaching 2.16 million tons, an increase of 336,000 tons [3] - Methanol production was 1.767 million tons, up by 211,000 tons year-on-year, with sales of 1.783 million tons, an increase of 237,000 tons [3] - The output value of coal mining equipment was 8.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 800 million yuan year-on-year [3] Cost and Pricing Outlook - The production cost for Q4 2025 is expected to rise compared to Q3 due to increased safety and maintenance costs, but a year-on-year decrease is anticipated due to cost reduction measures [2][9] - The average cost per ton is projected to stabilize around 290-300 yuan, reflecting a reasonable alignment with production realities [10] - Coal prices are expected to rise, with a cautious optimistic outlook for 2026. The anticipated price range for December is between 750-820 yuan [4][11] Future Production Plans - The production plan for 2026 is nearly finalized, with expectations to maintain stability compared to 2025. Main mines are operating normally [7][8] - New mine production may be delayed, but this will have a limited impact on total output for 2026 [8] - The long-term contract situation for 2026 remains stable, with a continuation of the pricing mechanism based on a base price plus a floating price [13] Market Dynamics and Strategic Focus - The company is focused on optimizing production and sales coordination, enhancing product structure, and managing costs effectively [3][19] - The recent fluctuations in coal prices are considered normal, with expectations of a return to fundamental market conditions [14] - The company emphasizes the importance of safety and environmental regulations, aiming to maintain a competitive edge while ensuring sustainable development [15][19] Challenges and Risks - The company acknowledges potential challenges from market volatility and regulatory pressures but remains committed to strategic investments in coal chemical projects to enhance product value and reduce dependency on external resources [18] Conclusion - Overall, China Coal Energy is positioned to navigate the current market dynamics with a focus on stability in production and sales, cost management, and strategic investments in coal chemical projects to ensure long-term growth and sustainability [16][19]

证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2025-037 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 关于参与出资央企战新基金进展 暨完成基金备案的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 投资标的名称 | 央企战略性新兴产业发展基金有限责任公司（以 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 下简称"央企战新基金"或"基金"） | | | | 投资金额（万元） | 100,000 | | | | 投资进展阶段 | 完成 进展 | 终止 | 交易要素变更 | | 特别风险提示（如有请勾选） | 募集失败 | | | | | 未能完成备案登记 | | | | | 提前终止 | | | | | 发生重大变更 | | | | | 其他：本次投资过程中存在风险包括但不限于 | | | | | 市场风险、技术风险、产业风险、运营风险及资 | | | | | 金损失风险、流动性风险、操作风险、法律与政 | | | | | 策风险、发生不可抗力事件的风险等。 | | ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準 確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生 或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 以下為中國中煤能源股份有限公司於上海證券交易所網站刊發之《中國中煤能源股 份有限公司關於參與出資央企戰新基金進展暨完成基金備案的公告》。 承董事會命 中國中煤能源股份有限公司 董事長、執行董事 王樹東 中國 北京 2025 年 12 月 17 日 於本公告刊發日期，本公司的執行董事為王樹東、廖華軍；非執行董事為徐倩；獨立非執 行董事為景奉儒、詹豔景和黃江天。 * 僅供識別 证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2025-037 ( 于中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司 ) (股份代號：01898) 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條而發表。 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 关于参与出资央企战新基金进展 暨完成基金备案的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 ...