Summary of Conference Call for Xianhe Co., Ltd. (2026) Industry Overview - The specialty paper industry is facing phase-specific competition, but due to lengthy process research and customer validation cycles, rapid internal competition is difficult. Recent price hikes in the industry are pushing prices back to reasonable levels, but the transmission of specialty paper prices is slower than that of bulk paper, typically lagging by about 3 months. Once price increases are implemented, the likelihood of a significant drop in the short term is low, with profit improvement largely dependent on companies' cost control capabilities [2][4]. Company Insights - Xianhe Co., Ltd. benefits from its strategic layout during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with new projects in Guangxi and Hubei having lower construction costs and entering production and efficiency release phases. The company has strong self-produced pulp capabilities, making it less sensitive to market pulp price fluctuations and providing a cost advantage over purchased raw materials. By 2026, the company aims to achieve dual benefits from cost reduction and efficiency improvement, alongside rising paper prices and pulp business profits [2][3]. - The Hubei base has stabilized its self-produced pulp process, leading to product structure adjustments that bring incremental growth. New products are well-received in the market, and the company is continuously establishing low-cost raw material channels, expecting to turn profitable in 2026. The Guangxi base achieved profitability in its first month of production, and with rising paper prices and new capacity releases in 2026, there is potential for rapid recovery [2][7]. Pricing Strategy - In early 2026, Xianhe initiated price increases for major products like glassine, with a total increase of 1,000 RMB/ton planned. By January, 300 RMB/ton was implemented, with another 300 RMB/ton in February and the remaining 400 RMB/ton expected to be gradually implemented in March. There is a strong consensus in the industry regarding the price increase for glassine, which is believed to be at a low point [2][8]. Market Dynamics - The macro supply-demand balance remains skewed, particularly after the concentrated release of bulk paper capacity, leading to an oversupply in the domestic market. However, specialty paper does not equate to bulk paper, and while some segments may see intensified competition, most segments maintain relative balance due to the nature of specialty paper's process research [3][4]. - Xianhe has become the largest thermal transfer supplier in China, holding about 60% market share. This scale and share advantage lead to lower overall production costs and stronger profitability. The company plans to gradually implement price adjustments in this category starting in March [3][9]. Cost Control and Profitability - The company emphasizes a "price increase + cost reduction" strategy, where the speed of cost reduction may outpace that of price increases. The rise in pulp prices is expected to improve paper profits, while the company can still sell some pulp products externally. The specific revenue and profit figures for 2026 will depend on the dynamics of pulp and paper prices, but the company will continue to push for price increases and cost optimization [5][10]. Future Projects and Expansion - The Sichuan project is still in the approval phase, with plans to proceed once all necessary permits are obtained. The company conducts precise internal assessments before project investments, and the results from Guangxi and Hubei validate these assessments. If no major obstacles arise, the project is expected to have significant profit potential [6][10]. - The Guangxi base primarily produces chemical and mechanical pulp, with a current paper capacity of about 50,000 tons. There is still about 20,000 tons of pulp available for external sale, which can generate additional reasonable profits [11][12]. Capital Expenditure and Financial Outlook - The capital expenditure rhythm for 2025-2027 is expected to be moderate, with 2026 focusing on profit and sales release rather than large-scale investments. The company anticipates some capital expenditures in the latter half of 2026, with new capacity gradually being released [13][17]. - The company aims to enhance its dividend policy in line with profit growth, maintaining a good dividend rate while ensuring compliance with governance requirements [14][15]. Conclusion - Xianhe Co., Ltd. is positioned to benefit from strategic cost control and market dynamics in the specialty paper industry. The company is focused on optimizing its operations, expanding its product offerings, and maintaining profitability through effective pricing strategies and cost management. The outlook for 2026 appears positive, with expectations for improved financial performance and potential for increased dividends.

