Summary of China Coal Energy Conference Call Company Overview - China Coal Energy is a state-owned enterprise under China Coal Group, with a shareholding ratio of approximately 57% [6] - The company was listed on A-shares in 2008 and holds 62% of Shanghai Energy [6] - The business segments include coal production and trade, coal chemical, power generation, and equipment manufacturing, with thermal coal accounting for over 80% of its operations [6] Industry Insights - The thermal coal market has significantly benefited, with China Coal Energy positioned as the second-largest state-owned enterprise, indicating broad future development potential [2][4] - The coal industry is expected to transition from a downward cycle that began in 2023 to a gradual upward phase starting in Q3 2025, driven by unexpected demand and a contraction in supply due to anti-involution policies [3] Financial Performance and Projections - China Coal Energy's projected performance for 2025 is approximately 16.5 billion yuan, with a current P/E ratio of about 10 times and a dividend yield of 3.3% [2][5] - The company has demonstrated industry-leading stability and growth through cost reduction and efficiency improvements [2][5] Production Capacity and Cost Management - The company has a controlling capacity of 163 million tons and an equity capacity of 145 million tons, with the Pingluo mining area accounting for 62% of total capacity [7] - The sales of thermal coal are primarily based on long-term contracts, constituting 80% of sales, which enhances stability [9] - The cost of self-produced coal has decreased by 10% year-on-year to 263 yuan per ton, showcasing significant cost control measures [9] Growth Drivers - The increase in low-cost mining capacity and the construction of new mines are expected to drive future growth [10] - The magnesium chemical business has an integrated industrial chain advantage, which helps mitigate cyclical fluctuations [11] - The company is actively optimizing assets, with significant asset impairment provisions nearly completed, enhancing the asset structure and providing room for valuation recovery [13] Valuation and Dividend Policy - Current P/B ratio is 0.91, indicating undervaluation compared to peers like Shenhua (15-16 times) and Shanxi Coal (10-23 times) [14] - The dividend payout ratio is approximately 35%, significantly lower than Shenhua's 75% and other regional state-owned enterprises at 60% [15] - There is potential for increasing the dividend rate in the future due to policy encouragement for higher dividends and state-owned enterprise market value management requirements [15] Strategic Outlook - The company is well-positioned for investment in the current market environment, with strong performance stability due to the high proportion of long-term contracts [17] - The company has a solid cost reserve and is expected to benefit from the overall recovery of the coal sector [17] - Future development prospects are promising, with a focus on asset optimization, cost reduction, and increased dividends, alongside a low current valuation that has significant recovery potential [18][19]

Summary of the Conference Call for China Coal Energy Industry Overview - The coal market experienced fluctuations in August, with thermal coal prices at ports reaching 697 RMB/ton, a month-on-month increase of 6.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 17.4% [2][5] - The coking coal market showed a decline, with Shanxi low-sulfur coking coal prices at 1,471 RMB/ton, down 30 RMB/ton (2% decrease) month-on-month and down 10% year-on-year [2][6] - The urea market remained weak, with average prices around 1,750 RMB/ton, a 14% year-on-year decline [2][7] - Polyolefin prices averaged about 7,500 RMB/ton, a slight decrease of 5% year-on-year, with expected price ranges for polyethylene and polypropylene in September [2][8] Company Performance - For the first eight months of the year, China Coal Energy produced 89.99 million tons of commercial coal, a decrease of 420,000 tons year-on-year, while sales were 170 million tons, down 10.2 million tons year-on-year [3] - The company’s self-produced coal sales increased by 1.71 million tons, indicating a shift from trade and agency coal [3] - Urea production increased by 24.5% year-on-year to 1.415 million tons, while methanol production rose by 22.2% to 1.317 million tons [3] - The company achieved a profit increase of approximately 2.1 billion RMB in the first half of the year through cost reduction measures [2][9] Market Outlook - The thermal coal market is expected to remain weak in September, with prices projected to fluctuate between 665-695 RMB/ton due to reduced demand from power plants and increased willingness from traders to sell [2][5] - The coking coal market is anticipated to stabilize, with prices for Shanxi low-sulfur coking coal expected between 1,300-1,470 RMB/ton [2][6] - The urea market is expected to continue its weak trend, with prices projected between 1,650-1,700 RMB/ton [2][8] - Polyolefin prices are expected to stabilize, with polyethylene and polypropylene prices projected within specified ranges [2][8] Cost Management - The company has implemented various cost reduction measures, resulting in stable costs in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, with expectations for annual costs to be lower than the previous year [9][20] - The company’s long-term contract fulfillment rate remains high, ensuring business stability and customer relationships [10][11] Future Projections - The company maintains an optimistic outlook on thermal coal prices, expecting them to fluctuate around a benchmark price of 675 RMB/ton, with potential highs exceeding 700 RMB [4][13] - The company’s coal chemical business is expected to remain profitable, with the resumption of operations in the second half of the year anticipated to offset losses incurred during maintenance [22] Additional Insights - The company is actively monitoring regulatory impacts from the Energy Bureau's recent directives, which are expected to have a limited effect on operations [16][17] - New mining projects, Li Bi and Wei Zi Gou, are on track for trial production in the second half of 2026 [15]

