业绩底已现，2026 年有望量价齐升 兖煤澳大利亚(3668) 兖煤澳大利亚 2025 年年报业绩点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄涛(分析师) | 021-38674879 | huangtao@gtht.com | S0880515090001 | | 邓铖琦(分析师) | 010-83939825 | dengchengqi@gtht.com | S0880523050003 | 本报告导读： 2025H2 销量明显恢复，2026 年产量指引进一步提高；2025 年业绩下滑核心在价格， 业绩底已现，2026 年有望实现量价齐升；持续稳健的报表质量。 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万澳元) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 6,860.00 | 5,949.00 | 7,033.60 | 7,468.48 | 7,549.00 | | (+/-)% | -1 ...

摘要 2025 年商品煤产量同比下降 1.7%，煤炭销量同比下降 6.4%，发电量 同比下降 3.8%，但下半年生产指标好于上半年，主要得益于提质增效 和节支降本措施。 监管部门在 2025 年加码产能核查与安全生产检查，导致主要产区月度 产量自 7 月起下降，但政策目标是促进煤炭供应平稳有序，预计 2026 年将延续稳运行态度。 预计 2026 年动力煤价格中枢较 2025 年小幅抬升，但大幅抬升的可能 性不大，乐观情况下高点或在 750-800 元/吨，700 元/吨左右存在较强 支撑。 公司进口煤使用比例较低，主要作为小比例补充，受国际煤价波动影响 较小。印尼政策变化对公司印尼煤电资产运营影响预计不大，当地电厂 运营良好，收益率较高。 新疆能源、乌海能源等标的 2026 年业绩承诺亏损主要与阶段性、一次 性事项相关，预计 2027 年前后随着当地需求释放和外运通道抬升，盈 利能力有望恢复。 Q&A 2025 年公司业绩预告与主要经营数据分别如何，注资项目推进到什么阶段、 预计何时完成？ 按照中国企业会计准则，2025 年预计实现归母净利润 495 亿元至 545 亿元， 扣非归母净利润 472 亿元至 ...

平煤股份 20260227 摘要 2026 年商品煤产销量因安全形势和采掘失调下滑，但生产端采面布局 向好，预计原煤产量近 3,200 万吨，精煤 1,300 万吨，精煤产量较 2025 年大幅提升。 煤价大幅波动导致收入下滑，长协定价以季度为主并月度修正。2025 年主焦煤价格波动大，年初 1,750 元/吨，年末 1,660 元/吨。全年商品 煤综合售价同比 2025 年和 2024 年均下降近 300 元/吨。 公司通过分解降本指标压降成本，2025 年吨煤成本逐季下降，全年 570 元/吨，降本效果显著。2026 年延续压降策略，但空间有限，预计 最多再压减 5%左右。 2026 年初煤价窄幅波动，3 月或小幅调降。供给端受两会、环保及查超 产影响，约束有望加强；需求端钢铁收缩，利润薄，库存低，补库动力 不足，需关注关税影响。 乌苏四棵树铁厂沟煤矿为现成矿井，公司持股 60%，核定产能 120 万 吨/年，成本约 180 元/吨，售价 200 多元/吨，剩余服务年限约 25 年， 预计 2025、2026 年利润总额约 3,000 万元。 Q&A 2026 年初公司生产经营整体情况如何，商品煤产销量下 ...