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on optimizing its operations and financial structure to recover from significant losses and improve shareholder value, while also addressing investor concerns regarding stock performance and market confidence [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - As of February 6, 2026, ST晨鸣's stock closed at 2.1 yuan, down 0.47%, with a turnover rate of 0.67% and a trading volume of 111,900 hands, amounting to a transaction value of 23.53 million yuan [1]. - The company is expected to report a loss of 8.2 to 8.8 billion yuan for 2025, primarily due to production stoppages and asset impairments [7]. Business Operations - The company has established a subsidiary in Germany for paper product trading, with approximately 8% of its total export revenue coming from products sold to EU countries [2]. - The Zhanjiang plant resumed production on January 28, 2026, and other facilities are accelerating equipment adjustments [2]. Debt Management - The company is actively working on debt optimization, including negotiating extensions and interest reductions with financial institutions to alleviate short-term pressures [4][5]. - A significant focus is on generating internal cash flow through core business recovery to support long-term debt restructuring [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to enhance its product offerings by developing high-value products such as food packaging paper, while also optimizing its asset structure by divesting non-core assets [6][7]. - Specific measures for 2026 include improving operational efficiency, managing costs, and ensuring production and sales balance to enhance profitability [7]. Investor Relations - The company emphasizes its commitment to shareholder interests and aims to improve communication and transparency regarding its operational and financial strategies [3][6]. - There are ongoing discussions about potential share buybacks or state-owned capital increases to boost market confidence and stabilize stock prices [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is currently operating its specialty paper factories at full capacity and is focusing on developing high value-added products such as food cards and liquid packaging paper to enhance market competitiveness [1]. Group 1: Production Capacity - The company’s specialty paper factories are running at full capacity [1]. Group 2: Product Development - The company is prioritizing the development of high value-added products, specifically in the areas of food cards and liquid packaging paper [1]. - There are plans to further optimize the product structure to improve operational efficiency and market competitiveness [1].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase for raw materials, with significant implications for companies involved in this sector [1][3]. Group 1: Company News - *ST Dongtong is facing delisting due to financial fraud, with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange planning to terminate its stock listing after discovering false disclosures in annual reports from 2019 to 2022 [2]. - The company has been fined 229 million yuan for fraudulent issuance based on false financial data [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been rising, with a reported increase of 20% to 30% for upstream raw paper [3]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3,213 yuan per ton, up 17.65% year-on-year, while boxboard paper averaged 3,889 yuan per ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [3]. - Major paper companies have announced price increases for various paper products, with adjustments ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton, aimed at alleviating operational pressures and maintaining market order [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades, with leading companies driving price hikes and inefficient capacity being phased out [4]. - Analysts predict that the overall profitability of the packaging paper industry will improve in the fourth quarter due to rising waste paper prices and government policies against excessive competition [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Co., and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating positive market sentiment [5]. - Forecasts suggest that Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will experience substantial net profit growth in 2025, with increases of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively [6]. - Shanying International is expected to turn profitable, supported by investments aimed at enhancing production capabilities and competitiveness [6].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase for raw paper, with multiple companies announcing new price hikes in the fourth quarter to cope with rising costs [3][4]. Group 1: Price Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been continuously rising [3]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3,213 RMB/ton, a year-on-year increase of 17.65%, while the average price of boxboard was 3,889 RMB/ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [4]. - Several well-known pulp and paper companies have recently issued price adjustment notices for various paper types, with price increases ranging from 50 RMB/ton to 200 RMB/ton, effective mainly from late November to December 1, 2025 [4]. Group 2: Company Performance and Outlook - Companies in the packaging paper sector are adjusting their prices, with increases of 10% to 15%, which is lower than the 20% to 30% increase in upstream raw paper prices [3]. - Major securities firms believe the current paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades, with a positive outlook for profitability in the fourth quarter [4]. - Notable companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Paper, and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating strong market interest [5]. - Forecasts suggest that companies like Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will see net profit growth rates of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively for the year 2025 [5][8].