2025 年 8 月份主要生产经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2025-028 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 | 指标项目 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 | 2024 | 年 | 变化比率（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8 月份 | 累计 | 8 月份 | 累计 | 8 月份 | 累计 | | 一、煤炭业务 | | | | | | | | | （一）商品煤产量 | 万吨 | 1,160 | 8,999 | 1,181 | 9,041 | -1.8 | -0.5 | | （二）商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 2,085 | 17,070 | 2,392 | 18,090 | -12.8 | -5.6 | | 其中：自产商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 1,151 | 9,040 | 1,116 | 8,869 | 3.1 | 1.9 | | 二、煤化工业务 | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Tongde Chemical has shown fluctuations in trading performance, with a recent increase in price but a decline in overall performance over various time frames. The company has also reported a significant decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 4, Tongde Chemical's stock rose by 2.17%, reaching a price of 5.18 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 19.41 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.16% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 5.28%, but it has seen declines of 1.33% over the last five trading days, 3.90% over the last twenty days, and 1.52% over the last sixty days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on July 23, where it recorded a net buy of -31.30 million CNY [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Tongde Chemical, established on June 10, 2001, and listed on March 3, 2010, is located in Shanxi Province and specializes in manufacturing and selling ammonium nitrate, emulsified explosives, and silica products, among others [2]. - The revenue composition of the company includes 58.78% from engineering blasting, 24.38% from industrial explosives, and 13.42% from other civil explosive materials [2]. - As of August 10, the number of shareholders increased to 25,600, with an average of 12,778 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 0.66% from the previous period [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Tongde Chemical reported a revenue of 256 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 19.32%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.09 million CNY, down 75.76% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 444 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 74.73 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Tongde Chemical has experienced a decline in recent trading sessions, with significant net outflows of capital and a notable drop in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On August 29, Tongde Chemical's stock price fell by 2.10%, trading at 5.14 CNY per share with a total transaction volume of 30.19 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.78% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 4.47%, but it has seen declines of 5.86% over the last five trading days, 4.28% over the last 20 days, and 2.65% over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent instance on July 23, where it recorded a net buy of -31.30 million CNY [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Tongde Chemical, established on June 10, 2001, and listed on March 3, 2010, is located in Shanxi Province and specializes in manufacturing and selling ammonium nitrate, emulsified explosives, and silica products, among others [2]. - The company's revenue composition includes 58.78% from engineering blasting, 24.38% from industrial explosives, and 13.42% from other civil explosive materials [2]. - As of August 10, the number of shareholders increased to 25,600, with an average of 12,778 circulating shares per person, a slight decrease of 0.66% [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Tongde Chemical reported a revenue of 256 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 45.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.09 million CNY, down 75.76% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 444 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 74.73 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance is under pressure due to falling coal prices, but it shows potential for high dividends and growth, maintaining a "buy" rating [1][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 74.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.71 billion yuan, down 21.3% [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 36.04 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.11%, and a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, down 6.31% [1] - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 16.37 billion, 18.13 billion, and 18.62 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year change of -15.3%, +10.8%, and +2.7% [1] Coal Business Performance - In H1 2025, the coal business generated operating revenue of 60.57 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.1%, with a gross profit of 14.35 billion yuan, down 27.7% [2] - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, a year-on-year drop of 19.5%, while the cost was 263 yuan per ton, down 10.2% [2] - Coal production and sales volumes were 67.34 million tons and 67.11 million tons respectively, both showing a slight increase of 1.3% and 1.4% year-on-year [2] Non-Coal Business Performance - The company operates in coal chemical, coal mining equipment, financial services, and other sectors, with coal chemicals being the main business [2] - In H1 2025, coal chemical revenue was 9.36 billion yuan, down 13.6%, while the sales volumes of various products showed mixed results [2] Dividend Potential and Strategic Initiatives - The company has the potential to increase its dividend payout, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 45% as of June 30, 2025 [3] - A cash dividend of 0.166 yuan per share was announced, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.38% based on the stock price [3] - The company is enhancing its smart mining capabilities, with 18 mines passing smart mining assessments and several projects underway to strengthen the "coal-electric-chemical" integrated industry chain [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to falling coal prices, but it has high dividend potential and growth prospects. The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on these factors [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 744.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.9% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 77.1 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year - The adjusted net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 76.