韦思宇 长江证券煤炭分析师: 各位投资者领导，大家下午好，欢迎收听长江煤炭的马年开门红的线上策略会，是中煤能 源的一个专场交流。我是长江证券煤炭行业的分析师韦思宇，新的一年，也是祝大家马年 大吉，马上来财。那么下面我们进入到正式的会议环节，今天非常荣幸的邀请到了中煤能 源的郭总和闫琪总，也是大家这个老朋友了，出席本次的这个会议。那么会议将分为两个 环节，首先是这个郭总跟闫琪姐这边，去简单介绍一下公司的一些近况，然后我们再进入 到这个互动问答的环节。 那么下面，我们就把时间交给郭总，欢迎李总。咱们可以开始了。 中煤能源证券事务部郭威: 好的，感谢这个长江证券的组织，在这个第一个工作日的下午，就及时的召开了这么一个 会议。我是中煤能源证券事务部郭威。因为鉴于这个时间关系吧，我就先简单的说一说近 况，还是以后续大家的这个问答。Give it always 进入这个 26 年，公司的生产经营还是 比较正常，走过了这两个多月的时间，不过大家也看到，在我们年前，春节之前发布的 1 月份的生产经营数据的公告中，资产煤的产量。同环比都是有一定程度的下行。过程中， 因为间隔了这个春节的假期，其实有不少朋友们也关注到、关心到我们 ...

Core Data - Coal business: The company reported a coal production of 27.4 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.0% [1] - Coal sales volume reached 33.2 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 9.9% [1] - Transportation business: The self-owned railway transportation turnover was 25.7 billion ton-kilometers, up by 9.8% year-on-year [1] - Huanghua Port loading volume was 18.5 million tons, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 20.9% [1] - Shipping turnover decreased by 16.4% year-on-year to 6.1 billion nautical miles [1] - Power generation business: Total power generation reached 22.22 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.2% [1] - Total electricity sales amounted to 20.96 billion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year growth of 34.4% [1] - Coal chemical business: Polyethylene sales were 31,000 tons, down by 2.5% year-on-year [1] - Polypropylene sales were 29,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.7% [1] Important Notes - The company noted that the year-on-year growth in coal, railway, port, and power generation businesses was primarily due to a low base effect from the Spring Festival holiday in January 2025 [1] - Monthly operational data may be subject to fluctuations due to weather, maintenance, and seasonal factors [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in China Shenhua's coal production and sales, as well as a substantial increase in power generation and sales in January 2026 compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - In January 2026, the company's coal production reached 27.4 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% [1] - The coal sales volume was 33.2 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 9.9% [1] - The total power generation amounted to 22.22 billion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year increase of 34.2% [1] - The total electricity sales reached 20.96 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.4% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Coal Energy (601898.SH) reported a decrease in both coal production and sales for January 2026 compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The company's coal production in January 2026 was 10.29 million tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.4% [1] - The total coal sales for January 2026 were 20.05 million tons, which is a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% [1] - The self-produced coal sales amounted to 10.57 million tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Coal Energy reported a decline in both coal production and sales in January 2026 compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - In January 2026, the company's coal production was 10.29 million tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.4% [1] - The total coal sales for January 2026 were 20.05 million tons, which is a year-on-year decline of 7.3% [1] - The self-produced coal sales amounted to 10.57 million tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [1]

证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2026-004 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 2026 年 2 月 12 日 | 指标项目 | 单位 | 2026 | 年 | 2025 | 年 | 变化比率（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 月份 1 | 累计 | 月份 1 | 累计 | 月份 1 | 累计 | | 一、煤炭业务 | | | | | | | | | （一）商品煤产量 | 万吨 | 1,029 | 1,029 | 1,148 | 1,148 | -10.4 | -10.4 | | （二）商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 2,005 | 2,005 | 2,163 | 2,163 | -7.3 | -7.3 | | 其中：自产商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 1,057 | 1,057 | 1,039 | 1,039 | 1.7 | 1.7 | | 二、煤化工业务 | | | | | | | | | （一）聚烯烃 | | | | | | | | | 1.聚乙烯产量 | 万吨 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6. ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Coal Energy (01898.HK) reported a decrease in coal production and sales for January 2026 compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The company's coal production in January 2026 was 10.29 million tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10.4% [1] - The total coal sales for the company were 20.05 million tons, which is a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% [1] - The self-produced coal sales amounted to 10.57 million tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [1]