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase in raw materials, leading to a series of price hikes by paper companies, with expectations of improved profitability in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2][3]. Price Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been continuously rising [2]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3213 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 17.65%, while the average price of boxboard was 3889 yuan/ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [2]. Company Responses - Many paper companies have announced price increases ranging from 50 yuan/ton to 200 yuan/ton for various paper types, effective from late November to December 1, 2025 [2]. - A packaging paper company in Hebei raised its prices by 10% to 15%, lower than the 20% to 30% increase in raw paper prices, but production levels remain high [2]. Market Outlook - Daitong Securities believes the paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades [3]. - The overall profitability of the packaging paper industry is expected to improve in the fourth quarter due to rising waste paper prices and government policies aimed at reducing competition [3]. Company Performance - Notable paper companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Paper, and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating strong market interest [5]. - Forecasts suggest that Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will experience net profit growth rates of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively in 2025 [5]. Investment Activity - Shanying International has attracted long-term investors to enhance its production capabilities and competitiveness in the packaging paper sector [6]. - The company is expected to improve its profit margins in the fourth quarter despite previous price declines [6].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.13% to close at 25,928.08 points, while the total trading volume reached 2,070.78 million HKD [1] - Short-term risk factors for the Hong Kong market are decreasing, but a catalyst is needed for a confirmed rebound. The current position is considered attractive for medium to long-term investment [1] Blue Chip Performance - Meituan-W (03690) led the blue-chip stocks, rising 5.65% to 103.8 HKD, contributing 47.97 points to the Hang Seng Index. Alibaba's CFO indicated a significant reduction in investment for Taobao Flash Sales in the upcoming quarter, suggesting a "temporary truce" [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements include ZTO Express-W (02057) up 4.24%, Shenzhou International (02313) up 3.2%, while Chow Tai Fook (01929) fell 6.1% [2] Sector Performance Technology Sector - The technology sector showed mixed results, with Meituan rising over 5%, while Alibaba fell nearly 2% post-earnings, exacerbating e-commerce concerns. Tencent also saw a decline of 0.88% [3] Paper Industry - The paper industry stocks performed well, with Nine Dragons Paper (02689) up 5% and Lee & Man Paper (02314) up 4.88%. Several major paper companies announced price adjustments for various paper types, with increases ranging from 50 to 200 CNY per ton [3] Aviation Sector - Airline stocks rebounded, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) up 6.96% and Air China (00753) up 4.2%. The strengthening of the RMB and expectations of reduced oil prices contributed to this rebound [4] Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The innovative pharmaceutical sector showed strong performance, with Hengrui Medicine (01276) up 4.55% and Kangfang Bio (09926) up 3.97%. Analysts remain optimistic about the sector's fundamentals and growth potential [5] Consumer Sector - Consumer stocks were active, with Miniso (09896) up 2.64% and Pop Mart (09992) up 2.2%. The government has introduced a plan to enhance consumer goods supply and demand, aiming for significant improvements by 2027 [6] Notable Stock Movements - Yao Cai Securities Financial (01428) rose 5.73% after extending its acquisition offer deadline with Ant Group [7] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) increased by 4.77%, benefiting from negotiations with Meta and Google regarding data center chip usage [8] - Pony.ai (02026) saw a 4.37% increase, reporting significant revenue growth and profitability in its Robotaxi business [9] - Chow Tai Fook (01929) fell 6.1% post-earnings, reporting a slight decrease in revenue but a marginal increase in profit [10]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) increased by 5.34%, reaching HKD 6.11 [1] - Lee & Man Paper (02314) rose by 4.18%, reaching HKD 2.99 [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Several major domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products such as white card paper, copper plate card, food card, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper [1] - The price adjustment range is between 50 CNY/ton to 200 CNY/ton, with implementation scheduled mainly from late November to December 1, 2025 [1] Group 3: Market Trends - After five years of stagnation, the white card paper industry is beginning to rebound [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, paper companies are maintaining high operating rates, supported by high costs and low inventory levels [1] - White card paper prices have been consistently rising since November, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and confirmed replenishment intentions from downstream packaging paper manufacturers [1] - It is expected that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, leading to a continued steady increase in white card paper prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - Several major domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products including white cardboard, coated paper, food-grade cardboard, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper, with adjustments ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton [1] - The implementation of these price changes is primarily scheduled between late November and early December 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - After five years of stagnation, the white cardboard industry is showing signs of recovery [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, paper companies are maintaining high operating rates, supported by high costs and low inventory levels, which have contributed to the continued price increase of corrugated and boxboard paper [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - White cardboard prices have been consistently rising since November, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and a clear willingness from downstream packaging paper manufacturers to replenish stocks [1] - It is anticipated that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, leading to a steady upward trend in white cardboard prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Industry Summary - Several well-known domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products including white cardboard, coated paper, food-grade cardboard, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper, with price hikes ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton, effective from late November to December 1, 2025 [1] - After five years of stagnation, the white cardboard industry is beginning to rebound, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, the operating rates of paper companies remain high, supported by high costs and low inventory, leading to continued price increases for corrugated and boxboard paper [1] - Since November, the price of white cardboard has been on the rise, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and confirmed replenishment intentions from downstream packaging paper manufacturers [1] - It is anticipated that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, suggesting that the price of white cardboard may continue to rise steadily in the future [1]