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 20.7% year-on-year - For Q2 2025, the operating revenue was 360.4 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.11% - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 was 37.3 billion yuan, down 6.31% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 163.7 billion yuan, 181.3 billion yuan, and 186.2 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -15.3%, +10.8%, and +2.7% - The expected EPS for the same period is 1.23 yuan, 1.37 yuan, and 1.40 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 9.8, 8.8, and 8.6 times respectively [5][8] Coal Business Performance - In H1 2025, the coal business generated operating revenue of 605.7 billion yuan, down 22.1% year-on-year - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 263 yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [6] Non-Coal Business Performance - The non-coal business, including coal chemical, mining equipment, and financial services, showed mixed results - The coal chemical business achieved operating revenue of 93.6 billion yuan, down 13.6% year-on-year, but benefited from lower raw material costs [6] Dividend Potential and Strategic Initiatives - The company has the potential to increase its dividend payout, with a current dividend of 0.166 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.38% - The company is enhancing its smart mining capabilities and developing a "coal-electric-chemical" integrated industrial chain, with significant investments in new projects [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Coal Energy (601898.SH) is "Recommended (Maintain)" with a stock price of 12.25 CNY [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is returning cash dividends to shareholders and anticipates a rebound in performance driven by recovering coal prices [1][5] - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 744.36 billion CNY, down 19.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 77.05 billion CNY, down 21.3% year-on-year [4][7] - The report suggests that while coal prices have been under pressure, there are signs of recovery, with market coal prices rebounding since July 2025 [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 744.36 billion CNY, a decrease of 19.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 77.05 billion CNY, down 21.3% year-on-year [4] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.166 CNY per share, with a cash dividend rate of 30% [4] Coal Business - The total coal sales volume for H1 2025 was 12.868 million tons, a decrease of 3.6% year-on-year, with coal business revenue at 605.68 billion CNY, down 22.1% year-on-year [7] - The company's self-produced coal sales volume increased slightly by 1.4% year-on-year, but the selling price dropped by nearly 20% [7] Coal Chemical Business - The coal chemical business reported revenue of approximately 93.6 billion CNY, down 13.6% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 14.2 billion CNY, down 36.0% year-on-year [8] - The report indicates that the company is accelerating the progress of ongoing projects to build a "coal-electric-chemical-new" integrated industrial chain [8] Market Outlook - The report notes that coal prices have started to recover, with the Qinhuangdao port Q5500 thermal coal price rising from a low of 609 CNY/ton to 704 CNY/ton as of August 22, 2025 [8] - The company is expected to benefit from its rich coal resources and ongoing project developments, which may lead to improved performance as coal prices rise [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that cost reduction and incremental growth are offsetting the decline in coal prices, leading to stable performance and potential for increased dividends [5] - The company reported a significant decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 744.4 billion yuan, down 19.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 77.0 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year [6] - The coal division's net profit decreased by 32.6% year-on-year due to falling coal prices, despite a slight increase in production and sales volume [6] - The company is expected to maintain a high proportion of long-term contracts, which stabilizes performance amid market fluctuations [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a coal production of 67.34 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with sales volume also increasing by 1.4% [6] - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan per ton, down 19.5% year-on-year [6] - The company managed to reduce its unit sales cost to 263 yuan per ton, a decrease of 10.2% year-on-year [6] Business Segments - The chemical business faced challenges due to maintenance of the olefin unit, but the decline in coal prices helped reduce costs for methanol and urea [6] - The company is progressing with new projects, including coal and electricity integration and renewable energy initiatives, which are expected to contribute to future growth [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 15.4 billion, 16.8 billion, and 17.96 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of -20.3%, +9.2%, and +6.8% [7] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 10.6, 9.7, and 9.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, which highlights its long-term investment value despite a decline in coal prices [4][22] - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend payout, distributing 30% of its net profit to shareholders as cash dividends [4][20] - The company is developing a "coal-electric-chemical-new" integrated industrial chain, with several key projects progressing as planned [4][22] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 74.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.0%, and a net profit of 7.71 billion yuan, down 21.3% [10] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 36.04 billion yuan, a decline of 24.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, down 22.7% year-on-year and 6.3% quarter-on-quarter [10] - The coal business showed stable production and sales, with a slight increase in self-produced coal output, while the cost management efforts led to a decrease in unit coal costs [2][12] Coal Business Summary - In Q2 2025, the company produced 33.99 million tons of commodity coal, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, with sales volume of 64.54 million tons, down 7.4% [2][12] - The average selling price for self-produced thermal coal and coking coal decreased by 89 yuan/ton and 395 yuan/ton respectively [2][12] - The unit sales cost for self-produced commodity coal in H1 2025 was 263 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan/ton year-on-year [2][12] Coal Chemical Business Summary - The coal chemical business saw an increase in production and sales, but the prices of major products declined, leading to a decrease in gross profit [3][17] - In H1 2025, the main coal chemical products had a production/sales volume of 2.988/3.166 million tons, with prices for key products like urea and methanol dropping significantly [3][17] Other Business Summary - The coal mining equipment and financial services sectors reported increased gross profits despite a decline in revenue for the coal mining equipment business [3][20] - The coal mining equipment business generated revenue of 4.77 billion yuan, down 15.3% year-on-year, but gross profit increased by 9.6% due to lower material costs [3][20] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 16.2 billion, 16.5 billion, and 17.2 billion yuan respectively [4][22] - The company maintains a strong performance outlook due to growth in both coal and coal chemical businesses, alongside potential for increased dividend payouts [4][22]