摘要 特种纸行业虽面临阶段性竞争，但因工艺研发和客户验证周期长，难以 快速内卷。近期行业密集发布涨价函，推动价格回归，但特种纸价格传 导慢于大宗纸，通常滞后约 3 个月。一旦提价落地，短期内大幅回落概 率较低，利润改善关键在于企业成本控制能力。 仙鹤股份受益于"十四五"期间的布局，广西、湖北新增项目建设成本 较低，已进入投产和效率释放阶段。公司自制浆能力强，内部流程控制 使成本对市场浆价波动不敏感，且较外购原材料具备成本优势。2026 年，公司将通过降本增效，实现纸价上涨和浆业务利润的双重利好。 湖北基地自制浆流程调整已稳定运行，产品结构调整带来增量，新产品 市场消化良好，且持续布局低成本原材料渠道，预计 2026 年扭亏为盈。 广西基地投产首月即盈利，2026 年随纸价提升和新产能释放，成本优 化空间打开，有望进入快速复苏节奏。 2026 年初，仙鹤股份已启动格拉辛等主要品种提价，涨价函幅度为 1,000 元/吨，1 月已落实 300 元/吨，2 月将继续落实 300 元/吨，剩余 400 元/吨计划于 3 月逐步落地。行业对格拉辛提价的共识较强，普遍认 为格拉辛价格已处于低位。 Q&A 在纸浆自 2025 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on optimizing its operations and financial structure to recover from significant losses and improve shareholder value, while also addressing investor concerns regarding stock performance and market confidence [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - As of February 6, 2026, ST晨鸣's stock closed at 2.1 yuan, down 0.47%, with a turnover rate of 0.67% and a trading volume of 111,900 hands, amounting to a transaction value of 23.53 million yuan [1]. - The company is expected to report a loss of 8.2 to 8.8 billion yuan for 2025, primarily due to production stoppages and asset impairments [7]. Business Operations - The company has established a subsidiary in Germany for paper product trading, with approximately 8% of its total export revenue coming from products sold to EU countries [2]. - The Zhanjiang plant resumed production on January 28, 2026, and other facilities are accelerating equipment adjustments [2]. Debt Management - The company is actively working on debt optimization, including negotiating extensions and interest reductions with financial institutions to alleviate short-term pressures [4][5]. - A significant focus is on generating internal cash flow through core business recovery to support long-term debt restructuring [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to enhance its product offerings by developing high-value products such as food packaging paper, while also optimizing its asset structure by divesting non-core assets [6][7]. - Specific measures for 2026 include improving operational efficiency, managing costs, and ensuring production and sales balance to enhance profitability [7]. Investor Relations - The company emphasizes its commitment to shareholder interests and aims to improve communication and transparency regarding its operational and financial strategies [3][6]. - There are ongoing discussions about potential share buybacks or state-owned capital increases to boost market confidence and stabilize stock prices [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is currently operating its specialty paper factories at full capacity and is focusing on developing high value-added products such as food cards and liquid packaging paper to enhance market competitiveness [1]. Group 1: Production Capacity - The company’s specialty paper factories are running at full capacity [1]. Group 2: Product Development - The company is prioritizing the development of high value-added products, specifically in the areas of food cards and liquid packaging paper [1]. - There are plans to further optimize the product structure to improve operational efficiency and market competitiveness [1].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase for raw materials, with significant implications for companies involved in this sector [1][3]. Group 1: Company News - *ST Dongtong is facing delisting due to financial fraud, with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange planning to terminate its stock listing after discovering false disclosures in annual reports from 2019 to 2022 [2]. - The company has been fined 229 million yuan for fraudulent issuance based on false financial data [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been rising, with a reported increase of 20% to 30% for upstream raw paper [3]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3,213 yuan per ton, up 17.65% year-on-year, while boxboard paper averaged 3,889 yuan per ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [3]. - Major paper companies have announced price increases for various paper products, with adjustments ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton, aimed at alleviating operational pressures and maintaining market order [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades, with leading companies driving price hikes and inefficient capacity being phased out [4]. - Analysts predict that the overall profitability of the packaging paper industry will improve in the fourth quarter due to rising waste paper prices and government policies against excessive competition [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Co., and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating positive market sentiment [5]. - Forecasts suggest that Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will experience substantial net profit growth in 2025, with increases of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively [6]. - Shanying International is expected to turn profitable, supported by investments aimed at enhancing production capabilities and competitiveness [6].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase for raw paper, with multiple companies announcing new price hikes in the fourth quarter to cope with rising costs [3][4]. Group 1: Price Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been continuously rising [3]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3,213 RMB/ton, a year-on-year increase of 17.65%, while the average price of boxboard was 3,889 RMB/ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [4]. - Several well-known pulp and paper companies have recently issued price adjustment notices for various paper types, with price increases ranging from 50 RMB/ton to 200 RMB/ton, effective mainly from late November to December 1, 2025 [4]. Group 2: Company Performance and Outlook - Companies in the packaging paper sector are adjusting their prices, with increases of 10% to 15%, which is lower than the 20% to 30% increase in upstream raw paper prices [3]. - Major securities firms believe the current paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades, with a positive outlook for profitability in the fourth quarter [4]. - Notable companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Paper, and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating strong market interest [5]. - Forecasts suggest that companies like Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will see net profit growth rates of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively for the year 2025 [5][8].

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase in raw materials, leading to a series of price hikes by paper companies, with expectations of improved profitability in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2][3]. Price Trends - Since the third quarter of this year, the price of raw paper used in the packaging paper industry has been continuously rising [2]. - As of November 24, the average daily price of corrugated paper was 3213 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 17.65%, while the average price of boxboard was 3889 yuan/ton, up 6.86% year-on-year [2]. Company Responses - Many paper companies have announced price increases ranging from 50 yuan/ton to 200 yuan/ton for various paper types, effective from late November to December 1, 2025 [2]. - A packaging paper company in Hebei raised its prices by 10% to 15%, lower than the 20% to 30% increase in raw paper prices, but production levels remain high [2]. Market Outlook - Daitong Securities believes the paper industry is benefiting from a combination of price increases, improved demand, and structural upgrades [3]. - The overall profitability of the packaging paper industry is expected to improve in the fourth quarter due to rising waste paper prices and government policies aimed at reducing competition [3]. Company Performance - Notable paper companies such as Sun Paper, Annie Co., Huatai Paper, and Bohui Paper have seen significant net buying in financing, indicating strong market interest [5]. - Forecasts suggest that Hengfeng Paper, Qifeng New Materials, and Bohui Paper will experience net profit growth rates of 70.67%, 35.33%, and 20.2% respectively in 2025 [5]. Investment Activity - Shanying International has attracted long-term investors to enhance its production capabilities and competitiveness in the packaging paper sector [6]. - The company is expected to improve its profit margins in the fourth quarter despite previous price declines [6].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.13% to close at 25,928.08 points, while the total trading volume reached 2,070.78 million HKD [1] - Short-term risk factors for the Hong Kong market are decreasing, but a catalyst is needed for a confirmed rebound. The current position is considered attractive for medium to long-term investment [1] Blue Chip Performance - Meituan-W (03690) led the blue-chip stocks, rising 5.65% to 103.8 HKD, contributing 47.97 points to the Hang Seng Index. Alibaba's CFO indicated a significant reduction in investment for Taobao Flash Sales in the upcoming quarter, suggesting a "temporary truce" [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements include ZTO Express-W (02057) up 4.24%, Shenzhou International (02313) up 3.2%, while Chow Tai Fook (01929) fell 6.1% [2] Sector Performance Technology Sector - The technology sector showed mixed results, with Meituan rising over 5%, while Alibaba fell nearly 2% post-earnings, exacerbating e-commerce concerns. Tencent also saw a decline of 0.88% [3] Paper Industry - The paper industry stocks performed well, with Nine Dragons Paper (02689) up 5% and Lee & Man Paper (02314) up 4.88%. Several major paper companies announced price adjustments for various paper types, with increases ranging from 50 to 200 CNY per ton [3] Aviation Sector - Airline stocks rebounded, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) up 6.96% and Air China (00753) up 4.2%. The strengthening of the RMB and expectations of reduced oil prices contributed to this rebound [4] Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The innovative pharmaceutical sector showed strong performance, with Hengrui Medicine (01276) up 4.55% and Kangfang Bio (09926) up 3.97%. Analysts remain optimistic about the sector's fundamentals and growth potential [5] Consumer Sector - Consumer stocks were active, with Miniso (09896) up 2.64% and Pop Mart (09992) up 2.2%. The government has introduced a plan to enhance consumer goods supply and demand, aiming for significant improvements by 2027 [6] Notable Stock Movements - Yao Cai Securities Financial (01428) rose 5.73% after extending its acquisition offer deadline with Ant Group [7] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) increased by 4.77%, benefiting from negotiations with Meta and Google regarding data center chip usage [8] - Pony.ai (02026) saw a 4.37% increase, reporting significant revenue growth and profitability in its Robotaxi business [9] - Chow Tai Fook (01929) fell 6.1% post-earnings, reporting a slight decrease in revenue but a marginal increase in profit [10]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) increased by 5.34%, reaching HKD 6.11 [1] - Lee & Man Paper (02314) rose by 4.18%, reaching HKD 2.99 [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Several major domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products such as white card paper, copper plate card, food card, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper [1] - The price adjustment range is between 50 CNY/ton to 200 CNY/ton, with implementation scheduled mainly from late November to December 1, 2025 [1] Group 3: Market Trends - After five years of stagnation, the white card paper industry is beginning to rebound [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, paper companies are maintaining high operating rates, supported by high costs and low inventory levels [1] - White card paper prices have been consistently rising since November, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and confirmed replenishment intentions from downstream packaging paper manufacturers [1] - It is expected that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, leading to a continued steady increase in white card paper prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - Several major domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products including white cardboard, coated paper, food-grade cardboard, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper, with adjustments ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton [1] - The implementation of these price changes is primarily scheduled between late November and early December 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - After five years of stagnation, the white cardboard industry is showing signs of recovery [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, paper companies are maintaining high operating rates, supported by high costs and low inventory levels, which have contributed to the continued price increase of corrugated and boxboard paper [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - White cardboard prices have been consistently rising since November, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and a clear willingness from downstream packaging paper manufacturers to replenish stocks [1] - It is anticipated that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, leading to a steady upward trend in white cardboard prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have collectively risen, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, driven by recent price adjustments in various paper products [1] Industry Summary - Several well-known domestic pulp and paper companies have announced price increases for products including white cardboard, coated paper, food-grade cardboard, recycled kraft paper, and high-strength corrugated paper, with price hikes ranging from 50 to 200 yuan per ton, effective from late November to December 1, 2025 [1] - After five years of stagnation, the white cardboard industry is beginning to rebound, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1] - Driven by e-commerce stocking demands, the operating rates of paper companies remain high, supported by high costs and low inventory, leading to continued price increases for corrugated and boxboard paper [1] - Since November, the price of white cardboard has been on the rise, with a strong determination from companies to increase prices due to significant pressure on industry profitability and confirmed replenishment intentions from downstream packaging paper manufacturers [1] - It is anticipated that paper manufacturers will aim to improve profitability, suggesting that the price of white cardboard may continue to rise steadily in the future [1]